A German split-up in 1989-91 instead of reunification?

I've worked with the baseline of this scenario in another forum, would be interested in discussing it.

  • Around 1978, the relationship between CDU and CSU parties worsens, leading to a split between the political factions in the German parliament.
  • Subsequently to this split, regional patriotic feelings are stirred in Bavaria and other South-German states
  • Around 1979, CSU becomes active in other South-German states
  • In 1981, a motion is set to form a new, third state in South Germany, consisting of North Baden, and parts of Württemberg, Hesse and Rhineland-Palatinate
  • Starting in 1982, the CSU internally becomes somewhat more supportive of separatism and starts adopting an anti-federal stance
  • In 1983, the new third state is created through a referendum, with moderate positive approval in the population.
  • By 1986, regional separatism in the three South-German states has gained considerable approval ratings
  • In 1987, several states in "North Germany" are reformed and combined through a series of referendums which while succeeding have some impact with local patriotism forming there as well.
  • F.J.Strauss, charismatic leader of the CSU, does not die in 1988, but survives until at least 1991
  • In 1988, a major political collision between North and South Germany occurs when South German states blockade an increase of (Cold War) Military Spending in parliament
  • Following that, political deadlock in lawmaking occurs consistently throughout 1988 and 1989
  • In late 1989, real events in the German Democratic Republic occur
  • Political deadlock prevents the German Federal Republic from absorbing the German Democratic Republic
  • 2+4 and similar post-Cold-War treaties are delayed somewhat
  • Separatist southern lobby groups actively undermine the Federation in North and East
  • In 07/1990, the separatists see a first success in East Germany declaring it will continue to remain independant
  • Between 08/1990 and 12/1990, more or less openly separatist factions win elections in all three South German states, with blatant separatist "rebel" stances adopted by the new state governments
  • In 02/1991, Bavaria declares itself independant of the German Federation
  • In 03/1991, the other two states follow
  • In subsequent treaties signed 05/1991, occupation powers bail out of the increasing quagmire of now 5 states as fast as possible
  • Personal rapport (Strauss/Gorbachev) and political scheming see to limited support of the Soviet Union and France for the separatists especially in the 1988-1991 period

Is this so far not too far-fetched? Trying to keep some semblance of "possible" in there.
 
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