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This is my very first post on AH so...

NEW YORK TIMES-March 13th
Tsar Nicholas the Second Abdicates Throne!


Faced with growing popular unrest, including riots over the past few months in Petrograd, as well as pressure from the Duma, the Russian monarch has stepped down from the throne. Grand Duke Michael Alexandrovich Romanov, Nicholas’ designated successor, has refused the throne thus ending 300 years of Romanov rule in Russia…

The Russian Revolution-Oxford University Press 1985
1917 was to be a tumultuous year for Russia. It saw the end of Russia's autocracy and the beginnings of its transition towards democracy. After the abdication of Nicholas II from the throne, the provisional government faced considerable opposition from the Petrograd Soviet as well as other fringe elements on the left and the right. Among these radical elements was Vladimir Ilych Lenin (Ulianov), who led the Bolshevik faction of the Russian Social Democratic Labour Party. Lenin opposed the Russia’s new government at every turn and many historians speculate as to what would have happened had he not been arrested by government troops in July. However, the mass arrest of Bolshevik leaders that would come during the summer of 1917 essentially decapitated the head of the movement...


This is a small taste of things to come. My idea is that butterflies from Nicholas abdicating two days earlier, cause a more pacifist government (not led by Kerensky) to come to power and end the war so that the provisional government would be able to restore order. Would this work? Is it ASB?
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