A Different Path: A History of the Kerry Administration & Beyond

Discussion in 'Finished Timelines and Scenarios' started by Pericles, Apr 9, 2016.

  1. 297* Well-Known Member

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    TENSIONS MOUNT BETWEEN ISRAEL AND IRAN, NETANYAHU URGES WORLD TO RESPOND TO 'IRANIAN THREAT'-JUNE 26, 2012

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    REPUBLICANS MASS UP HUGE WAR CHEST, BEGIN UNLEASHING IT ON CLINTON AND PAUL-JUNE 28, 2012

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    Despite recent struggles in the polls, Republicans are still hopeful they can win. Having amassed an impressive war chest, the Republicans have at least one ace up their sleeves. While Romney is unpopular with many voters, Clinton isn't very popular either. Republican strategists are convinced this election is winnable, and believe that Congress and the Democrats, as well as the President, can be forced to shoulder part of the blame for the poor economy. Still, at the moment the Democrats hold the lead in the race for the Presidency, and for Congress.

    VEEPSTAKES: FEINGOLD, OBAMA, STRICKLAND, BAYH, OR SOMEONE ELSE?

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    Speculation has begun about who Senator Clinton will pick as her running mate. One option, touted by liberals, is Senator Feingold himself, with the argument that a Feingold pick would rally the base and unite the party. However, many in the establishment are skeptical, fearing Feingold would be too liberal even for the vice-presidency, and rumor has it that relations between Senators Clinton and Feingold are poor. An alternative idea is Senator Obama, who is still popular with liberals and has charisma, but he, unlike several other options, would not help in any swing state, due to being Senator for Illinois, a safe Democratic state. Governor Strickland, in Ohio, is also one of the heavily touted options. Perhaps though, it might be someone else, or perhaps not.

    NEW POLL: 38% CLINTON, 35% ROMNEY, 14% PAUL-JULY 13, 2012

    SHOCKWAVES SENT ACROSS MIDEAST AS IRAQI KURDS VOTE FOR INDEPENDENCE
    DISPUTED AREAS (KIRKUK) VOTE TO JOIN NEW KURDISH STATE-JULY 13, 2012

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    Iraqi Kurdistan voted 99% to 1% to become an independent nation, and the disputed areas, mainly the city of Kirkuk, voted 67% to 33% to join Kurdistan. This result has sent shockwaves across the region, threatening to unravel Syria, weaken Iraq even further, and cause major tensions with Turkey. US President Romney congratulated Kurdistan on its new independence, and promised to, "Safeguard and protect the sovereignty of Kurdistan." The Iraqi government has called the declaration of independence 'illegal' and Prime Minister Allawi has sent thousands of troops north to threaten Kurdistan. However, with Iraq still racked by low-level conflict, disorder, a failing economy, and a south controlled by Shi'ite militants, it would be very hard-placed to stop, or even hurt, the Kurds. Yet, that does not mean this new state will not be challenged. Still, right now the Kurds are celebrating, even as Peshmerga mobilize against any threat. One thing is certain. This move will be a dramatic change in the region, and adjusting to it is going to be challenging for many.

    DOZENS OF IRAQI SOLDIERS KILLED IN CLASHES NEAR KIRKUK
     
    Last edited: Sep 8, 2019
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    NO BREAKTHROUGH ON EITHER SIDE: POLLS STABILIZE WITH CLINTON IN THE LEAD, ROMNEY CLOSE BEHIND AND PAUL IN DOUBLE DIGITS

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    ASSAD IS STILL ALIVE!
    US, FSA EFFORTS TO KILL HIM COME TO NO AVAIL, LATAKIA REMAINS IN ASSAD'S HANDS-AUGUST 2, 2012

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    PAUL CANDIDACY SHOWS NO SIGNS OF FADING, PAUL CONTINUES TO HOVER AROUND 15% IN POLLS

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    In one of the most unexpected phenomenons of this election cycle, Ron Paul's candidacy has been surprisingly successful, at least so far. With massive frustration with the establishment, Paul has surged to around 15% in the polls. Many of the votes come from Romney, though some liberals are attracted to his anti-war and more socially liberal positions. The Paul candidacy continues to prosper for now, but the conventions are likely to detract attention from Paul to the major parties. Many pundits remain convinced that Paul will fade as the race goes on. It remains, ultimately, up to the voters to prove them wrong, or prove them right.

    KURDISTAN EMERGES INDEPENDENT WHILE IRAQ IMPOTENT

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    Last edited: Sep 7, 2019
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    CURIOSITY LANDS ON MARS-AUGUST 6, 2012

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    CLINTON PICKS STRICKLAND-AUGUST 13, 2012

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    Hillary Clinton has picked Ohio Governor and one of the former Democratic candidates this year, Ted Strickland, as her running mate. The Democrats hope that the Strickland pick will ensure victory in Ohio, but Republicans are adamant they have a strong chance in Ohio and for the election. The Strickland pick ejected other speculated options, such as Senator Obama-who many Clinton campaign staffers contend was high on the VP shortlist-and Evan Bayh. Russ Feingold was also a name thrown around many times, though Clinton aides assert it was unlikely.

    ISRAEL-IRAN TENSIONS MOUNT, NETANYAHU DECLARES HE WILL STOP 'IRANIAN NUCLEAR PROGRAM'-AUGUST 17, 2012

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    ECONOMIC STATISTICS PREDICT STRONG GROWTH, BUT ECONOMY STILL SET TO HURT FOR VOTERS, ROMNEY

    SHOOTING OCCURS IN EMPIRE STATE BUILDING, 9 WOUNDED, 2 DEAD-AUGUST 24, 2012

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    Last edited: Sep 9, 2019
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    2012 RNC HELD
    ROMNEY, REPUBLICANS BURST AHEAD OF EXPECTATIONS-AUGUST 30, 2012

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    The 2012 Republican National Convention was a success for the Romney campaign, and a much-needed one. First Lady Ann Romney attested to her husband's character and leadership, and black Utah congressional candidate Mia Love also gave a strong speech. President Romney, for once, proved almost charismatic, defending his record, saying "We entered office facing a potential depression from the extreme left policies of the Democrats. Thanks to our leadership, we're back on track and growing again. But the Democrats want to try the same old failed policies." The Republicans are expected to receive a poll bounce from the convention. Whether it would be enough, especially with Bill Clinton set to make a strong performance at the Democratic National Convention remains to be seen.

    POST-CONVENTION POLL: 11% PAUL, 39% ROMNEY, 39% CLINTON-SEPTEMBER 1, 2012

    2012 DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL CONVENTION HELD
    BILL, HILLARY CLINTON SPEECHES GET STRONG RECEPTION-SEPTEMBER 6, 2012

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    The Democratic National Convention saw Hillary Clinton and Ted Strickland officially nominated for the election. Democrats wasted no time in skewering Romney and the Republicans, with the 10% unemployment rate being repeatedly thrown at Romney. Bill Clinton's speech was probably the best, with his declaration that the Republican case was, "We were given the job to clean up a total mess, instead we messed it up some more. But this time, we'll clean it up, honest!" Russ Feingold also got a slot declaring, "We can't afford to double-down on trickle down!"

    PAUL STRUGGLES IN LATEST POLLS, FALLS TO 9%: 9% PAUL, 39% ROMNEY, 41% CLINTON-SEPTEMBER 7, 2012

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    US PLANE SHOT DOWN OVER SYRIA, PILOT PROBABLY DEAD-SEPTEMBER 11, 2012

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    Last edited: Sep 10, 2019
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    MUSLIMS PROTEST, RIOT AGAINST INNOCENCE OF MUSLIMS FILM-SEPTEMBER 11, 2012

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    ROMNEY GAFFE: "UNEMPLOYED NEED TO MAKE MORE OF AN EFFORT"
    CLINTON CONDEMNS ROMNEY SAYING, "IT'S HIM WHO NEEDS TO MAKE MORE OF AN EFFORT"-SEPTEMBER 15, 2012

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    EARLY VOTING BEGINS IN 12 STATES-SEPTEMBER 22, 2012

    AL-QAEDA FORCES GAIN FOOTHOLD IN EASTERN SYRIA, FSA SECURES LAW AND ORDER IN MOST MAJOR CITIES

    FSA BEGINS OFFENSIVE TOWARDS LATAKIA, US BOMBS ASSAD LOYALISTS-SEPTEMBER 26, 2012

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    RUSSIA CLINGS ONTO TARTUS MILITARY BASE IN SYRIA-SEPTEMBER 28, 2012

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    In Syria, Russia maintains its Tartus naval base, even as the new regime demands it leave. In a potential crisis, the area remains under Assad's control, and so Russia is retaining the base, refusing to recognize the demands of "terrorists and bandits." Secretary of State Zoellick and the US government are currently negotiating with Russia over the base's fate. However, Putin remains determined to keep the base, insisting the remnants of the Assad regime holding the Syrian coast are the legitimate regime.

    NEW POLL: 11% PAUL, 40% ROMNEY, 42% CLINTON-SEPTEMBER 28, 2012

    UNEMPLOYMENT STILL AT 10%, GROWTH AT 1.5%-OCTOBER 1, 2012
     
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    ROMNEY LOSES DEBATE, CLINTON WINS, PAUL FURIOUS AT NOT BEING ON STAGE-OCTOBER 3, 2012

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    Senator Clinton won the first presidential election debate, walloping Romney. On the economy Clinton said, "I don't think that double-digit unemployment for three years can be considered a 'stellar economic record', Mr. President." Romney also made a gaffe when he said that he had hired "binders full of women" as President. Ron Paul was denied the chance to be on stage with Clinton and Romney, failing to get 15% in the polls. Paul railed against the "establishment attempts" to deny his campaign oxygen, and urged the candidates to debate him. Romney ruled out Paul's offer of a debate saying, "no can do." Senator Clinton was more sympathetic to the offer, saying a debate with Paul was "on the cards."

    PPP POLL: 12% PAUL, 40% ROMNEY, 45% CLINTON-OCTOBER 4, 2012

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    ROMNEY APPROVAL RATING AT 44%-OCTOBER 7, 2012

    US BOMB HITS ASSAD COMPOUND, ASSAD'S STATUS UNKNOWN-OCTOBER 9, 2012
    A US bomb has reportedly hit the compound of Bashar al-Assad. Assad's status is unknown, with some crowds cheering his death while Assad loyalists declare he is still alive.

    ASSAD ALIVE BUT WOUNDED-OCTOBER 10, 2012

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    The dictator-turned-rebel leader Bashar al-Assad has been confirmed to still be alive, with photos of him in hospital released by his followers. However, he has apparently been seriously wounded by the US bombing of his compound. Meanwhile, FSA forces continue to advance through western Syria.

    VICE-PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE HELD, VP THUNE BEATS STRICKLAND-OCTOBER 11, 2012

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    LATAKIA BESEIGED BY FSA-OCTOBER 13, 2012
     
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    AL-QAEDA LINKED JABHAT AL-NUSRA SEEN OPERATING IN MAJOR SYRIAN CITIES-OCTOBER 15, 2012

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    SECOND PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE ANOTHER CLINTON WIN-OCTOBER 16, 2012

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    Again, Mitt Romney failed to recover his lost momentum, instead having his economic and domestic record savaged by Senator Clinton. Clinton claimed that she was not too liberal because, "I played a huge role in one of the most centrist, responsible, and strong administrations in our history." Romney tried to promote his foreign policy record but Clinton declared, "We need a pragmatic foreign policy. And when we've ignited half the Middle East, that's not pragmatic or sensible. We should be more cautious rather than engaging in reckless adventurism."

    20 US SOLDIERS KILLED IN TALIBAN ATTACKS-OCTOBER 18, 2012

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    FSA, JABHAT AL-NUSRA CLASH IN DARAA-OCTOBER 19, 2012

    THIRD DEBATE HELD, ROMNEY DEFENDS FOREIGN POLICY RECORD, DEBATE DEEMED ROMNEY WIN-OCTOBER 22, 2012

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    LATAKIA SIEGE PAUSES WITH ASSAD CONTROLLING THE CITY, REST OF SYRIA UNDER FSA CONTROL-OCTOBER 23, 2012


    PEW POLL: PAUL 9%, ROMNEY 41%, CLINTON 44%-OCTOBER 24, 2012
     
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    HURRICANE SANDY HITS EAST COAST-OCTOBER 29, 2012
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    PRESIDENT ROMNEY VISITS AFFECTED DISASTER AREAS
    DEMOCRATIC NEW JERSEY GOVERNOR CORZINE: "ROMNEY'S DOING A GREAT JOB"-NOVEMBER 1, 2012

    UNEMPLOYMENT FINALLY IN SINGLE DIGITS, AT 9.8%-NOVEMBER 1, 2012
    Unemployment has dropped into single digits after years of double-digit unemployment. This is a double-edged sword for the Republicans, while it is a sign of a recovering economy, it is also a sign of how slow that recovery is. And in the Midwest, unemployment is higher. Michigan (coincidentally where Romney was born) has an unemployment rate of 13.5%, while Ohio has an 11.3% unemployment rate. Heading into Election Day, Clinton retains a slight lead, though there is speculation Hurricane Sandy could give Romney a boost in the polls by showing his 'leadership' and stalling Clinton's momentum. Whether that happens remains to be seen.


    ROMNEY HOLDS MEGA-RALLY WITH THUNE, FORMER PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH-NOVEMBER 5, 2012


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    PAUL CALLS ON VOTERS TO "BREAK THE TWO-PARTY MONOPOLY" AND "LIBERATE AMERICA"-NOVEMBER 5, 2012

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    BILL, HILLARY, DEMOCRATS RALLY IN OHIO
    BILL CLINTON "A VOTE FOR HILLARY WILL RESTORE AMERICA'S GREATNESS!"-NOVEMBER 5, 2012

    FINAL GALLUP POLL: 11% PAUL, 42% ROMNEY, 43% CLINTON-NOVEMBER 5, 2012
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    Last edited: Sep 14, 2019 at 2:33 AM
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    ATL 2012.png
    Hillary Clinton has been elected America's first female president, and Democrats routed Republicans across the board. It was a wholesale rejection of Romney and the Republican Party. Both houses of Congress went to the Democrats as well.

    President Romney struggled with a poisonous inheritance and an inability to heal the struggling economy. Until days before the election, unemployment was in double digits. And Republican hopes that the opposition would be unacceptable to voters were in vain. Russ Feingold, a potentially easier opponent, failed to win the nomination, and instead Hillary Clinton was the Democratic nominee. She managed to make voters remember the Democrats as the party of the 1990s prosperity-under her husband Bill Clinton-and not of John Kerry's failed presidency.

    The Republicans performed even worse than nationally in the Midwest, especially Ohio, which happened to be a state that you virtually need to win to be President. The collapse of the auto industry dogged Romney there, and to make matters worse, Ohio Governor Ted Strickland became Hillary's VP, helping ensure Ohio went to the Democrats. The result was that on election day Hillary won an astonishing 9-point victory in Ohio. The straw that broke the camel's back could well have been Ron Paul's third-party run. Republicans are already trying to make that case, with Romney's Chief of Staff Beth Myers saying, "If Ron Paul hadn't run, we'd have won. If you add up the two Republicans-Congressman Paul was a Republican, if you add them up, you find that we would have won. And you can play with your arithmetic and formulas, but the fact is that Ron Paul was a spoiler. He is just like [Ross] Perot."

    Now that might not be true. Another cause of the defeat was how the last month of the campaign went badly for Romney. The debates-with the exception of the third one-were Clinton blowouts. Hurricane Sandy had a big impact, but not enough to save the flailing Republican campaign. Indeed, several pundits have claimed Sandy hurt Romney by taking away any time he might have had to reset his campaign. The polls which showed a close race, were wrong, and Nate Silver, the data geek who predicted the outcome in all 50 states, was spot on. But ultimately, the cause of the defeat could lie in Romney's fateful decision not to follow most other world leaders in doing a Keynesian, spending-focused stimulus in 2009 and not saving the auto industry. Mitt Romney had positive achievements in his presidency, and could well have saved the economy from an even worse fate. But hypotheticals don't matter to voters. And so Mitt Romney will join George W. Bush and John Kerry as the third president since 2004 to be booted out of office.

    Yet, the Democrats cannot rest on their laurels. The new President, whatever her historical status, will come under pressure from a resurgent left and a defeated right. Voter disillusionment is high, only 55.1% of voters bothered to turn up. While Ron Paul took Republican votes, he also took Democratic ones. Voters are sick of recession, they're sick of war and they're sick of a political establishment that keeps on failing them. Hopefully Hillary Clinton can restore the 1990s and break the revolving door of one-term presidents in Washington. But she and her party have to make the effort to accomplish that. Voters have resoundingly chosen change. If change fails, a new change is likely to be put in place. Welcome to Washington, Madam President.


    DEMOCRATS CONTROL BOTH HOUSES WITH COMFORTABLE MARGINS, REPUBLICANS GET WALLOPED!-NOVEMBER 6, 2012

    DEMOCRATS RETAIN HOUSE, MAKE GAINS
    DEMOCRAT: 240+11 52.7%, REPUBLICAN: 195-11 43.6%

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    RON PAUL'S DISTRICT GOES DEMOCRAT

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    SENATE GOES DEMOCRAT
    DEMOCRATIC: 52+6, REPUBLICAN: 46-7, INDEPENDENT: 2+1

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    ARIZONA: RICHARD CARMONA (D) DEFEATS JEFF FLAKE (R)

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    CONNECTICUT: NED LAMONT (D) DEFEATS LINDA MCMAHON (R)

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    DELAWARE: KEITH SPANARELLI (D)* DEFEATS KEVIN WADE (R)


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    *OOC: Spanarelli was a People Power insurgent who unseated incumbent Senator, free trade supporter, and DLC member Tom Carper in the primary and then was elected Senator. He is virtually unknown IOTL.

    INDIANA: INCUMBENT RICHARD LUGAR (R) DEFEATS JOE DONNELLY (D)

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    MARYLAND: BEN CARDIN (D) DEFEATS INCUMBENT MICHAEL STEELE (R)

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    NEVADA: SHELLEY BERKLEY (D) DEFEATS INCUMBENT DEAN HELLER (R)

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    NEW JERSEY: BARBARA BUONO (D) DEFEATS INCUMBENT THOMAS KEAN, JR. (R)

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    OHIO: CAPRI CAFARO (D) DEFEATS INCUMBENT MIKE DEWINE (R)

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    RHODE ISLAND: PATRICK KENNEDY (D) DEFEATS JOHN LOUGHLIN (R)

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    TEXAS: DAVID DEWHURST (R) DEFEATS PAUL SADLER (D)

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    VIRGINIA: INCUMBENT GEORGE ALLEN (R) DEFEATS TIM KAINE (D)

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    WEST VIRGINIA: JOE MANCHIN (D) DEFEATS INCUMBENT JOHN RAESE (R)

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