Update, 1993 and at least part of 1994.
1993:
- Atari, which bought the rights to GEM in 1991 from Claris, makes the following decisions:
- phasing out the ST computers.
- continuing to sell the 68030-based Atari Falcon running MiNT, an almost-open-source OS based on the prior TOS/GEM.
- Preparing to sell the Jaguar video game system. The system has a few differences from OTL; basically the controller is half the size of OTL (the 'numeric keypad' is missing). It does capture much of the limelight of the 1993 Christmas season, despite having relatively few goodgames at the start. It, together with the new Super Nintendo CD and the Amiga 32CD (OTL CD-32), together blow the new 3DO system out of the water in terms of sales (although rumors are spreading that Sega and Turbografx aren't lying still, and that Nintendo has a secret project for a "Jaguar- killer" lurking and that Apple may be re-entering the market soon).
- Intel announces the release of the Pentium RISC processor, a replacement for their x86 series. It almost has an 80486SX built into the chip, kind of cutting down on the RISC nature but allowing partial compatability with x86 software. Sales are slow at first, more vendors are buying 486DX2 and DX4 chips, but IBM and others begin to consider using them on the chips on their next - generation computers.
- Apple announces that, after 7 years of production, the IIGS and its video-game-console version, the IIgame, will be leaving the market. This leaves the only Apple II product left being the Apple IIes, basically a cost-reduced Apple IIe around solely for the bottom level of the education market. It will be phased out in 1994, after variations of the Apple II have been on the market for 17 years (in 1997, though, Apple does build a handful of '20th Anniversary Edition' Apple II's using leftover components from Apple IIs and Apple IIe cards used in Performas).
- The formal 'divorce' of IBM and Microsoft over OS/2. In the end, Microsoft acquires the rights to manufacture and sell all members of the OS/2 and the upcoming OS/3 family of operating systems, although they do have to pay IBM a decent settlement. IBM also gets to sell all members of the OS/2 family up to the 3.x series without chargin Microsoft. This spurs Microsoft in developing OS/3. It also spurs IBM into updating and modifying AIX, their UNIX-based operating system, to run on the new Intel Pentiums.
1994:
- A minor shockwave runs through the computer world as a venerable manufacturer goes bankrupt. It's Victor, which has been making IBM PC-compatibles and semi-compatibles for more than a decade. Its assets are acquired by Dell Computer, Michael Dell's fledgling computer company.
- The 1.0 release of the Linux Kernel. As community involvement in the Linux project has grown, the amount of actual code done by Linus Torvalds is only a tiny percentage of the overall project; his main purpose is as the 'benevolent dictator' of kernel development. GNU partisans claim that, due to the large percentage of GNU software included aside from the kernel, that the system should be called 'GNU/Linux'; This is reflected in some of the early distributions, such as Debian GNU/Linux and Moonshine GNU/Linux. Others, like Slackware Linux and Serenity Linux, ignore this (Debian and Slackware are OTL distributions; Moonshine and Serenity might exist in OTL but not in the same sense). Most Linux distributions are for Intel 386 processors, although early ports include for the Pentium, Motorola 880x0 (in NeXT workstations), and 680x0 (for Atari Falcon and Commodore Amiga. (see, DoctorMO, I haven't forgotten you!)
- Commodore introduces the Amiga Advanced Architecture.
- The World Wide Web (development largely as OTL) begins to take off.
danielb1 said:I've decided to develop a rough TL from my whole 'Different computer Industry' stuff.
There's multiple small PODs, but the primary ones are...
1984:
1. The IBM PCjr comes out with a slightly better keyboard and is priced just a touch better. It becomes a success (albeit a modest one), rather than a failure. With The PC, PC/XT, PC/AT, and PCjr all selling at least decently, IBM's Personal Computer business and its more 'unorthodox' tactics begin to dominate IBM, allowing them to be somewhat more competitive.
2. Apple's Macintosh is somewhat less successful, While it still makes a little money, it sells fewer units and is widely seen as being 'overblown'. OTOH, it still has enough of an effect to galvanize the process of GUI production.
1985:
3. Don Estridge, one of the important members of the PC development team, and who in no small part was responsible for the PC's success, doesn't die in a plane crash. Instead, he continues at IBM.
1985-6:
4. OS/2 is developed rather more competently than OTL. Its internals are slightly better, it comes with a built-in GUI (an upgraded MS-DOS Executive AKA Windows 1.0), and soon after its introduction a dedicated 386 version ('OS/2-386 1.1') is released - which can take full advantage of 8086 emulation and multitask MS-DOS Applications in a way that OS/2 versions prior to 2 really couldn't. OS/2-386 is far more successful than its 286-variant, and later OS/2s are developed mainly for the 386 processor, with MS-DOS 3.x and 4.x taking up the 8086 and 80286 market.
1986-7:
5. Motorola manages to solve problems with its 88000 series RISC processors earlier than it did OTL. This, in part, is responsible for RISC processors eventually becoming dominant, with PCs shifting over to Intel's "Pentium" series in the 1990s.
danielb1 said:1985:
-Other graphical systems that come out 1985-6 include GEOS, DesqView, and GEM. Apple sues GEM over copyright infringement but fails.
-Microsoft and IBM begin to jointly work on a successor OS to MS-DOS. Unlike OTL, its a bit less of a kludge and will contain MS-DOS executive as a viewer. The biggest change is a planned version for the upcoming Intel 80386, whose 8086 emulation capability would improve multitasking MS-DOS programs.
danielb1 said:1986:
-IBM gets together with several major clone manufacturers and Intel to form a new architecture to replace the aging ISA. Together they release the EISA (Extended ISA). (Big change from OTL - IBM plays fair-er with the clone manufacturers). IBM holds the largest interest and receives the biggest share of royalties (although the terms are FAR, FAR les onerous than MCA's in OTL). This has the effect of making the PS/2 Series more popular than OTL (paradoxically).
danielb1 said:1987:
-Apple comes out with the Performa series, its first PC-market computers, using Intel 286 and 386 processors and based on the new EISA standard. They develop a Macintosh-based GUI placed on top of DR's DOS Plus (a CP/M-86 based system that's mostly MS-DOS compatible), use a new floppy drive that can read Macintosh, IIGS, and IBM 3.5" disks. The machine's superior graphics to other IBM-compatibles give it fairly swift sales, quickly killing off the Macintosh. (the systems look like OTLs Mac IIs).
Well...
2. This could be a mildly ASB character change for Gates. His 'big computer vision-having' is somewhat reduced to more fickle attempts which, like Bob, fail. Rather, MS has two divisions: "Money-Making Slop" (OS, Software development, a few other tools like FoxPro), and "Neat Stuff" (Games and reference stuff - Microsoft Bookshelf and Encarta among them). Microsoft focuses more on multimedia than OTL - things like Media Player, Sound Recorder, etc. still make their way into OS/3, and Microsoft goes for more tools. I might even have them buy out Adobe or Corel... making them the dominant media software provider for non-Apple PCs and perhaps Acorn as well (Commodore and Apple have their own media software, superior in quality but less compatible).
-In the largest acquisition deal so far in computer history, Apple Computer merges with Digital Research Corporation. In a complex deal, Apple's and DR's software divisions are spun off into a separate but related company, Claris. The planned DR DOS 5.0 is integrated as the kernel of the new ClarisOS (which will be released in 1989 along with the first second-generation Apple PCs). Given the availability of Concurrent DOS and Multiuser DOS, Claris starts a program on a possible multiuser network version of ClarisOS.
This is a bump because I too am working on a computer timeline (see sig) and this seems to be the boards only other major one.
I'll point out ahead of time that I do really like the timeline, but spend most of my time arguing/complaining/nitpicking about stuff. Beats saying 'good job' I feel, even though I do think it is a good job.
IBM OTL suffered "Not Invented Here" syndrome, big time. I assume Estridge and some other PC team members staying will help minimize this (he was the one who sold the idea of a commodity PC sold through consumer stores to the stuffed shirts in Armonk - otherwise the PC team might not have been able to get it through the bureaucracy).1) Fair enough. Note however that IOTL IBM tried to divorce themselves from the cloning market using the one proprietary thing they had left—the bus. This failed, everybody developed around the it, and IBM lost any chance for industry dominance.
In this TL, the 128k and 512k are even less successful, and after Jobs is kicked out, whoever replaces him (Sculley?) decides that it isn't worthwhile. Perhaps PageMaker or one of the other early Desktop Publishing programs is released for Amiga instead of Mac, as well (this was OTL 1985-6).2) Apple's Macintosh 128k was unsuccessful IOTL . It really only took off with desktop publishing and the Mac II and by then it was too late to establish higher market share.
And just what IBM needed - someone who is loyal to the company as a whole and able to work with IBM's senior leadership, but one who isn't a 1950s company man in thinking.3) Yep. Apple tried to get this guy for CEO, and he was great at his job. A maverick, but a company man.
In OTL, OS/2 was released December 1987. Given that it takes months/years to write and test an OS, it was around this time that OS/2 was being worked on...4) Isn't this far too early for OS/2 and wasn't Microsoft much more concerned with copying MacOS and fighting back the desktop publishing crowd?
This is true. The other problem, of course, was that Intel was OTL very backwards-compatible. The 8086 was almost 100% source-compatible with the 8080 (CP/M-80 programs could easily be ported to MS-DOS or CP/M-86), and all the x86s since then can at least theoretically run 8086 code... thus they seemed 'safe' for legacy hardware.5) Also reasonable. Motorola really was a better chip company then IOTL, but what Intel managed to do was sell the 'complete package' of systems support, development tools, and the like. Motorola panicked, tried to compete on that front and failed utterly. If they had stuck to their kick Intel's ass at chips they would have done much better.
Actually, if i were to re-write this, I would say "settle" instead of "fail", especially given that I have Apple and DR have a less antagonistic relationship in this TL...Without signing away 'look and feel' to Microsoft, I imagine Apple wins in court.
This is largely as OTL for OS/2 (see above). OS/2 1.0 was released in 1987, and it was a joint MS-IBM project until 1991.Hmm. I don't see Microsoft working with IBM at this point in time. It doesn't help them to dominate the universe, and IBM has already signed away their exclusivity to MS-DOS.
The x86 isn't being replaced yet - just the bus. In OTL, EISA and MCA were two competing buses to replace the ISA (AT) bus. EISA won out, because only IBM used MCA. It was all replaced with PCI in the mid-90s...Can't see either replacing x86 or IBM playing nice. IBM hated playing nice, they hated the clones, and when they tried and failed to break the clones (through the bus, as above) lost their position in the market.
It wouldn't've been that much cruder. Mac OS in 1984-5 had about as much in common with System 7 of the early 90s as System 7 does with OS X - single tasking, primitive file system (only 1 level of directories; even its contemporary MS-DOS 3 allowed multiple layers), monochrome graphics, etc. It was more primitive than its near-contemporary AmigaDOS, which could (barely) multitask and was in color.Nah. Apple did consider porting MacOS to Intel's x86 around this time (because Sculley wanted to, but he was ultimately talked out of it. Either way it would have been a port of MacOS itself, as the GUI would have required just as much work to do atop DOS and would have been a far cruddier system.
At this point in time Apple is still the hot company in the valley (lower sales of the Mac or not) and retains, courtesy of the Advanced Technology Group, the closest thing we ever again saw to Xerox PARC.
MS initially fails in the office market in this TL, so they choose to focus elsewhere - and in this TL, they do dominate office software almost as much as OTL - the only big players not to use OS/3 for home and small business workstations are Apple and Commodore.Yep, it's ASB. You don't compete with Microsoft in operating systems, and you don't compete in the office suite space. They won every single time anybody tried.
They might like to buy Adobe, but Jack ain't selling so it would be a nasty fight.
I don't know about 'just like MacOS', but in both TLs Gates wants a cool GUI OS with lots of snappy features. In this TL, he wants it so much he overshoots hardware capabilities in the late 80s/early 90s, resulting in a short-term increase in use for IBM PC DOS before PCs become fast enough to effectively use OS/2-386.Gates wants to have Windows be like MacOS, and since he can never have that (just the way Microsoft's corporate DNA is wired) he'll crush everybody else in his way.
I chose it for 'practicality' reasons, not for the companies' OTL interest in each other. DR is a good fit; they make PC-compatible software, both aren't fond of MS-DOS, and Apple wants to stick it to Atari (the Atari ST, "Jackintosh", is their biggest GUI competitor on the low end in 1985-6) and in this TL see the hardware as a bigger threat than the software. The problem is that Apple and DR both have stubborn leaders who don't like each other much. I assume in this TL, Sculley or whoever else took over Apple was less 'mean'.Apple might merge with Sun (Snapple!) and they tried to get IBM & AT&T among others to buy them but this I can't see.
Thanks!Anyway I really liked it, and it's a computing industry timeline which is almost unique on the board (and a welcome change from the 500th WWII timeline).
You too? I need to get cracking on actually starting my computer TL than.. (though mine'll probably be Atari rather than Commodore focused)Thanks. While I'm unsure if I'll continue this on, I probably will get to working on this or another computer TL eventually (possibly a 'No IBM PC' one, or maybe something Commodore-related).
In this TL, the 128k and 512k are even less successful, and after Jobs is kicked out, whoever replaces him (Sculley?) decides that it isn't worthwhile. Perhaps PageMaker or one of the other early Desktop Publishing programs is released for Amiga instead of Mac, as well (this was OTL 1985-6).
It wouldn't've been that much cruder. Mac OS in 1984-5 had about as much in common with System 7 of the early 90s as System 7 does with OS X - single tasking, primitive file system (only 1 level of directories; even its contemporary MS-DOS 3 allowed multiple layers), monochrome graphics, etc. It was more primitive than its near-contemporary AmigaDOS, which could (barely) multitask and was in color.
I chose it for 'practicality' reasons, not for the companies' OTL interest in each other. DR is a good fit; they make PC-compatible software, both aren't fond of MS-DOS, and Apple wants to stick it to Atari (the Atari ST, "Jackintosh", is their biggest GUI competitor on the low end in 1985-6) and in this TL see the hardware as a bigger threat than the software. The problem is that Apple and DR both have stubborn leaders who don't like each other much. I assume in this TL, Sculley or whoever else took over Apple was less 'mean'.
What about a timeline where the Exxon computer becomes the mainstream one?
http://old-computers.com/museum/computer.asp?c=617&st=1
If I don't mention it I either don't have a problem, or I don't have enough information about it (I'm better in the late 80s onwards, not so much with the middle 80s).
That works. Possibly, about a year and a half later, the guy gets into a similar situation with an Amiga 1000.The way it worked out, at least IOTL, is that the guy running Aldus saw a Mac and the guy running his computer store hand delivered one to him a month later.
He then visited Apple, they were desperate, and desktop publishing was born.
Without him the Mac gets canned, quite possibly, not just even less successful.
Hmm. That does introduce some difficulty (I basically need the OS to be written up in the 1985-7 period), and the assembly-code bit makes things difficult to translate (Although I thought at least parts of MacOS UI were written in Pascal?). However, chip speed isn't that big of an issue, as Apple is skipping the 8086/8 generation for a 10-12 mHz 80286 akin to IBM's AT Turbo, which should be at least even with the 8 mHz 68000 used in the original Mac, and with a minimum of 512k RAM instead of 128k (the Performa is closer to a Mac II than an original Mac, although the 'base' model is cheaper / more sparsely equipped). And some sort of multitasking GUI is possible on anything if done right.It was written in assembly code from the ground. With the overhead of DOS and the switch to slower Intel chips MacOS would perform horribly (as it did IOTL even on the 512k Mac). Plus at least a year to rewrite (OTL Star Trek took 6 months, 5 years later) and combined with no desktop publishing Apple is going of business, not just ending up differently.
I don't deny it. In fact, the "Performa OS" may actually be a cleaned-up, Mac-i-fied GEM, with about as much in common with MacOS as MacOS did to the Lisa OS. This actually connects further with DR and Apple settling their squabble - part of the deal is that Apple gets to use a heavily modified version of their OS. It takes about 1-1/2 to 2 years to make all the necessary modifications.You also have to remember that MacOS is more than just multitasking & colour, it was actually well thought user interface design which Windows never matched—and, arguably, which hasn't been matched today with OS X (despite all the prettiness).
Probably, but I thought DR was a better fit (especially for the new Claris spin-off) from a technical perspective. Although AT&T buying Apple would have interesting effects, including perhaps a more successful A/UX (Apple's original UNIX system).It would seem more likely for Apple to merge/sell to one of OTL potentials like Sun, IBM, AT&T (now that would be a different computing industry), and so forth.
I wasn't implying that Jobs was CEO (or if I was, I was misimplying). Its just that Apple could well have changed direction after Jobs left...Oh and Sculley was CEO since 1983. It was a power struggle with Jobs, not Jobs being kicked out as CEO.
When Commodore went into 'price war' mode, most of the lilliputian home market computer makers went bust (at least in the US), and most later attempts to enter the market failed (like the Coleco Adam). Britain, unlike the US, did manage to have a successful 8-bit manufacturer enter late (Amstrad in 1984).
in Other word is Jack Tramiel, Irving Gould, Mehdi Ali
gulity of Destrution of 8-Bit Computer World
and begin of IBM-Microsoft Empire ?