7 more people die in WW1

How can you both know about Pal Pronay and suppose that Austrian troops will liberate Budapest? For gods sake, the guys claim to what fame he has is that with some irregular troops he kept the austrians out of Sopron and declared his own state to keep the territory hungarian. It was thanks to him that Sopron instead of simply being rewarded to Austria as originally planned had a referendum - and decided to remain hungarian.

He was also reportedly butcher who held no reservations about violence against any and all opposition, even if only percieved. He does not have Horthy's prestige and probably grows to be as reviled as Kun was.

Now Austria that couldnt even manage to oust some hungarian irregulars is supposed to liberate Budapest. Not to mention the part that him asking austria for help is...

The thought was that Pronay would be so vicious in power that Austria might be invited to help liberate their former co-regent state. With the rise of Germany, an expansionist Italy, and Europe evolving as it did in OTL but in a worse state, maybe a tripartiate nation is not totally out of the question.

Oh and mending relationships with Czechoslovakia is out of the question right after the war. The polish also had significant problems with Prague thanks to Teschen.

But from the category of truth is stranger than fiction...

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black-Yellow_Alliance
 
In Gallipoli a young promising Turkish officer named Kemal Ataturk is killed by a stray bullet while observing the front lines. During the Battle of Verdun a company commander called Charles de Gaulle bleeds out from a bayonet wound. On the front lines Benito Mussolini dies from wounds suffered as a result of an explosion from a grenade. Commander Miklos Horthy is killed as a result of shrapnel during the Battle of Otranto. Georgy Zhukov breaks his neck when he is thrown from his horse. Captain Harry S. Truman is killed by shell fire during an artillery duel on the Western Front. Gefreiter Adolf Hitler passes away in a field hospital as a result of complications from the inhalation of toxic gas. What does the world look like.

A world where thirty years later Iosif Stalin would be the master of the world, likely.
 
In Gallipoli a young promising Turkish officer named Kemal Ataturk is killed by a stray bullet while observing the front lines. During the Battle of Verdun a company commander called Charles de Gaulle bleeds out from a bayonet wound. On the front lines Benito Mussolini dies from wounds suffered as a result of an explosion from a grenade. Commander Miklos Horthy is killed as a result of shrapnel during the Battle of Otranto. Georgy Zhukov breaks his neck when he is thrown from his horse. Captain Harry S. Truman is killed by shell fire during an artillery duel on the Western Front. Gefreiter Adolf Hitler passes away in a field hospital as a result of complications from the inhalation of toxic gas. What does the world look like.

Mustafa Kemal: nothing will change until 1923 for Turkey. Ataturk was not the obly man leading the military. Fevzi Pasha, Ismet Pasha, Nureddin Pasha, hell even Enver returning is possible. Without the latter, the others were leading military figures. Anything post-1923 is up to our speculations...

Charles de Gaulle: Not the end of the world for the French. Because see: Adolf Hitler

Benito Mussolini: A new leader for the fascist arise. Italian monarchy might be preserved with lack of WW2 or Mussolini

Miklos Horthy: Hungary has someone else as leader. Nothing crucial changing possibly.

Georgy Zhukov: Enough Soviet generals. Nothing much changes for the USSR. Again, ww2 is avoided or altered without Hitler.

Harry Truman: Someone else may succeed Roosevelt when he dies, if he dies in 1945.

Adolf Hitler: Huge consequences. Hitler had so much effect on history post 1923. Ww2 may not necessarily be averted. But ths course, death toll and Jewish history is. It can go anywhere.
 
Hitler, Mussolini, Horthy, Ataturk are all seminal figures in the development of the interwar world. de Gaulle, Truman, and Zhukov come in to the picture much later and by then huge butterflies have been flapping. Absent Hitler, I don't see the NSDAP rising to power, as he was the glue that brought the disparate elements together and a magnetic figure who could be the face of the party. Weimar Germany is very fragile, and between irredentism and the depression Germany could easily fall in to some sort of dictatorship in the 30s. However neither the Nazis nor the communists had enough popular support in the early 30s to say it would be one or the other, IMHO even a militaristic Germany is unlikely to go full "Nazi". Much the same goes for Mussolini. Italy is politically a mess, but the fascisti were also a splintered group that needed glue. Again political chaos and a dictatorship are certainly likely, just not the OTL fascism.

Absent Ataturk, I don't see the Turks winning the Greco-Turkish War so overwhelmingly. Had the Greeks done better, their support from Italy/France/Britain would not have evaporated so they hold on to some of Anatolia at a minimum and very likely Constantinople is internationalized in some form with the Greeks in a position to take over completely when the appetite for running things by outside powers is reduced. Independent Armenia and Kurdistan, possibly. Hungary is a mess, I don't think the red government lasts any more than it did OTL. Horthy, for all of his faults, was reasonably moderate in his actions in terms of land grabbing, antisemitism, etc in spite of his personal feelings on these matters. Hungarian claims against Czechoslovakia, Yugoslavia, and Romania all poisoned their relationships with their neighbors and this could get a lot worse.

de Gaulle, until WWII, is an army officer of no importance. Given the butterflies, whether or not Germany and France go to war and when, and how that works out his role will not even exist. Likewise for Harry Truman, who is of no consequence even locally until he is a senator, and even then pretty obscure until FDR taps him in 1944 for VP. By 1944 the butterflies from other absent personalities have changed things so much odds are he would never rise as he did. Zhukov likewise is relatively unimportant until WWII. There were other highly competent Soviet commanders who rose in WWII, so even if things go more or less like OTL (and they won't) his absence is likely to not be critical.

The first figure whose death will have an impact is Ataturk, and the butterflies from that could be huge.
 
Without Hitler there never would've been an NSDAP to begin with, it would've remaimed Anton Drexler's DAP, an insignificant anti-semitic fringe party with membership counted in the dozens and all but forgotten by now. There would near certainly have arisen quite a number of other far-right parties, the biggest of which would likely have become the Völkischer Wehrverband of Gregor Strasser, but with its overt socialist tendencies it would've been unpalatable for traditional conservatives like the DNVP (meaning not an acceptable coalition partner), big business (meaning no financial support from them) and most importantly the petty bourgeoisie, the NSDAP's OTL most numerous voter base (meaning low 2-digit election results at the very most).
 
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Whether the NSDAP could have been held together without Adolf Hitler is actually a good question. As far as I know, the current consensus is that Gregor Strasser was the man who built the NSDAP as a mass organization and held all the wings together. Hitler was just the loudspeaker on which the Führer principle was built. Without Hitler, we could perhaps see a NSDAP under Strasser, which is more to the left until the 1930s, and then more favorably to the bourgeois classes (Gregor Strasser was considered the favorite candidate of the German Conservatives). Either Strasser becomes Reich Chancellor and Germany becomes a fascist dictatorship analogous to Italy, or he becomes at maximum vice-chancellor under a conservative military dictatorship.

The case of Mussolini is also a interesting one: His Fascism was at first much more "left-wing" economically and called for widespread nationalization, a program unacceptable for Italian elites. So either Fascism becomes a fringe-ideology or it looks to other countries (Germany?) for inspiration.

In fact, I do not believe that without Atatürk the Turkish War of Independence would be completely different. The Treaty of Sevres was simply unacceptable to most Turks, so a militarized rebellion would be very likely. Greece would then have had to choose to lose soldiers in its own "Vietnam" or ethnically cleanse Istanbul, which would have certainly become a challenge due to its size.

The other people didn't have much influence until much later so I think the butterflies would have changed the world enough so that we couldn't explain what a timeline with them would have made.
 
Eight: Second Lieutenant J.R.R. Tolkien of the Lancashire Fusiliers is KIA at the Battle of the Somme in the summer of 1916.

25 March 1915: Sergeant-Major Josip Broz (Tito) stabbed by a Circassian lancer in Galicia, taken prisoner, and *dies of his wounds*.

8 July 1918: American Red Cross volunteer Ernest Hemingway *fatally* wounded by Austrian mortar fire near the Piave River in Italy.

1918: Forward observer Randolph Scott, 19th US Field Artillery, *killed by German sniper* in France.
 
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25 March 1915: Sergeant-Major Josip Broz (Tito) stabbed by a Circassian lancer in Galicia, taken prisoner, and *dies of his
wounds*.

8 July 1918: American Red Cross volunteer Ernest Hemingway *fatally* wounded by Austrian mortar fire near the Piave River in Italy.

1918: Forward observer Randolph Scott, 19th US Field Artillery, *killed by German sniper* in France.

1918: Red Cross ambulance driver Walter Elias Disney dies of Spanish Flu.
 
In Gallipoli a young promising Turkish officer named Kemal Ataturk is killed by a stray bullet while observing the front lines. During the Battle of Verdun a company commander called Charles de Gaulle bleeds out from a bayonet wound. On the front lines Benito Mussolini dies from wounds suffered as a result of an explosion from a grenade. Commander Miklos Horthy is killed as a result of shrapnel during the Battle of Otranto. Georgy Zhukov breaks his neck when he is thrown from his horse. Captain Harry S. Truman is killed by shell fire during an artillery duel on the Western Front. Gefreiter Adolf Hitler passes away in a field hospital as a result of complications from the inhalation of toxic gas. What does the world look like.
Josip Broz Tito allegedly had been wounded while fighting in the K.U.K Austrian Army
 
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As a skeptic of Great Man Theory, the ingredients were there for fascism to rise if the war ends as in OTL. Dissatisfaction with Italian gains and the fragile political environment of the Weimar Republic were why Mussolini and Hitler were able to take over; IIRC we've had really good timelines on this site where Germany gets an alternate Führer.
The rise of authoritarianism in these states was likely inevitable, but the rise of fascism, and the way their brands of fascism developed, were in a lot of ways reliant on those two.
 
Harry Truman: Someone else may succeed Roosevelt when he dies, if he dies in 1945.
Consider what happens at home. Truman does not enter the national scene until the forties, but Boss Tom Pendergast put him in the senate in the thirties. Truman quickly bit the hand that fed him and had Pendergast busted and sent to prison for racketeering. Otherwise, Pendergast would have remained boss until his death in 1945. Pendergast's control was so thorough that Kansas City had no alcohol-related arrests during the entirety of prohibition as affiliated mobsters kept the booze flowing. Given the city's position on the Chicago-to-Los Angeles rail line, the corruption could have had significant impact.
 
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