For whatever reason, the United States never weighs in on Texas's side. Do Texas and Mexico ever go to war again? Texas still claims a vast amount of land that it doesn't actuallly own, and Santa Anna is still... himself.

Could we see a second war around the time of OTL's Mexican-American War? How would the Texas Republic fare?
 
I think it's a serious possibility. Mexico and the Republic of Texas were in an almost continuous state of low-level warfare during the Republic's history, culminating in a Mexican invasion in 1842. Given Texas's inability to secure its claimed borders, there would be, at minimum, an ongoing border dispute between the two countries.
 
Pls, change the title of the thread to Mexican-Texan
The name Texian just looks so wrong.
They were referred to as Texians prior to annexation by the USA.
I think it's a serious possibility. Mexico and the Republic of Texas were in an almost continuous state of low-level warfare during the Republic's history, culminating in a Mexican invasion in 1842. Given Texas's inability to secure its claimed borders, there would be, at minimum, an ongoing border dispute between the two countries.
Definitely. I wonder how much Texas might realistically be able to control. As Santa Anna was primarily focused on affairs around Mexico City and such, I wonder if Texas would have more luck in the north.

Of course, I'm not suggesting they take California. While there is a historical precedent for a California revolution against Mexico, I would rather that not happen as it looks a bit like AH convergence. Especially if Texas is existing as a sore on the side of Mexico, I would think Santa Anna's ego would lead to him being especially strong on California and the like - which would later benefit Mexico via the Gold Rush (although it won't matter much if they don't use that $$$ to industrialize).

I also wonder if Texas would take advantage of the Liberals overthrowing Santa Anna later. I think that the threat of Mexico would prevent Texas from sending too many arms to the Confederates in an alternate Civil War, which would help.
 
A lot of this depends on the relations between Texas and the European governments. I've read that both Britain and France backed away from a more formal recognition and trade relations because of the US's constant will we/won't we Annexation talk. I think it likely that if the US was cool to cold on Annexation that the British or French would step up their overtures to Texas.

Mexico had a hard time moving 5-6 thousand troops to the Texas border in 1836. Even in 1846 when the Mexican army invaded the disputed territory near Brownsville, they managed to move less than 4000 north of the Rio Grande. I'm not saying that Mexico couldn't move more troops north, but the logistics become harder and harder the larger the force is.

The longer that Texas exists as a Republic, the larger their population could become. Even so, I don't think that Mexico would easily give up its claims on Norte Mexico. But being able to enforce their claims, that's another matter. Read about General Adrian Woll's invasion of Texas in 1842.
 
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