2018 Presidential Election

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Saturday December 10th, 2022

James McCall resigns as MP


Labour MP James McCall has stood down from his role, triggering a by-election in Glasgow South. He has been appointed Steward and Bailiff of the Three Hundreds of Chiltern by the Chancellor, an archaic process that effectively results in an MP's resignation.A statement from the Treasury said: "The Chancellor of the Exchequer has this day appointed James Douglas McCall to be Steward and Bailiff of the Three Hundreds of Chiltern."

The announcement came after McCall who has been MP for the seat since it's creation in 2004 announced that he was becoming the new Chair of the the Greater Glasgow and Clyde NHS Board following the resignation due to ill health of the previous incumbent Hamish McCable. He will take over his post on January 3rd 2023.

The by-election will be held in the New Year, and the Labour candidate will be defending a majority of 4,887 from the 2018 general election, in which the Socialist Alliance took second place and the SNP third.
 
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Sunday December 11th, 2022

First Minister of Wales Bronwyn Williams dies


Bronwyn Williams, First Minister of Wales has died suddenly aged, 70. The announcement was made late on Saturday Evening. She passed away in hospital after surgery for a fall she had on Thursday at her home in Cardiff.

The Prime Minister Michael Duggan said she was an "unique politician, we didn't always agree, but she was a giant in UK politics, she will be greatly missed". She had been First Minister of Wales since 2009, and her Government was reelected in May 2021.

The Senedd will formally nominate Labour Acting leader in Wales, Alun Jones who is currently is "Minister of Finance and Local Government". Jones was confirmed by a meeting of the Welsh Cabinet in the early hours of Sunday morning as their new leader.

Candidates for the position of First Minister are nominated by the members of the Senedd. The members elect the nominee for the first minister by majority vote. If no one is elected by a majority of votes cast with the first set of nominations, the process continues until a majority decide to cast their vote for one candidate. This process does not require an absolute majority of the Senedd (currently 31 out of 60 members). Once this process has occurred the presiding officer shall formally send a letter to the King who must then appoint that nominee to the position of First Minister.

Conservative Opposition leader in the Senedd, Paul Phillips put out a statement that his party "would not nominate an alternative candidate" as did the leaders of Plaid Cymru, the National Democrats and the Liberal Democrats. The vote in the Senedd is expected to take place on Monday.

Williams was married twice. A former manager of a Holiday Camp, in South Wales, she didn't get into politics until her mid 40's when she campaigned against the closure of a local hospital in Neath in 1996. she was a fierce campaigner for LGBT+ rights (one of her children from her first marriage is gay, as well as step son from her second marriage), and campaigned with then Conservative Prime-Minister Richard Samuels during the 2016 Referendum on Gay Marriage.

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Williams being interviewed during the 2021 Senedd elections.

(RIP Ruth Madoc, April 16th 1943-December 9th 2022).
 
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President Seaborn announces climate team

Monday, December 12th, 2022

President Sam Seaborn revealed his climate team today, sending a message to congressional Democrats on his wish for more aggressive climate legislation.

"With this strong team, I hope to hit the ground running in my next term to sharply reduce our nation's carbon emissions, protect our communities from the effects of pollution and climate change, and move us towards a future where our energy needs are met by domestic renewable sources of power." Seaborn said in a statement.

Among the top officials that will remain in place are Secretary of the Interior Sean Boone and Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Director Mary-Beth Shotten. Boone, a Republican former governor of Washington, has earned the enmity of far-right conservatives for his statements condemning outgoing governor Scott Phillips (R)'s construction of a makeshift border wall across parts of Arizona using discarded shipping containers and having threatened federal lawsuits over the placement of the containers on federal lands (incoming Democratic governor Kate Fernandez has said she will order the wall to be demolished upon taking office). Shotten, meanwhile, has enjoyed higher-than-usual public notice for an EPA director with the agency's oversight of the St. Clair oil spill in Michigan.

Former Texas lieutenant governor Ralph Gomez will take over as Secretary of Energy, replacing Joan Tanner. Gomez was the Democratic nominee for Governor of Texas in both 2016 and 2020, losing both races to incumbent Adam De Haan (R). If confirmed, he would be the first Latino appointed to the position.

A surprise appointment is the naming of retiring senator Gabe Tillman (D-CA) to the new position of Special Presidential Envoy for Climate. Tillman, a fixture in Democratic politics and former governor of California, will reportedly have authority over climate and energy policy within the executive branch and sit on the National Security Council. White House Press Secretary Cassie Tatum confirmed that Tillman will take up the position after his term ends on January 3rd, but said that the new "climate change czar" will not attend Cabinet meetings.
 
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Buckland announced as new HHS secretary

Tuesday, December 13th, 2022

Having pledged to reform the nation's healthcare system in his second term, President Seaborn today announced the selection of Congresswoman Olivia Buckland (D-IN) as his pick to lead the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS).

At the Rose Garden, Seaborn praised Buckland as a "tireless advocate for improving the health and welfare of all Americans" who brings "tremendous leadership ability" to the role.

Buckland has made a name for herself as a champion of healthcare reform, specializing on issues related to women and children's healthcare since her first election to Congress in 1998. Representing the city of Indianapolis, she also served as First Lady of Indiana from 1997 to 2002 while her husband, Jack Buckland, served his second nonconsecutive stint as governor (he had previously been the Hoosier State's chief executive from 1985 to 1993 prior to the couple's 1995 marriage).

While Seaborn first expressed his wish for a universal healthcare system similar to those in other developed countries, in the face of Republican opposition as well as concerns from moderate members of his own party, he has moved his support to the creation of a government-supplied "public option" for health insurance, alongside other reforms (including an expansion of Medicaid) to check healthcare costs and reduce the number of Americans without health insurance. While several Senate Republicans, including Ellie Wilkins (NH) and Ruth Norton-Stewart (OH) have expressed support for aspects of Seaborn's proposed reforms, it remains to be seen if Seaborn's shift to a market-friendly reform will peel off enough Republicans to prevent any reform proposal from being filibustered.

Jack Buckland, who left the governorship to become Secretary of Agriculture under Josiah Bartlet, joined his wife for the ceremony. If the Senate confirms the president's choice to succeed current HHS secretary Stan Hale, the Bucklands will be the first married couple since Bobby and Liz Bodine (who served in the Lassiter & Reagan cabinets, respectively) to have both served as Cabinet secretaries.
 
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Finally got this project finished: the 2022 presidential election map by county.

Contrary to what some would say, it's not easy to make a map showing the margin of victory in 3,000+ counties & county-equivalents when slightly more than 10% of votes go to third-party candidates. I never had to build a spreadsheet for one of these maps until this one—previously, I'd just made a calculator and then colored the results in as I calculated. But once the slog of calculating everything was done, it made the coloring phase really easy.

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The biggest thing, other than the explosion of blue across certain states (looking at you AK, CA, MN), is that there's a lot more counties won with fewer than 50% of votes compared even to 2018.

There's a two notable things that occurred with this election: Andrew Long became the first third-party candidate since 1968 to win a county (in Idaho of all places) and while Sam Seaborn became the first president since 1984 to be elected while winning one county/county-equivalent in every state. Both of the last people to accomplish those feats are different IOTL: Ross Perot (in 1992) was the last third-party candidate to win a county while Bill Clinton (in both 1992 & 1996) was the last president elected who won a county in every state.

Funnily enough, in the election where the GOP nominates a candidate from Oklahoma is the first one since 2006 where the Republicans fail to win every single county in the state.

Unsurprisingly, Susan Buckner, who got fewer than three percent of the vote nationwide, failed to win any votes at all in several counties. Surprisingly, there were three counties where she somehow got second place behind Seaborn (Long was in second place in several counties aside from the one he won; curiously, he was always second behind Duke, never Seaborn). Also darkly funny that her best county is one that is overwhelmingly Native American given the title of the film that made Buckner's actress a Hollywood leading lady a few decades ago & ongoing issues with how archeologists and museums have or currently treat Native American cultural artifacts or even remains.

Largest vote share for Sam Seaborn (D): Washington, District of Columbia (91.95%)
Largest vote share for Alan Duke (R): Piute County, Utah (90.98%)
Largest vote share for Andrew Long (I): Madison County, Idaho (45.76%)
Largest vote share for Susan Buckner (G): Sioux County, North Dakota (28.42%)

Lowest vote share for Sam Seaborn (D): King County, Texas (3.75%)
Lowest vote share for Alan Duke (R): Washington, District of Columbia (2.25%)
Lowest vote share for Andrew Long (I): Wilcox County, Alabama (0.23%)
Lowest vote share for Susan Buckner (G): 8 tied (0.00%)

Presidential election county maps
1986
1990
1994
1998
2002
2006
2010
2014
2018 (slightly different color key)
2022
 
Finally got this project finished: the 2022 presidential election map by county.
Congrats on finishing maps of all elections since 1986. They are very impressive and great additions to this already detailed alternate history.
Are they all derived from the results of the nearest OTL presidential candidates? For example using Biden as a stand-in for Seaborn
 
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Tentative agreement on Cyprus reached

Thursday, December 15th, 2022

Negotiators in the Swiss city of Zurich announced that a tentative agreement had been reached on Thursday to end the Turkish occupation of the Republic of Cyprus.

Facilitated by the Swiss government and Secretary-General Jonas Bakke of NATO (the North Atlantic Treaty Organization), the proposed agreement would implement a phased withdrawal of Turkish forces from the Republic of Cyprus beginning in late January 2023, monitored by a NATO observation force with the United States providing the majority of naval and logistical support. Turkish forces would be required to withdraw across the former Attila Line by May 2023 and thereafter be restricted to the same number of military personnel that the country had in Northern Cyprus on January 1, 2019, nine months before the invasion of the Republic of Cyprus. In return, representatives from the Republic of Cyprus have agreed to recognize the disputed republic in the north as a "Special Autonomous Zone" to facilitate nationwide trade and movement, while forbidding the use of military force to re-establish control over the northern portion of the island that was seized by Turkish forces in 1974.

Several more facets of the agreement, including agreements by Greece and the United Kingdom to vote for an end to European Union sanctions against Turkey levelled after the invasion, the establishment of a United Nations investigation into alleged war crimes committed during the conflict, and the end of financial sanctions against top Turkish officials, were announced in subsequent days. The agreement will need to be ratified by the national legislatures in London, Athens, Ankara and the government-in-exile of the Republic of Cyprus before it will come into effect.

Final Israeli soldiers leave Golan Heights
Saturday, December 17th, 2022

The last members of the Israeli Defense Force (IDF) left the Golan Heights on Saturday, handing military control over the final section of the region not under the control of United Nations peacekeepers. IDF forces departed shortly after noon on Saturday from the town of Katzrin, handing over control to forces of the United Nations Disengagement Observer Force (UNDOF), currently led by General Sugat Hamal of Nepal. Under the terms of the withdrawal, the Golan Heights will be permanently demilitarized and control will return to Syria, the nation the heights are internationally-recognized as belonging to, with Syrian administration resuming by 2037 unless all four members of the "Ankara framework" (Israel, Syria, Palestine and Jerusalem) agree to an earlier return of Syrian administration before then.

The heights, which Israel seized during the Six-Day War in 1967, had been a major diplomatic issue in the region for decades. Although internationally recognized as being Syrian territory, Israel controlled the heights for over five decades except for a few weeks during the Syrian War in 2011 when Syrian forces overran Israeli forces stationed there. The agreement has come at a high political cost for Israeli prime minister Gilad Doron, who finally agreed to calls for an early election days earlier after he failed to obtain an extension of the confidence-and-supply agreement he had reached with several opposition parties in order to oversee the withdrawal from the Golan Heights.

Seaborn promotes infrastructure plan ahead of new Congress
Wednesday, December 14th, 2022

President Sam Seaborn promoted his administration's plan to invest an additional $3 trillion in national infrastructure over the next decade on Wednesday. Speaking at the announcement of Small Business Administration head Damon Matteo to be the new Secretary of Transportation, Seaborn said he and Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Mark Richardson would be working "in consultation with congressional and state leaders" to come up with legislation that would improve the nation's housing and transportation sectors. Current Transportation secretary Matt Skinner, the nation's first openly gay Cabinet secretary, will leave office at the end of this year to return to his native Vermont.

Senate Republican leader Cody Riley (AL), who will become minority leader when the new Congress is sworn in in January, has said that his caucus "broadly supports" efforts to repair the nation's infrastructure, but said it would "violently oppose" any measures the Republicans felt would "seek to impose new environmental regulations or measures on the American people" under the guise of infrastructure investment.

Former Supreme Court chief justice backs term limits for justices
Sunday, December 18th, 2022

Former Chief Justice Henry Staub of the Supreme Court said he supported the creation of a system of term limits for justices of the Supreme Court to "reduce the rancor surrounding court appointments" in a rare media appearance. The former chief justice, the first African-American to lead the Supreme Court, spoke to reporters when asked about the possibilities that one or both of the oldest members of the Court's liberal wing, Roberto Mendoza (age 77) and current chief Evelyn Baker Lang (age 75), would retire while Democrats control both the Senate and the White House. Staub, who has rarely ventured into political or judicial matters since his retirement in 1991, said he "did not know" either of the current justices' thought processes, but also said that the "intensely partisan nature" of court appointments since his retirement had led him to support proposed term limits for the justices.

"I read about a plan for each member of the court to serve a single 18-year term," Staub said. "Staggered every two years, so that every president gets at least two Supreme Court appointments...I think that would go a long way towards ending these kinds [of discussions about judicial retirements based around partisan control over the presidency and Senate]."

Staub, a lifelong Republican, did express "disappointment" with the GOP's nomination of Alan Duke this year, but did not disclose who he voted for in the election. He did express his support for Vice President-elect Bobby Tyler, set to become the nation's first African-American vice president, although he said he had "several criticisms" of his time as governor of their shared home state of Virginia.
 
Congrats on finishing maps of all elections since 1986. They are very impressive and great additions to this already detailed alternate history.
Are they all derived from the results of the nearest OTL presidential candidates? For example using Biden as a stand-in for Seaborn
For the most part, although the unusual nature of TTL's 2022 presidential election (a right-wing independent candidate getting nine percent of the vote and the Greens doing very well by OTL standards) meant that the default choice was actually the 2016 election for many states. When I was able to find state-level elections that better fit the voting patterns from within the past ten years, I used those instead, but I don't have a list of which ones deviated from the 2016 default.
 
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Seaborn landslide officially confirmed by Electoral College vote

Monday, December 19th, 2022

Sam Seaborn's landslide victory over Republican Alan Duke and independent Andrew Long was confirmed today, with the president receiving all 415 electoral votes from electors pledged to the Democratic ticket, far outstripping the 270 needed to be elected.

Taking place in state capitals across the nation, the electors in each state and the District of Columbia gathered today at noon local time and submitted the 538 votes that officially determined who will become the nation's chief executive for the term starting January 20th, 2023. In each state, the winner of the statewide popular vote was given all of the state's electoral votes, which ranged in size from three (six states and the District of Columbia) to 54 (California). Duke received the votes of all 123 electors who did not vote for Seaborn; Long, despite winning nine percent of the nationwide popular vote, did not top the polls in a single state and therefore received zero electoral votes.

In contrast to the widespread defections against Democratic vice presidential nominee Franklin Hollis in 2018, there was only one attempted defection in the process that, in most American presidential elections, is largely ceremonial: an elector in Montana attempted to vote for Republican vice presidential nominee Lloyd Pendleton for president instead of Duke, reportedly because he mistakenly believed that Duke had been rendered comatose by the post-election stroke he suffered. However, his vote was nullified by the secretary of state, per Montana state law, and he was replaced by an alternate who proceeded to vote for the Duke-Pendleton ticket as pledged.

The certification of each state's electoral votes will be sent to Washington, then opened and counted in a joint session of Congress on January 6th. Outgoing vice president Jack Hunter (R), in his capacity as President of the Senate, will preside over the largely ceremonial task of formally tabulating the electoral votes and declaring which candidates have been elected as president and vice president.
 
I still worry that diehard Duke supporters will try something violent...
I doubt it will be Duke supporters who commit a January 6th like event, I wouldn't rule out such an event happening ITTL as the West Wing is reflective of real world issues. Then again, who knows what the writers have in store.
 
Played by Morgan Freeman, IIRC?
Yep.

I doubt it will be Duke supporters who commit a January 6th like event, I wouldn't rule out such an event happening ITTL as the West Wing is reflective of real world issues. Then again, who knows what the writers have in store.
All I'll say is that everyone worrying about Duke supporters is going to look pretty foolish when Mike Casper announces that Susan Buckner was arrested hours before she would have led the world's first all-vegan death squad onto the National Mall.
 
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Hyung wins narrow victory in South Korean election

Tuesday, December 20th, 2022

South Korea's closest presidential election in modern times ended on Tuesday morning when leader of the incumbent Democratic Party Hyung Byeung-ho was finally declared the winner. Hyung defeated Seoul mayor Lee Dae-sung by just over two percent (48.9% to 46.3%) to win the election for a five-year term set to begin in February. Hyung is a staunch ally of outgoing president Kim Kyung-young and has pledged to continue his support for a peaceful reconciliation of the Korean peninsula, reforming and regulating domestic conglomerates and pushing for stronger worker compensation and protections.

Young says no plans to run for DC mayor
Wednesday, December 21st, 2022

Trade Representative Charlie Young says he currently has "no plans" to run for mayor of the District of Columbia in 2024. Young, a long-time political ally and friend of President Seaborn, has been rumored to have been approached by multiple individuals within the district's Democratic Party establishment to run to replace current mayor Sharlene Mason (D), who is currently serving her third term and narrowly avoided a defeat in the Democratic Party in 2020. Young served as a shadow senator for the district from 2011 to 2015 and his wife, Zoey Bartlet Young, the youngest daughter of president Josiah Bartlet, is active in several DC-based non-profit organizations.

Iraq executes alleged spies, inflaming tension in Middle East
Saturday, December 24th, 2022

The public execution of five alleged spies by the government of Iraq on Saturday has enflamed tensions in the Middle East owing to the Iraqi government's allegation that the four men and one woman had committed espionage on behalf of the neighboring Islamic Republic of Iran. President Rashim Khalid al-Faruq of Iraq declared that the five, four of whom have Iranian citizenship, were found to have "attempted to sabotage vital infrastructure for the people of Baghdad" and were convicted "in the fairest possible trial." The government in Tehran has denied any of the four were engaged in espionage and called the executions "brutal, unjust murder."

Protests in both Tehran and other cities in Iran have taken place, with this being the second time in six months that the Iraqi government has publicly executed Iranian citizens it has accused of committing espionage. Human rights groups and international observers have criticized the convictions and executions, with some of those executed showing what appeared to be signs of physical torture. All of those executed have been Shia Muslims, who make up the majority of the population in both Iran and Iraq, although the government of Iraq has been dominated by the minority Sunni Muslim population since its independence from the United Kingdom in 1932.

Doctor Who actors slam "disgusting" and "hateful" attacks from religious conservatives
Thursday, December 22nd, 2022

A trans-Atlantic backlash over a joke by Doctor Who actor Alan Cumming has led to both show producer Russell T. Davies and other actors who have played the eponymous Time Lord from what they say is a "disgusting" and "hateful" attack campaign by largely American religious conservatives. In a tweet, Cumming, who in November returned after playing the popular tenth iteration of the Doctor from 2005 to 2010 as the fourteenth incarnation of the character, jokingly implied that his character was still wearing the same underwear as his predecessor, played by actress Hayley Atwell, when the character changed (regenerated) into his new incarnation. The response resulted in a large campaign of homophobic and transphobic attacks on social media pages for Cumming, Davies and the BBC, which owns the popular sci-fi program, accusing the program of "promoting" transgenderism and "grooming" children.

The attacks met with outrage both in the United Kingdom and among fans abroad, and British Prime Minister Michael Duggan commented that the attacks were "intolerable and disgusting", while leader of the opposition Jack Coll of the Labour Party said they were "attempts to force two talented LGBT actors and producers from the public sphere" (Davies is gay, while Cumming is bisexual). Atwell, along with most of the other living actors who have portrayed the character, came to Cumming and Davies' defense, with the former Time Lady adding in an Instagram post that Cummings' Doctor "knows how expensive good bras are" as a reason why his version of the character might retain her incarnation's undergarments upon regenerating. Cumming will portray the Doctor in multiple specials during the show's 60th anniversary celebrations in 2023 before handing over the show to John Boyega's Fifteenth Doctor.

Hunter to spend final Christmas as vice president with overseas troops
Friday, December 23rd, 2022

Vice President Jack Hunter's office announced Friday that the vice president and his family will spend his final Christmas in office with American soldiers stationed in Europe. The Hunters had planned to return to their native Minnesota for the holidays, but a winter storm and inadvisable travel conditions had resulted in the family cancelling their plans to return to their St. Paul home from Washington on Saturday evening. The family is expected to celebrate Christmas at Ramstein Air Base in Germany and then spend the following day at Caserma Ederle in Italy before returning to the United States.

Duke supporter Hanson McNabb announces RNC chair bid as Ritchie waffles
Sunday, December 25th, 2022

Hanson McNabb, a right-wing activist who was a surrogate for Alan Duke's presidential campaign this past year, announced his bid for the chair of the Republican National Committee (RNC) today. McNabb, a regular contributor on Fox News and who worked on several Republican presidential campaigns prior to becoming a Duke surrogate in 2022, issued his announcement as a challenge to what he said was the "disgusting and self-serving lack of support" to Duke from current RNC chair James Ritchie, who has not made clear whether he intends to seek a second term next month. McNabb made several false claims about voter fraud throughout both the Republican primary and general election, and echoed Duke's claim that independent candidate Andrew Long was a "paid Democratic operative" that threw the election to President Seaborn.
 
And updated Seaborn cabinet graphic:

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Cast
Sterling K. Brown as Bobby Tyler
Catherine Bell as Paris Stray
Regina King as Meredith Payne
Milo Ventimiglia as Nate Petrelli
Bryan Cranston as Wilson Randy
Hayden Christiansen as Sean Boone
Lucinda Jenney as Karen Kroft
Barbara Hershey as Olivia Buckland (new casting)
Thom Barry as Mark Richardson
Jack Stehlin as Damon Matteo
Freddie Prinze Jr. as Ralph Gomez
Mercedes Ruehl as Valeria Quintero
Mary McCormack as Kate Harper
Joshua Malina as Will Bailey
Ever Carradine as Kelly Phelps
Jill Hennessy as Mary-Beth Shotten
Dulé Hill as Charlie Young
Annabelle Gurwitch as Karen Hepner
Gloria Estefan as Sara Sanchez
Tracy Letts as Philip Gordon

Hershey was cast in large part because she was in Hoosiers.

I also just noticed how diverse Seaborn's Cabinet is shaping up to be: there's only six white men (Petrelli, Randy, Boone, Matteo, Bailey, Gordon) out of the 20 Cabinet & Cabinet-level positions that have been announced & right now the spots have been evenly split along gender lines.
 
Ritchie needs to decide quickly whether he is running again. I don't think he has been a bad Chairman per se. He was dealt a bad hand with Duke as the Republican nominee and the Republicans lost the Presidency in a landslide as well as both houses of Congress, but had he not made the decision to pull the plug on Duke and focus on downballot races, things easily could have been worse. McNabb cannot be elected Chairman. If he is, the Republicans will remain in the wilderness for a very long time. And they need to stop the conspiracy theories. It has been proven that even if every single Long vote went for Duke, Seaborn still would have won. And we all know Duke would not have gotten every single Long vote. It has been proven by exit polls.
 
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