2018 Presidential Election

The Future of the Olympics
6 October 2021

At the 138th IOC session in Singapore, the International Olympic Committee voted to award the 2030 Winter Olympics to Almaty, Kazakhstan, the only remaining bid after the withdrawal of a joint France-Spain bid. This decision seems to fly in the face of the IOC's commitment to sustainability outlined in the 2019 IOC session, which awarded the 2026 Winter games to Salt Lake City due to the bid highlighting the region's pre-existing structures and facilities available due to the 2002 Winter Olympics and further development in subsequent years. The Almaty bid was a major project of former Kazakh president Erik Tuleev, who wanted to highlight the nation's progress since the end of the war there and cultivate a new image of Kazakhstan as a prosperous, modern democracy.

It has been a rough year for the IOC and reputation of the Olympics. Next year's Winter Olympics, to be hosted in Kiev, Ukraine, had been imperiled by recurring news that many key facilities are still incomplete and lacking funding. The host committee is reported to be racking up large debts, and the government of President Nastia Konanovna has assumed direct oversight over construction projects. Earlier this summer, the IOC had to publicly deny rumors that they were considering an emergency move of the 2022 games to a different country with existing facilities, such as Italy, Norway, or Japan. Furthermore, last year's Summer Olympics in Istanbul faced a barrage of complaints from athletes and personnel that facilities in the Olympic Village were subpar and hastily constructed. The Olympics have already been developing a reputation for creating debt for the host locations and leaving behind infrastructure that remains unused after the games are over. However, this reputation has primarily followed the Summer Games, whereas the Winter Games of the 21st century have all been financially successful and had limited waste due to being held in places that regularly used the facilities, such as Montreal, Innsbruck, and Nagano.

The 2030 games are the last to be selected under the IOC's old bid process, in which National Olympic Committees (NOCs) submitted bids to the IOC, who then voted for the final bid. Starting with the 2032 Summer Olympics, all games both winter and summer will be awarded by the Host Selection Committee, which will select hosts from an open-ended list of cities that have expressed interest in hosting games in any year. The committee will place an emphasis on sustainability, preferring existing facilities to newly constructed ones, and utilizing green energy, mass transit, and having long term plans for facilities after the game. Hosts will also be selected 11 years in advance instead of 9, to give cities more time to make the necessary preparations. Cities expressing interesting in future games are Sapporo, Milan, Oslo, and St. Petersburg for Winter Games, and Brisbane, Beijing, Buenos Aires, and Paris for Summer Games.
 
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Top Stories This Week

Seaborn issues first ever presidential Indigenous People's Day proclamation
Friday, October 8th, 2021

President Sam Seaborn became the first president to issue a proclamation celebrating Indigenous People's Day on Friday. In a statement, the president marked the holiday as a "celebration of the resilience and strength of the native peoples of this country" after centuries of attempts to displace and assimilate them by European colonial powers and the federal government, and the "immeasurable contributions they have made to American society." The holiday emerged in the 1990s as an alternative to Columbus Day, which opponents say celebrates the beginning of the violent colonization of the Americas by Europeans and sanitizes Columbus' actions. The president is scheduled to travel to Arizona to celebrate the first Indigenous People's Day on Monday with leaders of the Navajo Nation and Thomas H. Begay, one of the last surviving Navajo code talkers who served in World War II.

Irving bucks party line, calls budget showdown "stupid"
Saturday, October 9th, 2021

Presidential candidate and senator Jasper Irving (R-IL) broke ranks with his party by describing the congressional budget showdown between the Republican congress and President Sam Seaborn as "stupid" and "counterproductive." Speaking at a town hall event in New Hampshire, the Illinois senator said that both President Sam Seaborn and "certain members of congressional leadership" had decided to "play politics rather than sit down and work out a compromise." "Don't get me wrong, I wish [the budget the House GOP proposed] would have been signed into law," Irving said in response to some boos. "But the Founding Fathers created a system where we need to compromise, and that's what needs to happen when there's divided government."

Both Irving's opponents in the primaries and top House Republicans attacked Irving's statement, with House Majority Whip Daniel Abend (R-KY) saying Irving was "out of the loop" on the process of negotiations and was "actively harming the pro-business and pro-family policies he ran on." The campaign of his colleague Charlie Forrester (R-GA) quickly edited a pre-existing ad with Forrester going "RINO" [Republican In Name Only] hunting to include Irving, with his statements framed as "swallowing Sam Seaborn's talking points."

Pandora Papers expose secret off-shore accounts of celebrities, former world leaders
Sunday, October 3rd, 2021

The International Consortium of Investigative Journalists began publishing the so-called "Paradise Papers" on Sunday, detailing the largest exposure yet of the world of financial secrecy and tax avoidance practiced by the rich and powerful, including over 30 current and former national leaders. Consisting of nearly 12 million leaked documents from 14 financial services companies, the papers have exposed an estimated $5.6-32 trillion in offshore accounts belonging to the nearly 500 named individuals in the report. Prominent current and former national leaders named include President Wasim Mohammad of Pakistan, King Abdullah II of Jordan and former president Uzochi Nzele of Equatorial Kundu. Several family members and associates of world leaders, including those of the late Libyan dictator Muammar Gaddafi and former Ukrainian president Valentin Sobolevsky also appear, alongside other politicians, celebrities and billionaires. The State Department said it would begin investigating reports in the papers that certain states, most notably South Dakota, had acted as an tax shelter for $1 billion in offshore assets.

Seaborn promises "full review" after botched drone attack
Monday, October 4th, 2021

President Sam Seaborn promised a "full review" of the military's drone strike policy after a US drone strike in Libya left nearly 20 Libyans dead and several more wounded. Monday's promise came after NBS and other media outlets reported on a Reaper drone strike against what was thought to be a party of Bahji militants outside the Libyan city of Derna, but was actually a gathering of displaced Libyans fleeing the violence in the city. The Pentagon said that the strike was the result of poor intelligence, and that it was conducting its own internal investigation as to how the group was wrongly identified as Bahji militants. Secretary of Defense Jack Shannon has reportedly ordered a temporary freeze on drone strikes outside of Qumar while the Pentagon's review is ongoing.

European Union suspends negotiations with Turkey over Cyprus occupation
Tuesday, October 5th, 2021

The European Union (EU) formally suspended negotiations with Turkey to join the intranational union over its invasion and occupation of Cyprus on Tuesday. Members of the European Council, consisting of the leaders of all 28 member-states, voted to suspend negotiations with Turkey to join the union, which had been ongoing since 2005. President of the European Commission Maja Jagoda, the most powerful official in the EU, stated that the military occupation of Cyprus, an EU member-state, was an "absolute violation of the values of liberty, democracy and the rule of law" that are required for states to join the economic and political union. Negotiations with Turkey had been effectively stalled since the 2010 Cretan War, with EU politicians also citing the democratic backsliding that has taken place under president Ahmed Faria for the standstill prior to Tuesday's announcement.

Indian PM "well rested" after health scare
Thursday, October 7th 2021

After being rushed to the hospital complaining of chest pains, Indian Prime Minister Bijan Advani reported on Thursday that he was now "well rested" and thanked well-wishers for their support. The leader of the world's second-largest nation was reportedly in a strategy conference with other members of his Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) when he began having trouble breathing and complained of pains in his chest. According to a government spokesman, doctors had given Advani a "clean bill of health as possible for a man of his age" (71).

Duggan talks tough at Conservative conference
Wednesday, October 6th, 2021

British Prime Minister Michael Duggan addressed his first Conservative Party conference as prime minister on Wednesday, striking a combative tone amidst the Cyprus crisis and a tightening of polls since taking office. Duggan opened the party conference in Blackpool by praising his predecessor Richard Samuels, who left office in July, as a "tough act to follow" and re-iterated the call for peace on the island of Cyprus. The prime minister also swore that his government would not give up the "Sovereign Base Areas" on the island, retained from the former British colony after its independence in 1960, and attacked the opposition Labour Party for not "knowing what they stand for."

Labour leader and Leader of the Opposition Jack Coll struck back, saying that the attacks were "tired attacks" of a "party that has spent its ten years in power raising the rates of child poverty and food bank use while lowering tax on the rich and funding for the NHS [the country's National Health Service]." Polling shows the Conservatives continue to lead Labour in the polls, but the gap between the two parties has narrowed since Duggan took office.
 
As we speed towards the 2022 Presidential Election here are a few stats for you on Presidential election states since the change in the electoral cycle in 1986.

No state was voted for the winner every time since 1986, but four states have only got it wrong once. These are:
  1. Minnesota 1990 Newman (Lassister Won)
  2. Missouri 2018 Shallick (Seaborn Won)
  3. New Jersey 2014 Fitzsimmons (Walken Won)
  4. Pennsylvania 2010 Santos (Walken Won)
Only two states have voted Democratic every time since 1986. These are:
  1. DC
  2. Massachusetts
*Ok I know DC isn't a state but it's electoral votes have gone to the Democrat each time, but you take my point*

Nine states have voted Republican every time since 1986. These are:
  1. Alaska
  2. Idaho
  3. Kansas
  4. Mississippi
  5. Nebraska
  6. North Dakota
  7. Oklahoma
  8. Utah
  9. Wyoming
Seven states have voted Democratic every time since 1986 apart from President Lassister's 1994 landslide. These are:
  1. Connecticut
  2. Hawaii
  3. Maryland
  4. New York
  5. Oregon
  6. Rhode Island
  7. Wisconsin
Six states have voted Republican every time since 1986 apart from President Bartlet's "lonely landslide". These are:
  1. Arkansas
  2. Kentucky
  3. Louisiana
  4. Montana
  5. North Carolina
  6. Tennessee
South Dakota has voted Democratic twice in 2002 and in 2010. South Carolina voted for Ritchie in 2002 but voted for Santos twice in 2006 & 2010.
 
A UK spreadsheet for you all...
Conservative CabinetMPSeatMP SinceMajorityOTL current Majority
Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, First Lord of the Treasury & Minister for the Civil ServiceMichael DugganLancaster & Fleetwood1996 *7,6512.380 (Lab)
Deputy Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, Minister of State for the Cabinet office, Paymaster General & Chancellor of the Duchy of LancasterFiona WallaceRichmond (Yorks)199127,97227,210
Conservative Party Chairman, Elections Co-Coordinator & Minister without portfolioJanice WilsonCardiff North20041,4546,982 (Lab)
Secretary of State for Foreign,Commonwealth & International Development Affairs, First Secretary of StateAdam JacksonWindsor2010 *BE26,84220,079
Chancellor of the ExchequerKevin GrimesBeverley & Holderness200417,69020,448
Chief Secretary to the TreasurySimon HarperBerwick upon Tweed20138,37214,835
Secretary of State for the Home DepartmentKaren PurvisWimbledon200414,439628
Secretary of State for DefenceMatthew StoneForest of Dean200020,17515,869
Secretary of State for Business & Industrial Development, President of the Board of TradeJeremy FordKingswood20119,24311,200
Secretary of State for Health & Social CareMalcolm RennieTorbay201114,49617,749
Secretary of State for Work & PensionsMartin GreenwellEsher & Walton2011*15,0642,743
Secretary of State for Communities, Housing, Regional & Rural AffairsCharlie HaydenBromley & Chislehurst201121,41010,891
Secretary of State for Culture, Heritage, Media and SportGail WhiteRenfrewshire East20115,2965,426 (SNP)
Secretary of State for Education & SkillsGeorge WoodsSouth Norfolk200728,77421,275
Secretary of State for Transport & National InfrastructurePatrick LawsonLudlow200721,15123,648
Secretary of State for Environment & FoodSarah BlackAgnus20043,6473,795 (SNP)
Secretary of State for Equality & MinoritiesHelen DuncanKenilworth & Southam200719,55920,353
Lord Chancellor & Secretary of State for JusticeSimon TindaleSutton & Cheam201118,1378,351
Leader of the House of Commons, Lord Privy Seal & Lord President of the CouncilGeorge TammHarwich & North Essex1996*14,23220,182
Attorney GeneralPeter BrownCorby201116,85810,268
Secretary of State for Procurement & Government AdministrationNicholas BamberRibble Valley201121,86418,439
Secretary of State for Constitutional Reform & DevolutionTamwar MalikCalder Valley201110,2675,774
Secretary of State for WalesSimon JohnMonmouth200413,3439,982
Secretary of State for ScotlandEdwina RossStirling20112,9529,254 (SNP)
Secretary of State for Northern IrelandThomas HoltCrewe & Nantwich20118,8988,508
Leader of the House of Lords & Lord Keeper of the Privy SealRoseanne Rice (The Baroness Rice of Tring)N/A
Chief Whip & Parliamentary secretary to the TreasuryJohn WebberHornchurch & Upminister2004*15,84023,308
Notes
*1 Michael Duggan was first elected for the seat of Lancaster & Wyre, it was replaced by Lancaster & Fleetwood in 2018
*2 Adam Jackson was elected at a by-election in July 2010
*3 Martin Greenwell was first elected as MP for Great Yarmouth in 2011 but he lost his seat in 2018, he returned to the HOC as MP for Esher & Walton
in the January 2020 by-election
*4 George Tamm was elected for the seat of Harwich from 1996, it was replaced by Harwich & North Essex in 2018
*5 John Webber was MP for Hornchurch from 2004, it was replaced by Hornchurch & Upminister in 2018
 
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Kate Sansellfort pledges 'real change' as Liberals leap to majority government
Van Merhalls to resign as Conservative leader

October 18, 2021

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A smiling Kate Sansellfort addresses supporters in Montreal (photo: M. Kirshner)

Kate Sansellfort will be the country's next prime minister after leading the Liberal Party to a stunning majority government win in today's election, dashing hopes for Leslie Van Merhalls to lead the Conservatives to a fourth straight election victory, but who will now resign his position as party leader.

This will be the second time Canada will be led by a Sansellfort. The 49 year-old Liberal leader will take the same office held by her father Oliver from 1993 to 2003.

"What we have shown here today is the power of an inclusive, positive form of politics," Sansellfort told supporters in Montreal after news media reported that the Liberals would form a majority government. "Canadians have sent a clear message that it's time for real change, and a new form of politics, in this country."

Speaking to supporters in Toronto, Van Merhalls conceded defeat, but made no mention of his political future. A statement from the Conservative Party after the prime minister’s speech, however, indicated that he would be stepping down as leader of the party as soon as an interim replacement is named.

"In our democratic system, the people are never wrong." Van Merhalls told supporters, conceding the end of a decade of Conservative rule. "The disappointment you feel, that I feel, is my responsibility alone as your party’s leader."

Van Merhalls ended his address thanking supporters for their "extraordinary efforts" and addressed all Canadians, stating that "it has been the honour of my life to have been your prime minister."

The results are a stinging rebuke to the Conservatives, who will now form the Official Opposition, and who campaigned on their experience and largely positive economic record.

The Liberals saw a total reversal of their abysmal 2017 results that left them with only 60 seats, their worst performance since the 1988 landslide victory of the Progressive Conservatives under Marie Niveau. They have now won or are leading in 178 ridings, leading the vote in every province besides Alberta, Saskatchewan and the territory of Nunavut. The Conservatives came in second with 106 members elected, with the NDP falling to 30 seats from the 58 they had when Parliament was dissolved. The Bloc Québécois was elected in 23 seats, while the former Green Party leader Suzanne Lewis was re-elected in British Columbia.

The performance of the New Democrats greatly disappointed supporters, who had held out hope that the party would overtake the Liberals as the main party opposed to the Conservatives after coming one seat short of tying them in 2017. A devastating swing from the NDP to the Liberals in Quebec saw the party go from 36 seats to three.

Party leader Stephen Addison has not offered statements on his political future, but NDP insiders say that Addison plans to stand for a third leadership review next February.

"This has been an election about change from the politics of division and fear." Addison said in his concession speech. The NDP leader noted that Sansellfort and the Liberals had promised "big changes" for Canada and that the NDP would "work together with members of all parties to fulfill the high expectations for the upcoming Parliament."

Green Party leader Dzifa Peters failed to gain a seat in Parliament amidst her party's infighting, coming in fourth in the Toronto riding she contested. In a speech, she left open the possibility of resigning, saying she would reflect on her political future in the coming days.

Liberal victory

The Liberals jumped to an early lead tonight, painting Atlantic Canada red with 26 of the region's 32 seats, including sweeping Newfoundland & Labrador and Prince Edward Island.

But their main victories came in the vote-rich provinces of Ontario and Quebec. In Ontario, the Liberals won or are leading in 81 seats, having won in the big cities and almost sweeping Toronto, with Addison becoming the only non-Liberal to represent a Toronto seat in the upcoming parliament. The party also captured most of the coveted 905 area seats that were key to the Conservative majorities in 2013 and 2017.

In Quebec, the Liberals made huge gains, leading or having been declared the winner in 42 seats. The Liberals retook their stronghold of Montreal, taking all but three of the 22 seats in the city and its neighbouring city of Laval.

In the West, the Liberals gained seats in every province except Saskatchewan, where the retirement of long-time member Ralph McDonough resulted in the party losing their only seat in the province.

The Liberal tide took out several Cabinet ministers: Foreign Minister Paul Chin in the Greater Toronto Area, Small Business Manager James Cooper and Gender Equality Minister Ruby Marwah in Calgary, Multiculturalism Minister Tommy Wu in Vancouver. Economic Development Minister Trent Starnes in Saskatchewan was also defeated by an New Democratic Party candidate.

The Liberals finished with 38.3% of the popular vote, and were the only party that won seats that improved on their performance from 2017. The Conservatives came in second with 32.8%, with the NDP getting 19.7%, the Bloc 6.3% and the Greens 2.4%.

Plans for government

The incoming prime minister promised an ambitious agenda during the 40-day election campaign.

The Liberal program includes implementing a federal carbon tax, national childcare plan, legalizing cannabis, creating an permanent advisory committee for Senate appointments, public commissions on both electoral reform and the crisis of missing and murdered indigenous women, and having net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. Additionally, the party has said they plan to increase the number of refugees the country accepts.

Unlike her father, Sansellfort did not promise a balanced budget, saying that the economic slowdown and increased spending on new policies and programs would not result in a balanced budget before the next elections are due in 2026.

"We must increase the investment in our children, our communities and our environment," she said at the English-language debate two weeks ago. "The short-term cost will outweigh the amount we will be able to reclaim through taxes...but after this transition period and with a return to economic growth, we will again have a balanced budget."

Sansellfort, set to be the nation’s second female prime minister, also promised to appoint the nation’s first gender-balanced cabinet if elected.
 
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And the infobox:
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Cast
Mia Kirshner as Kate Sansellfort
Peter Outerbridge as Leslie Van Merhalls
James Spader as Stephen Addison
Claude Legault as Maxime Brossard (new casting)
Ngozi Paul as Dzifa Peters

  • Results were obtained using OTL 2015, 2019 & 2021 elections as the base, depending on the province.
  • Sansellfort is obviously TTL's answer to Justin Trudeau, but unlike Trudeau II, her father is still alive when she becomes prime minister (or will be when she formally takes office in a few weeks).

    Owing to a combination of factors (such as her father being prime minister in most of the '90s rather than the '70s), she fortunately has better sense that her OTL counterpart when it comes to, let's say, "skincare regimens".
  • Van Merhalls is the first "unelected" Canadian PM to not win a general election after taking office ITTL since Arthur Meighen (although Meighen's party did win the most seats in the 1925 election). Two prime ministers (John Turner & Kim Campbell) have earned this distinction as well, with Campbell famously getting handed the keys just as the Progressive Conservatives' coalition imploded in spectacular fashion.
  • Addison is the only leader of the five to have led his party through a previous general election, having been the NDP leader in the three (2010, 2013 & 2017). I admit I was tempted to change him out for a new character before this election, but a combination of not wanting to have a complete overhaul from the 2017 leaders and him being played by Ultron swayed me to keep him on for a fourth rodeo.
 
Is Sansellfort the first woman elected P.M of Canada? I know TTL has no Kim Campbell, but did Kim Campbell have a counterpart ITTL? Also, this is the result Trudeau dreamed of having when he called that snap election.
 
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Hunter "uncertain" whether he will endorse GOP nominee

Friday, October 22nd, 2021

Vice President Jack Hunter (R-MN) said that he is "uncertain" whether he will publicly endorse the Republican nominee for president once that person is chosen. In an interview with CBS News, Hunter, who became vice president as a result of a Senate contingent election after the 2018 contest, said that such a decision would "have to be decided when [the party] picks a nominee."

"Obviously the president and I disagree on a variety of issues," Hunter said in a sit-down interview with CBS anchor Norah O'Donnell, "and I'm proud to be a conservative, pro-life, pro-gun Republican. But I plan on remaining vice president until January 2023, and with that means I have to decide if endorsing my party's nominee for president will undermine the position of the United States before the [presidential] election."

The wide-ranging interview, which will air Saturday night, also focuses on Hunter's participation in talks with Cuba, his role as an intermediary between the White House and Republicans in Congress, and advice to the next vice president.

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Wednesday, September 15th 2021

Japanese ruling bloc stays in power despite losses

Tokyo
— The Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), which has dominated Japanese politics for nearly seven decades, won another majority in today's elections and will remain in power despite losing a substantial number of seats.

In their first election since the retirement of Ayeka Juchiro, who led the party to three straight victories from 2012 to 2017, the LDP lost over 40 seats to narrow their majority to 10 seats in the Diet (the country's parliament). Additionally, the coalition the party formed with the Komeito party will fall far short of retaining the two-thirds majority needed to unilaterally amend Japan's constitution. The latter issue was a pet project of Juchiro, who failed to overcome domestic and international opposition to amend Article 9 of the country's constitution, which renounces the use of war as a means of settling disputes and forbids the country's self-defense forces from using strictly offensive weapons, such as ballistic missiles.

Prime Minister Kanzuki Kamei, who succeeded Juchiro last year, has garnered middling approval ratings from voters, and seemed unable to alleviate discontent over issues such as the economic slowdown, the nation's demographic crisis, and the increase in wealth inequality since the party returned to power in 2012. The drop compared to the party's previous electoral result could embolden opposing factions within the LDP to challenge Kamei's leadership, a perennial challenge for LDP prime ministers. The conservative party, which has spent only five years out of power since being formed in 1955, has historically seen frequent turnover in its leadership position owing to factional struggles for power.

This was the first election under Emperor Naruhito, whose reign was designated as the Reiwa ("beautiful harmony" in Japanese) era upon his taking of the throne in 2019. Under Japan's constitution, the emperor has no role in political affairs, but serves as a national symbol. The prime minister is elected by the Diet after a general election or if the incumbent resigns, dies or is unable to continue in the role.

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Senate honors Robinson's selection to NBA's 75th anniversary team

Friday, October 22nd, 2021

The members of the United States Senate took a brief break from the budget deadlock to celebrate one of their own. Senate Majority Leader Cody Riley (R-AL) backed a motion brought by Gibson Carluke (R-IN) to proclaim Friday "Rudi Robinson Day" in honor of the Indiana Democrat's selection to the National Basketball Association (NBA)'s 75th anniversary team. The measure passed by unanimous voice vote, and after a quick House vote, was signed into law by President Sam Seaborn early Friday afternoon.

"I am beyond humbled for the writers and fans for selecting me to the team, and to my colleagues here for this show of appreciation," Robinson said, in a statement on the Senate floor. "I am blessed beyond words."

Robinson gained fame as the star shooting guard for the Indiana Pacers for 13 seasons, and was named an All-Star five times. He gained a reputation for his clutch shooting, and is widely regarded as the greatest player to ever wear a Pacers jersey. Twelve years after the end of his playing career, he used his status as a basketball hero to become the first African-American elected to a statewide office in Indiana when he upset Republican Jacob Laramaki in that year's Senate contest. Six years later, he won four contests in an unsuccessful bid for the Democratic presidential nomination, the best performance for any African-American presidential primary candidate.

The NBA's 75th anniversary team consists of 76 players owing to a tie among writers. All 50 members of the NBA's 50th Anniversary Team, selected in 1996, were also chosen for the 75th team, as were 11 active players (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Carmelo Anthony, Stephen Curry, Anthony Davis, Kevin Durant, James Harden, LeBron James, Kawhi Leonard, Damian Lillard, Chris Paul and Russell Westbrook).
 
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Monday October 25th, 2021

Laurion the winner of the third GOP debate, although Irving attacks his own party over budget stand-off


Michigan Governor Ben Laurion emerged as the clear winner of last night's third Republican debate from the Walken Presidential Library in Missouri.

Commentators across the political spectrum lauded his performance, one which now confirms him as the clear front-runner for the Republican Presidential nomination. It was the first debate with a slimmed down number of participants, seven with Californian Congressman Alton Moore and former North Carolina Governor Andrew Wu falling to meet the national polling numbers required.

The ninety minute debate was split into two forty five minute segments, one on the domestic economy and one on foreign affairs. The opening part focused on the "budget crisis" with Laurion, Alan Duke and Ruth Norton-Stewart all saying basically the same thing that in during the 2020 mid-terms, that the voters had spoken by returning a Republican controlled Congress in both houses, and that the President had a "moral duty" as Laurion put it to sign off on the Republican suggested budget. Although that approach wasn't supported by Jasper Irving, Robert Royce or Gus Edwards. With Edwards saying Speaker Harris " was grandstanding" whilst Royce said he" knew personally of the dangers of attempting to force a Democratic President into signing a Conservative budget" , referring to the infamous 2003 government shut-down and the stand off between President Bartlet and then Speaker Haffley, but the most outspoken attack came from Senator Irving "I have told leader Riley that the plan to try and bully a liberal Democratic President into passing a right-wing budget is stupid and irresponsible" which provoked a furious exchange between Irving and Laurion, and then Alan Duke joined in, saying again that Irving was a "RINO" (Republican in name only), claiming "I wonder if you are a actually a Democratic plant in this party", with Irving replying " I am not taking lectures on how to be a good Republican from someone like you".

For the other economic issues, Laurion pushed his record as Michigan Governor since 2015,"When I took office, unemployment in Michigan was at 6%. In the last monthly report before the 'Seaborn slump' began last year, it was at 3.7%, a twenty-year low" and he also trumpeted his signing of right to work legislation in a state that were unions were historically very strong "we broke the hold of union bosses who led Detroit to ruin by giving hard-working Michiganders the right to not join a union as a condition of employment", and he also pushed his tax cuts for the middle-class and working families and ability to provide balanced state budgets, attacking Alan Duke in the process "Senator Duke wants large scale corporate tax cuts, I gave tax-cuts for the middle-class and the lowest paid in my state".

On the Foreign policy segment, it was Robert Royce who gave his strongest performance so far in the debates saying "you cannot have a fortress america, and Isolationism promoted by Senator Duke, it was that sort of thinking that got us into WW2 far two late, and it allowed Nazi Germany and Imperial Japan get away with aggressive acts, it doesn't work, and now you (Senator Duke), want us to withdraw from NATO, the UN, rip up all our global agreements, in the hope that our enemies will just leave us alone, it is not only totally stupid, but very dangerous". Laurion also attacked Duke's Foreign policy saying "I can speak five languages, sometimes I think Senator Duke barely manages English" which drew laughs from the audience.

The Laurion campaign team left the debate last night in a very happy place, although Senator's Irving and Royce will also be happy with their night's work. But with just under eighty days to the Iowa Caucuses it is Governor Laurion who now must be regarded as the clear front-runner for the nomination.
 
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Laurion and Irving are both Vinick Republicans right?
Laurion is more Conservative, closer to Ray Sullivan and his politics/some of his back story is partly based on OTL former Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker, but he is more moderate than the likes of Alan Duke.
Jasper Irving is a "Vinick Republican", although he has moved from being more to Conservative to his current more moderate stanch on some issues. He admits himself that he has been on a "political journey".
 
Does Alan Duke have a southern accent? Also has Bruce Willis ever done a southern accent?
Since Willis seems to just use his own accent in almost all of his roles, I'd say Duke necessarily only has a slight southern accent that mostly only comes out when he's tired.

The in-universe explanation would be something like Duke consciously (or subconsciously) chose to adopt a more "neutral" accent when he was growing up.
How are Seaborn's approval ratings?
He's sitting at 49% approval, 40% disapproval.
 
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