2010 US Presidential Election

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Sunday April 23rd 2014

Clark supporters flood the Sunday shows

Supporters of Vice-President Clark have been on the Sunday shows today promoting their candidate boosted by several polls showing that their candidate had won the first Republican debate on Thursday.

Texas Senator Davis Roberts was on Meet the Press saying that "The Vice-President was the clear winner on Thursday, she is the only Republican to build on President Walken's record and the only candidate that can beat Senator Seaborn next November". Fellow Texas Senator Mark Cumberland was on Fox News Sunday and he pushed much the same message "The Vice-President was excellent on Thursday night, she ignored what people had been saying her, she focused on the issues and why is the person best placed to win the nomination and Presidential nomination".

On CNN and State of the Union, Tennesee Governor Shane Denham said "Only the Vice-President can beat the Democrats next year, and we cannot afford to let a tax and spend Democrat back into the White House".
That says 2014...
 
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Tuesday April 25th 2017

Could Calley bow out Virgina Gubernatorial race?

Former White House Director of Legislative Affairs, Cliff Calley who is running for Governor of Virginia could be ready to bow out of the race way ahead of the primary on June 13th.
Calley who is currently ahead in most polls of former Lt Governor Troy Rivers.

Calley is understood not be a fan of the campaign trail and sources from within the state Republican party say that Calley has been offered a job with Vice-President Clark presidential campaign, although the Calley campaign has denied this.
 
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Tuesday April 25th 2017

Republican Presidential Polls
All polls include declared candidates only. Polling done in the 48 hrs. over this weekend since the Republican debate on Thursday April 20th.
Polls include voters whom had declared for a candidates, so don't knows are not included.
State polls are for the first six contests prior to "Super-Dupa" Tuesday.

National Poll
  1. Clark 41% (+1)
  2. Shallick 35% (no change)
  3. Durham 14% (+2)
  4. Schofield 6% (+2)
  5. Gault 4% (-4)
Iowa
  1. Shallick 39% (-1)
  2. Clark 35% (+1)
  3. Durham 11% (+3)
  4. Gault 10% (-2)
  5. Schofield 5% (no change)
New Hampshire
  1. Clark 44% (+2)
  2. Shallick 35% (-1)
  3. Durham 15% (+1)
  4. Schofield 4% (+2)
  5. Gault 2% (-3)
Michigan
  1. Shallick 42% (no change)
  2. Clark 38% (+1)
  3. Durham 12% (+2)
  4. Schofield 5% (+2)
  5. Gault 3% (-3)
Nevada
  1. Clark 44% (+1)
  2. Shallick 33% (-2)
  3. Durham 13% (+2)
  4. Gault 6% (-1)
  5. Schofield 4% (+1)
South Carolina
  1. Shallick 40% (-1)
  2. Clark 35% (-1)
  3. Schofield 14% (+3)
  4. Durham 6% (-1)
  5. Gault 5% (+1)
Florida
  1. Clark 41% (No change)
  2. Shallick 35% (-1)
  3. Schofield 16% (+5)
  4. Durham 6% (-2)
  5. Gault 2% (-1)
Poll of Polls (6 six states above)
  1. Clark 39.5% (+0.67)
  2. Shallick 37.33 % (-1)
  3. Durham 10.5 % (+0.84)
  4. Schofield 8% (+2.17)
  5. Gault 4.66% (-1.5%)
Notes
Clark now has a six point lead nationally over Shallick.
No change in the states that each candidate leads in: Shallick (Iowa, Michigan & South Carolina) Clark (New Hampshire, Nevada & Florida)
Clark has increased her lead in the poll of polls to 2.17% from 0.5%, an increase of 1.67%
Both Durham & Schofield up nationally and in the poll of polls whilst Gault has dropped in both.
 
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Thursday April 27th 2017

Thorn: "Only I can beat Seaborn, Clark or Shallick"

New York Senator Andrew Thorn is back up in the polls after his impressive performance in the first Democratic debate two weeks ago and now he is fighting back.

Thorn is on a three day swing through Iowa and today he told a rally in Des Moines "Only I can beat Senator Seaborn, but more importantly I am the only candidate that can beat Clark or Shallick next November" he also attacked what he called the "double standards" of former Ohio Senator Hayden Straus "Hayden says he is a true Socialist, and seems to be against anyone else earning money through business interests, apart from himself of course". Thorn also said that he would be publishing his own tax returns in the coming days and challenged both Democrats and Republican's running for the Presidency to do the same "I have nothing to hide, and I will prove it" he said.
 
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Did we ever decide what cities the Democratic and Republican conventions are in next year?
That is on my to do list!!
I have the dates worked out:
Dems: Monday July 16th to Thursday July 19th
Reps: Monday July 23rd to Thursday July 26th

Also have the Presidential debate dates & formats worked out but no venues:

Sunday September 23rd: First Presidential Debate "Vinick" Debate
Sunday October 7th: Vice-Presidential Debate
Monday October 15th: Second Presidential Debate "Town Hall" Debate
Wednesday October 24th: Third Presidential Debate "Half on Foreign Policy/Half on Domestic Policy"

Election Day: Tuesday November 6th 2018
 
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BBC.CO.UK/Politics
Thursday May 4th 2017

Voting in UK Local elections

Voting in local and mayoral elections in England, Wales and Scotland is entering its final few hours.

A total of 4,851 council seats are up for grabs in 88 councils - all of those in Scotland and Wales, plus 34 in England, including 27 counties.
In 53 counties in England and Wales County Governors are being elected for a second time after being introduced four years ago.
Polling stations opened at 07:00 and will close at 22:00 BST.

Strict rules to ensure fairness between election candidates mean the BBC and other broadcasters are restricted to only factual reports of voting while the polls are open.

Some English and Welsh councils will begin counting ballots as soon as polls close - while others will start counting on Friday morning, with results being announced throughout Friday.

Scotland's 32 councils will start their counts on Friday morning, with first results expected from midday. Most gubernatorial results will be declared on Friday.
 
BBC.CO.UK/Politics
Saturday May 6th 2017


Conservatives make gains in Governor elections

The Conservatives made a net gain of five gains, winning six counties and losing one. The Conservatives gained Bedfordshire, Humberside, Lancashire and Leicestershire from Labour, Norfolk from the East Anglian Devolution Party and Oxfordshire from the Liberal Democrats. The only county lost was West Yorkshire, which was one of the four gains made by Labour, in Greater Manchester, Merseyside and Gwent in Wales meaning Labour ended the results as they started making four gains and four loses.

Labour won back both Greater Manchester and Merseyside, with Socialist Alliance Leader Ben Stanley losing in Merseyside to Liverpool City Council Leader Bill Whitmore by a margin of 3.56%, and in Greater Manchester former Socialist Alliance Deputy Leader now an independent John McGovern lost by a greater margin some 8.94% to the Leader of Salford City Council Daniel Mitchell.

Conservative Gains
  1. Bedfordshire (Labour)
  2. Humberside (Labour)
  3. Lancashire (Labour)
  4. Leicestershire (Labour)
  5. Norfolk (East Anglian Devolution Party)
  6. Oxfordshire (Liberal Democrat)
Conservative Loses
  1. West Yorkshire (Labour)
Labour Gains
  1. Greater Manchester (Independent)
  2. Merseyside (Socialist Alliance)
  3. West Yorkshire (Conservative)
  4. Gwent (PC)
Labour Loses
  1. Bedfordshire (Conservative)
  2. Humberside (Conservative)
  3. Lancashire (Conservative)
  4. Leicestershire (Conservative)
 
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OOC: @Marky Bunny We haven't heard much from the UK recently. There must be a general election coming up or some political intrigue or something.
General Election is required by November 2018, I did look at the possibility at the turn of this year at an Election this year, but after events in the real world I am glad I didn't. There will be Cabinet reshuffle in a few weeks. Also going to do the nominations for the London Mayoral elections.
 
BBC.CO.UK/Politics
Monday May 8th 2015


Round-up of UK Local Elections
Party by Party
PART ONE


Conservatives
After being in national office just over six years, and still make gains eighteen months before a general election is due will give a lot of hope to them that they can win a third successive election. Taking four gubernatorial seats from Labour was a great achievement, (Bedfordshire, Humberside, Lancashire and Leicestershire) and they also very narrowly failed to take Northumberland, Nottinghamshire and the West Midlands as well (Northumberland 933 votes 0.52%, Nottinghamshire 10,154 votes 1.77% & the West Midlands 13,352 votes 1.11%). From the Liberal Democrats they won Oxfordshire by 33,153 votes 8.84%, but failed to win the other two Liberal Democrat held counties in Cornwall & Somerset (Cornwall 2,291 votes 0.75% & Somerset 856 votes 0.26%). The other gain was in Norfolk when they as expected easily won it by 53,049 votes some 11.62% from the East Anglian Devolution Party. Vote wise in the Gubernatorial elections they did achieve what was achieved when these elections where held in 2013 37% of the vote, a rise in just 0.08%.
Seats win on local Councils it was a good night gaining control of four councils.
Labour
This really was a mixed night for Leader Andrea Benn. Her party has clawed back some of the ground from the 2013 General Election disaster, in the polls and in electoral success at local level but Thursday showed how far they have to go to have a chance of winning the next General Election. In the Gubernatorial races, they remained as they where losing four but gaining four back. The four defeats to the Conservatives where a big blow, and they failed to take target seats in Cumbria and Cheshire, although they did win the other main target from the Conservatives in West Yorkshire. The other three gains coming from the fact they won in Greater Manchester being former MP John McGovern who was running for re-election as an independent and in the result they enjoyed the most beating Ben Stanley in Merseyside, the other gain was in Wales and winning Gwent from PC. In the Gubernatorial elections they polled only 24.25% which was down on the 31.43 in 2013, some 7.18%, which suggests that Labour voters failed to turn out, especially with the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats winning much the same popular vote % as 2013.
As expected they won back seats in councils where the Socialist Alliance had polled well four years ago, and gained control of two councils, and held on in Cardiff and Newport where polls had pointed to defeats.
Liberal Democrats
They managed to hold onto two of the three gubernatorial seats, in Cornwall and Somerest by very narrow margins from the Conservatives but lost Oxfordshire very heavily. They had been expected to perform a lot better in Avon but where beaten into third place by the Greens. Popular vote wise it was much the same as the Conservatives, in that it remained much the same as 2013, winning 13.24% to 13.30% four years ago (a drop of just 0.06%).
Council wise they did well in the South-West and holding onto councils that had been targeted by the Conservatives.

National Peoples Party
Robert Webster will be very happy with his parties performance. Although they didn't win a gubernatorial seat, they polled very well in the Essex race, winning some 28.70% of the vote, and actually winning in five constituency areas (Castle Point, Clacton, Rochford & Southend East, South Basildon & East Thurrock and Thurrock), and coming second behind the Conservatives. They also come second in Suffolk, and also polled above Labour in Norfolk although they finished narrowly behind the East Anglian Devolution Party in that county, they did win the vote count in Great Yarmouth, which was clear embarrassment for the Conservative held seat in Westminster. The 15.03% of the vote in Bedfordshire and the 17.23% in Humberside probably helped the Conservatives win those two races from Labour. Overall the party had clearly benefited from the demise of the National Democrats, indeed the candidates in Humberside and Lincolnshire both where ex National Democrat candidates, although another former National Democrat Councillor ran as an independent. The 10.77% of the vote better than the hoped for 7% by Webster himself, and they also won the votes as well as those seats mentioned above also in Hartlepool (Cleveland) & Great Grimsby (Humberside). They polled above their National Average in twenty four races which was also an achievement.
As in the Gubernatorial elections they did very well in Essex, gaining seats, although the Conservatives held on by two seats, and they gained in Humberside and Lincolnshire, but also in Cleveland and Durham.
 
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BBC.CO.UK/Politics
Monday May 8th 2015

Round-up of UK Local Elections
Party by Party
PART TWO

Greens

In 2013 they refused to contest the gubernatorial elections, apart from a couple of races where candidates ran as an "independent Green" they did well, polling 4% nationally and coming a strong third in Avon coming above the Liberal Democrats with 15.57% of the vote, they also did well in East Sussex getting 9.23%. They refused the Socialist Alliance offer of a "progressive Compact" in some counties after some of the comments made by Socialist Alliance candidates in Leicestershire and the West Midlands regards race.
In Brighton City Council they picked up 3 more seats, and the same in Bristol.

Socialist Alliance
The dream of united Socialist Party is clearly on the point of collapse. 2013 was the high point of Socialist success, when they won in Manchester and on Merseyside as well as coming in second place in seven other counties, this time it was a total disaster, Party leader Ben Stanley lost Merseyside, whilst former Deputy leader John McGovern running as an independent lost in Greater Manchester. In the national popular vote they fell from 11.05% to just 3.69%, although they actually did better in Wales winning almost 10% of the vote, and getting above their % figure in four of the races, getting 15.23% in Gwent.
They also lost all of the Council seats they had gained in 2013 apart from three in Liverpool, four in Manchester, two in Sheffield and one in Doncaster.
Independents
The Gubernatorial system makes it possible for independents in theory to do well, and across the country they polled with 3.57% of the vote, the best showings was as mentioned in Greater Manchester where Governor John McGovern lost as an independent after leaving the Socialist Alliance last year and in Buckinghamshire where a former National Democrat Councillor ran and won 10.32% of the vote, actually not that far behind the Liberal Democrat who finished and Labour third. The same happened in Lincolnshire, Kent, Herefordshire and Worcestershire, and Hampshire.
Various English Regional Parties
The East Anglian Devolution Party is like the Socialist Alliance in the terms that is clearly in decline from its high point of 2013, when it won in Norfolk. This time they lost swept out by the Conservative candidate, although they did hold onto second place narrowly ahead of the National Peoples Party, and they did win the popular vote in the Westminster seat of Norwich South and polled 22.42%, although that was down from the 46.68%four years ago but in next door Suffolk their vote collapsed from 22.03% in 2013 and second place to just 7.85% and fifth placed behind the National Peoples Party, Labour and the Liberal Democrats. Elsewhere the other regional parties failed to make an impact, the Cornish Independence party polled only 3.51%, the Isle of Wight Independence Party candidate did better winning 8.61% of the vote, whilst Yorkshire First put up candidates in both South Yorkshire getting 4.40% of the vote in West Yorkshire a lower 2.77%.

PC
It was a mixed night for the Welsh nationalists, as they lost Gwent to Labour, but held onto Gwynedd easily, and finished a strong third in a three way fight with the Conservatives and Labour in Dyfed, but the strong performance of the Socialist Alliance in the eight Welsh counties did them no favours, especially in Dyfed where if the Socialist Alliance had not run and all his votes transferred to them, they would have won by 174 votes.

 
BBC.CO.UK/Politics
Wednesday May 10th 2017


Stormy meeting of the PLP as former Deputy Prime-Minister Jack Norris tells Benn "Shape up or ship out"

There is believed to have been a stormy meeting of the Parliamentary Labour Party yesterday evening in the House of Commons. The regular meeting focused on the parties disappointing local election results last Thursday.

Leader Andrea Benn said that although results where not as "good as hoped for" that they had made progress in the last two and half years since she become leader and "could win the next general election". Many backbenchers focused attacks on Party Chairman and Policy Co-coordinator Dominic Eames saying that he was "more interested in running for London Mayor than doing his job". Many believe that Eames, MP for Vauxhall is preparing to run for London Mayor next year, with the nominations opening next Monday.

In a fiery exchange between Andrea Benn and former Deputy Prime-Minister Jack Norris (who served under Ricky Meyer between 1996 & 2004), Norris MP for St Helens North said that Benn "had to raise her game, Andrea can I make this clear, shape up or ship out". Deputy Leader Bryan Atkinson is understood to have defended his leader "saying you are all panicking, we can and win will win the next election" asking "who else here thinks they can do a better job, come on man up, now" nobody did.

No-one believes that a Leadership challenge to Benn is likely but Labour MP's are clearly getting the jitters with a general election due to be called in the next eighteen months.
 
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BBC.CO.UK/Politics
Monday May 15th 2017


Jay leaves the Cabinet to run for London Mayor as reshuffle begins

Home Secretary Nigel Jay has left the Cabinet this morning as Richard Samuels got his reshuffle underway. There had been much speculation that the Home Secretary who had been in the post since November 2013 was preparing to run for London Mayor.

Jay, who represents St Albans, which is not in Greater London, but he lives in Arkley, near Barnet which is. Many had speculated on Jay as a future Conservative leader, but Jay who doesn't turn forty until next year, clearly believes time is on his side.

In a statement he announced "This morning I told the Prime-Minister that I wished to leave the Cabinet and so be able to run for the nomination as Conservative candidate for Mayor of London" adding "It has been a honour to serve my country, and now I hope to serve London as it's next Mayor".

Number Ten released a statement "The Prime-Minister has thanked the Home Secretary for his service, and wishes him well in his bid to be London Mayor".

There has yet to be any announcement on who Jay's replacement at the Home Office will be.
 
BBC.CO.UK/Politics
Monday May 15th 2017

Likely changes in departments

Number Ten has confirmed that there will be changes in Government Departments and job titles during the reshuffle which has started today.

The Department for International development is to be abolished we understand with its functions transferred to Business & Industry, and some to the Foreign Office whilst the Skills part of the Business Brief goes back to the Department of Education. The other major change is the likely merger of Eneregy & Climate Change with DEFRA, with the Rural Affairs portion of the Department taken over by Communities, Local Government, & The regions. We also understand the Department of Administrative Affairs is likely to get a name change, believed to be Department of Procurement and Government Administration.
 
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BBC.CO.UK/Politics
Monday May 15th 2017

Reshuffle latest:

Michael Duggan to be new Home Secretary as he moves from Business to replace Nigel Jay who has left the Cabinet to run for London Mayor

Confirmed Business Department to be renamed "Business and Industrial Development" also Department for International Development has been abolished, with some functions moved to new Business Department and the remainder to the Foreign Office. The skills part moved from Business back to Education.
 
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BBC.CO.UK/Politics
Tuesday May 16th 2017


Reshuffle latest:

Number Ten has confirmed that Martin Greenwell will be the new Business Secretary for the slightly renamed department of "Business & Industrial Development". Greenwell only joined the Cabinet last February as Chief Secretary to the Treasury. The MP for Great Yarmouth is clearly regarded as a rising star in the party and the Cabinet.

Number Ten has also confirmed that the posts of Deputy Prime-Minister, First Secretary of State, Chancellor, Foreign Secretary and Defence Secretary will be not be changed.
 
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