2010 US Presidential Election

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Political Bios

Kenneth Cooper (Krazy Kenny Cooper)


Kenneth Cooper or Krazy Kenny Cooper is a perennial candidate for several positions of office on a national scene. Krazy Kenny has been known for inane campaign pledges like, emphasis on roof plumbing and federal funding for toothpaste. Krazy Kenny has run four times for the presidency as a Democrat and a Republican, in 1998, 2002, 2006, and 2010. The most he got was in 1998 where he gained 43 votes in the New Hampshire Primary on the Republican ballot and 22 on the Democratic. Krazy Kenny ran as an independent in 2006, and challenged Sen. Arnold Vinick to a duel for the presidency like "ol' fashion way". He also ran for Governor in 2002 against Jack Stephens. Later on he ran for Mayor of New York City in 2009. He is famous for leading aa protest on Capitol Hill against Jeff Haffley for not letting him testify in Congress for Toothpaste funding. He is right now running for Senate in New York against Jay Cruger and Michael Daschowitz. Ask anyone on political campaigns, Capitol Hill or even in The White House, they'll say one thing "He's a loon".
 
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Wyatt Hitting the Streets, Airwaves.

Congresswoman Andrea Wyatt has been hitting the streets and airwaves heavily recently, working to restore visibility and support after the fallout of her meltdown on Meet the Press, and it has shown, as a recent poll has indicated that she has cut incumbent Dan Kalmbach's lead down to 6 points.

Wyatt's ground campaign has mainly consisted of her meeting with constituents in Democratic districts, shoring up support with African-Americans, women and unions. She's been holding "street meetings," essentially walk-abouts where she listens to the people talk, as well as the more conventional town halls. In these, Wyatt has been displaying the intelligence, humor and compassion that have been her trademarks.

But perhaps more important is her ad campaign. Wyatt has been on the air pretty much non-stop since her much-publicized announcement. Most of them are the typical "This candidate is good this candidate is bad for this reason," ads, but a few are catching notice. In particular, the "Dan Kalmbach has always been there" ad has been making waves, and been the principal measure in Wyatt gaining-or regaining-strength. The campaign has made a point of showing those ads nightly, and are working hard to raise the positive image of the Congresswoman.
 
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Transcript of Andrew Carter's speech to the Conservative Party conference, Bournemouth, Wednesday October 6th, 2010

I stand before you as leader of our party for the first time. I first of all wish to make it clear that I took no personnel pleasure in the events of May this year, but I believe that they where necessary not only for us a party but more importantly for our nation.

The leadership race showed with any doubt the depth and talent within this party. I am pleased to have Richard Samuels as my Deputy, and Ed Barker as Party Chairman. He ran an exceptional race to be leader. William Morgan showed what a man of honesty and talent he is, and what a great Foreign Secretary he will make.

This has been the best, and our most successful Conference in years. This week the people of Britain look to us to see if we are ready to be a Government. And with the policies we have presented and the purpose we have demonstrated, we have shown beyond doubt that we are ready for Government. This week the people of Britain look to us to see if we have the right team to run the country. And with brilliant platform speeches we have shown beyond doubt that this Shadow Cabinet, with its breadth of vision for our country and its depth of talent, is the best team to lead Britain into the second decade of the 21st century.

Our Conference has looked like a Conference for the future. Labour’s looked like a Conference from the past. The same failed ideas, the same excuses, the same predictable attacks on us. We have a Prime-Minister that looks like he belongs to a different age. A man that admits, he doesn't know how to send a e-mail or text message. He is not sure how to use the internet. He is a man out of touch and leads a government that has failed.

And throughout this week, we have shown the British people beyond doubt that we can win the next general election.

Let us be clear. The next government of this country will face a poisoned legacy. The economy has been badly mismanaged. The next government will be forced to make very difficult decisions and we must stand ready to make those tough choices. We will have to get spending under control. The leviathan that is the state in the United Kingdom simply has to be tamed.

We have spent years spending beyond our means. We have irresponsibly wagered our children’s inheritance and now we are faced with a stark choice. We tackle the staggering mess of our public finances or we put it off to our children and our grandchildren. I say that’s no choice, we must act now. We will act to cut the deficit within a parliament.

That presents us with two choices. We spend less or we raise more. As much as I wish I could stand here today and promise tax cuts I think we all know it would be irresponsible – I like many of the great Conservatives of the past believe that lowering the tax burden and freeing the people of this country is the only route to long term prosperity – but I know that increasing tax will choke of the recovery, it’ll stop business creating jobs and it’ll reduce the money people have in their pocket. That leaves us with the only option – tackle public spending.

Public spending in the UK accounts for 51% of GDP. Think about that. Half of the economy, half! It’s simply not sustainable, we need to grow the private sector, we need to free up the people of this country to start their own businesses and to drive the ones they already have. John Green tells us we need to keep spending to sustain growth – I say that recycling money may increase GDP in the short term but it doesn’t and it never will generate growth. Eventually the money runs out.

If we win the next election I promise the people of Great Britain that we will focus relentlessly on getting our public spending under control. It’s time to end the benefits culture that has been allowed to seep into this country, we must return to the entrepreneurial spirit that built this nation and start to lead the way in the industries of tomorrow.

I guarantee you that this is not what’s on the mind of the Prime Minister.

This week, and in the coming weeks, people want to know what the alternative will be. They look to us. They want to know if we’re ready. They want to know what drives us, what motivates us, what we would be like in office.

The people of Britain want a government that puts the country first, not the party first and they will get that with a Conservative government, for that is what this party wants. It wants our country rebuilt again, our country bold, audacious and just again. We will put the country first. We are ready, fit to serve and able to lead Britain to a better future. We have the policies that the people want. We have a fine team for government, indeed we have the best team for government, of that there is no doubt.

I want to make clear that this party under my leadership will always look to the future. I believe in the vast majority of reforms and policy reviews that James carried out as leader. I back 100% civil partnerships. There will be no return to clause 28, our nation has moved on. I fully support gay rights, because to me it is not about "gay rights" at all, it is freedom of choice, and that to me is a fundamental part of being Conservative. It's your choice to live your life in the way you wish. It is as simple as that.

The Prime-Minister may attack me for returning to the 1980's, I do, when we had a strong economy, and a strong Government, but also I understand that scoially that the country has moved on, it always does, it is called progress. It is a different generation. A baby that was born when Margaret Thatcher left office in March 1993, will be able to vote at the next election. Times change, they always do, and we as a party must always move with them.

I did not believe back in 1996 when Labour fought for the minimum wage, but I have been proved wrong, despite what Labour are saying, it will stay. I also ask this Prime-Minister and his party to stop smearing me and my party. A few weeks ago, a constituent called me, she was 77 years old. She said that a member of the Labour party had just been around her house to tell her that if I was elected Prime-Minister that I was "going to take away her fuel payment, her bus pass, close the local hospital, cut her pension" she was close to tears. This must stop. I want a honest debate about our future, but this scaremongering must stop now.

The Prime-Minister may think his made-up numbers about Tory cuts will win him back a few votes. He couldn'’t be more wrong. People don’t believe the phony statistics and falsehoods he tells about his own policies and so they certainly won’t believe the phony statistics and falsehoods he tells about ours. The British people know we can have lower taxes and better public services if we spend wisely. They know it can be done.

And we’re going to do it.

As Prime-Minister can I make it clear, I don't think I will solve every problem, I don't think I avoid every mistake, I won't try to start a new fad or a fashions, I won't claim to be starting an new era. What the British people will get with me, is honest, decent, low-cost Government. No spin, no paying attention more to the headlines than running the country. I want to lead a Government that the people can trust.

From this Conference we go out into battle. It has been made perfectly plain that the battle is not far away. We go out to fight for higher living standards for our people, to fight for a better deal for those in need, to fight for a strong Britain, to fight not for a narrow sectional or class interest but to fight for the interests of all the people in this country.

Let us be under no illusions. I have never been under any illusions since the moment I first spoke to you when you elected me Leader of this Party. It will be a hard battle to fight, and I hope that everybody realises that. Victory will not come easily. The message we send out to our party in the country and to the whole nation is this: We are ready; we are confident; we know that we are in the right; and when the challenge comes, victory will be won.
 
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JoeMulk

Banned
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In baseball news the Houston Astros defeated the Cincinatti Reds 5-0 to take a two games to nothing lead in the NLCS, The Mets and Giants are tied at one game a piece. The Yankees and Angels are set to play to night, after the Yankees won the first game last night and the Red Socks are up one game over the Tigers, but are currently down 2-1 in the fourth inning.
 
CONSERVATIVE HOME.COM

Wednesday October 6th 2010

Review of the Conference Day Four-Wednesday


So another conference is over, and what a great one it has been. Andrew Carter's speech today was a great ending. Powerful, honest, and clear about what he would do in government. Many believe he has been taking a long hard look at the Presidential campaign of Glen Allen Walken in the states. Indeed the focus of cuts and reducing the deficit is almost the same as Walken. Not that is a bad thing. He looked like a Prime-Minister, and he steered away from any mention of Europe, but also headed off the main Labour attack on spending cuts, and that he was a return to the past. It was strategic speech in that sense.
The day started with the speech many had been waiting for, the new Conference pin-up boy, Nigel Jay. Did he disappoint, no. Bloody hell what a performance. No notes it was very impressive. Jay who is a former schoolteacher gave his report on the Labour Government "F- Failed,Failed on taxes, failed on jobs, failed on everything". Again he was another Conservative to take the mickey out of the Prime-Minister, and his failure to use the internet. "I see in Blackpool last week, that the Government, has pledged more internet usage, and computer lessions in schools, maybe they could give some to the Prime-Minister".
One of my esteemed colleagues, said after Jay's speech that he was putting on a bet that in ten years time, that Jay would be PM, and Cody Riley, the young but Senior Senator from Alabama, would be President of the United States, a bold bet, but the both of them, are the clear golden boys at the moment.
So as we head back from Bournemouth, the question is, can we win, of course. Andrew Carter has built on the work of James Taylor, but we have a strong message, and a excllent Shadow Cabinet. With the General election expected in the spring, I say, bring it on.
 
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VP Candidate Clark's 7th Grade Boyfriend Marries Man Today

His name was Parker Johnson and her name was Elizabeth Clarke. The two friends grew up together and eventually "dated" in the 7th grade. The VP Candidate Admits, "Parker Johnson was my first kiss". But now, that might be something she doesn't share with everyone for today Parker Johnson married a man, Garret Lawrence. The couple had moved to Vermont so they could be legally married. Parker Johnson said this about his wedding, "If I had never known Elizabeth Clarke, my marriage would not be a big deal, why now is it all over CNN?". CNN News Anchor Wolf Blitzer devoted 25 minutes of his show The Situation Room on the marriage between Mr. and Mr. Johnson.

But, Wolf Blitzer was not the only one! The Today Show dedicated 15 minutes to the marriage and Good Morning America spent their first 10 minutes covering the story. VP Candidate Clark did not respond to questions by our news agency, but she did release a statement. "Parker and I dated in 7th Grade, when "dating" was holding-hands and hugging. Yes, he was my first kiss, but I knew he had turned gay mid-college. I wish him all the best in his marriage." We can confirm that Liz Clark sent a small wedding gift to the newly-wed couple.
 
New York Times
October 6, 2010


Blakemore would-be Assassin to be sentenced tomorrow

David Kirkwood the man who fired several shots at former Michigan Governor Marcus Blakemore, Cliff Calley and Matt McConnell was found guilty on 10 charges of attempted murder. Kirkwood is expected to serve a 20 to life term, at Ossining Penitentiary in New York. Kirkwood Lawyer, Ron Daniels said "Kirkwood is suffering a mental instability phase, this is no doubt what caused him to think about an act of murder on the governor". When asked about the sentence Daniels responded, "I do not think it's fair,no" He offered no comment about any racial motivation Kirkwood might have had.

Below: Profile of David Kirkwood

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Here's a sidebar for the 111th Congress:
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And here's links to the Senate and House list (the latter might be too big for this page). 37 House members are unnamed, and as-such have been "blacked out." The recent 535's (Utah, Michigan, and Idaho) have been added, as well as JoeMulk's offhand reference to a "Mickey Krauss" in Wisconsin (I placed him at WI-7).

But to help visualize it, here's the Party composition by state for the Senate:
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and by the House:
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I based it on the Wikipedia images (here and here). The independents are placed in the House list on how they caucus (2 as Republicans, 3 as Democrats).
 
ooc: great work as always Tim. I put House Majority leader Drake Headley in the 8th, just as a heads up. Also, i believe Perry Wallingford (Colorado 4th) is a democrat, not a republican. And I know I've been saying this for a while, but I'm almost done with Alabama's 535. Hopefully it'll be up tomorrow.

Edit: It seems you've forgotten the Colorado 7th. You skipped Rep. Sophia Hill (6th) who's a liberal republican.

IC:

RealClearPolitics.com

DCCC ad buy focused in Key states


DNC chairman, Josh Lyman reported a 21 million dollar fundraising collection in September, vastly outpacing the 15 million raised by his republican counterpart. Lyman has made clear his intentions to help the democrats make significant gains in the house, and hopefully take back the senate. He's reportedly given quite a bit of his reapings to the DCCC and Chairman Noah Gellman.

Gellman has been running a tight ship and has his deputies running poll after poll after poll picking out the most vulnerable seats. Despite personal misgivings, he's trying to help out disgruntled former Speaker, Mark Sellner, among other not-so-safe members. He's made clear that a top priority is to stem the republican tide from invading traditional states, which has led him to funnel boatloads of cash into California. Reps like Kristin Vazquez, Annie Cao, and Aaron Holmes, sitting in key swing districts are among those he's targeting.

But after protecting the homefront, he's got an aggressive plan to take the fight to the republicans. Like what you ask? Former House Majority leader, John Connally? He's in a tough race against Mayor of Permian, Laura Tam, leading by only 4 points. Tam, a social conservative, fiscal liberal has a message resonating with the district that hasn't elected a democrat since the 70s. Other districts in Texas including the 10th and 21st, represented by CC Robertson and Benedicto Romero, located around the liberal center of Austin, are getting flooded with money, with strong candidates running, despite being gerrymandered. States like Florida, Michigan, and Ohio are also being targeted. Gellman has a plan, and if it works, he's going to be rewarded with a key position in the house leadership. If it doesn't, he just might never see the light of day in a respectable committee assignment.
 
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Wallingford was a copy-and-paste error. He's correct in my master spreadsheet (and I just added Headley, thanks), but it's a lot of work hand-typing into Wikipedia-style. I actually totally messed up Colorado (I took away one seat, Sophia Hill has disappeared!). I'll consider it vandalism by some Elise Lemper and Mitch Cox supporters.

Corrected House map (Colorado is not an even 3-3 split, it's 4-3, making it light blue).
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politico.com

Top US President Poll



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Recently, while during a Presidential election, Gallup Polling Organization decided it would be interesting who the people believed to be the top 5 best US Presidents in history. They then compared it to notable economists and political scientists and averaged the scores out to create the following list:

1) Franklin Roosevelt. Overwhelmingly, voted to be the best President this country has had in it's history. Nobel Prize winning economist, Paul Krugman said, "The reason why FDR was and remains so popular is because of a simple fact that even conservatives agree with. He lifted himself from a wheelchair, to lift the country from it's knees."

2) Abraham Lincoln. The man kept this country from ripping itself apart from the seems. What's funny? Most people at the the time guaranteed he wouldn't win a second term. Saying he was undemocratic, anti-business, etc... Now look.

3) George Washington. Most people simply said that they liked him because he was the first president. Although political historians were able to cite things he did in laying the foundation for our future.

4) Thomas Jefferson. The man who's legacy is carried on in both major parties of today. His crowning achievement would be purchasing half of our country for half the price of A-Rods yearly salary.

5) Jed Bartlet. The man who reinvented liberal as a good word in the eyes of the American people, oversaw the greatest and largest peace time growth of our economy ever. A man who combined the best of FDR and JFK to create the ideal President.

Rounding out the top 10:
6) James Madison
7) Theodore Roosevelt
8) Owen Lassiter
9) John Kennedy
10) Woodrow Wilson
 
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The Mix Blog
By Dave Dernazza.

It's been quite awhile since I did a Governor's Line, so let's get to it!

There's some major shifts on the line-Nobody has gone off, but the caliber of the races has been raised. These are now heavyweight contests, and there will be a lot of jockeying before it is all said and done.

10). OHIO: Incumbent Simon Halley has managed to reverse his roller-coaster approval ratings, and is now sitting steady-At 51%. But it is an improvement. Meanwhile, Congressman Jim Marino has had a few "Duh!" moments in the past couple of weeks, and has had some trouble fundraising. The increased presence of the Walken campaign will boost Halley, and with the Santos campaign trying to stop the bleeding in other states, Marino can't expect a lot of help from the top of the ticket.

9). NORTH CAROLINA: This race would be higher, save for the frontloading at the top. Andrew Wu has started to regain his formidable campaigning skills, and has been out on the trail instead of campaigning from the Governor's Mansion. But Brent Cullner hasn't given up-His combination of fierce toughness and blunt charm (If the two words can be combined in such a matter) has made him a hell of an opponent. In this case, Matt Santos' unusual popularity can help Cullner. Wu will need every ounce of political muster he has to save his Governorship and his future in the Republican Party.

8). CONNECTICUT: Again, would be higher if not for the frontloading.
If Louise Northman-Page was running against Chris Casey, she would be at least 17 points down, and the press would be calling for Casey to FINISH HER! Sorry, my nephew just discovered Mortal Kombat.
But it's not Casey, it's Michelle van Dorn, and Northman-Paige has just taken a 2 point lead on her. Casey has taken the time from his Senate campaign to stump for his Lieutenant (And it's amazing that he has time to take), but I'm beginning to wonder if Casey regrets jumping for the Senate.

7). MICHIGAN: This race drops due to the inclusion of Brandon Fields onto the field for Ruth Hutchins. In baseball terms, Hutchins is the flagging starting pitcher, and Fields is a combination of Dennis Eckersley, Trevor Hoffman and Mariano Rivera. In other words, he's the super-closer. Unusual for a Mayor of Detroit, Fields has excellent statewide approval ratings, and if Hutchins wins reelection, she will owe a big favor to Fields. John Brennan still hasn't done anything wrong, and has been a very strong campaigner, with a 5-point lead. But this race just got more interesting.

6). COLORADO: Oliver Moseley has done a wonderful job in campaigning against Jack Wallace. Unlike his father, he's broadcasted a mostly positive message, and has been talking about what he will do for the people of Colorado. Wallace has reacted badly, and has recently gone negative. The best example of this was during their first debate, when Wallace claimed that "This man will be as bad in the Governor's Mansion as his father is in the Senate!" Moseley jumped in with this rejoiner: "Governor, I'm not my father, and if he's so bad in the Senate, why didn't you run against him?" The crowd loved it.

5). NEW MEXICO: This got shifted due to the Mexican earthquake, and the fact that Henry Gomez had been down in Mexico at the time. Confirmation that he was alive boosted his numbers out of sympathy, and when he said that he was staying down there in order to help? Major bounce! Simeon Ratner and Rudi Vansen (Who has shown a hell of a lot of political backbone and intelligence in keeping the race close) are now tied for 2nd-But still only 6 points behind Gomez. This race could shift day-to-day, and will be one to watch.

4). NEW YORK: After a bruising primary, DA Matthew Lewis was finally named the Democratic nominee, setting a heavyweight fight with former New York City Mayor Blake Marshall. With both men hailing from the downstate region, and both receiving high-powered endorsements (Thorn, Daschowitz, Tillman, Santos, Walken, Cruger, Stephens, Blakemore), this race will be as close to electoral war as we may see, and will be decided in the upstate region. Game on!

3). NEVADA: I'm probably a little enthusiastic, putting this race this high. But hey, I'm only human.
Anyways, Governor Dan Carrington placed his entire political future on the idea that Daniel Ellis really was former Senator Randy Broughton's illegitimate son. The DNA results finally came back in October (Very daytime TV/soap opera, no?), and the results were.....Negative. Ellis was somebody else's kid.
Meanwhile, Broughton had been canvassing the state, touting his work on the issues, and generally working to make a positive impression of himself. So with Carrington's hopes now dashed, he really doesn't have anything to fall back on, while Broughton has a message.

2). MONTANA: Again, I might be putting this race too high. But I went to see both Kurt Carner and Scott Lynch campaign. Here are my reactions in one word.
Carner: WOW!
Lynch: meh.
Lynch has got the stench of corruption and machine politics too deeply ingrained in him, and people are ready for a change. Worse, he seems dull and like he's running just because he can.
Carner's excellence on the stump and in debates and that folksy-charm is irresistible, and he's followed the example of Robert Starkey-the people will listen to you if you don't act like you're different from them. From his love of quail-hunting to the fact that he can ride a horse(Very well), Carner connects with the people, and that lets him talk about things like health care and education. Of course, a powerful family name and $6 million in campaign funds don't hurt nothin', does it?

1). TENNESSEE: As they say in the Grand Ole Opry, "Ladies and gentlemen, Govenor Shane Denham!"
 
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washingtonpost.com, Tuesday October 5th

Kazakhstan Draw Down Under Way

With the tragic events in Mexico last week many news stations have managed to miss one of the more significant events in recent US foreign policy – the beginning of a staged withdrawal from Kazakhstan as part of the implementation of the Antwerp plan.

Monday of this week so the beginning of a troop withdrawal, although it remains at a low level and will continue on a small scale until the elections scheduled for January 10th next year. Larger scale withdrawal is planned for the spring of next year.

There had been some discussion last week that the withdrawal maybe postponed until next year amid rumblings of discontent from commanders on the ground and military analysts in the US with some commentators suggesting that withdrawal before the elections next year was risky. Defense Secretary Mike Franco dismissed these suggestions saying “Both the Chinese and Russians have made significant reductions in ground forces. As part of the agreement we also need to draw down, we will retain more than enough troops to police the elections and ensure that a stable and democratic government is established.”

Wait... what? When did this happen? I guess we weren't talking about it, but I had the elections pretty firmly set for October 23rd, and was planning for them. I'm just a little perturbed that this major storyline was rescheduled again.

Here's some interesting images:
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2010: Former President Newman (D-AL) meets gubernatorial candidate James Ritchie (R-FL). Hopefully this doesn't reach the papers!

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2008: Former President Bartlet makes up with '98 Green Party VP candidate Wendy LaMarr when they both attend an AARP bruncheon.

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1975: What State Representative Bartlet thought would be the highlight of his career. His visit to the Vatican and meeting with Pope Paul VI.

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2009: Tallahassee Mayor Ryan Hendrix gets into a mock fight with Minnesota Congressman Edward McBain. I think McBain has this one.

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UK Home Secretary Jonathan Moseley doesn't want to stand too close to former Prime Minister Ricky Meyer - the man whose ineptitude nearly brought down the Labour Party six years ago.

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2007: Attorney General Brad Shelton and Georgia Governor Charlie Forrester both look uncomfortable in their flight suits before a trip and photo-op with the President in Gaza
(note: Robert Picardo - as the one actor I've actually met and had a conversation with - deserves a listing here. This is the only photo of him I could find with another (casted) celebrity, so let's ignore the goofiness.)

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Former Congressman Peter Cooke (Lib.-CA) and Congressman Peter Swanson (D-MA) are well-known in DC social circles. Cooke wants back so badly, he's trying a presidential run!

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Congressman Stephen Collins is getting awfully cozy with campaign staffer Connie Tate. At least that's what the Royce campaign is silently insinuating. I'm sure his wife Sofia would like to hear more.

(Arnold Schwarzennegger as Edward McBain; Ron Perlman as Peter Cooke; Seth McFarlane as Peter Swanson - all were in my head before I looked for pictures)
 
Wait... what? When did this happen? I guess we weren't talking about it, but I had the elections pretty firmly set for October 23rd, and was planning for them. I'm just a little perturbed that this major storyline was rescheduled again.

Sorry Tim - completley missed that the election date had been set. I've edited the post so that Jan 10th is now the scheduled swearing in of the new government, so continue as you were with October 23rd.
 
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535.com Special Report
Part 38 of 50
Previous entries

We go from whatever state we were in last (Idaho?) to another one of our surrounded states, North Dakota.

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For this edition of 535 Special Report, we're talking with Bismark Tribune statistician, Frank Kellogg:

North Dakota is one of the more Republican states in the Union, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10. In the 30 presidential elections it's participated in since it's founding, North Dakota has voted for the Republican candidate in all elections but five. Three of which (1932, 1936, and 1964) were Democratic landslides, and the state has been a Republican haven since 1968, even during Josiah Bartlet's 2002 landslide, when he otherwise managed to take South Dakota and Montana. North Dakota did vote for Bartlet-prototype Woodrow Wilson, twice.

That being said, we've only had one Republican Senator (current Senator Jon Rinier) and one Republican Congressman (the late Thomas Korb) in the last 30 years. During the early half of the 20th century, state politics were run by the Nonpartisan League, a Socialist (yes, socialist!) founded group that spread throughout the Northwest United States and Southwest Canada. The Nonpartisan League was originally allied with Republicans in North Dakota (apart from being "nonpartisan") but in 1956 they merged with the state Democratic Party. North Dakota is the last vestige of the Nonpartisan League, which operates as the Democratic Non-Partisan League today. As such, it is the only major Socialist party in the United States (take that, Hayden Straus!). Although technically, they have long-since removed their socialist agenda and are more of a centrist, Blue Dog party.

Democrats (with one notable exception) tend to be right of center here. Republicans more so. There are three legislators representing North Dakota, two Senators and one at-large Representative, each representing a different political party and each a different part of the political spectrum. It is a very interesting and unique place in American politics, one that most don't realize.

Senior Senator: Seth Gillette, Progressive Alliance
Elected: 1989 (Class I; fourth term)
Residence: Grand Forks

Senator Gillette holds a unique place in the United States Senate, North Dakota politics, and Democratic establishment. Although he does come from a rich family (I believe they invented the safety razor), he has donated most of his inheritance to charitable causes and devoted his life to public service. The at-large Congressman for over a decade before his election to the Senate, Gillette has established himself as a key member of the Liberal movement, years before Presidents Bartlet or Santos were on the scene and all this "Youth in Revolt" nonsense. Gillette's ascendancy led to other prominent liberal names, such as Senator Ricky Rafferty of Oregon and former Congressman Kevin Harris of Wyoming to emerge from the Northwest and Great Plains states. He was a huge opponent of the Social Security Reform Act of 2005, disagreeing with moving of the retirement age, and is a major driving force in the ethanol movement.
Electoral prospects: Gillette plays well in his homestate. He has shown himself to be above partisan politics, especially with his recent exit from the Democratic Party, and holds weekly luncheons in small towns around North Dakota. He has donated his Senate salary to environmental causes, and is one of the chief architects in North Dakota's growing wind and solar farms. That being said, he nearly lost once in his 1994 re-election (partially attributed to Lassiter's landslide in that state). He is painted by the right as a fringe environmentalist-loon, and has been criticized for the amount of earmarks he gets to the state (second worst in the current Senate). Not that that's a bad thing to local voters.

Junior Senator: Jon Rinier, Republican Party
Elected: 2004 (Class III; first term)
Residence: Fargo

Upon election, Jon Rinier was declared a national conservative hero. He has compared himself to Joseph Furman in his credentials. He is the ideological opposite of Seth Gillette, but shares many of his ideals in farm subsidies and ethanol. Unlike Gillette, Rinier has had to work for his position, a trait admired by North Dakotans, and lauded by the Republican Party at large. He hasn't been able to secure any position yet in the National Republican Party, but should he get re-elected he very well might.
Electoral prospects: Tough to say. Rinier has gone through a bit of self-destruction this last year. He separated from his wife of several years, a big no-no in North Dakota politics, and is rumored to have had a mistress (unlike Thomas Ford though, we don't have video proof!). No presidential candidate has made a stop in North Dakota this election season, except for Ray Sullivan in the primary (which kept him around a little longer), so neither Rinier or his challenger Conroy has had any public help from them. Rinier should have learned one more lesson from Joe Furman: No wife, no problems (although that's also a North Dakota no-no).

At-Large Congressman: Harry Conroy, Democratic-NPL Party
Elected: 2005 (special election to fill deceased Congressman Korb's seat; third term)
Residence: Fargo

Harry Conroy is the indisputed leader of the Democratic Non-Partisan League. He was chairman until his election to Congress, and still rules behind-the-scenes. Born in Spokane, Conroy moved to North Dakota in 1974 as a university student. He hasn't left since, figuratively. He's the first non-legacy to hold any sort of sway over the party and has stepped up to the plate when Gillette started distancing himself from state Democrats in 2002 (when he formed a third-party exploratory committee for President). Conroy's major issue, from his time in the Legislative Assembly to his D-NPL Chairmanship to his career in the United States Congress, has been expanding the tourism industry. He has made remarkable strides in that region, but his failed his biggest task: renaming the state. That's right, Conroy's major platform is renaming North Dakota to "Dakota" something he introduced when first elected to the state legislature in 1989 (and was rejected). He hasn't held back and has met with the State Governors' Association, the White House, even the Postal Service on this issue, although I don't think the latter has any conceivable jurisdiction.
Electoral prospects: Not running. Harry Conroy is the D-NPL candidate for United States Senator. Like every election of the last 48 years, the state will almost assuredly vote for Walken as President. How big of a landslide he gets could very well determine who wins in the toss-up Senate seat between alcoholic philanderer Rinier and Democrat Conroy (which is the worse of the two evils? - many North Dakotans will ask). Conroy isn't much of a campaigner, but the DNC seems assured of his chances and Gillette has helped with some stump speeches (as did a brief appearance by former VP Bob Russell in August). As for the Congressional seat, Democrat Betty Wells is up against Republican Veronica Benjamin in what will elect the first Congresswoman from North Dakota. Benjamin is a political unknown but has the R next to her name, whereas Wells is the odds-on favorite as the former Governor's daughter-in-law. Wells has a 6-point lead over Benjamin, presently.

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ANd the very black 535 State map. Maybe I should have chosen a different color.
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Given how long it's taking Kahuku to finish up on Alabama, I could see why we've been avoiding the deep South (I had to do Florida, South Carolina, and Texas). Not that I'm one to talk.

Wisconsin's a good Democratic-leaning state. Alternatively West Virginia. Since we finished the West Coast pretty thoroughly, it'd be nice if someone could do Georgia and tie up the East Coast. It's the only one of the 13 colonies left!

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Georgia, Georgia, Georgia....Georgia on my mind!

I will take the Peachtree State.

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Ah-nuld as McBain:

"Tha Republicans vill be terminated!"
 
Thursday, October 7, 2010

House Races To Watch



Michigan 8th- Darren Gibson's home district is coming off the board esily. a heavily conservative 8th District may assure another term for the Congressman (much to the detriment of those who are his enemies in Congress. A heavy push from Walken avoided the forming of a PAC by the Michigan Constitution Party, to remove him simply because----he's an unbearable man. It looks like Gibson will regain his home plate for another year. Wouldn't bet on 2012 for him though!

Tennessee 4th- Harvey Mann is near to being finished he has one chance against Walt Peterson and that is to close a 50-20% gap.

New York 17th- Martin Reid and Jose Alvarez are neck and neck and with a new Dominican population in the 17th one might say Alvarez has the edge. However, Reid has the Jewish, Asian, Euro-White and other minorities (other than Black and Hispanic). It really comes down to the 6% Black population in the District which normally votes Democratic. Santos hadn't stopped there yet, Walken, Stephens and Cruger have been there for Reid and Vice President Eisenhower is flying out tomorrow for NY races! Even VP Hoynes and Reid and Cruger were at a Habitat for Humanity event where they were painting houses together.

New York 3rd- Republican Jack Johnson, who tried to run for Senate on the Conservative Party line has had his last year in Congress. Many are petitioning a "Wendt-esque" expulsion for him on the ticket in exchange for moderate Drake Thompson, but he narrowly lasted on election night. Ronnie Tucker, a Jets- linebacker, looks sure to take that seat.

Massachusetts 1st - Interestingly enough MArk Sellner may narrowly hang on to his district. Sellner has the means to outspend Mike Abrams in the MA-1st, Abrams and Sellner will be debating a week from tonight for the seat.

Colorado 3rd- Harper Colfax debated B ob Randall on Tuesday, and the debate polling leans Randall. However, Randall is tied with Colfax and Colfax is popivotal on a Democratic agenda for health care, so Santos will be in the district before the week is up.

New Jersey 9th- Santos is losing control in another vital House Seat. The Reactionary Democrat candidate Alan Spanning still thinks he has a chance when all he is doing is defeating Democratic incumbent Harvey Lewton. Mike Sheare mifght actually take this seat if Spanning remains on the ballot.



New York 25th- Tom Phelps is in free fall in the 25th. It is doubtful he can hold the seat against Rochester Mayor Jack Rivers. Rivers is polling 8-points ahead at this time

Vermont-At-Large- Replacing Matt Skinner is going to be tough for GOP candidate John Hanson Mayor of Montpelier. Hattie Lively is within the margin of error at this point and a good debate for Hanson could make the difference between win or lose on election day.

Maine 1st- Greg Stillson lately formed a PAC as an Independent and may be the only Independent gain in the Congressional Election. He is polling well ahead of Richard Springer running as a Republican. The Margins in the Maine 1st are Frost 32%-Stillson 29%-Springer 25%
 
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