Battleground: Jacksonville
By Nate Bradshaw
With the Republican Convention ending tonight, many people are looking ahead to next week, and the Democratic Convention. However, while the Republican Convention is notoriously boring and somewhat meaningless to Americans, the Democratic Convention historically always has a little flare, if not a giant inferno. Look at four years ago, in San Diego, it was a brokered convention that started off between then-Vice President Bob Russell narrowly leading then-Congressman Matt Santos in the delegate count with former Vice President John Hoynes in a distant third. Then the whole thing was thrown for a loop when then-Governor Eric Baker joined the fun, throwing his hat into the ring. It was politics at its worst. But it also drew two times as many viewers as the Republican Convention did. Not to mention inspiring the speech President Santos gave reaffirming his candidacy that swung the delegates in his favor.
This year, the convention will be highlighted by the expected floor challenge by Senator Ricky Rafferty of Oregon. Rafferty, a member of the so called "Bartlet Wing" of the party, otherwise known as the liberal wing, is a known attention seeker. And she will likely get her behind handed to her on the first ballot. But she is just the opening salvo to a much bigger, potential problem. Mayor Jimmy Fitzsimmons of Boston has been a constant critic of the President, and there are plenty of old enemies the President has in the party. While it is assumed that the President will be renominated, if and when Rafferty pulls her trick, it will assuredly awaken a few sleeping giants in the democratic party. Even though Rafferty is an attention grabber, and isn't particularly popular in the liberal wing, she is a liberal. And she will inspire the younger voters. She will call out the President for his moderate policies, and his ineffectiveness as a leader these past four years. She may very well turn out to be the catalyst that sparks the democratic party's civil war.
For weeks now, we've heard about the war brewing in the Democratic Party. You have the Bartlet-era liberals squaring off against the Santos moderates. As much as Rafferty would like to tell everyone that she is the leader of the Bartlet Wing, everyone knows, including her, that Senator Andrew Thorn is the real man in power. Thorn has further cemented his position as the leader of the liberals, by recruiting and helping raise young political minds to national level. Such as Stephen Collins, David Kuhio, Jackson Kennedy, among others. Not to mention it was at his urging, that Sam Seaborne finally decided to run for the California Senate seat, which he seems poised to win. It is said that in a private meeting, while he was writing his first book, that Thorn convinced Jackson Kennedy to begin a political career. One that looks to skyrocket in the coming years. But many others have been raised under Thorn's wing, and he has quietly built up quite a liberal political machine for the years to come. He has support in the DNC from Chairman Josh Lyman, he has support in the House with Will Bailey, Mark Richardson, Claudia Greenwood, among others, and in the senate, assuming Seaborne, Collins, and Kuhio win their seats, they will join his pack that already includes George Montgomery, William Wiley, Ryan Lyndell, and Andy Ritter, among others. Others that have rallied around Thorn, include former-Governor Gabe Tillman of California, incumbent Governor Kevin Clarkson of California, Governor Janet Lorton of Vermont, among many others.
The Santos Wing, is, obviously, led by President Santos, but his political career, in this situation, is effectively over. If he wins, he won't be leading the wing anymore, and if he loses, he won't be leading the wing anymore. The automatic frontrunner people would look to, is Vice-President Wendell Tripplehorn. He'll be 64 in 2014, a good age to run. Tripplehorn will have a few friends to help him out in Governor Mark Katzenmoyer of Wisconsin, Senator Tim McCord of South Carolina, August Adair of Ohio and a few high-ranking party officials. Such as White House Chief of Staff Nate Singer, who aims to follow Josh Lyman and take a candidate to the White House on his own.
The point in all of this is that the party is already divided. And it is safe to say that if the war breaks out at the convention, it will ruin the party for this election season, and throw victory to the Walken-Clark ticket. So people on both wings of the party are attempting to solve this problem quickly. Even with Thorn's plans for higher office, he won't risk the party for himself. Neither will Tripplehorn. So the question is: Will Ricky Rafferty's ego be big enough so as to throw away any chance for the democratic party to win this year?