So looking at the situation in Somalia, the end of 2010 saw a smallscale attempt by the islamists to try and take over Puntland. Somaliland pushed forward but was forced to fall back after the movement was crushed.
However, what if this islamist group managed to gather just enough momentum to propel Puntland into a civil war within the wider civil war. We can probably assume that Somaliland manages to win control of all claimed territories, but does this have any bearing on her own independence movement. What about the view from abroad given that Puntland has been one of the groups cracking down on Islamists and Pirates.
Thoughts.