2010: An Obama October Surprise?

What happens if the US government has an intelligence breakthrough and pieces together the same circumstantial puzzle on Osama bin Laden, except earlier - like say in late October 2010?

How much of an effect would this have had on the mid-term elections in 2010?

(I think this is an interesting topic to speculate on because in this past there has been discussion of a Bush October Surprise concerning OBL.)
 
What happens if the US government has an intelligence breakthrough and pieces together the same circumstantial puzzle on Osama bin Laden, except earlier - like say in late October 2010?

How much of an effect would this have had on the mid-term elections in 2010?

(I think this is an interesting topic to speculate on because in this past there has been discussion of a Bush October Surprise concerning OBL.)
I doubt it boosts them more then 1 percent in the senate elections. Might hold Pennsylvania and Illinois senate seats coupled with a handful of house seats, but no more then that.
 
Honestly, I'm not sure it helps that much. Unless it's like the 2011 Canadia election in that people are pushed one side or the other in the last week. That, however seems unlikely.
 
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