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Let's say Dole doesn't run in 1996, who would most likely win the nod from the GOP? Can they beat Cinton?

Potential GOP Candidates:
Tommy Thompson, Governor of Wisconsin
John McCain, U.S. Senator from Arizona
Newt Gingrich, Speaker of the House

Feel free to add more. I'm saying Tommy Thompson has a legit shot at nod because of his national popularity in the mid '90's.
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