alternatehistory.com

In 1938 the Czechoslovakia, with Romania guaranteed refused Germany for Sudetenland. After the ultimatum, Germany, Italy, Poland and Hungary adventurously declared war on Czechoslovakia. And there was no further appeasement, unprepared France and Britain thought it is the best time to end the Third Reich, so they helped Little Entente and suffered slighter losses than our timeline, and Germany is completely defeated in 1940, with a harsh peace treaty. In addition, Spanish Civil War ended up with a republican victory with French assistance and voluntary forces. Britain eventually realized that the world is too dangerous for the old colonial empires, just similar to our timeline how Soviet Union and United States carried out "Decolonization" and "Neocolonialism", so most of the European nations founded an "European Union".
There is no Molotov–Ribbentrop Pact or other similar cooperation between Soviet Union and western nations, so their military force was weakened, and the old Polish–Soviet was maintained. Still, millions of soldier were deployed in the western border. The American economy was damaged hard because they could not export ammunition. They formed a secret Soviet Union–United States Alliance in order to liberate colonies and seperate Europe powers, for markets and resources. In contrast, Britain, France and Japan restated the Anglo–Japanese Alliance, which includes a compromised naval treaty, and an agreement that Britain, France and Netherlands would deliver some resource-rich Far Eastern colonies (French Indochina, British Malaysia and Dutch East Indies) if Japan helped them in a war against the Soviet Union
In 1942, after some restoration and industrialization, the Soviet Union seeked for claimed Eastern European territories. With diplomatic support, Poland, Romania and Finland diffidently rejected, and a war between Communist International and European began.
Unlike German-Soviet War in our timeline, the Entente was more united (protectorates and satellite state did not help German much) and we had four great powers, Britain, France, weakened Germany and Italy began total mobilization. Although they did not unexpectedly invaded, well, the European powers had superiority on population and industry, so...
My prediction was that the United States would not directly declare war on European Union, until Japan and/or Latin America were involved. At first Soviet Union was successful for they had more standing army, however monthes later a total war began, European side could attrit Soviet forces, and an alternative Operation Barbarossa took place. Probably they could achieve the Arkhangelsk-Astrakhan line, and establish some liberated or vassalize some satellite state, such as Ukraine, Belarus, Don Republic, Kuban Republic, Mountainous Republic of the Caucasus, etc.. While Soviet Force could still resist with Ural Mountains.
When Japan defeated China and sign a treaty to fulfill the Greater East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere by war with the soviets, I guess they would be defeated and guerrilla war would began all over the Northern China (I thought the Nationalist Party of China were anti-communist).
In 1950, with massive supplement from United States the Soviet Union could rebulit their industry systematically in Siberia, and propagate true communism in China. European Union would be realized, and the next step could be European Confederation, with colonies from Latin America to Africa, Asia and Oceania. They would vassalize the Latin America before the Americans, and keep struggle with Russians. The colonies, I believed that they would be more autonomous, but not independent. Japan would suffered heavy losses in the Pacific Ocean, but British and French Navy could support them. Britain could maintain the command of the atlantic ocean if they control Panama Canal.
Also, I thought the French could researched the nuclear weapons than others, historically the first atomic bomb used some Belgian materials, and France was always good at military stuff.
Please leave some comments, ideas and suggestions.
Top