1917 Central Powers victory: Could the Austria-Hungary Empire survive?

Butterflies. A CP victory in 1917 means the situation on the ground isent exactly the same as IOTL, and A-H is going to be in at least a slightly better position. As for the Kingdom of Poland, it was still in the formative stages and could very well go off in a different direction as it solidifies: indeed, they still have a regency council, not even a full monarch. Who's to say they don't elect Emperor Charles precisely to avoid getting crushed under the German thumb entirely? A-H is still going to be rewarded with SOMETHING.

Look, you came asking for opinions, but you seem pretty dead set on calling A-H doomed. I disagree, but it's your timeline so I won't argue any more. I've said my peace

Yes, but with what? Hungary didn't really want much and while Charles may able to do something, Hungary still has a prominent say, which tends to hamstring Austria a fair bit.

I was asking about likelihood of any of these happening. I'm sure that alof of your solutions would work, but whether it could be forced past the Magyar elite in time to come up with some arrangement is unknown, but maybe low. I do thhank you very uch for your ideas! You're quite knowledgable.
 
Yes, but with what? Hungary didn't really want much and while Charles may able to do something, Hungary still has a prominent say, which tends to hamstring Austria a fair bit.

I was asking about likelihood of any of these happening. I'm sure that alof of your solutions would work, but whether it could be forced past the Magyar elite in time to come up with some arrangement is unknown, but maybe low. I do thhank you very uch for your ideas! You're quite knowledgable.

...Poland, or read my first post again.

The Habsburg Empire can certainly survive in the event of a mid-1917 victory: if nothing else, the sudden rush of civilian prosperity (relative to the economic privations of the war) and general violence-weariness the population is going to be having after all the conflict will give Vienna some breathing space, especially since the ascendance of the young Emperor Charles would give some hope of political change since faith in his leadership hasen't been overly tainted by war-necessitated despotic actions. While probably not enough to change the fundimental Dualist structure (Unless, of course, its a move to Trialism with the addition of a Polish crown), there's going to be enough political capital for reform to satisfy all but the most radical nationalists, who probably get discredited in the eyes of the populace if they insist on continued violence/destablization of society in a country that's going to be screaming "No more war!"

As for territorial gains, they're going to be minor: the Hungarian half of the Empire especially aren't exactly keen on absorbing poor, wrecked territories filled with surely minorities (Hell, they called for no annexations even at the start of the war). Historical minor border revisions with Romania, the establishment of a client regieme in Albania (w/ Kosovo and parts of Macedonia added to it), disarmament and subordination of Serbia, and some minor shifts on the Italian border to increase security seem the most likely. If there's any further gains, it's likely with an agreement with Germany to merge parts of Poland with Galicia to form a third Crown within the Empire dominated by the Poles, who were by far the most loyal of the larger minorities, and could be formed without infringing on the rights/territory of the Magyars. This would help stablize the nation by giving yet another major group a strong interest in preserving the status quo and effectively isolating/containing the Czechs.
 
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