Wilson's victory in 1912 is often thought to be because the Republican vote was split between Taft and Roosevelt. It was certainly on Wilson's mind when he was running for re-election in 1916. But what if there was no Progressive Split? What if the Republicans set on one choice, and the other behaved themselves?
Two scenarios: Wilson(Democrat) vs Taft(Republican) and Wilson(Democrat) vs Roosevelt(Republican). In each, who's the victor? Will the Big Chief stay in office if he runs? Is the Trust Buster going to get the vaunted third term? Will the Schoolmaster beat either of them, or strike a hole in one and win in both scenarios?