1703: A Franco-Bavarian army takes Vienna

With the spring of 1703, the French prepared to utilise the path to Vienna thrown open to them by Bavaria's action. In March Villars secured Kehl, and, pushing across the Black Forest by Villingen, joined the Bavarian Elector near Ulm (May 9), unimpeded by Lewis of Baden, who lay inactive in his celebrated lines of Stolhofen, watched by another French corps under Marshal Tallard. The Elector would not have been there for Villars to join, had but Styrum, who commanded the troops of the Franconian Circle, cooperated with the 19,000 Austrians under Schlick on the Inn. Their failure to unite had allowed the Elector to capture Ratisbon, and to inflict on Schlick's isolated corps a sharp reverse at Scharding (March 11).

Vienna was now in dire peril. Had Villars and the Bavarian Elector pushed on down the Danube, it is difficult to see how the city could have been saved. Lewis of Baden was helpless, Marlborough fully occupied in the distant Netherlands, Hungary actually in insurrection ; and not even Eugene could prevent the army of Italy from being pressed back through Tyrol by Vendôme's superior forces. But, like his son Charles Albert thirty-eight years later, Maximilian Emanuel missed his chance. Intent on securing communication with much-coveted Milan, he turned aside into Tyrol, leaving Villars, much to the French commander's chagrin, to cover his operations against Lewis of Baden, who had come up from Stolhofen with most of his corps and joined Styrum (June). But the conquest of Tyrol did not prove so easy as the Elector anticipated. Though opposed by the peasantry, he reached Innsbruck (July 2) and even pushed a detachment forward to the Brenner Pass, only to find that Vendôme had not arrived. The latter, indeed, never started for Trent till July 20 ; and, by the time he reached it (September 2), the Bavarians, harassed by the Tyrolese mountaineers, who cut off their detachments and threatened their communications, had given up hope of his coming and had beaten a costly retreat to Bavaria (August). During this time Lewis of Baden and

Styrum had let slip the chance of combining their forces against Villars, who, profiting by their separation, parried the Margrave's attack on Augsburg by falling on Styrum's weaker force at Höchstädt (September 20) and completely defeating him. This checked Lewis, who had to abandon Augsburg and retire into winter-quarters, just north of the Lake of Constance. Even at this late point in the campaigning season Villars was anxious to try a dash at Vienna, now seriously menaced by the Hungarian insurgents ; but the Elector's refusal to contemplate the project led to violent quarrels between him and Villars, and to the recall of the latter before the next campaign.

What if Villars had convinced Elector Maximilian Emanuel to march on Vienna?

Could the French eliminate the Austrians from the war by taking Vienna or would they need other major victories to pacify Austria as well?

Would the French push to get Hungary independence in the peace, or if the Austrians refused to concede would the French give up and ditch the Hungarians?

What would the peace between France and its allies and Austria look like?

How would Austria's exit from the war hurt the war effort of the Holy Roman Empire? Or would the majority of the Holy Roman Empire states leave the war now lacking Austria's might?

How would Austria's exit from the war hurt the war effort of the Maritime Powers?

Would the Maritime Powers continue to fight and support Charles' claim to the throne or could the French now negotiate a peace? And if they could negotiate a peace what sort of concessions would be needed from the French to secure peace? In contrast if the Martime Powers kept fighting could the French defeat them in the Netherlands and then force a peace?
 
It's always good to have a major power out of the war (when it's your enemy)!

I do not believe that the French will push for any Hungarian independence...
They will be glad with the Austrians out of game and focused against the others belligerents (they are still plenty).

Louis could obtain from the Hapsburgs the recognizing of the right of Philip on the Spanish throne, eventually the formal anexation of Loraine, plus a great war indemnity. Or/and some Italian lands.

He could move to cream out Savoy... and maybe the Dutch and Prussia. Now, England will remain alone to fight him in the colonies... maybe they will agree to peace.
 
It's always good to have a major power out of the war (when it's your enemy)!

I do not believe that the French will push for any Hungarian independence...
They will be glad with the Austrians out of game and focused against the others belligerents (they are still plenty).

Louis could obtain from the Hapsburgs the recognizing of the right of Philip on the Spanish throne, eventually the formal anexation of Loraine, plus a great war indemnity. Or/and some Italian lands.

He could move to cream out Savoy... and maybe the Dutch and Prussia. Now, England will remain alone to fight him in the colonies... maybe they will agree to peace.

So the French would leave the Hungarians to their own devices, basically to prevent Austria from restarting its war effort as it will be focused on fighting the Hungarians. Ok. Do you think the Hungarians can beat the Austrians?

Yeah Louis would definitely make German and Italian gains.

What sort of concessions would Louis extract from Savoy?

Could Louis defeat Marlborough in the Southern Netherlands?

Do you think Louis might force the Austrians to give Prussia the four Silesian duchies the Prussians claim, to get Prussia to quit the war and drop its claim to the Principality of Orange?
 
Oh I think a French victory at Blenheim and an occupation of Vienna is going to be the end of the Habsburgs as a major player if not as a dynasty with France and its proxies dominating Germany and Italy.

Early Confederation of the Rhine type affair with Max Emmanuel as President?

Spanish Bourbons keep Italian possessions.

French allies in the east, Sweden, Poland, Turkey hem in any Habsburg or German resurgence.

Basically, French hegemony on the continent.
 
This POD is before Blenheim, so Marlborough is still at large in the Southern Netherlands.

If the French were to defeat Marlborough and overrun the Netherlands could a peace be made where they keep the Southern Netherlands for Spain or will the British continue the war in the colonies until France gives up the Southern Netherlands in return of colonial lands?
 
Well....a Schonbrunn type Peace in Central Europe and an Amiens style peace with Britain? France is sitting pretty.

Yes, Britain will scheme to bring down the French, but without Austria, who is their ally? Russia is not strong enough yet.
 
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