1000 Congressional Districts

[AdrianoChika]

As the title says, this is a project in which the United States of America has 1000 Congressional Districts. I will use the information from the 2010 Census, and going through all the states.

The state with the most districts is California, with 121 districts, while 4 states have only 2 districts (Wyoming, Vermont, North Dakota and Alaska).

I will try to place the results of the 2016-2018 elections in each District, as well as who could represent them.

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[AdrianoChika]

Wyoming:

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District 1:
President 2016: Trump +47%
President 2008: McCain +36%
Senate 2018: Barrasso +39%
Governor 2018: Gordon +43%


District 2:
President 2016: Trump +46%
President 2008: McCain +29%
Senate 2018: Barrasso +35%
Governor 2018: Gordon +36%

Both districts in Wyoming are 100% Safe R, and have been represented by GOP representatives throughout the decade.


District 1 – Safe R in 2020
Liz Cheney (R-Teton), first elected in 2012.


District 2 – Safe R in 2020
Cynthia Lummis (R-Laramie), if she does not seek re-election in 2016, she would be succeeded by another GOP member, perhaps Rita Meyer, Darin Smith or Edward Buchanan. First elected in 2008.


Total:

2016 – GOP 2 x DEM 0
2018 – GOP 2 x DEM 0

 

[AdrianoChika]

Vermont:

District 1:
President 2016: Clinton +25%
President 2008: Obama +37%
Senate 2018: Sanders +45%
Governor 2018: Scott +12%
Governor 2016: Scott +6%

District 2:
President 2016: Clinton +27%
President 2008: Obama +37%
Senate 2018: Sanders +45%
Governor 2018: Scott +17%
Governor 2016: Scott +12%

Although both districts voted for Phill Scott for governor in 2016 and 2018, both are Safe D and have been represented by members of the Democratic party for the entire decade.

District 1 – Safe D in 2020
Peter Welch (D-Windsor), first elected in 2006.
District 2 – Safe D in 2020
Tim Ashe (D-Chittenden), first elected in 2016.

Total:
2016 - GOP 2 x DEM 2
2018 – GOP 2 x DEM 2

 

[AdrianoChika]

North Dakota:

District 1:
President 2016: Trump +22%
President 2008: Obama +2%
Senate 2018: Heitkamp +6%
Governor 2016: Burgum +52%

District 2:
President 2016: Trump +50%
President 2008: McCain +19%
Senate 2018: Cramer +27%
Governor 2016: Burgum +62%

Both North Dakota Districts were represented by Republicans this decade, despite tight disputes in 2010 and 2012 in the 1st District. In 2018, in the tightest race since 2012, the GOP won in the 1st District by 7%.

District 1 – Likely R in 2020
Rick Berg (R-Cass), first elected in 2010. Mac Schneider (D-Grand Forks) won 46% of the vote in the 2018 midterm against the incumbent.

District 2 – Safe R in 2020
Kevin Cramer (R-Burleigh), first elected in 2012, retired in 2018 to run for Senate
Kelly Armstrong (R-Stark) after 2018

Total:
2016 – GOP 4 x DEM 2
2018 – GOP 4 x DEM 2

 

[AdrianoChika]

Alaska:

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District 1:
President 2016: Trump +15%
President 2008: McCain +23%
Governor 2018: Dunleavy +10%

District 2:
President 2016: Trump +14%
President 2008: McCain +20%
Governor 2018: Dunleavy +4%


The 1st District is basically composed of Anchorage and some other nearby cities, while the 2nd District occupies the rest of the Alaska State territory.

District 1 – Likely R in 2020
Dan Sullivan (R-Anchorage), first elected in 2014.
The former Mayor of Anchorage seems the most obvious choice for a city-centered seat. Wasilla, the city of ex-governor Sarah Palin (R-Matanuska-Susitna) is also in 1st, so she could be another more remote option.


District 2 – Likely R in 2020
Don Young (R- Yukon-Koyukuk), first elected in 1973.
The city of Fort Yukon, Don Young's home is in the 2nd District, so he probably would have been representing the 2nd for decades. Despite a tight re-election in 2018, Young is the favorite to win again in 2020.


Total:
2016 – GOP 6 x DEM 2
2018 – GOP 6 x DEM 2

 

[AdrianoChika]

Well, now that we’ve finished the 4 states with just 2 districts, we’ve gone through the easiest part of the project.
Any comments or suggestions about possible district representatives are welcome!

 

[Codae]

I only count 999 seats in the OP. By my calculations, everything's apportioned in accord with current procedure except that Oregon should have 13 representatives, not 12.

 

[AdrianoChika]

I only count 999 seats in the OP. By my calculations, everything's apportioned in accord with current procedure except that Oregon should have 13 representatives, not 12.

Looking at my number I realized that Oregon technically has 12.48 seats, so the table was rounded up to 12, when the 1000th seat should be Oregon 13th!
Thanks for the correction!

 

[The Tai-Pan]

What criteria are you using for the new districts?

 

[AdrianoChika]

What criteria are you using for the new districts?

I am trying, so far in the states with fewer districts, to avoid cutting counties (although in almost all states so far it was necessary to cut 1 countiy to match the population in the two districts), and also avoid cutting cities (which will also be impossible in larger states). And in states where it is necessary, I will respect the VRA as much as possible. Besides, I'm trying to keep the districts visually clean.

 

[NorCalifornio]

Looks good so far! Let me know if you need any help with California (or other Western states for that matter).

 

[NorCalifornio]

I am trying, so far in the states with fewer districts, to avoid cutting counties (although in almost all states so far it was necessary to cut 1 countiy to match the population in the two districts), and also avoid cutting cities (which will also be impossible in larger states). And in states where it is necessary, I will respect the VRA as much as possible. Besides, I'm trying to keep the districts visually clean.

Lame. Please don't bother with this in California, our county borders aren't particularly relevant.

 

[AdrianoChika]

Looks good so far! Let me know if you need any help with California (or other Western states for that matter).

Lame. Please don't bother with this in California, our county borders aren't particularly relevant.

Well, there’s still a long way to go to California, but I’m probably going to need help to choose the possible representatives when the time comes.
And ok, I'll take that into account in California. Although, with 121 districts, I believe it would be really impossible to obey this rule of not cutting the counties.

 

[Miranda Brawner]

If we're going to overhaul the district map for the US House of Representation, then I think we should get rid of single-member districts and implement multi-member ones. Oh, and let's overhaul the state boundaries too.

 

[wolfhound817]

If we're going to overhaul the district map for the US House of Representation, then I think we should get rid of single-member districts and implement multi-member ones. Oh, and let's overhaul the state boundaries too.

I think that defeats the purpose of the experiment.

 

[AdrianoChika]

South Dakota:

District 1:
President 2016: Trump +20%
President 2008: McCain +2.5%
Governor 2018: Sutton +3%
Senator 2016: Thune +39%


District 2:
President 2016: Trump +35%
President 2008: McCain +5%
Governor 2018: Noem +4%
Senator 2016: Thune +46%


District 3:
President 2016: Trump +36%
President 2008: McCain +18%
Governor 2018: Noem +9%
Senator 2016: Thune +45%


South Dakota's three districts are extremely Republican, even the 1st District, which comprises the most populous part of the state, including Sioux Falls. Even in 1st, Sutton won by only 3% in 2018, while Trump and Thune won in 2016 respectively by 20% and 35%.


District 1 – Likely R in 2020
Shantel Krebs (R-Minnehaha), first elected in 2014.

District 2 – Safe R in 2020
Kristi Noem (R-Hamlin), first elected in 2010, retired in 2018 to run for Governor
Dusty Johnson (R-Davidson) after 2018

District 3 – Safe R in 2020
Marty Jackley (R-Hughes), first elected in 2012.



Total:
2016 – GOP 9 x DEM 2
2018 – GOP 9 x DEM 2

 

[Gian]

@AdrianoChika - Mind if I do my two home states (MD and MA), plus one I've also lived throughout my life (VA)

 

[AdrianoChika]

@AdrianoChika - Mind if I do my two home states (MD and MA), plus one I've also lived throughout my life (VA)

I will accept help choosing the representatives, but if you don't mind, I would like to make all the maps for the new districts, it's fun for me.

And for those interested in knowing, I already have maps made up to Nebraska. Probably that tomorrow during the day I will post 3 or 4 more states.

 

[Padric1938]

@AdrianoChika Heres Some possible Representatives for Nevada: Tick Segerblum (D-Clark), Nathan Robertson (D-White Pine), Scott Hammond (R-Clark), James Settelmeyer (R-Churchill Douglas Lyon Storey), Dan Schwartz (R- Don't know county but 3rd District), Chris Giunchigliani (D-Clark) Hillary Schieve (D-Washoe) Ryan Bundy (I/R- Clark) Pete Krall (R-Washoe) Jesse Watts (D-Eureka)

 

[Pokemon Master]

@AdrianoChika I can help you find representatives for New Jersey