Survived to Protect - Post Nuclear War Finland in 1984

28. Wind

Off Löyhä island, Oulu
14 June 1984


Jussi felt himself to be a pretty nimble nine year old boy when he was sitting in the pulpit in front of the yacht Maria. The speed of the yacht was some 5 knots with the waves barely visible. Wind was probably at 4-5 meters per second. His father had bought this boat, five year old Murena half-tonner of some 30 feet, last autumn together with his colleague, Esko. They had been planning for a month long holiday cruise to Åland isles. He remembered how his father and Esko had drawn large scale nautical charts to their dining room table in one of the weekend parties. In Esko's family there was a girl, Maria, who felt practically like his sister, sweet girl with long dark hair and witticisms sharp like a knife.

Esko and his family, including Maria had went off to Stockholm to meet relatives during last Christmas and had never returned. His father had been mobilized after Christmas and was one of the first to receive patients from Taivalkoski struck by a nuclear missile.

This summer everything was similar to previous one but everything was different as well. The late spring classes in Nuottasaari Elementary School had been filled with planting potatoes and other vegetables in various patches of fields nearby. There had been talk about starting the school early this year so the kids could pick berries and mushrooms. Hopefully not, nuclear war or not the long two and a half months summer leave was sacred for kids.

Some minor details in this trip were different as well. Instead of starting the engine for getting out of the Oulu Yacht Club harbour dad had rowed the boat between two piers and hoisted the sails there, a manouver considered just for show last summer. Why bother when Volvo diesel would power the boat through the narrow channel into open seas past Vihreäsaari? Now, the diesel oil was a premium product and every drop was to be spared.

Like his father had promised, he was now responsible for trimming the main sail. White dacron was forming a beautiful wing shape after the boat was gybed for a new direction. Telltale was evenly fluttering from right to left just as it should and Jussi had ran for the pulpit. Sitting in the pulpit was his favourite spot. The new boat was an unbelievable improvement from the old wooden Folkboat they had had last summer. Proper marine toilet, gas oven, large forepeak... He remembered when Dad told that keeping firm by standing rigging and peeing over the board was Gentlemen's toilet in a yacht. For ladies, there was a red Plasto bucket. Girls, so delicate and unable to do anything.

Except Mom. Mom was as organized as always. This time she had brought a large amount of jars with her for canning. Last summer they had eaten whatever fish he and little sister had managed to catch. This time they had loaned nets and fish traps from Granddad.

Soon they would get to Röyttä island where the Yacht Club had a cottage. As usual this was an island full of adventures. Well, the horse-flies would bit hard but that was to be expected. There were birch forests, frogs, small fish, other kids.. Whatever a boy of his age desired, just like it had been during last summer and undoubtely would be the next summer.

Even if Röyttä was an island of many happy memories his dad looked sad like so for so many days during this spring. Mom had told it was because of what he had seen in Taivalkoski and also because they had been many of the places which had been destroyed.

Dad was not the only one. Last time he had went over to his friend Mikko, Mikko's father was just sitting by the kitchen table, drinking Koskenkorva spirit and looking out of the window even though it was Tuesday morning, a workday. This was not the first time he had seen Mikko's father acting rather odd. He had also listened Mom and Dad whispering about some of their friends. All this seemed to be harder to adults than children. Jussi could not understand it. Sure, everything was horrible now in large parts of the world but not here! Not in Finland!

But Mikko's dad was not his dad. Jussi would make sure he would be a good boy dad would be proud of. Perhaps by that Dad would not be so sad.
 
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Reagan is dead and George Bush is the President of the United States. While US presents itself not only as the sole surviving superpower but also as the winner of the war it has so many domestic issues that it cannot really project influence abroad. Almost the sole, but very important, exception is the US Navy which really controls the sea lanes of the world and extracts tolls for this.

So will anyone else become a another superpower? Like Finland, maybe?
 
Nice to see this restarted!

The situation of Germany looks interesting, we are now seeing the third world in Europe in a nutshell.
 
Is they ANY thigh left in Russia?

Russia has suffered far more heavily than the US or Europe due to US Operation Judgement - the post attack secondary bombing campaign which eliminated much of the surviving communities. Still, there are millions of people living in former USSR and how to handle this situation will be a major European challenge.

The situation of Germany looks interesting, we are now seeing the third world in Europe in a nutshell.

Yes, and Schleswig-Holstein is an area of Germany which has suffered quite lightly during the war. As for the actual Third World I'm writing a couple of updates focused on situation out of Europe.
 
So, how much land will Finland, Switzerland, and Austria take in total. Also, how is Italy, Israel, Japan, and Yugoslavia? And will they be a new EU or somethigh like it?
 
29. A-B-I-S

20 June 1984
Helsinki

Excerpts from the Abstract of TAMOK's (Committee for Diversifying Economy) Report for Members of Parliament

ECONOMIC IMPORTANCE OF SURVIVING NATIONS OUTSIDE EUROPE

As for raw economic data three countries stand out of the countries least affected by the War. With nominal pre-War GDP of 222 Bn USD for India, 147 Bn USD for Brazil and 179 Bn USD for Australia these three nations have strong bids to become regional dominant powers in their respective areas of the world. (For comparison, the pre-War GDP for Finland was estimated to be 50 Bn USD, for Switzerland 96 Bn USD, for Ireland 17 Bn USD and for Austria 70 Bn USD.)

All these nations can be lucrative markets for various Finnish manufactured goods as US, Japan, USSR and Germany will not be suppliers of manufactured goods at least in short term. Without doubt there will be attempt to diversify their respective economies and in this all the four countries will have their specific advantages as well as risks. India, thanks to Soviet nuclear strikes on Pakistan and China, does not have any neighbouring powers which can present any threat towards her. It does not have, however, very large educated workforce and will struggle in developing local industries. It's specific problem is securing her food supply due to distruption of world trade.

Brazil will most probably have other South American states opposing it's possible bid for regional dominance. Rumours have been circulating that recent Indian-Argentinian barter agreement on wheat included supply of nuclear weapons for Argentina. Brazil has had a long tradition of immigration which will help her to import educated workforce if deemed necessary. There are already signs that Brazil along with many other South American countries is trying to develop a strategy to recruit European educated population.

Australia is distant and with rather small population and surprisingly undeveloped export sector which will harm it's efforts to keep up or develop it's standard of living. It's appeal for English speaking immigrants will be extremely good which will undoubtely help developing it's economy. Moreover, the close co-operation with New Zealand, unharmed by the War will undoubtely continue.

In addition the Union of South Africa with pre-war GDP of 85 Bn USD is of prime regional importance due to minor damage during the War as well as autarchic economic structure which is probably well equipped to meet many of the present challenges. Due to pre-war nature of it's politics it will probably have a few scruples about becoming the dominant power in it's own region. The recent nuclear test in Kalahari has made the country an open nuclear power and purchase of many British Royal Navy units in barter trade agreement will strengthen it's military power.

All this, however, is long term speculation due to break-up in international trade and various risks we cannot envision at the moment.

SHORT TERM IMPLICATIONS FOR FINLAND

1.) As for import substitution the import of oil is secured with treaty with Norway. With fertilizers the takeover of Apathity mine in former USSR is planned for the summer. Negotiations with local authorities of New Brunswick, Canada, are under way to secure an additional source. With other raw materials there will be good situation in the world market due to abundance of supply instead of demand.

2.) Import for various manufactured goods is much more difficult. While treaties with Switzerland and Austria will help there will be need to exploit resources of former Germany for at least few years to come. These resources, however, are finite and will become progressively more difficult to exploit.

3.) With export substitution our situation is difficult as the main partners of trade have either disappeared or severely damaged. New distant markets have different demands compared to former trading partners. In long term with expanding particularly our automotive, electronic and chemical industries the future should be fairly secure. Expansion of these industries will also create jobs in short term for the rough time of economic transition.

As free international trade is replaced with barter trade probably for years to come it is important to keep all foreign trade tightly controlled. Cost of shipping itself is low due to overcapacity in shipping. Due to present unstable situation as much trade as possible should be carried with Finnish flagged shipping....
 
So, how much land will Finland, Switzerland, and Austria take in total. Also, how is Italy, Israel, Japan, and Yugoslavia? And will they be a new EU or somethigh like it?

Israel is wiped out, Japan will be dealt somewhat later on, Yugoslavia and Italy have suffered severely. The land in Germany and Eastern Europe is not taken in sense of traditional conquest but more like taken under custody. How things develop will differ with various occupiers.

As for EU, this is of course dreamed of but will not come to fruition for years.
 
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