Great pics Kai.
Agreed, he did a rather nice job.
Great pics Kai.
Part three: Warriors of the Cider Isle! From left to right, we have a Tjunini, a Kurnawal, and one of the native Palawa with his longbow of Tasmanian myrtle. The latter has his hair done up with red ochre, as some OTL Tasmanians apparently did and some Africans still do.
Again, clothing styles are conjectural; these guys are dressed slightly differently than both the mainlanders and each other. Given the differing origins of and longstanding animosity between the Tjunini and the Kurnawal, I figured they'd probably look pretty distinct from each other.
Great pics Kai.
Agreed, he did a rather nice job.
Amazing work, both Jared and Kaiphranos ! I haven't read the TL in a long while, but summer's coming, so I'm sure I'll reread it from start to (current) finish.
Is anyone else getting an ancient Mesopotamian/Near Eastern vibe from the Tjunini warrior?
Do you plan on doing some pics of the scholars or priests?Given that the Near Eastern bronze age is one of my usual periods of history, that shouldn't be much of a surprise. The Tjunini was inspired as much by a picture of Dendra armor as by anything Mesopotamian, though--since I'm of the opinion that the Dendra armor was intended more for chariot-based fighters, and Aururia has no horses, I wanted something with greater mobility that looked like it could be walked around in.
Do you plan on doing some pics of the scholars or priests?
While I agree that Bohemia will be even more Germanized ITTL because of greater population losses in this alt-Thirty Years' War, I would think that Pomerania and Silesia might develop in the exactly opposite direction.
In the time, peasants in both regions were still heavily (if not predominantly) Slavic-speaking, while nobles and burghers were of German descent or already Germanized, with state and church speaking only German or Latin.
My sources seem to disagree on the language situation in early modern Pomerania: some claim that Slavic-speaking Pomeranians were few and far between as early as about 1530, while some again maintain that even in the age of Frederick the Great, the Prussian government was able to draft a lot of Slavic-speaking Pomeranians into the army and use their group loyalty to make a formidable fighting force from them.As far as I know both Silesia save for Lower Silesia and Pomerania were pretty much germanised by 1632, though if the cities have been impacted more heavily than the countryside in terms of destructions, the balance might swing back towards the Slavs to an extent.
Was not Lorraine very much Germanized even in OTL? They may have been patriotic French, but still, they were mostly German-speaking patriotic French. ITTL, they can become patriotic German-speaking Germans.If Lorraine becomes a barrier to eastwards expansions and is even somewhat germanised to boot,
I think that modern Sicily supports such densities because of imports of foodstuffs from the continent. Without well-developed transport infrastructure, the Sicilians would have to grow most of their food on the island itself.As far as Mediterranean islands are concerned, we have been told that Sicily will gain a lot from the new crops. But what of Sardinia and even Corsica? It almost strikes me that yams and wattles could be an ideal plant for the mountains there, hugely raising the carrying potential of both islands.
Sicily has a population density of 200/km2 today. Might we see it inrease to something as high as 600km2 TLL? This Sicily would have 15 million inhabitants ...
I've been re-reading this timeline over the last couple of days, and got to wondering what some of the military equipment of the various Aururian civilizations looked like.
Damn, Wittelsbach in Münster, Hohenzollern on the wrong side of Germany, Bavaria having a port on the Adriatic...
I'm sure it will have some interesting consequences further in the 17th century.
BTW, the Dutch-Spanish border looks like it is ~10km to the north of Antwerp, 10km to the south of Antwerp might be more useful for the Dutch
And I, as an Antwerpener, just might be interested in a clarification of "Antwerp and its environs", since that map is a bit lacking in local detail.
Also, does the added, catholic, population mean that the Staats-Brabant + Antwerp becomes Nederlands Brabant with representation in the Staten-Generaal, or does it mean a larger Staats-Brabant or a Staats-Antwerpen, with the catholics not being quite happy as a result.
... wow, just wow.
Picking up the Hohenzollerns and placing them in Lorraine is even more drastic than what Stalin did to Poland at the end of WWII.
Just wiping Brandenburg off that map like that doesn't sound like 17th century European plitics, but on the other hand there were the partitions of Poland...
Going by the precedents of 's Hertogenbosch and Breda, which captures led to the transfer of their associated baronies, it would probably be the traditional marquisate of Antwerp that would be transferred.
OTL, there was a proposal like this in 1651, during the Grote Vergadering, after William II died.
With a Stadtholder around at the time this proposal pops up, Holland´s position relative to the other provinces is much weakened and the measure most likely passes. The Stadtholders would profit greatly, as Lords of Breda they would be the premier noble in the States of Brabant and basically control Brabant´s votes in the Estates General, just as they did thanks to their position as the First Noble of Zealand.
I have to say, I find the juxtaposition of these quotes to be one of the most striking parts of this piece. Adds a touch of poignancy, sad music playing...
...and then, smash cut to black.
Try as I might, I cannot finish the update. Congrats Jared, you wonderful bastard.
Mind you-there are people who say that just looking at a map of the Holy Roman Empire makes their eyes hurt. I just kind of go blurry on it. It's trying to follow the soap opera of the various dynasties that makes my head hurt!
It is beyond me at the moment to guess at the shaping up of the great nation-states that will presumably precipitate out of this dynastic morass. Especially bearing in mind, the two big Aurian plagues have done their terrible work--at least the first wave of it--in Europe. But soon the Aurian crops will start infiltrating. We've seen crops that can revolutionize both the north and the south of Europe.
Meanwhile Sweden seems set up to be a big power on a nationalistic basis.
How exactly will the Swedes guarantee their ongoing access to their American colony in OTL-Maine?
And by the way, why is Bangor, which is some distance inland, the location of the major Swedish town there and not somewhere on the coast, presumably near or at OTL-Portland?
Getting back to the access question, can't the Danes try to cut them off from any access to the Atlantic at all? Will the Danes generally find it imprudent to thus alienate their neighbor-rival, will they get co-opted into some alt-Kalmar union, will the Swedes conquer them outright, or what?
The Stuarts continue to reign in Britain, correct?
Anyway IIRC a number of Aururian crops would do surprisingly well in the near-Arctic latitudes of the Baltic.
So if the Swedes can avoid collapsing for a while the demographic basis of the Swedish kingdom/nation should consolidate. As would the Danes to be sure! And the Russians.
OTOH Norway might get feisty, drawing the center of gravity of the Danish kingdom north or at least counterbalancing the effect of Denmark's acquisitions in former northern Germany. Or perhaps the Swedes court insurrection there whenever the Danes get too obnoxious about the straits, and this is how a sort of balance of terror leading to an amicable modus viviendi between the two Scandinavian realms evolves?
Now turning down to the Med, Spain looks pretty wasted at the moment, but the main suite of Aururean crops seems likely to revitalize Iberia eventually.
Italy too should prosper in the sense of there being more Italians, better fed, though they might still be engaged in political fratricide on a grander scale. But it's been foretold, Sicily is an island to watch.
I'm not an unfan of the Ottomans, but hardly an expert, so I'll let others speculate on what the nadir of the plague and the boost of the new crops will mean south of the Med and its northeast shores from the Balkans east--though presumably the Wittelsbachs, having got a toehold on the Med, will mix into that mess. Unless they are too distracted by Empire politics and Italian politics!
I foresee a considerably more balanced development of Europe on the technical and economic fronts, instead of it being nearly as centered in northwest Atlantic coast Europe as OTL.
This is partially because I don't foresee the Stuart-descended British kingdom(s?) being quite so cutting-edge--still innovative on these fronts, but blunted--whereas perhaps Sweden will be more dynamic than OTL in the 18th century which in turn might provoke/enable a somewhat more modern (if on "absolutist" lines!) Poland and Russia.
Meanwhile the western Med--Iberia and Sicily but possibly also southern France and the other Med islands--will have a bit of a second Renaissance, a true "rebirth."
So capitalism in particular will probably arise more slowly and more fitfully and more gradually, but on a dispersed basis with strong centers scattered all around Europe's peripheries; parts of the Ottoman realm may participate on a pretty equal basis as well.
Hence I guess the more quilted nature of European colonialism in North America.
Interesting update, but:
1. Prussia was a Polish fief until 1657 OTL and I don't see how it'd be different ITTL, so it can't be given to Courland - by anyone that's not Poland that is. More likely, if history of Polish-Lithuania takes more-or-less the same road as OTL, by 1634 there'd be plans to annex Prussia directly into Poland. So it's quite possible that in ATL 1634 Prussia would end up as a integral part of Poland.
2. Looking at the map - there are a number of somehow Swedish enclaves in non-HRE Pomerania (Lebork & Bytow) and in Courland. OTL they were Polish after the death of last Pommeranian Griffin duke (1637) until 1657 (the former) and under Polish-Lithuanian rule from 1562 till 1795 (latter).
Good update, am I correct in assuming that French expansion eastwards has not started yet TTL, when it started OTL as a result of French intervention during the thirty years war?
An Hohenzollern Lorraine will be a major barrier to French expansion eastwards too.
Great work (again), Jared!
Now Sweden seems to have more Germans than Swedes in its borders. I wonder how things will turn out in the long run.
Great Timeline! I have a question regarding Bremen.
Will there be resistance in Bremen against the Danish? Somehow like the 2 wars against the Swedes?
Bremen is of course not strong enough to actually win on their own, but the city was basically a fortress so they could try resistance if they see a chance of some allies.
Good stuff, and interesting. No big fight between the Danes and the Swedish will have some important effects on the Norwegians at least.
Wait, what? So, now Danes aren't going to hate Swedes?
What a sick, sick world you've crafted. I like it.
That aside, just... Wow. I'd like to offer more constructive comments than that, but I'm afraid I can't quite parse this well enough - It's quite the humongous piece of well-written literature to swallow.
The only thing I can add at current time is that I'm sure glad I won't be having a history examination: People tend to look at you in a peculiar fashion when you elaborate on the elaborate cultures of pre-contact Australia.
While I agree that Bohemia will be even more Germanized ITTL because of greater population losses in this alt-Thirty Years' War, I would think that Pomerania and Silesia might develop in the exactly opposite direction.
On the other hand, Sweden might lose its German dominions to a German national state later on, or even become a German national state itself.
Wow BIG changes in Europe!
Like the Wittelsbach Inner Austria.
As far as I know both Silesia save for Lower Silesia and Pomerania were pretty much germanised by 1632, though if the cities have been impacted more heavily than the countryside in terms of destructions, the balance might swing back towards the Slavs to an extent.
I do agree though that Sweden will be an interesting place, especially if they manage to form some form of United Kingdom of Scandinavia and to dominate the Baltic in the process. I could see migration of German folks towards Sweden proper or the coastal towns depending on how prosperous Sweden becomes and how favourable the impact from the new crops is. This could lead of Swedish becoming somewhat more germanised as a language.
What really interests me is the future of France TTL. We already know that it has had colonies in the American, with a French cultural presence remaining up to the present day.
If Lorraine becomes a barrier to eastwards expansions and is even somewhat germanised to boot, we could then have a very different France taking shape.
Southern France also stands to gain an hell of a lot from the Aururian crop package. However, it is important to forget that the potato was not adopted en masse by French farmers until the late 18th century.
If France avoids Europeans wars and opts for overseas expansion instead, the country could look very different from OTL, possibly becoming a near clone to Britain in some respects.
As far as Mediterranean islands are concerned, we have been told that Sicily will gain a lot from the new crops. But what of Sardinia and even Corsica? It almost strikes me that yams and wattles could be an ideal plant for the mountains there, hugely raising the carrying potential of both islands.
Sicily has a population density of 200/km2 today. Might we see it inrease to something as high as 600km2 TLL? This Sicily would have 15 million inhabitants ...
My sources seem to disagree on the language situation in early modern Pomerania: some claim that Slavic-speaking Pomeranians were few and far between as early as about 1530, while some again maintain that even in the age of Frederick the Great, the Prussian government was able to draft a lot of Slavic-speaking Pomeranians into the army and use their group loyalty to make a formidable fighting force from them.
Was not Lorraine very much Germanized even in OTL? They may have been patriotic French, but still, they were mostly German-speaking patriotic French. ITTL, they can become patriotic German-speaking Germans.
600 to 1,000 persons per sq km is a reasonable density for tropical rice-growing regions of the world today, with two or three crops per year, artificial fertilizers, electric-powered irrigation and all that. Sicily is probably too cold to produce more than one crop of most plants per year, and high productivity of Aururian crops in drylands may be not enough to allow for 600 to 1,000 per sq km population densities, without the benefits of modern agricultural techniques. 200 per sq km looks far more realistic, though.
It will give early modern alt-Sicily something like our Sicily's population, at 5 million or so. It is a lot for the early modern Europe, putting Sicily (even without continental provinces of the kingdom) on par with England, at least in population numbers, if not in economic might.
These look great...
Kaiphranos, can you draw for DValdron's Green Antarctica TL as well ?
This. This indeed.
The Rupel river is conveniently located 12-13km south of Antwerp's walls and 4km north of those of Mechlin.While I haven't specified how much the Dutch push past Antwerp, probably about 10 or 20 km to the south is a likely final border.
...
As per above, I haven't worked out the exact border around Antwerp, but it basically means that the Dutch have control of both banks of the Scheldt downstream of Antwerp, and for a short distance upstream.
I definitely see that happening, Antwerp still had some 40 000 inhabitants, enough to make it the 2nd or 3rd city of the Dutch Republic, and it still had quite some economic activity. While it will be hampered by the lack of a decent hinterland, I can see Antwerp becoming one of the five biggest Dutch ports in a generation, and perhaps much better in the long run.The Treaty of Hamburg, unlike the OTL Treaty of Munster, doesn't specify that the Scheldt is closed to navigation, either. So Antwerp may have some capacity to recover some of its previous trading success. On the other hand, the Spanish will still be able to claim tolls on any traffic going upriver on the Scheldt. Amsterdam won't be that glad of the trading competition, either. I'm not yet sure how that will work out in the long run.
I have never been able to find a map with the borders of the marquisate, but I do have the places list, and it basically had the same borders as the Province of Antwerp minus Mechlin, the southern bank of the Rupel west of Mechlin and the Left bank of the Scheldt, plus of course Noord-Brabant west of Tilburg. And conquering the left bank shouldn't pose too many difficulties once the Dutch control Antwerp, in fact, the forts there are probably conquered already in preparation of the siege of Antwerp.That makes sense, though I'd like to track down exactly what the marquisate's borders were. I'd been picturing something that controlled both banks of the Scheldt, but that might get more interesting if the marquisate just had the east (north) bank of the river.
True, that + one of the 3 largest cities otherwise not being represented in the Estates-General + the unrepresented, catholic, Brabanders becoming a truly large group with Antwerp swelling their numbers. And Antwerp will probably want to become the seventh chamber of the VOC as well, though the other 6 will probably not want an additional competitor.This also sounds logical. As per above, for the first few years I expect Antwerp (or its margraviate) simply to be added to Staats-Brabant. That situation won't last, though, and given this OTL proposal, sooner or later there will be a Nederlands Brabant. Even if the OTL proposal is butterflied in itself, if Antwerp revives as a trading entrepot, then I expect that would eventually lead to representation in the Staten-Generaal.
The Dutch & English might lure a few of them as well, their East-India companies can always use more manpower...The other question is what happens to Protestants who flee now-recognised Catholic areas of Germany, particularly Bavaria, the Upper Palatinate, and Austria. With Sweden being recognised as the defender of Protestantism (or more precisely Lutheranism) in the HRE, a lot of them may end up in Silesia or Pomerania, which may create a new administrative class there. Perhaps. Or maybe those Protestants would end up assimilating into either Swedish or the local Slavic
Not Zeebrugge, it was only build in 1895. Bruges' sea-access went through a canal to Ostend.Of course, there are opportunities for France to look north. Artois hasn't been seized ITTL yet - no Franco-Spanish War in 1635-1659 - but it is tempting. The Spanish Netherlands in general look more vulnerable since they don't have as many decent ports left (Dunkirk and Ostend, mostly, and Zeebrugge I suppose), plus Spain is weakened.
Kaiphranos, can you draw for DValdron's Green Antarctica TL as well ?
This. This indeed.
Better not, I'm scared of the Tsalal !