Finally, I have to add my Applause to this dark, atmospheric and very Elaborate Scenario about a Country I know Little about.
And I have to thank you for being one of the loyal readers of my rambling updates.
It seems I can't really let go of the world of P&S Finland, and keep coming back to. Give the little finger to the Devil...
I still have to visit Finland in the future, but I got to know Sweden during the last summer. I can really imagine that country, if only hit lightly, to go through WW3 and its aftermath with comparative ease. I even have the Impression that its economy is still rather autark.
So....what the world needs now is a P&S Sverige....to explain how the country of Pippi and Emil became such a strict overlord over Finland for decades...
I guess you have reasons coming from the dark spots of Baltic pasts we don't learn about here in Central Europe.
I would be happy to help if someone started P&S Sweden, if only to keep the writer on the map about what I have established about Sweden here, on top of the canon references in the original timeline. One could explore many themes through the Swedish experience, especially the tough road to recovery and the leading role Sweden (and Switzerland) come to play in it in Europe. The changes in the Swedish society, the economics of survival and recovery in a nation with strong continuity from the pre-war, the necessary militarisation clashing with the Palmean principles of leadership, and of course Sweden as a combination of a doctor and an enforcer in aiding and policing the Nordic and Baltic areas post-Exchange would be some of the interesting thngs to look at.
Sweden is very interesting in the P&S setting, because I have always understood that the nation has had a great potential for both good and bad, and only for a quirk of fate is only known for good things IOTL. IMHO the OTL has been, since the early 19th century, a wank for a Sweden that is (officially at least) predominately seen in terms of progress, industry, pretty blondes and benevolent Social Democracy. In a TL such as P&S, we would necessarily see some of the darker shades of the Swedish nation and society. The Land of Sad Songs has in a way been an attempt to show what I think is a culmination of Finnish latent militarism and authoritarian, undemocratic tendencies, but also of a history of working together and surviving in a harsh environment. (I am a bit surprised nobody has really taken affront and called it an indictment or unfair criticism of Finnishness, as a matter of fact...) I would really like to see Sweden put under similar scrutiny, too.
In my depiction of the relationship of Sweden and Finland post-Exchange, I have tried to bring out the ambivalence that would color the relations between a devastated Finland and a Sweden that was hurt but still got off more lightly. ITTL, Sweden has helped Finland significantly since 1984, and is rather conscious of it. West Finland, the "Provisional Province of Ostrobothnia" is a de facto Swedish protectorate and as such enjoys a reasonably good standard of living (in a European comparison). Even East Finland, or the FNA, is constantly being supported by Swedish aid. The problem, as Gothenburg sees it, is that Mikkeli is ungrateful - the Finnish military leadership keeps grimly holding on to independence, in a stubborn-bordering-on-self-destructive way I think many Finns may find familiar. The fact that the FNA is somewhat authoritarian, militarist and not very representative (that is, a survivalist garrison state) does not help in endearing the Swedes to the East Finnish leadership. And so the relations remain chilly for long.
On the other hand, the FNA could not survive without
some Swedish support, and for Sweden there are good reasons to prop up the military government - at least East Finland is orderly, more or less stable and (slowly) recovering, which is a lot more than they can say about the former Soviet areas east of it, as well as a lot of other places in East-Central Europe. Only in the 2010s this precarious status quo will break, due to new generations bringing political changes in Finland (and Sweden) - the opposition to the Finnish National Committee grows in the underground, while younger officers raised by the Finnish system (such as Varis and maybe Koivu, too) now threaten to turn a vanilla authoritarian state into something like full-blown Fascism if they ascend to leadership after the old guard of war-time officers.
The Swedish probably think ITTL that they have been strict but fair with Finland. What ever military action or intelligence work Sweden does in Finland it is understated and often done under the radar. The handling of the power change in Finland is a case in point - Sweden supports the democratisation of Finland, while maintaining some plausible deniability about its role in it all. Everyone wins, as the Swedish see it, and Gothenburg is again presented as a skilled actor in its judicious use of the carrot and the stick.