0strogothic Italy

How would it have developed had the invasion and conquest by Justinian never happened? Would the Gothic ruling class have eventually converted to Roman Catholicism like the Visigoths?
 
I'm not an expert on Visigothic history, but I imagine a relatively small Gothic population, the recurring civil wars, and Byzantine invasions had a lot to do with the rise of Catholicism.

Now the relative sizes of the Gothic populations are unknown, but the Visigoths are way over on the wrong side of Europe, and then they lost their new home as well as their old one. So I get the sense that the Visigoths were a very small minority, while the Ostrogoths, plus the few Italian co-religionists, plus Burgundian refugees, and potentially immigrants from the Barbaricum [the Lombards being the best known], were a larger minority, and might have preserved their religious autonomy longer.

But civil wars and Byzantine invasions are both quite likely.
 
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