沒有國民黨就沒有中國, Without the Kuomintang there would be no China, A Republic of China Story

七十三, Japan and South Korea
Japan was able to recover from the destruction wrought upon it by the Second World War. The US would keep a military presence in the country, which helped keep the country from falling to Communism. The Communist Party of Japan had a great deal of electoral success in Japanese elections, but they would never become the ruling party. Instead, Japan would alternate between periods of Right-wing and leftist/socialist rule. In the late 1950s, Japanese politics shifted left. In 1958 the Japan Socialist Party won an upset victory over the Liberal Party. Shigeru Yoshida was replaced as Prime Minister by Jotaro Kawakami. The Kawakami government would enact social reforms and pursue a more neutral foreign policy.

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(Jotaro Kawakami)

America was disturbed by Japan’s leftward turn. Fortunately, Kawakami was one of the more conservative members of his party. Increased American aid brought Japan back as a close US ally. This aid helped Japan develop its economy more and subsidize its domestic businesses (which would allow these businesses to expand abroad). Left-wing infighting allowed the right to return to power in Japan in 1967. Eisaku Sato became prime minister until his death in 1975 and presided over an era of economic growth for Japan. He was firmly pro-American and anti-Soviet. He was somewhat friendly towards China, and Japanese companies would expand into China during the 1970s. There were still tensions between China and Japan, over the war and over the transfer of the Senkaku/Diaoyu islands to China.

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(Eisaku Sato)

In South Korea, Syngman Rhee had been overthrown. The country seemed to be on the path to democracy. Cho Pyong-ok was elected president in 1958, and served until his death two years later. He would be succeeded by Chang Myon. He sought a second term in 1962, and was the favorite to win, but he lost to the independent candidate Park Chung-hee (who won with 38% in a four-way race). He ruled as an authoritarian. In 1974, protests over the clearly rigged election led to the overthrow of Park Chung-hee. Paik Sun-yup, who had served as provisional president from 1957-1958, would become the next president. Paik would rule in a semi-authoritarian manner as part of a transition to democracy for a few years, and then held free and fair elections were held in 1978. Paik Sun-yup was reelected as president and every South Korean election from that point forward would be fully democratic.

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(Left: Park Chung-hee, Right: Paik Sun-yup)

Japan and South Korea both saw economic growth during the 60s and 70s. Japan was doing a lot better economically than South Korea, however. Japan had the strongest economy in Asia until it was eventually overtaken by China. The South Korean economy grew as well, though to a lesser extent. By the 1980s, the South had more than overtaken the North, it wasn’t even close. North and South Korea, despite a few skirmishes, managed to avoid all-out war. The Japanese and Korean economies were in competition with each other, and also with China. Toshiba and Samsung were able to keep Minkuo out of Japan and Korea. In the 1970s, it was noted that Japanese and Korean electronics were of higher quality than what was being pumped out of factories in Kaifeng. Both countries had successful automotive industries as well, an area where China had limited success.
 
Cannot wait to see a very exciting race in the 80s and 90s in terms of the GDP growth between China, Japan and South Korea. As far as I believe in OTL some people in the US were really concerned with the growth of the Japanese GDP that they speculated that around year 2000 the US would be forced to go to war against Japan in order to maintain their global hegemony, but I think that is a completely ridiculous notion. On the other hand it would be interesting to see the american reaction to the rise of Japan and China. Maybe some more conservative circles in the US would be willing restart the so called the Yellow Peril in order to curb the growth of Asian superpowers.
 
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I wonder if the Japanese economy would stagnate in the 90s as in OTL. Maybe it would continue to grow albeit more slowly due to the rise of China.
 
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Cannot wait to see a very exciting race in the 80s and 90s in terms of the GDP growth between China, Japan and South Korea. As far as I believe in OTL some people in the US were really concerned with the growth of the Japanese GDP that they speculated that around year 2000 there US would be forced to go to war with Japan in order to maintain their global hegemony, but I think that is completely ridiculous notion. On the other hand it would be interesting to see the american reaction to the rise of Japan and China. Maybe some more conservative circles in the US would be willing restart the so called the Yellow Peril in order to curb the growth of Asian superpowers.
That probably will happen given that there are three rising Asian economies and pretty important ones at that. I believe it's mentioned that the KMT supports the Republicans in the US and could find themselves disengaging if the Republicans choose to engage in such rhetoric to gain popularity.
 
Cannot wait to see a very exciting race in the 80s and 90s in terms of the GDP growth between China, Japan and South Korea. As far as I believe in OTL some people in the US were really concerned with the growth of the Japanese GDP that they speculated that around year 2000 the US would be forced to go to war against Japan in order to maintain their global hegemony, but I think that is a completely ridiculous notion. On the other hand it would be interesting to see the american reaction to the rise of Japan and China. Maybe some more conservative circles in the US would be willing restart the so called the Yellow Peril in order to curb the growth of Asian superpowers.
Yeah, this is honestly the piece of this TL I’m most interested in. The 80s/90s era rise of Asia is fascinating to me and a KMT China being in the mix is a huge wrinkle
 
七十四, The 1980 Legislative Elections
The election reforms of 1979 would be in affect that year. There were few elections happening in 1979 though. There were elections in Tibet, which were exempted from the reforms. However, there was a mayoral election in Dalian, a coastal city in Liaoning Province. The Kuomintang candidate for mayor won 58% of the vote against an independent and over two thirds of seats on the city council. This gave the KMT relief, as some were worried that the party would lose in the 1980 legislative elections (the democratic reforms had been opposed by a sizable faction within the KMT, with over 100 members of the legislative Yuan voting against them). Going into 1980, there was cause for optimism.

The main competitors to the KMT in 1980 would be the China Youth Party and the China Democratic Socialist Party. However, they would no longer be the only opposition parties. The Liberal Party was the first party to be legally registered with the government after the reforms. The People’s Party was quickly banned as a front for the Communist Party. The Islamic Party of Xinjiang, while not explicitly separatist, was banned as an “anti-China” party. The Chinese Homeland Party was formed, and appealed to those who thought the KMT and CYP were not conservative enough. The New Democratic League was founded as a left-wing party to push for more democracy. Their name was a reference to the China Democratic League, which had been outlawed during the Chinese Civil War.

The KMT campaigned on the many ways China had improved over the decades. The KMT had most of the media on its side, and a massive advantage when it came to spending on campaigns. The China Youth Party and the China Democratic Socialist Party called for greater democratic reforms. The CYP called for more privatization while the CDSP called for more social programs. Though the CYP had the word “Youth” in its name, it was disproportionately made up of old landlords and businessmen. They did have support among young professionals, however. The CYP was heavily urban, while the CDSP had more rural support. CDSP supporters were typically much poorer than CYP supporters. The CYP attracted support from wealthy businessmen, who were able to make advertisements for their candidates (though many tv stations would only play advertisements for KMT candidates). The KMT was led by Huang Shao-ku of Hunan, the CYP was led by Li Huang of Sichuan (ironically at 85 was one of the oldest politicians in China), the CDSP was led by Wang Shixian of Fujian.

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(Huang Shao-ku)

Kuomintang Candidates won 56% of the vote and 64% of the seats in the Legislative Yuan. Their share of the Legislative Yuan went down 5% and for the first time was under two-thirds, and under 500 seats. The KMT won every gubernatorial and most mayoral elections. Opposition parties had expected to do much better than they actually did. This was due to a combination of factors. Opposition parties were much less organized than the KMT, had less money, and had to deal with a KMT-friendly media. There were also election irregularities and some instances of fraud, especially in the West. The makeup of the Legislative Yuan would be 495 Kuomintang, 121 China Youth Party, 114 China Democratic Socialist Party, 5 Tibet Improvement Party, 33 independents, 4 New Democratic League, and 1 Liberal Party member. After some internal debate, the CYP and CDSP decided they would form a government with the Kuomintang.

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Well, the fact that the KMT actually needed a coalition to form a majority shows that their absolute grip on power is loosening somewhat.
They didn't actually need the coalition, it's just that the two main opposition parties decided to continue the already existing coalition (this allows members of these parties to get appointments and a few cabinet positions).
 
The old warlords are dead by now, though the sons of the Xibei San Ma warlords still govern Gansu, Ningxia, and Qinghai. They no longer command any armies independently, their forces are completely integrated into the Chinese Army. They are mostly left alone by Nanking, and govern their provinces as they see fit.
Wouldn't all of China be subject to the laws and taxes enacted by the Yuan? Are there not contested elections for local offices in the rest of China by this time? I could see these provinces being under political machines headed by the Xibei San Ma sons. But the "machines" would have to operate within the framework of national law.

One would think China would have a national law enforcement agency comparable to the FBI, and that their jurisdiction would include these provinces; otherwise they would become sanctuaries for bandits, fraudsters, smugglers, and other sorts of common criminals.

A question occurs to me here: there are vast areas of China which even today are very thinly populated, and historically only loosely administered by thge Empire. Who owned this land? I.e. who had title to it? Similar areas in the US are owned by the federal government. Most of the three named provinces falls into this category.
 
Wouldn't all of China be subject to the laws and taxes enacted by the Yuan? Are there not contested elections for local offices in the rest of China by this time? I could see these provinces being under political machines headed by the Xibei San Ma sons. But the "machines" would have to operate within the framework of national law.
Yes. But the central government allows them to ignore some laws. For instance, they basically act as dictators of the provinces they govern and rig elections.
One would think China would have a national law enforcement agency comparable to the FBI, and that their jurisdiction would include these provinces; otherwise they would become sanctuaries for bandits, fraudsters, smugglers, and other sorts of common criminals.
The National Security Bureau.
A question occurs to me here: there are vast areas of China which even today are very thinly populated, and historically only loosely administered by thge Empire. Who owned this land? I.e. who had title to it? Similar areas in the US are owned by the federal government. Most of the three named provinces falls into this category.
Federal and provincial government owns most of that land.
 
七十五, Crisis in the Middle East
Discontent with the Shah’s regime in Iran had been brewing for a long time. Mohammad Reza Shah was overthrown in the Summer of 1978 by a coalition of liberals, Communists, and Islamists. Such a coalition was not likely to last long, of course. The Soviet Union was already at work in the country, seeing it as an extremely important potential ally, one that might surpass Iraq in usefulness. Meanwhile, the Soviet Union had already been fighting in Afghanistan, dispatching a small number of troops (though more would be sent in the future) to fight insurgents there. The Shah and his family fled to China, a country he believed could help him regain his throne. America and Britain began to panic.

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(Mohammad Reza Pahlavi)

I large portion of the world’s oil reserves were in countries that were either outright pro-Soviet or at the very least hostile to the West. The West and China responded by supporting to Saudi Arabia even more. The CIA, M16, MBIS, and Mossad all sought out ways to undermine the Iranian Revolution and possibly even bring back the Shah. The KGB was active too. Throughout 1978 and 1979 they assassinated several anti-Communist revolutionary leaders, including Ayatollah Khomeini. Then, pro-Soviet journalists ran articles claiming that the assassinations were carried out by the Americans, British, or Israelis. They didn’t convince everyone, but they were at least able to cause doubt about who was actually responsible. The Soviets considered their operations a success.

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(Ayatollah Khomenei, 1900-1979)

Islamists were much more popular than Communists, and the Islamists hated the Communists. Meanwhile, the government in Tehran was led by Mehdi Bazargan, a more liberal figure. During his short time in power, he tried to take a neutral approach to foreign policy. Revolutionary students had a different idea. They stormed the Chinese embassy and held the workers there hostage in reaction to China taking in the Shah. Not long after, the British embassy was stormed as well due to rumors that Britain was working with China to bring back the Shah. Mehdi Bazargan resigned and the government descended into internal bickering. The Communist Tudeh party came to power under the leadership of Noureddin Kianouri. Kianouri was chosen because he didn’t share the anti-religion views of others in the party.

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(Nureddin Kianouri)

Despite sidelining the anti-Islam leftists, and despite Kianouri’s overtured towards the clerics, the Islamists soon turned on his government. Protests by Islamists turned violent, and the Soviet Union sent troops to help its new ally (East Germany and Albania sent some troops as well). Iran promised the Soviet Union continued access to its oil reserves and gave permission to build naval bases in the Persian Gulf. Malenkov, normally reserved on foreign policy, would take a gamble on Iran. He saw the country as the way to win the Cold War. At the same time, Iraq invaded and occupied Kuwait, with the backing of the Soviet Union. Communists revolted in Turkey. Communists in the Middle East exclaimed that Mecca would soon fall to the worker’s revolution and that a red flag would fly over the Kaaba.
 
Well, that escalated quickly. And honestly, it's hard to know who to root for in a battle of communists vs islamists.

I did call it though, that the Chinese embassy would be the one stormed instead of the American one. Any chance some staff are in hiding and get smuggled out of the country by pretending to be scouting for a movie?
 
Well, that escalated quickly. And honestly, it's hard to know who to root for in a battle of communists vs islamists.

I did call it though, that the Chinese embassy would be the one stormed instead of the American one. Any chance some staff are in hiding and get smuggled out of the country by pretending to be scouting for a movie?
That will be covered in the chapter after the next one.
 
Saudi Arabia is swimming in money lol. Considering the Soviet Union collapses and Iran being less interventionist, they might be the dominant force in the middle east after the cold war, and maybe have a huge influence on the Islamic world.
 
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