沒有國民黨就沒有中國, Without the Kuomintang there would be no China, A Republic of China Story

二十三, The USSR 1953-1958
The death of Joseph Stalin in March 1953 brought some changes to the Soviet Union. Stalin was succeeded by Georgy Malenkov, but his rival Nikita Khrushchev was powerful as well. Khrushchev thought of himself as the rightful leader of the Soviet Union, and the two would not get along well during the following years. Lavrentiy Beria, who led Stalin’s notorious secret police, was made Deputy Premier. Beria also wished to be Stalin’s successor, but was content to work with Malenkov to keep Khrushchev from gaining control of the Soviet government. Malenkov and Beria viewed each other as useful, even if they didn’t really trust each other. Malenkov had a more trustworthy ally in foreign minister Vyacheslav Molotov.

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(Left: Georgy Malenkov, Right: Lavrentiy Beria)

Georgy Malenkov was more lenient than his predecessor. Many prisoners in the gulags were released. Soviet officials did not live in constant fear of purges. Khrushchev was able to oppose Malenkov and still remain a powerful figure in Soviet politics for years. Political power was no longer concentrated in one person as it was under Stalin. Malenkov continued to defend Stalin’s legacy, even if his method of governing was different. Factories in the Soviet Union would begin to produce more consumer goods. Malenkov hoped that this would improve the standard of living for Soviet citizens and thus increase his own popularity. Other than the new focus on consumer goods, the Soviet economy would largely function the same way it had previously.

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(Soviet factory)

Foreign policy was another area where Malenkov sought to make his mark. He desired to deescalate the Cold War. A few months earlier, Robert Taft was inaugurated as President of the United States. Though Taft was firmly anti-Communist, he wanted the US to be less involved in international affairs. There was real hope that the Cold War could be ended. Malenkov wanted to create a unified neutral Germany as a buffer between the East and West just like Austria. He was ultimately unable to accomplish that. He also pushed for a halt to nuclear weapons tests. He was able to come to an agreement with the US and UK on this issue in 1953. Malenkov wanted the world to view him as a man of peace. His efforts seemed to be working, and around the world he was much more popular than Stalin.

Malenkov did run into some trouble. Late in 1953, Mohammad Mossadegh was ousted in a coup [1] and American President Robert Taft died of cancer. This meant that Iran was no longer an ally and the US was under a much more hostile administration. President William F. Knowland, though not a warmonger, did not see eye-to-eye with Taft on matters of foreign policy. Malenkov continued to court the developing world, or third world. In particular, he saw China and India as potential allies against the imperialist West. Any attempts to violently overthrow the Chinese government were abandoned. Both countries worked together to pressure France to leave Indochina, and both would have influence in the newly independent nations of Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia. Malenkov even praised Chiang Kai-shek for invading Taiwan and destroying a reactionary feudal state.

Relations between the Soviet Union in China would eventually deteriorate. China condemned the Soviet Union’s invasions of Poland and Hungary in 1956 in order to put down local anti-Communist uprisings. Then in 1957, China began air strikes against Soviet-backed forces in Vietnam and enacted a blockade to prevent the Soviet Union from supplying its allies there. And in 1958, China invaded Vietnam to stop the Viet Minh. Sino-Soviet cooperation had ended. The Soviet Union was back to supporting anti-government revolutionaries in China. The Soviets continued to support India and turned to the Middle East, where they sent aid to and Egypt. At the same time, aid was also given to Israel. The Soviet Union also sought to increase its influence in Afghanistan.

In 1958, Malenkov faced criticism for his previous support of Nationalist China. His rival Nikita Khrushchev was regularly meeting with opponents of Malenkov. He was maneuvering to overthrow Malenkov, who he claimed was an ineffective leader. Malenkov had never let his guard down when it came to Khrushchev, and took steps to secure his support within the Soviet government. The Central Committee was divided between supporters and opponents of Malenkov. In the end, Malenkov had the support of Lavrentiy Beria, Vyacheslav Molotov, and Chairman of the Presidium Kliment Voroshilov, and was able to stop Khrushchev’s attempted power grab. Khrushchev was not killed; he was instead given an agricultural position in the Yakut Autonomous SSR. Georgy Malenkov would increase his own power in the following years.

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(Nikita Khrushchev)
1: This time without any US involvement.
 
With Georgy Malenkov staying as the leader of the USSR many things would have changed:
  1. Crimea would have remained a part of the RSFR.
  2. more resources invested in consumer goods instead of concentrating on the heavy industry.
  3. No corn obsession and no Virgin Lands initiatives. Malenkov was against it. No destruction of the Machine-Tractor Stations and an overall more productive Soviet agriculture. You could still have corn, but to a lesser extent because of crop rotation.
  4. The Aral Sea. What if the rivers that went to the Aral are only partially diverted, thereby the Aral Sea does not shrink?
  5. Georgy Zhukov would have never been recalled from "exile" in Odessa and Nikolai Bulganin would have retained his post as minister of defence ITTL since Malenkov personally hated him. Ekranoplans would not be developed ITTL since it was Khrushchev that kickstarted the project. More focus on the R16 ICBM work.
  6. Earlier Kosygin Reforms or some other kind of economic liberalization. Something between Kosygin and Deng perhaps?
Late in 1953, Mohammad Mossadegh was ousted in a coup [1] and American President Robert Taft died of cancer. This meant that Iran was no longer an ally and the US was under a much more hostile administration. President William F. Knowland, though not a warmonger, did not see eye-to-eye with Taft on matters of foreign policy. 1: This time without any US involvement.
Is the Shah still in charge like in OTL?
Relations between the Soviet Union in China would eventually deteriorate. China condemned the Soviet Union’s invasions of Poland and Hungary in 1956 in order to put down local anti-Communist uprisings.
Are you referring to the Poznań protests of 1956?
And in 1958, China invaded Vietnam to stop the Viet Minh. Sino-Soviet cooperation had ended. The Soviet Union was back to supporting anti-government revolutionaries in China. The Soviets continued to support India and turned to the Middle East, where they sent aid to and Egypt. At the same time, aid was also given to Israel. The Soviet Union also sought to increase its influence in Afghanistan.
Did the Suez Crisis play out like in OTL?

Keep up the good work!
 
With Georgy Malenkov staying as the leader of the USSR many things would have changed:
  1. Crimea would have remained a part of the RSFR.
  2. more resources invested in consumer goods instead of concentrating on the heavy industry.
  3. No corn obsession and no Virgin Lands initiatives. Malenkov was against it. No destruction of the Machine-Tractor Stations and an overall more productive Soviet agriculture. You could still have corn, but to a lesser extent because of crop rotation.
  4. The Aral Sea. What if the rivers that went to the Aral are only partially diverted, thereby the Aral Sea does not shrink?
  5. Georgy Zhukov would have never been recalled from "exile" in Odessa and Nikolai Bulganin would have retained his post as minister of defence ITTL since Malenkov personally hated him. Ekranoplans would not be developed ITTL since it was Khrushchev that kickstarted the project. More focus on the R16 ICBM work.
  6. Earlier Kosygin Reforms or some other kind of economic liberalization. Something between Kosygin and Deng perhaps?

Is the Shah still in charge like in OTL?

Are you referring to the Poznań protests of 1956?

Did the Suez Crisis play out like in OTL?

Keep up the good work!
I thought Malenkov was the most orthodox Stalinist of them all?
 
With Georgy Malenkov staying as the leader of the USSR many things would have changed:
  1. Crimea would have remained a part of the RSFR.
  2. more resources invested in consumer goods instead of concentrating on the heavy industry.
  3. No corn obsession and no Virgin Lands initiatives. Malenkov was against it. No destruction of the Machine-Tractor Stations and an overall more productive Soviet agriculture. You could still have corn, but to a lesser extent because of crop rotation.
  4. The Aral Sea. What if the rivers that went to the Aral are only partially diverted, thereby the Aral Sea does not shrink?
  5. Georgy Zhukov would have never been recalled from "exile" in Odessa and Nikolai Bulganin would have retained his post as minister of defence ITTL since Malenkov personally hated him. Ekranoplans would not be developed ITTL since it was Khrushchev that kickstarted the project. More focus on the R16 ICBM work.
  6. Earlier Kosygin Reforms or some other kind of economic liberalization. Something between Kosygin and Deng perhaps?
A lot of this will happen or has already happened.
Is the Shah still in charge like in OTL?
Yes. The coup was carried out by Britain and the Iranian military.
Are you referring to the Poznań protests of 1956?
I think butterflies meant that protests devolved into a full-blown Polish Revolution here.
I'll go into more detail about it later, but suffice it to say that in TTL 1956 both Hungary and Poland have serious uprisings that the Soviet Union felt a need to send in its troops to crush them.
Did the Suez Crisis play out like in OTL?

Keep up the good work!
Pretty much, and thank you!
Hmm, it'll be interesting to see how the Soviets develop under Malenkov's leadership instead of Khrushchev's.
I thought Malenkov was the most orthodox Stalinist of them all?
Malenkov was certainly a Stalinist, but he had enough differences with Stalin that him ruling the Soviet Union won't be the same
 
Malenkov was certainly a Stalinist, but he had enough differences with Stalin that him ruling the Soviet Union won't be the same
1. What about Albania? Will it remain in the Warsaw Pact or will it join the Non-Aligned Movement and mend ties somewhat with Yugoslavia?

2. Is there a possibility that ITTL Gheorghe Apostol succeed Gheorghe Gheorghiu-Dej as originally planned in OTL instead of Nicolae Ceaușescu (since no forced de-Stalinization) and that Romania remains the Romanian People's Republic (in OTL it became the Socialist Republic of Romania in 1965)?

3. What about Brezhnev?
 
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1. What about Albania? Will it remain in the Warsaw Pact or will it join the Non-Aligned Movement and mend ties somewhat with Yugoslavia?
Albania is currently in the Warsaw Pact and on good terms with Moscow.
2. Is there a possibility that ITTL Gheorghe Apostol succeed Gheorghe Gheorghiu-Dej as originally planned in OTL instead of Nicolae Ceaușescu (since no forced de-Stalinization) and that Romania remains the Romanian People's Republic (in OTL it became the Socialist Republic of Romania in 1965)?
Romania is the Eastern Bloc country whose fate I've worked out in my mind more than any other besides the USSR, so you'll have to wait until 1965 to see what happens.
3. What about Brezhnev?
Member of the Politburo, may or may not become important later.
@CELTICEMPIRE what happened to the Soviet naval base at Lüshun? Did Malenkov return it to China in 1953 in order to consolidate Chinese-Soviet ties?
The Soviets still have the base, though they have an agreement to return it to China in 1975.
 
二十四, China and Vietnam
The War in Vietnam was going well for China. All the major urban areas were controlled by the Chinese Army or its Vietnamese allies. Viet Minh guerillas continued to operate in the countryside, but the Chinese military was confident that they would be defeated before long. Defense Minister He Yingqin believed that the Viet Minh would fight on for three more years. Throughout 1959, Chinese and Vietnamese troops went on the offensive against the Communists in the rural areas. The Viet Minh would usually retreat instead of engaging their enemies, as they would almost certainly lose the engagements. The death of Ho Chi Minh was a blow to the morale of the Viet Minh, but it didn’t lead to a collapse as some had hoped. They were able to regroup under the leadership of Võ Nguyên Giáp.

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(Võ Nguyên Giáp)

Vietnam had a government that had been put in place in 1954, but in practice it ruled only Saigon and a few nearby provinces. In December 1958, the Vietnamese national legislature dissolved the government as a new constitution was being drafted. Bảo Đại, the Vietnamese leader who wanted to be reinstated as emperor, would cease to lead the country. With large numbers of Chinese troops inside the country, it was clear that the new government would be led by someone affiliated with the VNQDD. Trình Minh Thế entered into an alliance with the VNQDD. Ngô Đình Diệm recognized the inevitability of a pro-Chinese government and reluctantly agreed to work with the VNQDD.

In April 1959, a new constitution was written and a new government was formed. Nguyễn Tường Tam would become the first President of Vietnam. The most urgent issue facing the new government was the Viet Minh insurgency. The new government would receive support from China and to a lesser extent, the United States in order to defeat this insurgency. Nguyễn Tường Tam appreciated China’s help, but hoped that their troops would leave after the insurgency was defeated. He envisioned a Vietnam that was militarily and economically powerful as well as independent of foreign influence. But in 1959 Vietnam was in no position for that to happen. For the foreseeable future, the Vietnamese government was dependent on China.

China was determined to keep troops in Vietnam until the insurgency was over. The general consensus in China was that the war would only last a few more years. After all, Chinese forces were led by Li Mi, who had experience fighting and defeating Communist insurgents. China also sent military advisors to Vietnam to train their military. The Yên Bái Military Academy was expanded and Sun Li-jen taught Vietnamese generals. Li Mi led Chinese troops in encirclement campaigns in Northern Vietnam with moderate success, but in general, Viet Minh fighters would just avoid fighting large numbers of Chinese troops. The Chinese would soon learn that the task of pacifying Vietnam would be much harder than it seemed at first.

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(Sun Li-jen)
 
二十五, America in the 1950s
In 1953, America would have three presidents. For the first twenty days, it was still the lame duck presidency of Harry Truman. For the majority of the year, it was the newly elected Robert Taft. Taft Died in November, and from then the president was William F. Knowland. Taft’s short presidency was mostly concerned with foreign policy. He and the new Soviet leader Georgy Malenkov hoped to end the Cold War, but they were unsuccessful. They did, however, agree to a temporary halt to the construction of nuclear weapons. When it came to domestic issues, Taft was a conservative, though not nearly as extreme as the Harry Truman campaign made him out to be. The 1950s would see reductions in spending.

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(Robert Taft)

William Knowland was a conservative, but he had some differences with Taft. He was much more internationalist. He wanted America to play a more active role in stopping the spread of Communism. Military spending was increased. America would fund Ngô Đình Diệm and his anti-Communist Army of Vietnam. After Nguyễn Tường Tam became president in 1959, America continued to support the Vietnamese government in its fight against Communism. He was not willing to risk a confrontation with the Soviet Union, however. Many anti-Communist revolutionaries in Poland and Hungary felt betrayed by his lack of action to support them. He generally pro-Israel, which was a continuation of Taft’s policies, though he opposed Israel and Britain’s actions against Egypt in the Suez Canal.

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(William F. Knowland)

Knowland’s ability to enact his domestic agenda would be hampered by Democratic control of congress. A small Democratic majority became a larger one after the 1954 midterm elections. Knowland’s desires to bring back Taft-Hartley would remain unfulfilled. Democrats in the Senate were led by Lyndon Johnson of Texas, an ambitious man and a force to be reckoned with. The two men often found themselves at odds on policy issues. They did, however, have a good working relationship. One issue that they would work together on was civil rights. Knowland was a strong proponent of civil rights and supported the Supreme Court’s ruling on the desegregation of schools. Lyndon Johnson supported a watered-down civil rights bill that Knowland ended up signing even though he wished more had been done.

The economy was good and there were no major crises affecting America. Thus, Knowland was in a good position going into the 1956 presidential election. The position of Vice President had been vacant since Taft’s death, and the Republican convention nominated Senate Minority Leader Everett Dirksen as Knowland’s running mate. He would not be challenged for the nomination. Lyndon Johson was considered a contender at first, though he soon withdrew from the race as he believed his chances of winning the presidency that year were low. The Democratic convention would be contested by Senator Estes Kefauver of Tennessee, Senator Hubert Humphrey of Minnesota, Governor Adlai Stevenson of Illinois, and Former New York Governor Averell Harriman. Harriman was nominated for President and Kafauver was nominated for Vice President.

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(Averell Harriman)

The Knowland/Dirksen ticket was favored to win the election, and they did. Knowland was able to connect with the average American voter better than Harriman. Knowland won the popular vote 53-46% and 432-99 in the electoral college. Republicans made gains in the House and Senate but both chambers remained under Democratic control. Knowland began his second term with renewed calls to enforce civil rights in the South, even though the majority of black voters supported Harriman. He would use the military to enforce desegregation. His second term would also see America having closer relations with China, now that China’s cooperation with the Soviet Union was over. He got along well with Chiang Kai-shek, who he saw as the man responsible for preventing Communism from dominating Asia.

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(William F. Knowland with Chiang Kai-shek and Soong Mei-ling)

The 1950s are usually seen as a good decade in American history, and one that many Americans look back on with great fondness. Not all was rosy. Much of the country had either de jure or de facto segregation. There was also unease about the potential of war with the Soviet Union. The latter led to the United States resuming its production of nuclear weapons in the later part of the decade. But there were also a lot of good things about the 50s. Quality of life was improving along with the growth of the American economy. For the first time, the majority of Americans owned a television set. TV would be where most Americans would get their news and their entertainment. There are certainly reasons why many who lived during that time are nostalgic.
 
Nice to get a look at what was happening outside China and Vietnam during this period.

What's happening with Nixon and JFK ITTL?
Nixon is still a Senator from California. He and Knowland don't like each other very much. JFK is still a Senator from Massachusetts and was considered for Harriman's running mate. Both men plan to run in 1960.
 
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