东方红 (The East is Red)

Soviet air force did militarily intervene in 1950. They sent the 324th IAD, the best fighter regiment in the entire VVS to Antung and for many months afterwards, the only MiGs that engaged UN aircraft in the skies over North Korea were flown by 324th IAD pilots.

Chinese pilots flew separate training flights that rarely engaged UN aircraft and often broke off and headed for safety of Antung when they sighted enemy aircraft.

Only Soviet flights had the proficiency and experience to safely engage UN fighters and bombers for the first two years of the war while the PLAAF acquired the necessary training in Manchuria.

The Western myth of Communist MiG flights consisting of 1-2 Soviet instructors and 20 Chinese/North Korean pilots is just a myth. Flights were exclusively Chinese and exclusively Soviet. They didn't fly mixed flights, though in the early days Chinese flights would observe Soviet flights in combat to gain second hand experience.

And Soviet air involvement IOTL was already extremely extensive as is. The 324th IAD was the only Soviet MiG unit that could hold its own against the USAF's 4th FIW and attain an acceptable kill-loss ratio. All subsequent Soviet air units funneled through Korea were second rate and suffered appalling losses in comparison to the 324th. Even then the 324th didn't fight in the last two years of the conflict because its pilots were so heavily fatigued by having to carry the entire weight of the air war on its shoulders for the duration of its deployment.

One change I recommend to Soviet air strategy: instead of rotating out entire air regiments through Korea like IOTL (veteran regiments replaced by newly raised regiments with zero combat experience), they should adopt the American system of keeping entire air regiments deployed for the duration of the conflict, but instead rotate out individual pilots with new replacements. That way you have a mix of experienced veterans and new guys instead of all veterans or all novices. You have a more steady level of expertise, experience, and thus more effective combat performance.

UN pilots noted that Communist pilots' skill level varied in cycles that matched the rotation schedule of Soviet air regiments. At the start of the cycle, Soviet pilots would be timid, make elementary tactical mistakes, and be easy targets. As the cycle progressed, the Soviet pilots of that unit would gain skill and experience until they could challenge the UN pilots in direct combat. But as soon as they reached that skill threshold, the now blooded Soviet air regiment would be withdrawn and replaced with a completely novice one and the cycle would begin again.

The reason the Soviets rotated out entire units IOTL was they viewed Korea as a training ground for VVS and PVO units that would be deployed to Europe after the war. They wanted entire regiments, from ground crews, to pilots, to staff officers, to gain experience in and be blooded in a real world combat environment. Whereas the Americans came out of the conflict with lots of experienced pilots, but organizationally, only 2 fighter wings were blooded by combat.

This benefited the Americans when it came to the short term goal of winning the air war over Korea.

Easy change in Soviet strategy to similarly focus on the short term here will pay dividends for the Chinese.
 
Roughly 1-2 corps of the Soviet Air Force operated over the skies of the Korean Peninsula. That's still several hundred Mig-15s and that will go a very long way towards covering the PLA advance down south, especially since the US is stuck flying out of Pusan and Japan instead of Gimpo.

The PLAAF will be able to launch independent operations in September 1951. Until then, Soviet "volunteers" will be doing all their flying for them.

The problem I see with your assertion is that the as soon as someone slips up and starts speaking Russian on a radio, the US would know. And they did know OTL but chose not to pursue further action.
 
I don't see why it's a problem for Soviet pilots to operate as openly as they did IOTL.

Also, USAF can't operate jets out of Pusan. The airfield is too short. Only F-51D can fly out of Pusan.
 
It probably won't take too long for USAF engineers to expand the airfield at Pusan, especially since they're in little danger of being attacked by the Chinese there. Additionally, Pusan could land C-54s, so it should be able to operate jets, I'm not sure though since you're telling me something else.

There are also aircraft carriers operating off of the Korean coastline but if the Soviets loosen RoE just slightly, they can attack American ships, which might make the USN's life a lot more difficult.
 
They reinforced the runways to take C-54s, but it's still too short for jets. Pusan could handle emergency jet landings, but it would be a very risky business to try to operate an entire fighter wing out of there. With all the flameouts and engine troubles suffered during early deployment of F-80Cs and F-86As, you will run up very high accident rate if you an entire fighter wing from Pusan.

The other thing with Pusan airfield (K-9) is that the perimeter is too small to house an entire fighter wing plus continue to act as a logistical hub for air freight. The airfield is enclosed on all sides by mountainous terrain, so it can't really be expanded.

And USN carrier-borne F9F jet fighters are vulnerable to MiG regardless of whether F9F are operating as pure fighter or handicapped by fighter-bomber configuration.

Only hope for USAF to maintain semblance of air superiority is through swept wings in Kimpo.
 
They reinforced the runways to take C-54s, but it's still too short for jets. Pusan could handle emergency jet landings, but it would be a very risky business to try to operate an entire fighter wing out of there. With all the flameouts and engine troubles suffered during early deployment of F-80Cs and F-86As, you will run up very high accident rate if you an entire fighter wing from Pusan.

The other thing with Pusan airfield (K-9) is that the perimeter is too small to house an entire fighter wing plus continue to act as a logistical hub for air freight. The airfield is enclosed on all sides by mountainous terrain, so it can't really be expanded.

And USN carrier-borne F9F jet fighters are vulnerable to MiG regardless of whether F9F are operating as pure fighter or handicapped by fighter-bomber configuration.

Only hope for USAF to maintain semblance of air superiority is through swept wings in Kimpo.

Well then, the UN effort in Korea is screwed, especially since Russian planes are operating out of Gimpo. There's no point in ramping up conscription or reinforcing the Peninsula at this rate. Truman might as well go straight to threatening China with nuclear weapons, which he still hasn't done in the timeline yet.
 
UN can still maintain a swept wing presence over most of the peninsula if they have enough drop tanks and operate from Johnson AFB in Japan, but they will be unable to interdict Chinese supply lines over the Yalu without incurring unsustainably high losses to MiGs.

I don't think Russians would be safe operating MiGs out of Kimpo. It's too far south and well within range of Johnson AFB. But for sure they can operate a lot of ground attackers (IL-10s, Tu-2s) for close air support from Kimpo.

Chinese spent nearly six months prepping North Korean airfields to accommodate MiGs, but construction was always interrupted by USAF bombing raids by day and night. Without 24 hr air superiority, maybe this construction can be accelerated and MiGs moved south of Yalu to establish stronger air defence in the peninsula.
 
January 2nd, 1951: With the US X Corps and ROK I Corps destroyed, the 9th Army Group, having recently been reinforced with new equipment and additional infantry divisions, sweeps south, moving down the eastern coast of the Korean Peninsula as far as Sokcho.

Engineering and railway construction regiments enter from China. Working under VVS cover, they begin to repair and rebuild North Korea's infrastructure at a quick rate.

Soviet pilots are flying planes hastily painted in PLA Air Force or North Korean People's Air Force colors. Everyone knows that the Soviets are intervening on the side of the Chinese but the legal fiction is that only Chinese and North Korean pilots are involved thus far.

January 4th, 1951: The PLA 13th Army Group retakes Seoul. Peng Dehuai, commander of Chinese forces in Korea, declares that the US 8th Army has been completely destroyed. This is somewhat untrue as some American units marched south on foot. Although many died of starvation and frostbite, significant numbers of men have made it south past PLA lines.

January 6th: What American reinforcements have arrived in Korea so far are scattered around Pusan. Their job is to guard USAF planes flying out of airbases around Pusan.

January 10th, 1951: Despite the lack of US troops in the Area, Chinese forces stop their advance around Wonju, somewhere south of Seoul. A lack of trucks and fuel is hampering the ability of the Chinese to supply their armies and it would likely be months before rail lines can be built from the Yalu to 38th Parallel.

The Chinese are forced to turn over much of the supplies and equipment captured from the Americans in exchange for more Soviet equipment. However, Stalin does not give a timetable for the arrival of this new equipment.

January 11th, 1951: Zhou Enlai meets with US Secretary of State Dean Acheson in Geneva to negotiate a peace treaty between the US and China. North Korean representatives are conspicuously absent at this meeting.

January 15th, 1951: Chinese forces are ordered to dig in around Seoul. Chinese engineers are ordered to improve the airfields in North Korea so that MiGs can operate off of them.

January 24th, 1951: Ho Chi Minh is very, very, very pleased to learn that the Soviet Union has ordered China to send captured American equipment to the Vietminh.

January 26th, 1951: An attempt to bomb Chinese supply lines moving down south goes awry as Mig-15s from the 64th Fighter Aviation Corps shoots down several B-29 bombers flying from Japan. The US Air Force orders all bombing operations to be suspended over Korea for several months. (1)

January 30th, 1951: Talks in Geneva are stalled as the Chinese demand to be admitted to the UN, that the US stop protecting Taiwan and that all UN forces withdraw from the Korean Peninsula. The US, which has been dealt a stinging defeat, cannot accept any of these terms for political reasons. However, the US still greatly fears Soviet domination in Europe and East Asia in general doesn't seem like a huge priority.

February 1st, 1951: Chinese probes south of the lines at Wonju reveal that UN lines are very thinly manned.

The supply situation is somewhat easing up as the Soviets have been flying in supplies to nearby Gimpo Airbase. An army of workers, guarded by Soviet planes and air defense guns, are working feverishly to repair rail lines from Sinujiu to Seoul.

Peng Dehuai sets April 1st as the date when offensives would resume. To prepare, 2 additional army groups, the 3rd and the 19th, cross the Yalu and move into the Korean Peninsula. In addition, the 9th and 13th Army Groups are reinforced with motorized artillery elements. Meanwhile, the NVKD works hard to recruit South Korean communist sympathizers who will rise up in rebellion once the Chinese move south again.

To facilitate this and to end annoying bombing raids over the Korean Peninsula, Stalin orders the 67th Fighter Aviation Corps to Manchuria to be sent into Korea once the airfields in northern Korea have been prepared.

Tens of thousands of refugees are leaving Korea via the port in Pusan. Most of them will be heading towards the United States and Australia.

February 4th, 1951: Dean Acheson, US Secretary of State, makes thinly veiled threats against China involving nuclear weapons. Earlier that day, Senator Joseph McCarthy gave a fiery speech in the Senate demanding that nuclear weapons be used against the "Godless Savages" in Korea and that nuclear weapons be used against Chinese and if necessary, Soviet cities. McCarthy goes on to call President Truman a coward for not immediately using nuclear weapons to break the trapped 8th Army out when he had the chance to.

February 6th, 1951: General Douglas MacArthur, meeting with President Truman in Guam, suggests that salted nuclear explosives be dropped across the neck of Manchuria to deny the Chinese access to the region. Truman orders that MacArthur calm down and not demand that something so drastic occur. Truman then blames MacArthur for the disaster in Korea which resulted in the destruction of the 8th Army and X Corps but this is thus far a private conversation.

This just leaves the question of whether or not Little Mac will go public or not. Truman thinks Little Mac is bound to go public eventually.

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(1): Something analogous happened to this in OTL, where the US lost air superiority for several months. The relative lack of American forces on the Korean Peninsula means that the PLA can spend a great deal of time digging in.
 
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How secure is the PRC on the mainland? Would the US fund saboteurs or raids from Taiwan? What about possible biological weapon use such as grain or rice blight on Chinese crops?
 
How secure is the PRC on the mainland? Would the US fund saboteurs or raids from Taiwan? What about possible biological weapon use such as grain or rice blight on Chinese crops?

The PRC is highly secure on the Mainland (the Nationalists aren't that popular, which is why they lost) and using biological weapons is basically the same as using nuclear weapons, which means that America is going to be hesitant to break them out. Also, the war's essentially been stalled for the last couple of months and not much has happened besides negotiation.

And yes kids, you're going to see Mao's China in all its glory.
 
The PRC is highly secure on the Mainland (the Nationalists aren't that popular, which is why they lost) and using biological weapons is basically the same as using nuclear weapons, which means that America is going to be hesitant to break them out. Also, the war's essentially been stalled for the last couple of months and not much has happened besides negotiation.

And yes kids, you're going to see Mao's China in all its glory.

one of many reasons that KMT fall is that They are so corrupt...

the People do not like them
 
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Joseph McCarthy

February 24th, 1951: Joseph McCarthy makes another fiery speech on the Senate floor roundly denouncing President Truman for not using nuclear weapons against the Chinese.

February 28th, 1951: William C. Patrick, an Army bioweapons engineer, testifies before Congress that biological weapons could be used against the Chinese wheat and rice crops and suggests several organisms which may be helpful. Congress provides some money for Patrick to further investigate this possibility.

March 1st, 1951: Soviet planes begin to operate out of airbases in the Korean Peninsula, making interdiction of Chinese supplies even more difficult.

March 15th, 1951: Negotiations in Geneva stall again. Secretary of State Dean Acheson explicitly threatens to use nuclear weapons against Chinese forces if China does not pull out of the Korean Peninsula.

March 29th, 1951: Chinese forces launch their offensive several days early. 800,000 men in four Army Groups push south, backed up by heavy artillery and armor provided by the Soviets.

April 1st, 1951: The remaining skeleton forces outside of the Pusan Perimeter, which is made up mostly of South Korean troops, collapse almost instantly under the weight of the Chinese advance.

The US Navy is cramming refugees into every ship it has, with every cargo ship leaving Pusan filled to the brim with people wanting to flee Communist forces. The SS Meredith Victory in particular, was notable for the number of refugees it managed to carry. Despite being rated only for 12 passengers, it managed to evacuate over 14,000 people in a single trip. (1)

April 3rd, 1951: Soviet MiGs, operating out of Gimpo Air Base near Seoul, pursue an unusually heavily escorted cargo plane flying out of Pusan over the Sea of Japan. While it's not normally Soviet policy to pursue UN planes over the Yellow Sea and Sea of Japan, this plane is somewhat special.

5 F-86s are shot down for the loss of 3 MiGs. One of the MiGs manages to put several cannon shells into the cargo plane, causing it to disintegrate mid-air.

South Korean President Syngman Rhee was a passenger aboard that cargo plane. A communist sympathizer with knowledge of Rhee's location had tipped off Soviet intelligence services earlier, prompting the Soviets to send planes in pursuit.

The decoy cargo planes failed as the Soviets went straight for the plane carrying Rhee. His body was never recovered.

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Syngman Rhee, 1875-1951

April 5th, 1951: Chinese forces take Daegu. American troops deployed near Pusan fight desperately against the battle hardened veterans of 9th Army Group.

April 6th, 1951: 4 B-50s, armed with newly developed Mark 6 nuclear bombs, take off from Johnson Air Force Base in Japan, escorted by F-86s carrying drop tanks. Due to the Chinese tendency to use infiltration tactics, the B-50s ignore the troops at the front and go for command centers in the Chinese rear.

3 of the bombers are shot down before they can reach their targets.

One of them finds the position of Mao Anying, Mao Zedong's oldest son, who had been serving on Peng Dehuai's staff.

A 160 kiloton blasts levels the younger Mao's headquarters.

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Mao Anying, 1922-1951

"In war there must be sacrifice. Without sacrifices there will be no victory. To sacrifice my son or other people's sons are just the same. There are no parents in the world who do not treasure their children. But please do not feel sad on my behalf, because this is something entirely unpredictable".-Mao Zedong

April 6th, 1951: Since Mao Anying was Peng Dehuai's Russian translator, only an impromptu trip to the front lines had saved Peng's life. Without any further orders, Peng decides to press the attack against the Pusan Perimeter. American troops are resisting fanatically but lack the numbers and experience the PLA has.

April 7th, 1951: An inconsolable Mao Zedong locks himself in his room and refuses to provide any orders or guidance. In a series of phone calls between the frontlines in Korea, Beijing and Geneva, Peng Dehuai, Liu Shaoqi, Lin Biao and Zhou Enlai discuss the situation. The Americans would probably drop more bombs and the next ones would be dropped on Chinese cities, so it would be in their interest to stop the war as soon as possible.

Stalin is of course, furious. He puts Soviet forces in Europe in high alert.

April 8th, 1951: One of the Mark 6 bombs dropped from the B-50 had failed to detonate and instead had fallen harmlessly into a rice paddy. Without telling the Soviets about it, Chinese troops carry the bomb away. Although it probably wouldn't be too useful as a weapon, an intact nuclear device would provide a great deal of insight into the workings of a bomb. The Soviets are instead provided a largely intact F-86 which had crash landed in Korea.

To the west of Pusan, the US 2nd Marine Division is overrun by the PLA 114th Division and is forced to fall back to Pusan. To the north, the PLA 80th Division ambushes and encircles the 43rd Infantry division. Without air support, the Americans are finding it very difficult to repel the enormous numbers of Chinese troops.

April 10th, 1951: The first Chinese units make their way into Pusan.

In Geneva, Dean Acheson informs Zhou Enlai that the next targets for American nuclear weapons will be Beijing and Shanghai. The Americans are desperately afraid that the Soviets will intervene in Europe and this gives Zhou Enlai room to negotiate. Henri Queuille and Clement Atlee have both been pressuring President Truman for months to seek an end to the Korean War, especially since British and French troops were amongst the ones captured by the PLA back in January.

April 11th, 1951: An immediate ceasefire is declared on the morning of April 11th. The remaining American troops are permitted to evacuate from Pusan. As per the terms of the ceasefire, Chinese troops will move back outside the Pusan Perimeter for the time being.

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Zhou Enlai, seen here looking incredibly pimp.

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(1): In real life, this ship evacuated 14,000 refugees from Hungnam up north.
 
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Zhou and the other leaders may need to deal with Mao because he will not be happy about what they have done once he gathers his senses. Chairman Zhou would not be a bad situation for China if it comes to that.
 
Zhou and the other leaders may need to deal with Mao because he will not be happy about what they have done once he gathers his senses. Chairman Zhou would not be a bad situation for China if it comes to that.

What would you rather have to explain to Mao? That the PLA has agreed to a ceasefire in Korea or that Shanghai just got vaporized by a nuclear weapon? The latter is obviously something that nobody wants.

Mao might be angry but Mao would probably understand why the other leaders did what they did.
 
What would you rather have to explain to Mao? That the PLA has agreed to a ceasefire in Korea or that Shanghai just got vaporized by a nuclear weapon? The latter is obviously something that nobody wants.

Mao might be angry but Mao would probably understand why the other leaders did what they did.

That's true. Regardless, I doubt anybody is happy about all the deaths during the war considering it just ended in the status quo. The question is who will be the new leader of South Korea, how does this affect relations with the Soviet Union, and what are the repercussions of the use of nuclear weapons so soon after Hiroshima? Looking forward to more.
 
That's true. Regardless, I doubt anybody is happy about all the deaths during the war considering it just ended in the status quo. The question is who will be the new leader of South Korea, how does this affect relations with the Soviet Union, and what are the repercussions of the use of nuclear weapons so soon after Hiroshima? Looking forward to more.

I'm going to deal with Korea in a later update. As for the use of nuclear weapons, I fear America may be going down a very dark path.
 
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