warsaw uprising

So I was reading this article, and this section got me thinking: So let's assume that the uprising can somehow be organized a week sooner than it was in otl, kicking off in the last week of July, with Bagration still chugging along at full speed and the Germans frantically pulling back. Now...

Per the title. Assuming possible start PODs beginning on October 6th, 1939 to October 2nd, 1944, how could a Polish resistance or revolt successfully fight back the Nazis in Poland, and recoalesce into some sort of state, while surviving for the duration of the war?