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  1. What is needed for Japan to have a imperial revival after WWII?

    Something something early 60s nuclear war something something early 70s biological outbreak that Japan somehow survives?

  2. How long could the USSR keep fighting in Afghanistan?

    If the foreign intervention aren't willing to put their bodies on the line at the end of day wouldn't a ruthless counter-insurgency campaign succeed by running through the available pool of rebels?

  3. How long could the USSR keep fighting in Afghanistan?

    Question for USSR historians: How brutal was the USSR willing to get in that time period? I feel like the answer that question will answer your question. At the end of the day you can win any counter-insurgency campaign if you are willing to kill any potential counter insurgents.

  4. How long would Slavery Last in a Victorious Confederacy?

    Note the three conditions I noted where it wouldn't be. Also this ATL would be butterflied so post 1865 meaning by ATL 2017 slavery might not be as taboo.

  5. How long would Slavery Last in a Victorious Confederacy?

    Until today unless the CSA stopped existing, had a Constitutional Convention or a coup/revolution. Note that ATL 2017 slavery might not be very widespread but it would still exist de jure.

  6. Worst Case Scenario: American Reconstruction

    What it says in the title.

  7. WI: No Great Migration

    I'd be more willingly to believe that if white flight didn't happen in mass in OTL. I understand state migration is bigger but even the racist stigma of being the "black state" could have long term impact on demographics.

  8. WI: No Great Migration

    I have a feeling white supremacist are going to fight harder against civil rights in an OTL where a state might go under black control. Butterfly's are large, the white population might even flee into neighboring states not wanting to live under black rule.

  9. Confederate Civil War

    Shamleess plug: https://www.alternatehistory.com/forum/threads/confederate-states-of-america-civil-war.416546/

  10. WW3 1962 - Recovery Time?

    I don't have time to fully respond to your post. I will concede that the 100 weapons argument I presented was off. Furthermore you have convinced me that a nuclear winter in the case of a 1962 isn't guaranteed given that Nagasaki didn't produce a firestorm. I appreciate your response in this...

  11. AHC: Worst Possible Confederacy

    The CSA survives until the modern day and somehow sparks a thermonuclear/biological holocaust.

  12. The Confederacy "pulls a Meiji"

    Well once again who exactly is arguing that? Even North Korea with their $1,000 GDP per person economy is industrialized. The question isn't whether they industrialize or not, it's if they can pull a "Meiji." In the American context I'd argue that means that the CSA by ATL 2017 is at least a...

  13. The Confederacy "pulls a Meiji"

    A. The CSA would have a massive amount of war debt to repay. B. The CSA economy in the beginning would still be a commodity based one making it vulnerable to shocks. To make matters worse a bad depression could make it harder to raise capital. C. For at least one generation most of the CSA's...

  14. The Confederacy "pulls a Meiji"

    Hence they can be were Mexico is by ATL 2017 is a best case scenario. I don't think many people are saying they would quite become Haiti (although I've seen plausible mini-TL ideas were it is on par with North Korea) but the idea of them even being a .80 or higher on the human development index...

  15. The Confederacy "pulls a Meiji"

    Problem with this is that by the time the CSA leadership wants to really pull a Meiji it might be too late. I don't think its unimaginable to think of ATL 1910 industrialized USA kicking the South's teeth in for instance. Or the CSA going through its own Civil War. Basically the stability of...

  16. The Confederacy "pulls a Meiji"

    By the time the South paid its war debt, continued paying a standing army to deter Northern aggression, tried to build a modern Navy, and dealt with market shocks that come from having a commodity based economy I have a feeling their industrialization will be very slow. A lot of remaining...

  17. Successful French Revolution

    Didn't he get killed in OTL trying to flee?

  18. Name of a Post-Revolution Saudi Arabia?

    Islamic Republic of Arabia.

  19. Successful French Revolution

    My half formed idea is that France stabilizes earlier as a "liberal democracy", uses its conscript army to create a "French bloc" like the Soviets and then use their position as the Continental Empire to export revolutionary democracy and equality. I need to read a lot more French history...

  20. Successful French Revolution

    What would number 2 look like?
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