Search results

  1. What if the US stays out of world war two and the Japanese invade Siberia instead of Manchuria

    I wrote some years ago, "The interesting thing is that by the spring of 1937 the Japanese government actually realized that its policy was not working. The key documents in its self-appraisal were "Implementation of policy toward China" and "Directives for a North China policy," both adopted on...
  2. What if the US stays out of world war two and the Japanese invade Siberia instead of Manchuria

    So Japan doesn't invade Manchuria in 1931? Then we fast forward to Japan invading the USSR in 1941 as though the non-invasion of Manchuria has caused no changes whatever in the world--other than the lack of a US oil embargo, which didn't happen util very late, anyway-- in the 1931-41 decade...
  3. WI: Soviet Union tries to re-capture Alaska during the Cold War?

    Dear Comrade Sam R.: Surely Hawaii offers much better prospect for detachment from US imperialism: a larger indigenous community and a much larger Communist presence due to the ILWU (with strength among Filipinos and Japanese as well as Native Hawaiians). The situation was worrisome enough...
  4. What if the Allies didn't abolish the Nazi regime but instead modified it for their own purposes?

    The Emperor had long been accepted by Japanese liberals and social democrats and had been opposed only by the Communists; and even the Communists showed some flexibility after the Seventh Comintern Congress announced the policy of the "united front"-- some suggesting that "The 'overthrow of the...
  5. Make the Progressive Party a serious third party

    See Walter Lippmann's comments ("Why I Shall Vote for Davis," in the *New Republic,* October 29, 1924, about the futility of the 1924 La Follette Progressives' dream of replacing the Democrats as America's second party: "First, the practical politics of the La Follette movement. Here in the...
  6. WI: Soviet Union tries to re-capture Alaska during the Cold War?

    Like the diplomatic response to Pearl Harbor, culminating in the notes of two diplomats named Fat Man and Little Boy.
  7. What If Carter wins the popular vote but loses the electoral college?

    I think it would make very little difference whether he narrowly lost both the electoral and popular vote or narrowly won the popular vote while losing the electoral vote. IMO 2000 and 2016 showed that the public is not terribly concerned about who wins the popular vote--any more than the...
  8. WI: Soviet Union tries to re-capture Alaska during the Cold War?

    Of course it would be World War III, Alaska being a US territory and after 1959 a state. You might as well ask how the US would react if the Japanese bombed Pearl Harbor...
  9. AHC: President Theodore Roosevelt Jr

    I think the best POD is for Harding to appoint TR, Jr. something other than Assistant Secretary of the Navy (easier said than done, since that position seemed reserved for Roosevelts...) so he doesn't sign the transfers of the oil leases. In that case, TR, Jr. would at least have a chance of...
  10. Possibility of a British-style Russian Union after the Revolution?

    I don't quite get the OP. Formally, the non-Russian republics had much more self-government in the USSR than Scotland had after the 1707 Acts of Union... (And in the 1920s the self-government of the Union Republics wasn't entirely fictitious, either, though obviously even then limited by the...
  11. AHC: Ex-POTUS other than Jimmy Carter is represented in US Senate by someone born after he left White House

    If we look at pre-1900 presidents, although Millard Fillmore (b. 1800) died in 1874, one could plausibly imagine him living until, say, 1890. But it's hard to imagine a really young senator from New York being chosen from 1883 to 1890, though Theodore Rosevelt would be eligible from October...
  12. AHC: Ex-POTUS other than Jimmy Carter is represented in US Senate by someone born after he left White House

    Both of them had health problems--in TR's case, even before the 1913 Amazonian expedition, though it no doubt aggravated them.
  13. AHC: Ex-POTUS other than Jimmy Carter is represented in US Senate by someone born after he left White House

    It happened with Jimmy Carter of course: Jon Ossoff https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jon_Ossoff was born after Carter left office in January 1981. Indeed, even if Carter had been elected to a second term and left office in January 1985, Ossoff was born later than *that*--though of course a second...
  14. Why Did JFK's Catholicism Not Harm Him to the Extent It Harmed Al Smith?

    Allan J. Lichtman: "Kennedy did not win because Protestants became reconciled to a Catholic president . He won because blacks had become Democrats since 1928 and white Protestants were a smaller share of the electorate." https://books.google.com/books?id=3q92ePfQDloC&pg=PA231
  15. WI: Tsongas vs Bush in 1992

    A post of mine from 2014: *** Was Clinton really that much stronger a candidate than Brown or Tsongas would have been? In the South, probably. But note: you can give Bush the five southern states Clinton won (Arkansas, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, and Tennessee, with a total of 47 electoral...
  16. Humphrey '76

    He's basically moved the goalposts. He used to say it predicted the popular vote winner, and used that to explain away the fact that it had failed to predict the Electoral College winner in 1876, 1888, and 2000. Only in 2016, after he predicted a Trump victory did he suddenly say that it now...
  17. Charles W. Fairbanks dead by 1916--who does the GOP choose as Hughes' running mate?

    "After the [1916] election, Fairbanks resumed the practice of law in Indianapolis, but his health soon started to fail.... Fairbanks died of nephritis in his home on June 4, 1918, at the age of 66." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_W._Fairbanks Suppose Fairbanks' health had failed a...
  18. Humphrey '76

    I would take Lichtman's "keys" with a grain of salt. In 2000, he said "yes, they forecast a Gore victory, but they only refer to the *popular* vote, which Gore did win." In 2016, he said that the fact that the keys favored Trump was vindicated by Trump's Electoral College victory--even though...
  19. Humphrey '76

    I would question some of the western states you have in Humphrey's column. It is true that Carter was not the ideal candidate for the West, but neither was Humphrey--too "old-fashioned" for the kind of young voters who propelled Jerry Brown and Gary Hart and Dick Lamm to electoral victories in...
  20. Make the Progressive Party a serious third party

    The 1948 Progressives were too closely linked to the Communist Party to survive in Cold War America, especially after Wallace himself renounced them once they failed to condemn North Korean aggression in 1950. (The one Congressman who supported them who was re-elected in 1948, Vito Marcantonio...
Top