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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saar_Protectorate It is so unlikely it almost happened. But Kehl was annexed for some time. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kehl

Can't have alternate history without key events changing. Everyone hears about Enigma codebreaking, but not much about German codebreaking: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/B-Dienst No one hears about how Colonel A.D. Wintle tried to get the French air force to defect in WWII (even more...

Wouldn't there always be conspiracy theorists if it was directly tied to mental illness and it was totally baseless? Claiming that a credibility gap or a JFK assassination would result in conspiracy theories would imply that there is a basis since they wouldn't otherwise exist.

I'm not sure North Korea even in 2002 post-famine had enough stockpiles of quality equipment and ammunition for lengthy fighting. Most artillery guns would be undermaintained, and many shells would probably be stored improperly.

The bulk of intelligence work is OSINT, basically reading what's in the newspaper or military publications. Beyond that, you're not going to get lists of spy rings outside the ones already caught. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Duquesne_Spy_Ring

Erm. Drawing on another resource (Historical Statistics for the World Economy: 1-2003 AD): 1939 GDP was $430 billion 1990 dollars. 1942 and 1943 GDP was $333 billion 1990 dollars. I'm just providing context, I'm not arguing.

http://www.ibiblio.org/hyperwar/USA/BigL/BigL-1.html 20% of the Soviet economy was allocated to war during 1938. I just would like to note that without lend-lease, 58% of the Soviet economy went towards war during '43. With lend-lease, 76%. The US literally armed the world to fight the...

I believe the point of Herman Kahn's statements was that if one side is more willing to engage in escalation than the other, it will make escalation less likely. While puzzlingly, there is merit to it if you think of Foreign Policy as a game of chicken.

Hyperwar site http://www.ibiblio.org/hyperwar/USA/ If you can't afford to own a library of WWII history textbooks, this is the next best thing.

Yes, but Justice Minister Lara did impound some planes.

Yes but in eighties, memory of Vietnam was still strong. Wouldn't be until Bush Sr. that the US could pull off something like that, and it'd have to be short. Colombia is bigger than Panama, and Bogota is very far inland with difficult terrain. It'd be another Iraq, FARC would come in the aftermath.

Been watching Narcos. Noriega launched a coup in the same time period. Not impossible, Escobar seemed to have spies everywhere.

Pound collapses, negotiations become protracted (how much debt, customs regulations, deciding borders), etc.

Dunkirk was as unlikely as Sea Lion. Especially considering that excellent sea state during Dunkirk.

Quiberon Bay is a choice.

"high variant" for India (http://esa.un.org/wpp/unpp/panel_population.htm): surpass 2 billion by 2065 and continue increasing. India reaching 2 billion is thus feasible, although unlikely.

Would French tank forces be destroyed by the elaborate anti-tank mines emplaced by the Germans?

If there's an Anglo-Indian Union, the British would obviously create severely gerrymandered districts, on the order of an Indian having a twentieth of the vote of a Brit.

How about the reverse, the German Empire joins Austria? Wouldn't that work better?

Okay. This guy is clearly running out of ideas. In the First World War (he calls it the Great War in the book, apparently changes his mind), France stands firm and Russia collapses. Then in the Second World War, France collapses, and Russia stands firm.