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Sam Houston Sam Houston was President of the Republic of Texas. This timeline imagines him as later the President of the Confederacy: https://www.alternatehistory.com/discussion/showthread.php?t=275674 Taking a different route, it may be possible for him to be elected President of the...

That's my thought, too. If Britain won the War of 1812 in a big way, it might take Vermont. Gen. Prevost hoped that Vermont might secede and join British Canada. One reason why he marched in 1814 on the western rather than eastern shore of Lake Champlain was to spare the Vermonters (who had...

That's interesting! I had not heard of that incident before. That, too, could have provoked a war, especially when combined with an unsettled Oregon border dispute.

Wait--I've made an error. It looks like there was actually little debate over the Naval Expansion Act of 1816. Although Washington, D.C. was the capital, it was far from the largest city in the South. One of the reasons why the US was successful at Baltimore was that that city had larger...

Not so. The British goals of annexing large sections of US territory and ending US fishing rights off the Grand Banks were never fulfilled.

A delayed and nasty result of the Oregon issue or some Fenian mischief seems like the most likely culprit. But I can't envision a reason why the US would get involved in a war to support Russia, especially against such a dangerous foe and critical trading partner.

As others have said, this is very unlikely after the Treaty of Ghent has been not only signed but ratified by the Prince Regent. Doing so would damage British diplomatic prestige. Because the Battle of New Orleans occurred almost simultaneously with the arrival of news of the treaty in the...

1781: Rochambeau cannot convince Washington to attack Cornwallis in Virginia instead of British-occupied New York. The Franco-American attack on New York is indecisive. Cornwallis escapes. 1784: Britain and the US sign a peace treaty which recognizes American independence. But the Americans...

They dropped the seizure of American ships, but not the impressment of American sailors. From the Encyclopedia of the War of 1812:

No, that's not their goal. I was vague because I didn't want to give any spoilers.

I think that you'd need a more thorough defeat before the US would give up Louisiana. If the British are in New York City (Prevost's ultimate destination) and New Orleans and the federal government has basically broken down due to insolvency (which nearly happened), then some government might...

Yes, that's right. Louisiana, the Northwest north of the Greenville Treaty line, northern New York, Vermont, and eastern Maine are roughly 2/3 of US territory. The British dropped the Louisiana issue pretty quickly. You can read the reply of the American commissioners here. But the British...

I can see a decisive British victory, but I'm more skeptical of a decisive American victory. Although American forces may be able to take Upper Canada, the US will never be able to deprive Britain of naval supremacy on the Atlantic. The Royal Navy can continue to ravage American shipping and...

That's my conclusion, too. Early in the war, the US wanted to end impressment, end the British piracy on it ships, and, if possible, conquer part or all of Canada. At the point, the British simply wished to retain their territory. The US did not achieve its war aims at this point, but the UK...

In the summer of 1814, the British conquered eastern Maine and renamed it New Ireland. From what I read in David Fitz-Enz's The Final Invasion, the British planned for Prevost's campaign to set the new southern border of Canada. Northern New York would become a new colony administered...

I'll disagree with that. British plans varied, but they included the conquest of eastern Maine, Vermont, northern New York, the American Northwest north of the Greenville Treaty line as a Native American protectorate, the forced return of Louisiana to Spain (the British regarded the US...

I take the opposite view. Even if the US Army is able to take Upper Canada and Quebec, I don't see how it could reach, let alone eject the British from Nova Scotia, or withstand a British counteroffensive in Canada unless the UK suffers a series of major defeats in Europe that preoccupy it. I...

Could you be a bit more specific? In the two scenarios, how big does the US or the UK win the war?