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Eh, I disagree. Had the South not attacked the Fort, they might have been able to enter a period of "False / Fake" war which very well could have politically been to their advantage.

Maybe. As time goes by, it'll become increasingly harder to make a profit on a population you have to keep as ignorant and base as possible anyway. In so far as abolition turns a country towards solving its problems through innovation rather than manpower / slavepower, it'll always be a winner...

Well, the successful American Revolution definitely contributed to the rise of Abolitionism in the U.K. Whether or not loosing the 13 Colonies was a net plus for the U.K. geopolitically depends on whether or not you think they'd have ended up being a sink whole for the empire's resources and...

With a PoD off January 1st, 1900, how can the Europeans embroil themselves in not two, but three major conflicts? Modifying WWI and WWII, or butterflying either or both away is perfectly acceptable. Somehow, however, general unrestricted warfare has to consume the vast majority of Europe three...

Well, to be more direct, one has to admit that between 1860 and 1960 World History was pretty bloody. (It is still pretty bloody, but nuclear weapons do seem to put a damper on great power wars. Then again, what is 70 years in the grand scheme of things?) I'd think, when the international...

No, it really isn't within the realm of possibility. I could imagine it happening in certain South American countries, and probably did, but frankly early on in European colonization, black slaves were pretty much viewed by indians and in practice part of the "Conquista" and by the time blacks...

I feel that both the rump U.S. and the independent Confederacy in any imaginable scenario will feel more threatened and vulnerable to their neighbors than the combined U.S. did OTL. This, I think, will inevitably contribute to both being more willing to entertain alliances. By doing so, however...

On the question of slavery, while the abolitionist minority wasn't as yet a significant political force in 1814, the pro-slavery South also hadn't quite consolidated around the idea of slavery being a positive good in 1814 either. Either way, states rights were still paramount, and despite the...

Yeah, basically. It was pretty interesting that gas wasn't used as a widespread weapon in WWII. On the other hand, it might also speak to human mentality. Nuclear weapons haven't been used widespread in this era. ' There is even evidence that the ancients were reluctant to use the biological...

As has been said, with a PoD of 1600 anything is possible. It is, however, equally possible that all of North America is French by 1812 as it's a British derived independent state being reconquered. As far as anything recognizable goes, I'd think that there is a difference between winning...

You would need both changes in Black and White thought for this to be possible. The mainline thought of both blacks and whites during the Civil War / Reconstruction period was basically intergrationists. This logic would inevitably be subverted by the white south, because it would produce...

Well, uplifting savages was definately a part of colonialism. But, I suppose in the end most of those types would have been classified as useful idiots by the state, if such terminology and mechanistic modes of thought weren't so patently out of time and place. In period parlance, they were...

Estimating the number of loyalists in the population is hard, for several reasons. First, do you include enslaved population in any such estimate, which leaned overwhelmingly in the "loyalist" direction? Second, how do you account for declining loyalists sentiment with waning British fortunes...

Well, I'm quite (falsetto) suprised, no one here began with an alternate Bolivar revotion.

Americans actually invented the Committes of Public Saftey, which I found intriguing.....in the early days of the American Revolution, most villages and town had one, and they were quite effective in rooting out Loyalists in most places. However, I would say that the expansion of the Revolution...

Basically, any outsider group, whether it be blacks, Indians, or even Germans, in the country in large enough percentages will probably tamp down radicalism in any revolution....as any country which has a large foreign population is likely to have powerful intrestest on both sides that will not...

Bacon's Rebellion is a popular divergence point this. Have Bacon live longer and succeed, and make Virginia pass some law (in Bacon's appreciation for the role of slaves in securing him a governorship) that no child born in the colony is born a slave, even if their mother in in perpetual...

While that is true in part, I see little reason to include the Pre-Modern African Slave Trade. While I find the slave trade spawned by the discovery of the Americas abhorrent, I also find little similaritiy between it and classical evolutions.

What? There wasn't really an African internal market for slaves. At least not more the traditional market for slaves bared. That's like arguing that, had aliens for outerspace arrived in 1 A.D. and payed Romans for slaves, had such aliens not arrived, Roman Slavery would have maintained it same...

Is it possible, with a PoD after January 1st, 1782, for the North American black slave population to be "settled" on reservations, rather than incorporated into the body politic as geographically distributed subserviants? Similary to Native Americans, could there be large swaths of territory by...