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I think this is way too late for an Elamite revival, at least if we mean the Elamite language/religion/ethnic polity. Maybe an Aryan state based in that region, but that's not too different from OTL's Achaemenids.

I'm surprised Sweden isn't at least considering entering the war. They could reasonably expect to gain the Alands and some sort of influence in Finland after the peace (such as a Swedish royal on the Finnish throne).

Also Mary, not being raised by Catherine, would be presumably more Henrican in her religion. If Henry still fails to produce a legitimate male heir and Henry Fitzroy still dies young, Queen Mary might have a very different reign.

The National Republicans and Whigs remained fairly elite parties, and were electorally viable through the 1850's. So it's not ASB for the Federalists to have a longer period of dominance.

Is April, 1865 too late to bring Missouri, Kentucky, and Maryland into the CSA? That could slow the whole process down. Combined with a Southern defensive strategy, I think this might take us into 1866 or even 67, yes?

Don't forget, this is still the Belle Epoque, and holding a capital - even a colonial capital - imparts tremendous prestige. Holding Daressalam when Russia goes to the negotiating table (a pipe dream, but Vitgeft may not know that) matters far more than holding Kilwa. On the other hand, loosing...

That's a clever challenge. A British Hawai'i is easy, but why would it be administered along with Canada? Maybe one of those super-Canada's where the Brits get Oregon and California.

What if Timur had lived through the plague that killed him in 1404 and followed through on his plan to invade the Ming Dynasty, allied to the remnants of the Yuan? Could Timur succeed in conquering China? What would the effects of his rule be? Would Islam become more prominent in China, perhaps...

Hmm. What about a rump CSA consisting of South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana? All of a sudden the demographics become a lot more plausible.

Although Britain was the recent enemy and the Dutch a trustworthy ally in the immediate post-ARW period.

I don't have anything for you, but I'd be curious to see more information on this topic as well.

I've been to Calistoga, it's a neat place - one of only three "Old Faithful" geysers in the world and a petrified redwood forest that beats the national park in Arizona, IMHO. Why did the resort idea fail? Is there any way these natural wonders could have been better exploited to bring more...

That's certainly true before the abortive Dominion of New England, and particularly before the 1754 Albany Plan of Union. By the 1760s-70s, the seeds of American unity exist and certainly people like Franklin considered there to be a common American identity. However, a pre-1775 POD is still...

Well, and the Mosquito Coast.

And if Turkey's in, it's certainly not impossible that Persia could see a chance and attack - though I doubt Europeans would actually consider this theater to be part of the Seven Year's War.

An alternate ARW is the other common option. Or theoretically some other Nineteenth Century war that distracts Britain at sea and in other theaters.

How would Germany give "the bomb" to Japan, anyway, while at war with Russia, the US, and the British Empire? By sub? It doesn't seem like a credible threat. I also don't really get how an already fully engaged Germany occupies France as just sort of a contingency... I think it's much more...

One in Central or North America is possible - Mexico holding on to Central America (minus the British bits and Panama) is far from impossible.

Wouldn't even last a generation as a segregated League. Not saying it couldn't have valence afterwards, but Civil Rights is coming, even to the Deep South, by the late 1960's at the latest.

This sort of de jure segregation can't continue past the late 60's, even if you throw every possible monkey wrench into the Civil Rights Movement. For a number of reasons, but here's the biggest one: starting with the late 30's, more and more working blacks had significant discretionary income...