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Makes sense, thanks for the info. The US in TTL has been a bit more aggressive in pressuring countries to crack down on terror, it might occur in Indonesia if any other big attacks come up.

In that case, the result will probably go to whichever whose foreign policy views and tendencies are most apparent - economically Strauss-Kahn appears to be more centrist, but I do not get the impression this carries over to foreign policy... I imagine he would want to stay involved in...

So it sounds like we have a matchup between Strauss-Kahn and Juppe. From what I can gather, Juppe hadn't been formally convicted of corruption yet, garnered praise as a foreign affairs minister and then a lot more hate as PM. I assume Chirac's death will on the net favor the UMP candidate, but I...

Actually, you're missing another possibility. Probably one worse than both...

To clear up any confusion, the "new" remark was directed at the issue of whether or not Jospin would run again, or a "new" candidate like Strauss-Kahn would run. However, given my knowledge of French politics between DeGaulle and Sarkozy is rather subpar, I appreciate the input on French...

Well, somebody called the next big conflict, but it's not Indonesia... I'll also say we didn't attack it in OTL either. Though it will likely escalate into something that makes Iraq look piddling by comparison, too.

Well, Aceh was a military situation even before the "war on terror," but it never really became part of it, since the GAM didn't radicalize as people feared in OTL... I mean more the response to the Bali bombers and the like. Yeah, I think someone on this thread has already called the next...

Given the situation (snap elections within a few weeks), I'd imagine the party would choose the path of least internal resistance, so probably Juppe. This is the impression I got. Plus assuming the tsunami occurs as per OTL, resistance in Aceh is going to disappear after 2004, which means if...

I'd assume they'd want to try somebody new. I'm not entirely sure who the UMP is going to run, though. I know Sarkozy ran unopposed in 2007, but I'd assume he might have some challengers in 2002?

Thanks. Yeah, I think the quotes at the beginning give a pretty clear direction of where the TL is headed...

PART XX: April-July 2002 “Everything that flies on anything that moves.” - Henry Kissinger, relaying Nixon’s orders to bomb Cambodia “Although our intellect always longs for clarity and certainty, our nature often finds uncertainty fascinating.” - Carl Von...

Yes... Unlike the actual WWII, a modern replay against terror would involve a lot more of its "global catastrophe" characteristics than the "freedom and democracy triumphs everywhere" characteristics. If you go around the world aiming for a major war, that's what you're liable to get. NATO's...

Pakistan couldn't nuke the continental US, to my knowledge - the longest range it could achieve with an operational missile is 2,500 km. However, it could try and use its nuclear weapons against ground troops or American ships. Yeah, now that I check its come pretty early, but I suppose a...

PART XIX: September 2001-June 2002 “The people who control America today make decisions like drunkards. They do not understand what they are doing at all.” - Ayatollah Khamenei “It is perfectly obvious that the whole world is going to hell. The only possible chance that it...

PART XVIII: September 2001-April 2002 “War is the health of the state.” -Randolph Bourne “No man's life, liberty, or property are safe while the legislature is in session.” -Gideon J. Tucker --- “President McCain today signed the Uniting and Strengthening America Act...

In Pakistan? Probably a draft, and a guerilla war on a massive scale. Nothing pretty. There's still Operation Overwhelming Resolve in the Philippines, yes. Economic recovery is going about the same as per OTL, the really noticeable differences will take awhile to show up. In any case, the...

Don't worry... if there is a US deployment in Indonesia, it'll be limited to specific areas, as I do not really see any remotely plausible scenario where the country is taken over by those guys who have the Caliphate conference. However, there is a lot of potential for the Indonesian government...

PART XVII: January-April 2002 “Politics is not an exact science.” - Otto von Bismarck “The recalcitrant forces in the historical drama have a power and persistence beyond our reckoning.” - Reinhold Niebuhr --- While the US busied itself in Central...

They certainly will. But it might take until the second term until it becomes really big. NATO "recognizes the necessity" of transnational operations, but so far no other country has sent ground troops. They're filling in for areas the US troops are leaving from, though. Subject of a future...

I think Clinton would want to wait to be able to win the whole thing, but Clark is definitely going to be more of a factor. Here's the next section. PART XVI: March-April 2002 “As we go on, effects will grow less simple, less predictable, and political operations and even armed...