WI: Al Gore ran for President in 2008

In the OTL, Al Gore was one of the media favorites for who could run for the presidency in 2008. He would have been in a similar position as Nixon 40 years previous; a man who lost the election by a very close margin, who had gone out into the political wilderness, and 8 years later was in a world where the current administration had made unpopular decisions and America was in an unpopular war. Al Gore did not run, and the contest was heated between Clinton, Edwards and Obama before Obama won the nomination and the presidency.

What if Al Gore had decided to pursue the Democratic nomination for president? What would that contest look like, what is the likelihood of him securing the nomination, who would he pick for VP, what would the election look like between him and the Republican nominee, and what would a Gore administration look like and a President Gore America look like?
 
wonder if he would have accepted a vice-presidency under another clinton if he had failed to win the nomination?
 
wonder if he would have accepted a vice-presidency under another clinton if he had failed to win the nomination?

No and Clinton wouldn't have offered.

I think Gore would have won the nomination but by a different path than Obama.
 

JRScott

Banned
I'm not sure Gore could have won he democrat primaries, he like Hilary was largely stuck in the past. He's run a conventional campaign much like she did and be broke after Super Tuesday. Him and Clinton would probably come closer to splitting Super Tuesday but ultimately what won Barack Obama the democrat primaries was his unconventional campaign which concentrated on the lower cost markets often ignored by major candidates, so while Clinton got some major big states, Obama overcame it because he got most of the smaller ones.

As such I don't see Gore beating Obama, I'm sorry. The only way he possibly could make it work would be if he could get Obama's school records and make Obama's life even more of an issue than Clinton did, the problem with that is the alienation of the black vote, without which you can't win the General Election as a Democrat. It's why the Clinton's didn't push it more than they did for fear of alienating the black voters to much.

If he had won. First off I think you would have avoided the lack of a budget for the last few years. The debt would have increased but probably not at the pace Obama has increased it.

He would not have had the expansive czars Obama has, and he would not have reversed the welfare reforms of the Clinton administration. He probably would have been more willing to embrace the findings of a Debt Commission and some ore most of their ideas probably would have passed under a Gore administration.

He would not have pursued Obamacare with the zealotry that the Obama administration did. Indeed you probably would never have a health care bill arise during a Gore administration, it had been a disaster in the Clinton administration and he wouldn't want to repeat that. This doesn't mean some sort of reform wouldn't pass but to be fair its probably closer to the Republican proposals than the one Obama got passed.

He still would not have closed Guatonomo, he would not have pulled the troops out of Iraq or Afghanistan in his first years. You probably would have seen cancellation of many of the same military programs Obama did but also more programs.

He would probably bring up the need for a line item veto again in order to balance the budget urging Congress to perhaps amend the constitution to give it. To this end he would call upon the Tea Party and the need for there to be more balance between the executive and legislature. He'd probably model the amendment after Randy Barnett's Bill of Federalism (though Gore would never support all of the amendments Barnett proposed).

Amendment XXVIII – Balanced Budget Line Item Veto


Section 1. The budget of the United States shall be deemed unbalanced whenever the total amount of the public debt of the United States at the close of any fiscal year is greater than the total amount of such debt at the close of the preceding fiscal year.
Section 2. Whenever the budget of the United States is unbalanced, the President may, during the next annual session of Congress, separately approve, reduce or disapprove any monetary amounts in any legislation that appropriates or authorizes the appropriation of any money drawn from the Treasury, other than money for the operation of the Congress and judiciary of the United States.
Section 3. Any legislation that the President approves with changes pursuant to the second section of this Article shall become law as modified. The President shall return with objections those portions of the legislation containing reduced or disapproved monetary amounts to the House where such legislation originated, which may then, in the manner prescribed in the seventh section of the first Article of this Constitution, separately reconsider each reduced or disapproved monetary amount.
Section 4. The Congress shall have power to implement this Article by appropriate legislation; and this Article shall take effect on the first day of the next annual session of Congress following its ratification.

Oddly enough the only other part of the Bill of Federalism Gore would probably support is term limits for Congress, he could call upon it as a means to battle a do nothing congress if they fail to pass a budget. That part of Randy Barnett's reads:

Amendment XXIX – Term Limits for Congress

No person who has served as a Senator for more than nine years, or as a Representative for more than eleven years, shall be eligible for election or appointment to the Senate or the House of Representatives respectively, excluding any time served prior to the enactment of this Article.

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I believe Gore in a similar political climate could get those two amendments passed in Congress. I then believe that the Tea Party would have been instrumental in getting them passed in enough states to have them ratified before 2012.

A stimulus bill for Gore wouldn't have been a pure payback to political contributors like Obama did. It would have contained less support for the arts and humanities and more support for infrastructure improvements. Sadly it would have contained much of the Green agenda that we've seen fail so miserably the last few years.

The banking rules that have so largely crippled the finance industry probably would not have passed under Gore. This would have allowed more credit for small businesses and allowed some more job creation. Most likely under a Gore administration there would have been more effort to make sure the bill only applied to the megabanks and not regional/community banks.This however means that unemployment improves in his administration unlike Obama's.

Ultimately if he got passed the Primaries and won the general election in 2008, though the country would still be having a hard time he'd be in better shape to be reelected than Obama is in 2012.
 

JRScott

Banned
In a second term I believe Gore would have pursued his crusade against global warming with more zealous. He has a slightly improving economy and thus he is able to concentrate on something closer to his heart.

He would probably seek to punish China for solar panel dumping after the failure of the earlier Green Energy subsidies.

Another factor is that he'd probably move away from corn based ethanol, its highly inefficient costly and driving up food prices. Instead he'd move the corn based ethanol subsidies to sugar beets/sugar cane ethanol subsidies. This would lower the prices of many foods that had risen in the last 5 years but would also have the benefit to start raising the price of foods that have sugar in them including those fattening sodas etc. Sugar is used in less foods than corn so overall food prices will drop. This move will probably be popular with southern farmers, less so with midwest farmers.

In response to Hurricane Sandy he's going to push for more green technologies and more green energy sources. Among these he might decide to tap more into geothermal energy, much like Iceland uses. It doesn't have the negative impact on birds that windmills do, the increased albedo of solar panels, or the impact on fish that wave generators have. It is relatively plentiful.

He will now more willingly tackle Social Security and Medicare reform. He was long in favor of such, now without worrying about reelection he could push for reforms, among these ensuring monies collected for them could only be used to pay for those programs or pay down the national debt nothing else. Look for age of eligibility to rise for those under 50. Ultimately though his modest reforms will extend the life of Social Security at least 20-30 years.

He will probably push research and education in information technologies and biotechonologies seeking to regain the forefront in these areas for America. Among these might be ways to produce synthetic fuel without disturbing coastal and protected areas of the United States.

He would still be for a strong defense, he's not going to drawdown the military more than he has to and he's not going to pull out of the world scene. Indeed being pragmatic with the tension between Japan and China growing he might invest some money as more tax revenues brought in by changes from his first term come in into the military to ensure if we have to we are ready.

The Navy would continue its conversion to biofuels, while expensive Gore would be fore it as much as Obama has been it would of started in his first term and be continuing.

His sore point would be Hurricane Sandy. The damage to the Northeast will require much assistance. However Gore's FEMA is probably much more efficient than Obama's he was a stark critic of Bush's FEMA at Hurricane Katrina and he'd take a personal interest that they do a better job. The extra costs though of rebuilding might force him to cut back on other plans to remain within a balanced budget.
 
Gore would win, but not by as wide of a margin as Obama did in the electoral college. However, he is more successful in his domestic agenda than Obama has been to date.
 
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