2018 Presidential Election

mspence

Banned
If (when) Laurion goes down completely, I want to see it done in an epic, public fashion (note: for those who might not remember, San Andreo was the power plant in the episode "Duck and Cover.")
 
BREAKING: Social media video appears to depict Lavrenty Konanov in failed border crossing
1 December 2021
Local Russian news outlets are reporting that Ukrainian politican Lavrenty Konanov, who has been missing for over a week, has been killed while attempting to cross the border from Russia to Ukraine. These reports are based on a video circulating on social media among Russian and Ukrainian speakers of a firefight taking place at night. In the video, a group of three people are seen fleeing from a vehicle and disappearing into nearby woods, pursued by the vehicle. No other evidence has surfaced of this supposed incident and none of the figures in this video are identifiable. These reports are still unconfirmed by any source and are unverifiable at this time.
 
UPDATE: Lavrenty Konanov in Belarusian custody
2 December 2021
Lavrenty Konanov, the brother of Ukrainian President Nastia Konanova, has been confirmed alive and in the custody of Belarusian authorities. Belarus state sources released an official statement announcing that he had been apprehended near the shared border of Russia, Ukraine, and Belarus and was accompanied by two other people, one man and one woman, who have not yet been identified. Konanov is being held by Belarus on charges of making an illegal border crossing and allegedly collaborating with Belarusian dissenters in creating civil unrest. Both Ukraine and Russia have demanded that Konanov be turned over to them. Konanov escaped from Russian custody over a week ago under unknown circumstances and moved through Russia undetected. President Konanova stated earlier last week that she "hopes to reunited with her brother soon" and condemned his illegal detainment.

A video that was widely shared over the last 24 hours on Russian language social media purportedly showing Konanov chased by Russian forces has now been debunked. The video was traced back to a 2018 Facebook live stream that has since been deleted, and was of a gang fight taking place in the city of Kazan.
 
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Thursday December 2nd, 2021

Michael Graty resigns as an MP to become Head of Development for United Britannia

Michael Graty, the son of the former Prime-Minister, and MP for Ilford North has announced this morning that he has resigned as an MP to take up a position starting on January 4th as Head of Development for United Britannia Airlines.

Graty, 51, has been MP for the greater London seat since the 2004 general election, although he never held a ministerial post, in either the government or the shadow cabinet, he was between 2013 and 2018, Chairman of the 1922 committee, the group of Conservative backbenches which runs it's leadership contests. Like his mother he is a qualified engineer, and has long been a supporter of United Britannia Airlines, as well as a supporter for the plan for a third runway at Heathrow airport.

His seat of Ilford North is only one of twenty eight currently held by the Conservatives of greater London's seventy three seats. The seat has been held by the Conservatives since the 1978 by-election, it was the seat of Vivian Bendall, who held it until his retirement prior to the 2004 election. Graty's majority was 7,193 at the 2018 general election, and it would be require a 5.98% swing for Labour to take the seat.
 
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Just some notes on the above post:
United Britannia Airlines is taken directly from the show and the series 6 episode "The Wake Up Call". It is the WW universe's version of British Airways.
Michael Graty and his mother's background where all established on the first thread of the story back in 2013.
Vicaian Bendall was a real Conservative MP (he is now retired), and the 1978 by-election happened as above. The difference is that he lost the seat at OTL 1997 election with a massive 17.3% swing against him. In ATL with not such a big swing against the Conservatives in our 1996 election, he holds onto the seat, with a majority of 5,224 and with a swing just below the national average (4.82%- National Swing was 5.25%). He retires at the 2004 election here aged 65 and replaced by Graty.
In OTL it was held by Labour with a reduced majority in 2001, before the Tories took it back in 2005 with a 4.6% swing, and increased the majority in 2010 before in 2015 it was won by Labour's Wes Streeting with a 589 majority and was one of the few bright spots on a bad election night for Labour. The current Labour majority is 5,198.
 
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Thursday, December 2nd, 2021

Special Feature: Congressional Retirements (updated)

It is less than two months before the Iowa caucus, the "official" beginning of the presidential election cycle. Understandably, who will win the Republican nomination and the resulting contest with President Seaborn, the presumptive Democratic nominee, will dominate most election and political coverage until November 2022.

But how the person who wins next November governs will depend in large part on the composition of Congress at the start of January 20, 2023. On the Senate side, Republicans will look to keep their sizable majority, while the composition of the House will depend in large part on the new district maps drawn as a result of the 2020 Census.

The combination of a presidential election cycle and new House maps is perhaps responsible for the large number of members of Congress who have announced their planned departure compared to this point in the 2018 and 2020 election cycles. As each state finalizes the federal district maps it will use for the next decade and more senators finish testing the political waters, this number will continue to grow.

Courtesy of the NBS politics team, here are each of the 32 members of Congress who have already announced that they will not be seeking re-election next year, now that half of the states have finished their redistricting process.

Senate
AL: Alan Garland (R) (in office since 2010) — One Congress as chair of the Senate Budget Committee is all that Garland will get. The 73 year-old announced he's hanging up his spurs rather than run again, a decision undoubtedly helped along from undergoing another operation in May to remove melanoma from his skin.

CA: Gabe Tillman (D) (in office since 2018) — President Seaborn's replacement in the Senate, "the Democrat's Democrat" is gracefully bowing out rather than stand in the way of term-limited governor Abbie Heilemann (D)'s senatorial ambitions. Heilemann is almost certain to be the party's nominee, and thus the next senator from California, while Tillman has expressed an interest in returning to political commentary.

ID: Clark Gibson (R) (in office since 1981) — Gibson is the head of the powerful Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, but he's perhaps better known in political junkie circles for his grievance over how the Senate determines seniority. The second-most senior senator will retire after 40 years in the Senate, and be succeeded by a Republican.

IL: Jasper Irving (R) (in office since 2017) — The conservative-cum-moderate senator from Illinois passed up a tough re-election fight to instead run for the presidency. While time will tell at how successful Irving, or whoever the GOP nominates, are in taking the White House, it's doubtful that they will retain this blue-state seat in 2022.

KS: Sam Wilkinson (R) (in office since 1981) — President pro tempore and chair of the Senate Armed Services Committee is a pretty good place to end a distinguished Senate career and that’s where Wilkinson finds himself. The president pro tem is 84 years old, and is retiring rather than seeking an eighth term in office.

MI: Randall Thomas (R) (in office since 1999) — Thomas has spent his congressional career frustrating Democrats that they have been unable to take his seat, despite Michigan consistently leaning Democratic. Michigan will miss his leadership of the Senate Finance Committee, even if voters in the state picks someone outside his party to succeed him.

OK: Robert Roanoke (R) (in office since 1987) — After six terms being a good friend to the beef industry, Pentagon and voters in his state, Robert Roanoke is retiring. The chair of the Senate Indigenous Affairs Committee plans to return home to his ranch and watch what is sure to be a brutal primary battle within the Republican Party to succeed him.

SD: Robin Fulton (R) (in office since 2003) — Fulton's announcement that he had been diagnosed with stage II pancreatic cancer led to an outpouring of support from the entire Senate and from voters in his home state. It is very unlikely that he will live long enough to see the end of his successor's term in 2029.

House of Representatives
AL-01: Jim Doldier (R) (in office since 2011) — Garland's retirement will cause at least one shake-up in Alabama's House delegation, with Doldier giving up his Mobile-based seat to try for the Senate. Like with the open Senate seat, whoever wins the Republican primary for the first district will be its next representative.

AZ-08: Troy Foster (R) (in office since 2013) — While term-limited governor Scott Phillips (R) is seriously eyeing Antonio Rodrigues' (D) Senate seat, Foster has already declared his intention to become Arizona’s next governor. He's giving up his safe House seat to do so, although the eighth district may get slightly more competitive after redistricting.

CA-49: Alton Moore (R) (in office since 1999) — Moore has opted to try a very long-shot run for president rather than face a redistricting and likely a tough re-election fight. California lost a seat in the last Census and the new district boundaries will play a large part in determining who will take over the district after Moore, chair of the House Rules Administration Committee, leaves Congress.

GA-11: Dominic Rudig (R) (in office since 1995) — Rudig is packing it in after 14 terms after drawing yet another right-wing primary opponent whose sole point of contention is Rudig's pro-choice stance. It is likely that a few more candidates will now jump into the GOP primary now that Rudig is way out.

HI-02: Evelyn Bindo (D) (in office since 2005) — The "jokester of the House" is taking the opportunity of her district getting new boundaries to retire. Bindo is 82 and is likely to have a huge say in which Democrat will succeed her in this deep-blue seat.

IL-11: Joyce Pearce (D) (in office since 2013) — Pearce is trying to make the move up to the Senate to replace presidential hopeful Jasper Irving. Illinois Democrats turned her safe Democratic district into one that only leans Democratic in the state's redistricting, so whomever the Democrats nominate will have to fight much harder than Pearce did to hold this seat.

IL-12: James Newhouse (D) (in office since 1991) — Redistricting has turned the 12th from one that only leans Republican to one that's solidly Republican. That means that Newhouse is calling it quits after two decades in Congress and handing his seat over to the likely GOP nominee, 15th district representative Marvin Troughton.

IL-15: Ray Riggleman (R) (in office since 2001) — The new district lines in Illinois moved 13th district representative Bill Delmon into the 15th. Since Delmon is one of the best House Republicans (outside of party leadership) at bringing in donor cash, it's no wonder Riggleman was persuaded to stand aside to prevent a bruising primary in this deep-red district.

IL-17: Gene Kramer (D) (in office since 1987) — It will be hard for Democrats to match Kramer's success in downstate Illinois. Kramer, who heads Democrats on the House Education and Workforce Committee, seems to be calling it after gutting out two tough re-election in 2018 and 2020. The district's new configuration has made it a swing seat.

IA-03: Kevin Nix (R) (in office since 2011) — Iowa Republicans have been itching to unseat Governor James Edwards (D) for three years, and Nix is the strongest candidate so far willing to try and unseat him.

MN-02: Leif Erikson (R) (in office since 1987) — Perhaps the closest we’ll ever get in Congress to a real-life viking from Minnesota, Erikson hasn't had a serious contest in decades. But his age is catching up with him: his beard is now gray, and he's had open-heart surgery twice in the past five years. This district could go either way next year without him, but that of course depends on what its boundaries look like after 2022.

MN-07: Thom Grunder (D) (in office since 1973) — Fifty years in Congress will be enough for the Dean of the House and ranking member of the House Agriculture Committee. Republicans have long been targeting his district (currently it is the most Republican seat held by a Democrat), and regardless of what its exact boundaries will be in 2022, it's as good as theirs without Grunder to compete against.

MT-AL: Alan Price (D) (in office since 2011) — Big Sky Country is getting a second congressional district again, three decades after losing it after the 1990 Census. The district boundaries were unkind to Price, who was drawn into the very Republican second district that makes up the central and eastern parts of the state instead of the Missoula-based first district.

NY-19: Del Roberts (R) (in office since 2011) — With former governor Rob Cole more interested in challenging Tim Burrell for the Senate, Roberts has stepped up to try to unseat Governor Hakeem El-Amin. It's a long shot, and Roberts' scant record of accomplishments in Congress is unlikely to persuade blue-state voters to take a chance on him.

NC-09: David Epps (R) (in office since 2009) — North Carolina's new 13th district managed to pack three Republican congressman into one district: Epps, John M. Porter and current representative Tommy Ray Mitchell. Epps has already announced his acceptance of a teaching position at Davidson College for the fall 2022 semester and will presumably resign from Congress before then. The new 9th district encompasses all of Charlotte, which means 12th district incumbent Aaron Bonds (D) will have no problem holding onto his new seat.

OH-09: Josie Bail (D) (in office since 2003) — The Democratic Caucus Chair is trying to become the Buckeye State's seventh governor to have served non-consecutive terms. The "Snake by the Lake" is considered one of the ugliest gerrymanders in the nation, and Bail's successor will get a nicer, much more Republican-friendly, district map to hang in their office.

OH-13: Roger Matthews (D) (in office since 2011) — Matthews was the biggest congressional victim of Ohio losing a House seat as a result of the Census. Ohio Republicans took the opportunity to obliterate his swing seat base and plop him instead in the deep red 6th district. Rather than fight a losing battle, Matthews instead is running for state Attorney General.

PA-10: Chris Franklin (R) (in office since 1987) — A self-described "Rockefeller Republican", Franklin is a member of a dying breed of Republican politician that was briefly reinvigorated by Arnold Vinick in 2006. With Pennsylvania losing a House seat next year, we can only guess how the tenth district will lean politically in the next election.

TN-04: Walter Peterson (R) (in office since 2011) — Terrance Klein (D) is undoubtedly the most vulnerable incumbent governor up for re-election in the upcoming election cycle. The Volunteer State is deeply Republican and Peterson is hoping that the state's natural partisan lean will overcome Klein's solid approval ratings.

TX-04: John Hancock (R) (in office since 1997) — The congressman who shares his name with the famous Founding Father, Hancock is hanging up his spurs after a quarter-century in Congress. Texas' redistricting has stretched this district from northeastern Texas into the Dallas suburbs, but it's still going to be filled by a Republican when Hancock departs.

TX-07: Ralph Ellis (R) (in office since 2011) — Ellis' seat is one of the two that Texas Republicans sacrificed in the state's redistricting to shore up other GOP seats. The new seventh is very Democratic, nothing like the swing seat that Ellis is leaving behind.

TX-29: Tim Fields (D) (in office since 1991) — Fields could have been either Speaker of the House or Governor of Texas, but the superior caucus campaign of Mark Sellner and a bribery scandal derailed his hopes of career advancement. His successor will be a Democrat and almost certainly a Hispanic one at that.

TX-32: Lewis Simpson (R) (in office since 2021) — Simpson will only get the one term in Congress, as the new 32nd is now very Democratic. It's also majority-minority, which likely mollifies some Texas Democrats who were concerned about state Republicans' attempts to remove the possibility of any more seats turning blue or purple as Texas continues its demographic shift.

WV-03: Charles Hacker (R) (in office since 1989) — The third district is going to be eliminated after next year, and Hacker is leaving with it. The dean of West Virginia's congressional delegation, Hacker is one of four current representatives who switched parties while in office (in his case, to the GOP after being elected as a Democrat).

HONORABLE MENTION
DC-AL: Martha Vickers (D) (in office since 1991)
— The grand lady of DC politics was diagnosed with Alzheimer's this fall and will end her political career after spending four decades in elected office. The District of Columbia is so Democratic that Republicans often don't bother running candidates here, and the next non-voting delegate for the nation's capital will be decided in the Democratic primary.
 
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Saturday, December 4th 2021

Former acting president George P. Bush laid to rest

Bowling Green, KY
— Every living Presidents of the United States were on hand yesterday at the funeral of George P. Bush, the first Acting President in US history. Bush, who passed away on Sunday at the age of 93, declined to lie in state at the National Cathedral in Washington DC, instead preferring a ceremony at his presidential library in Bowling Green.

President Sam Seaborn and First Lady Lauren Parker-Seaborn were on-hand alongside former presidents D. Wire Newman, Matthew Santos and Glen Allen Walken. Vice President Jack Hunter and Second Lady Amy Hunter also attended, as did all six living former vice presidents, several international dignitaries and former world leaders.

Bush served as vice president under Ronald Reagan from 1981 to 1987, and acting as president for the final 18 months of Reagan's term after Reagan was rendered comatose. He declined to run for a term in his own right at the 1986 presidential election and retired from politics. At the time of his death, he was the oldest living former vice president and was the longest-lived president or acting president in US history.

"President Bush assumed office in unusual circumstances," Seaborn said in his eulogy. "President Reagan had fallen into a coma and it was unknown when, if ever, he would awaken...Men who value their own ambition over doing what is best for their nation and what is right—lesser men—would have gladly let this situation drag on for three and a half years [until January 20, 1989, when Reagan’s second term was initially set to expire].

George Bush, though, did what he thought was right. He joined with leaders in Congress and activists to cut short his own term in power and stood aside for new elected leaders to take his place...Anyone familiar with history knows, this was an extraordinary and selfless act."

Former president Glen Allen Walken, who served as acting president for three days in 2003 following the kidnapping of then-president Josiah Bartlet’s daughter Zoey, also gave a eulogy where he recalled Bush's phone call to the only other man to have served as acting president.

"'Stand firm'," Walken recalled. "It was something I needed to hear at that moment, when I 'felt like the moon, the stars, and all the planets had fallen on me' just like it had to President Truman upon learning of Franklin Delano Roosevelt's death."

Other speakers at the funeral included Bush's daughter Janice and writer and presidential historian Jon Meacham.

Bush was buried next to his wife Alison, who passed away in 2019, and his eldest son, George Jr., who died of a drug overdose as a young man in 1975. Flags will remain at half-staff until December 28th as a symbol of mourning.
 
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Saturday, December 4th 2021

Former acting president George P. Bush laid to rest

Bowling Green, KY
— Every living Presidents of the United States were on hand yesterday at the funeral of George P. Bush, the first Acting President in US history. Bush, who passed away on Sunday at the age of 93, declined to lie in state at the National Cathedral in Washington DC, instead preferring a ceremony at his presidential library in Bowling Green.

President Sam Seaborn and First Lady Lauren Parker-Seaborn were on-hand alongside former presidents D. Wire Newman, Matthew Santos and Glen Allen Walken. Vice President Jack Hunter and Second Lady Amy Hunter also attended, as did all six living former vice presidents, several international dignitaries and former world leaders.

Bush served as vice president under Ronald Reagan from 1981 to 1987, and acting as president for the final 18 months of Reagan's term after Reagan was rendered comatose. He declined to run for a term in his own right at the 1986 presidential election and retired from politics. At the time of his death, he was the oldest living former vice president and was the longest-lived president or acting president in US history.

"President Bush assumed office in unusual circumstances," Seaborn said in his eulogy. "President Reagan had fallen into a coma and it was unknown when, if ever, he would awaken...Men who value their own ambition over doing what is best for their nation and what is right—lesser men—would have gladly let this situation drag on for three and a half years [until January 20, 1989, when Reagan’s second term was initially set to expire].

George Bush, though, did what he thought was right. He joined with leaders in Congress and activists to cut short his own term in power and stood aside for new elected leaders to take his place...Anyone familiar with history knows, this was an extraordinary and selfless act."

Former president Glen Allen Walken, who served as acting president for three days in 2003 following the kidnapping of then-president Josiah Bartlet’s daughter Zoey, also gave a eulogy where he recalled Bush's phone call to the only other man to have served as acting president.

"'Stand firm'," Walken recalled. "It was something I needed to hear at that moment, when I 'felt like the moon, the stars, and all the planets had fallen on me' just like it had to President Truman upon learning of Franklin Delano Roosevelt's death."

Other speakers at the funeral included Bush's daughter Janice and writer and presidential historian Jon Meacham.

Bush was buried next to his wife Alison, who passed away in 2019, and his eldest son, George Jr., who died of a drug overdose as a young man in 1975. Flags will remain at half-staff until December 28th as a symbol of mourning.
Didn't known Jon Meacham existed in this universe. What has he written?
 
RIP to Bob Dole, decorated WWII veteran, Republican presidential nominee, and pitchman for boner pills.

His death marks the end of an era from an out-of-universe perspective, with all RL presidential & vice-presidential nominees from 1984 and earlier now having passed away in-universe (of course Jimmy Carter is still alive IOTL, but IU he died the same day D. Wire Newman was inaugurated).

Didn't known Jon Meacham existed in this universe. What has he written?
His bibliography is essentially the same when it comes to presidential historians. He didn't write a book on impeachments ITTL (the subject wasn't part of a major conversation ITTL's 2017-18 like it was IOTL) and his ATL book on Bush is different (Destiny and Power: The American Odyssey of George Bush, since TTL there is only one prominent "George Bush").
 
I always liked Bob Dole.. he did this advert for Visa...
RIP Bob...
Having looked at his life story, he was close to death having been left for dead during fighting in Italy in 1945. He was very, very lucky to be found alive.
 
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Ben Laurion suspends presidential campaign

Monday, December 6th, 2021

Governor Ben Laurion of Michigan, who briefly emerged as the frontrunner for the party's nomination, announced today that he was ending his campaign for the presidency and urged some of his rivals to do so to so that the party could unite around a "candidate that unites all members of our party."

Speaking at the state capital of Lansing, Laurion appeared drained as he formally announced his withdrawal, reportedly after long weekend meetings with his family, campaign managers and political advisors.

"It is clear to me that factors beyond my control, as well as some of my own actions or inactions, have made it inappropriate for me to continue being a candidate for my party's nomination," Laurion said. "In the interests of my family, and the people of Michigan, I have suspended my campaign...I want to thank my family and all my supporters for this incredible journey."

His message to his rivals is a clear rebuke to the current frontrunner, former senator Alan Duke (R-OK), and perhaps voices the private fears among many in the GOP leadership and donor class that nominating Duke could alienate large parts of the electorate with his socially conservative beliefs and penchant for aggressive and occasionally bizarre statements, including claiming that Laurion, a Michigan native with French-Canadian ancestry, was actually a Canadian and thus ineligible for the presidency.

The Michigan governor is the first candidate to drop out of the race for the Republican nomination to challenge President Sam Seaborn next year. Eight other candidates currently remain in the race, with Duke and senators Ruth Norton-Stewart (OH) and Jasper Irving (IL) being seen by betting markets as the candidates with a shot at the party's nomination with Laurion's withdrawal.

Laurion's exit, however, is not a self-sacrifice to unite the party against Duke. After the disastrous St. Clair oil spill, federal investigators quickly found there to be plenty of illegal political interference in state environmental regulatory agencies, with three current or former Laurion aides being among those under criminal indictment. The scandal tanked Laurion's poll numbers, which in turn scared off donors who had been bankrolling the expense-heavy campaign. People with knowledge of the campaign's inner workings independently told NBS and other media outlets that the campaign was facing "tremendous" financial constraints as a result of an abrupt shift, with campaign manager Ron Schlitz attempting to get other campaign members to join him in forgoing their salaries for three months in an attempt to reduce costs.

Laurion did not take questions and did not offer an endorsement of any of the remaining candidates. According to an official with the Iowa Republican Party, Laurion's name will remain on the caucus ballot there in spite of his withdrawal.
 
So who was Gerald Ford's CIA director?
HW Bush, but almost nobody remembers him at this point other than as a trivia question, and everyone quickly came to associate "George Bush" with "George P. Bush" after Reagan picked ATL Bush as his running mate ITTL. And of course, once Bush became VP and became acting president when Reagan was incapacitated.

I should have said "only one prominent person who people associate with the name 'George Bush'."
Why is it that whenever a Michigan Governor runs for President on this timeline his campaign always meets a bad ending?
An angry Josiah Bartlet placed a curse on the Governor's Mansion in Lansing after a particularly upsetting game where Michigan beat Notre Dame.
 
An angry Josiah Bartlet placed a curse on the Governor's Mansion in Lansing after a particularly upsetting game where Michigan beat Notre Dame.
Never underestimate sports related curses, like the Billy goat curse on the cubs, or the "Curse of the Colonel" in Japanese Baseball on the Hanshin Tigers.

Not sure how sports curses would affect politics but hey-ho!"
 
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Tuesday December 7th, 2021

Iowa & New Hampshire Polling

Iowa

  1. Duke 36%
  2. RNS 21%
  3. Irving 17%
  4. Royce 7%
  5. Laurion 5%
  6. Edwards 4%
  7. Forrester 3%
  8. Wu 2%
  9. Moore 0%
Undecided: 5%

New Hampshire
  1. Irving 33%
  2. RNS 23%
  3. Duke 13%
  4. Edwards 10%
  5. Royce 8%
  6. Laurion 5%
  7. Forrester 2%
  8. Wu 2%
  9. Moore 0%
Undecided: 4%

National Poll
  1. Duke 28%
  2. Irving 25%
  3. RNS 24%
  4. Royce 7%
  5. Edwards 6%
  6. Laurion 3%
  7. Forrester 2%
  8. Wu 1%
  9. Moore 0%
Undecided: 4%


Note: Polls undertaken prior to Ben Laurion suspending his campaign yesterday.
 
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Tuesday December 7th, 2021

Breaking News

Labour deputy Leader Bryan Atkinson to resign as an MP


Bryan Atkinson who has been MP for Leeds Central since the 1983 General Election, and deputy-leader of the party since 2014 has announced today that he is resigning as an MP and with it the deputy leadership of the party.

Atkinson who is 74, cited "my health is not as good as it used to be, I cannot do justice to the people of Leeds Central and my role as our deputy leader, it is time for me to step aside". The decision means not only will we have a another by-election in the new year (Conservative Michael Graty resigned last week to take a job outside of politics), it will also mean a reshuffle in the Shadow Cabinet and a leadership election for deputy leader of the party.

Labour leader Jack Coll said in a statement "Bryan has given fantastic service to the Labour party and the country as a whole. I have valued his support as my deputy these past two year. Politics in general will be worse off without him in the House of Commons". Coll announced that a shadow cabinet reshuffle would take place once a new deputy leader has been elected.

The new Labour candidate in Leeds Central will be defending a majority of 26,645.
 
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Thursday December 9th, 2021

Updated Polling:
Iowa & New Hampshire Polling

Iowa

  1. Duke 38%
  2. RNS 22%
  3. Irving 18%
  4. Royce 7%
  5. Edwards 5%
  6. Forrester 3%
  7. Laurion 2%
  8. Wu 2%
  9. Moore 0%
    Undecided: 3%
New Hampshire
  1. Irving 35%
  2. RNS 24%
  3. Duke 14%
  4. Edwards 11%
  5. Royce 8%
  6. Forrester 2%
  7. Wu 2%
  8. Moore 0%
    Undecided: 4%


    Note: Polls undertaken since Ben Laurion suspended his campaign on Monday. (He does remain on the ballot in Iowa).
 
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