a) Not everything that happened in OTL needs a direct analogue in TTL. AH is far more interesting when people deviate from swapping events between countries and create unique ideas for how a situation arose
b) I am fully aware that you had Finland as the catalyst for WWII in your timeline. My issue is that if Germany has somehow let Russia trample all over Ukraine and the Baltics, then why couldn’t Russia have Finland too?
c) My point was that, more generally, the lead up to WWII makes little sense. Transposing the actions of OTL Germany onto TTL Russia do not make sense because the geopolitical situation for Russia here is vastly different to Germany’s.
d) If war could have broken out over an invasion if Ukraine (which I think is what would have happened), then Russia wouldn’t risk an invasion in the first place. Hitler occupied the Rhineland with express instructions to fall back if they were challenged; he did not want to go to war then. Likewise, I see no way Rodzaevsky would actively want war with one of the world’s two superpowers. I feel that war is far more likely to have been humbled into; a series of diplomatic confrontations and terse relations turns into all-out war after Russia mistakenly fires on a German ship, for example.
e) If an Anschluß happens anywhere, it’d be Siberia: it’s the only other independent, Russian-speaking nation, and this the only one which could claim “unification with the fatherland”. Anywhere else would need different justifications.
An independent Sudetenland is impossible; the only reason for them to seek independence would be to then join Germany. If Austria takes the southern part and Germany takes the north, that is possible, although I would much prefer a Czechoslovak Sudetenland. (Apart from my own TL, I haven’t really seen a Sudetenland hat remains both German-populated and part of Czechoslovakia.)
If they’re armistice lines, I can see them lasting for a while, but that in combination with Tibet means China is almost completely cut off from Gansu. Also, as far as I know, (those who know more, correct me if I’m wrong) the Hui people are mostly ethnically Han and have little in common with the Mongols, who are mostly Buddhist.
That sounds good to me.
Giving them more of Romania is unlikely. The exact nature of how WWII unfolds will probably determine what the border looks like in the end. For all we know, radical Orthodox supremacist Romania expels all the Hungarians, which obviously affects what the post-war border will look like.