alternatehistory.com

February 25, 1967

Polls show Nixon, Romney in dead heat in New Hampshire

One year from their probable showdown in New Hampshire primary, former Vice President Richard Nixon’s lead over Michigan Governor George Romney is far less substantial than many Republican politicians around the country believe it to be. Indeed, Nixon’s advantage in New Hampshire is so small it approaches the meaningless. Interviews with Republicans across the state throughout the state revealed that Nixon would defeat Romney if the primary were held now. While some voters question Romney's handling of the post-Fermi evacuation, many believe that Republicans have a better chance of defeating Johnson with Romney than with Nixon.

Gallup poll shows that Richard Nixon emerges as the top choice of Republican voters. However, the Harris Survey reported that at a time when Governor George Romney appears to have a good chance against President Johnson, Nixon seems to be “sinking in popularity.” In a direct showdown with all other GOP potential nominees out of it, Romney defeats Nixon by 59-41 percent.

Despite the favorable poll results for Romney in this bellwether state, Nixon’s greater name recognition and support among many in the party establishment means that Romney has an uphill battle for the nomination. That said, Romney could alter the picture by establishing a lively organization and waging a vigorous, articulate campaign. One hope of the Romney supporters is that the 1964 Rockefeller and Lodge organizations can be combined behind Romney.

On the Democratic side, rumors are swirling that Senator Robert Kennedy will challenge President Johnson for the nomination in ’68. The two men have been publicly at odds over the conduct of the Vietnam War, fueling speculation of a primary challenge. However, the Gallup and Harris polls differ in their assessments of the popularity of Mr. Johnson and Senator Kennedy. In January, the Gallup poll reported that “Senator Kennedy’s star looms larger than ever on the political horizon”, while the Harris poll said “Kennedy’s standing with the public has taken a tumble.” [1]