Alternate Electoral Maps III

[Tex Arkana]

Since I've started using MS Paint, I decided to do yet another remake of my "Carter clobbering Ford" map, in the style of a Wiki county map. in case you forgot, Carter wins every state except for Alaska, Utah, Idaho, and Nebraska. and he wins the PV 60.08% to 38.01%, essentially the same margin that LBJ won the PV by in 1964.

 

[Keeganc2020]

Since I've started using MS Paint, I decided to do yet another remake of my "Carter clobbering Ford" map, in the style of a Wiki county map. in case you forgot, Carter wins every state except for Alaska, Utah, Idaho, and Nebraska. and he wins the PV 60.08% to 38.01%, essentially the same margin that LBJ won the PV by in 1964.

I love how my home County Hamilton Ohio, STILL votes republican like in 1936.

 

[Bomster]

1964

Pres. John F. Kennedy (D-MA)/Vice Pres. Lyndon B. Johnson (D-TX) - 513 EV, 61% PV
Sen. Barry Goldwater (R-AZ)/Rep. William E. Miller (R-NY) - 25 EV, 39% PV

 

[Bomster]

1980

Fmr. CIA Dir. George H.W. Bush (R-TX)/Rep. Phil Crane (R-IL) - 489 EV, 55% PV, 46,572,556 votes
Pres. Jimmy Carter (D-GA)/Vice Pres. Walter Mondale (D-MN) - 49 EV, 45% PV, 38,063,984 votes

 

[Tomislav Addai]

South African Elections of 1994

The National Assembly has 400 seats, of which are 100 White, 75 Coloured, 25 Asian and 200 Bantu seats, elected in 1-member constituencies under a majority system.

Volksraad

The 100 seats of the Volksraad, or the White constituencies.

1. Nasionale Party 49/100 (pale orange). Core support in Wes-Kaap , western Vrystaat, and eastern Transvaal
2. Demokratiese Party 39/100 (blue) Core support in Pretoria-Witwatersrand-Vereeniging and Natal
3. Vryheidsfront 5/100 (dark orange) Core support in Nordkaap
4. Konserwatiewe Party 3/100 (yellow) Core support in North Transvaal
5. Federaalbond 2/100 (grey) two constituencies in Natal
   
6. Herstigte Nasionale Party 2/100 (red)

Raad van Verteenwoordigers or Coloured (Khoisan) Constituencies

1. Arbeidersparty 41/75 (brown) Core support in Weskaap
2. Demokratiese Hervormingsparty 17/75 (blue) support in Pretoria-Witwatersrand-Vereeniging, Natal and Port Elizabeth
3. Verenigte Demokratiese Party 14/75 (yellow) support mainly in parts of Norkaap
4. Vryheidsparty 3/75 (grey)

Raaf van Afgevaardigdes , or the Asian constituencies

1. Solidarity 14/25 (marroon) core in Durban and Transvaal
2. National Peoples Party 4/25 (dark blue) in western Natal and parts of Durban city
3. Democratic Party 3/25 (bluish grey) won Weskaap and northern Natal
4. United Party 3/25 (beige)
   
5. Peoples Party 1/25 (yellow) eastern Joburg

Bantu Great Council 200 constituencies:

1. African National Congress 158/200 (dark green) nationwide support
2. Inkatha Freedom Party 25/200 (red) core support in KwaZulu region
3. United Democraitc Movement 5/200 (blue) in Transkei
4. United Christian Democratic Party 4/200 (light green) in Bophuthatswana
5. Panafrican Congress of Azania 3/200 (blue green) in Gauteng
6. Dabalorivhuwa Patriotic Front 2/200 (brown) in Venda (Limpopo)
   
7. Ximoko Progressive Party 2/200 (dark blue) in Gazankulu(Limpopo)
8. African Chrisitian Democratic Party 1/200 (purple) in East London, East Cape
   
9. Dikankwetla Party 1/200 (dark green) in Vrystaat
10. Sindawonye Party 1/200 (pink) in Ndebele, Mpumalanga

coalition building: to get a majority, 201 seats is needed. Effectively, this has been achieved, when the African National Congress entered into coalition with the Khoisan Arbeiderparty and Indian Solidarity, achieving majority of 213 seats.

 

[Tomislav Addai]

The 1999 Elections in Suid-Afrika:
The Afrikaner constituencies:

1. Nasionale Party 47/100 (light orange)
2. Demokratiese Party 44/100 (light blue)
3. Vryheidsfront 6/100 (dark orange)
   
4. Federaale Alliansie 1/100 (grey)
   
5. Herstigte Nasional Party 1/100 (red)
   
6. Konserwatiewe Party 1/100 (yellow)

Coloured constituencies:

1. Demokratiese Party 34/75 (blue)
2. Nasionale Party 23/75 (orange)
3. Arbeiders party 17/75 (red)
   
4. Vryheidsparty 1/75 (grey)

Asian constituencies

1. Demokratiese Party 10/25 (blue)
2. Minority Front 10/25 (red)
3. United Party 3/25 (pale yellow)
4. Federaale Alliansie 2/25 (grey)

Bantu constituencies:

1. African National Congress 137 /200 (green)
2. Inkatha Freedom Party 29/200 (red)
3. Demokratiese Party 18/200 (blue)
4. Azanian Peoples Union 6/200 (dark green)
5. United Democratic Movement 6/200 (light blue)
6. United Christian Democratic Party 2/200 (light pale green)
7. African Christian Democratic Party 1/200 (purple)
8. Panafrican Congress of Azania 1/200 (pink)

Observations:

• Previous coalition partners of the ANC, Solidarity and Arbeidersparty collapsed, Solidarity completely, and Arbeidersparty dropped from 41 to 17 seats among the Coloureds.
• The Nasionale Party and Demokratiese Party, the tow largest political parties among the Whites have created their own "coloured" and in case of the latter, also Indian branches. Together, the NP won 70seats and the DP 106.
• The Demokratiese Party has become the only party to have cnadidates winning at least one constitutuency in each racial group.
• Various smaller parties run by former Bantustan politicians have united into the Azanian Peoples Union, gaining 6 seats.

The strongest parties nationwide are thus the following political formations:

1. ANC with 137 seats. A predominanly leftwing Bantu political force, led by Nelson Mandela
2. The Democratic Party, which managed to override racial divisions, has achieved 106 seats, after integrating two Coloured parties. Base of its support among urban population of Gauteng
3. Nasionale Party with 70 sats, presented itself with a programme defending Afrikaner identity of the country, appeasing to both Whites and Coloureds.
   
4. Inkatha Freedom Party with 29 seats. Zulu nationalism.
5. Arbeidersparty with 17 seats, a leftwing Coloured party, maintaining a base of support in Cape Town
6. Minority Front with 10 seats is an Asian politicla party based in Natal, dealing with minority politics.

The right-wing spectrum among the Whites is beign integrated by the Vryheidsfront, which gains ground among the rural Boers. thus a three party system in the white constituencies develops. Among the Coloureds, we can see the Democratic Party and the national Party becoming the two main conteders, with the possibility of either a Khoisan-identity party or an ANC-affiliate emerging. The Arbeidersparty is in steep decline.
Among the Indians, we can see the Democratic Party and the Minority Front emerging as the two major rivals
The Bantu political scene appears to be dominated by the ANC, with DP having gained a large victory in Gauteng. The remaining parties appear to be locally based, thus the ANC lacking a reasonable contender for now.

Anyway, to form a coalition, it was required that out of ANC, DP and NP, tow of them would need to find common talk. Right after the elections Marthinus van Schalwyk, leader of the Nasioanle Party declared that he is open to coalition talks, under certain unnegotiable conditions.
It turned out, that the NP demanded the departments of Agriculture, Culture and Interior as their main condition in joining he governmnet with the ANC ; the coalition having 207 seats support in the parliamnet.

 

[Tomislav Addai]

Now lets continue with the 2004 elections.
The VWhite constituencies:

It appears that the voters did not happen to like the NP coalition with the ANC. The electzion was a landslide for the Democratic Party, which increased from 44 to 77 seats. The NP are down to 15 seats, and the Freedom Front got 7 seats:

1. Demokratiese Party 77/100 (blue)
   
2. Nasionale Party 15/100 (pale orange)
3. Vryheidsfront 7/100 (dark orange)
4. Konserwatiewe Party 1/100 (yellow)

A similar development happened in the coloured spectrum.

The Coloured seats were also won by the Demokratiese Party, winning 49 seats. They have managed to penetrate into the region of the Western Cape.

1. Demokratiese Party 49/75 (blue)
2. Nasionale Party 17/75 (orange)
3. Arbeidersparty 8/75 (marroon)
4. Independent Democrats 1/75 (pale brown)

Among the Indian electorate, a two-party system develops, between Natal-based Minority Front and remaining parts of the country voting for DP.

1. Minority Front 12/25 (red)
2. Democratic Party 11/25 (blue)
3. United Democratic Movement (beige) 2/25

Ultimately, lets take a look at the Bantu constituencies. Unsurprisingly, the elections were as before won by the ANC.

1. ANC 134/200 (green)
   
2. Demoratic Party 39/200 (blue) gained significant support in Gauteng, and urban regions
3. Inkatha Freedom Party 17/200 (red) based in Zululand. Has lost a large number of constituencies to the ANC
4. United Democratic Movement 5/200 (light blue) based in Transkei
5. United Christian Democratic Party 3/200 (light green) based in Bophuthatswana
6. Azanian Peoples Party 1/200 (dark green) lost almost all their former constituencies to the ANC.

Overall the largest party has become the Democratic Party, which after the elections renames itself into Democratic Alliance, achieving a spectacular 176 seats, among every racial group. The ANC came second with 134 seats, and the Nasionale Party came third with 32 seats. Fourth were the Zulu nationalist IFP with 17 seats, fifth were the Asian Minority Front of 12 seats.

Thus, after the 2004 , it were the Democrats who were building a coaltion government. The only logical and possible solution was a Democratic and National govevenrmnet, having a majority of 208 seats.

 

[Tomislav Addai]

The 2009 elections saw some interesting developments. We can witness the almost total collapse of the Nasionale Party

Among the Whites, the Democratic Alliance won landslide 76/100 seats, with a comfortable base in Western Cape and Western Transvaal. The Nasioanle Party is down to 13/100 seats, with some support still in Pretoria-Witwatersrand-Vereeniging. Third, with 11/100 is Vryheidsfront Plus (FF+), with a solid base in Eastern Transvaal and rural Orange Free State.

The Democratic Alliance also won among the Coloureds with 53/75 seats. They confortably won Western Cape and Transvaal; a new party called Congress of the People (COPE) won 9/75, winning constitunces in the Karoo and rural Eastern Cape, but also challenging DA positions in Cape Town. Right after them came the NP 8/75, keeping some constituencies in Northern Cape. Independent Democrats (ID) won 4/75 , mainly in Western Cape. Al-Jama, a Muslim party, won a lone seat in Cape Town.

Among the Asians, the DA won 19/25 seats, with Minority Front winning 6/25, mainly in western Natal

Among the Blacks, the ANC has manage to regain lost ground; winning 148/200. Its biggest challenger is the DA with 32/200, mainly in Natal, Gauteng and urban places. The IFP is down to only 16/200, in northern Natal.The United Democratic Movement is down to 2 seats in Transkei; ACDP won a lone seat in Bophuthatswana; ultimately, the APP also wins a lone seat in Ndebele region.

Ultimately the DA again came first with 180 seats, followed by ANC with 148. The NP are down to 21 seats; IFP with 16 and FF+ up to 11. The NP are reluctant to join another coalition, and wish to regain lost ground in the opposition; thus a DA-IFP-FF+ coalition is formed, with 180+16+11 seats

 

[Tomislav Addai]

The 2009 elections:

As for the White vote, the DA has dropped to 60/100, winning the coastal areas and Witwatersrand. The Nasionale Party, being the main opposition party, has managed to grow to win 21/100, mainly in urban Transvaal. The FF+ grows further to win 19/100 seats, mainly rural inland areas, becoming the dominant party in the Free State.

Taking a look at the Coloured vote, we can see a similar pattern as among the Whites. The DA holds on to the coastal areas, winning 52/75 seats. Its biggest rival is the Congress of the People, winning 13/75 seats, based in the Karoo (orange). The Independent Democrats (brown) win a few constituencies in Namaqualand with 6/75 seats. The Nasioanle Party is now down to 3/75 seats, shown in light green. The dark green shows the Al-Jama seat.

The DA suffers also some losses among the Asians. They still retain a majority of 15/25, but Minority Front has regained some lost ground and is now up to 9/25 seats. Al-Jama won a lone seat in Cape.

Ultiumately, were looking at the Bantu constituencies. The ANC is gradually dropping to 121/200; the DA is up to 40/200 seats, dominating in the urban areas. The IFP is up to 29/200, becoming the largest party in KwaZulu. Thev UCDP (light green) won constituencies not only in Bophuthatswana, but also Western Cape and Limpopo. Similarly, the United Democratic Party has regained two constituencies in Transkei.

Coalition building was hard, for the DA with 167 was still reluctant to form a coalition with the ANC; and the NP down to 24 seats would not help them. Ultimately, there was the Freedom Alliance, a coalition of ethnic parties, consisting of the FF+, COPE, IFP, Minority Front and UDM, having a total of 74 seats (if we add Al Jama and UCDP it would rise to 80). The Freedom Alliance talks with the DA failed, mainly due to rivalry with the DA among the FF+ and MF members. Ultimately, the DA and ANC form a coalition with a supermajority of 288 seats ( with the ethnic parties hoping the downfall of the two coalition partners).

 

[wolfhound817]

THE FIRST FREE ELECTION UNDER THE THIRD CONSTITUTION
PARTIES:
FREEDOM & LIBERTY: CENTER LEFT
NEOFEDERALIST: CENTER RIGHT
REPUBLICAN: LIBERTARIAN
SOCIALIST: LEFT
INDEPENDENT LIST: CENTER
COOPERATIVE: ECONOMICALLY FAR LEFT, SOCIALLY FAR RIGHT

 

[MorganKingsley]

A 1968 with the electoral votes of Wallace and Humphrey being as close to inverted as I can get. Imagine how shocked the entire country would be to see a third party nearly unseat the two major parties in the election. I wonder what type of anti establishment sentiment would have to grow in this election cycle to do this.

 

[wolfhound817]

Can I post a map that covers modern and future politics as long as candidates are fictional and POD was a long time ago?

 

[Temeraire]

Can I post a map that covers modern and future politics as long as candidates are fictional and POD was a long time ago?

Yeah, that's good.

 

[wolfhound817]

Yeah, that's good.

Okay, working on it right now

 

[Enigma-Conundrum]

1964 Where Everything Goes Horribly Wrong

Sen. Barry Goldwater (R-AZ) / Gov. William Scranton (R-PA) - 48.9%
Pres. Lyndon B. Johnson (D-TX) / Gov. Pat Brown (D-CA) - 48.3%

 

[Tex Arkana]

1964 Where Everything Goes Horribly Wrong

View attachment 461600
Sen. Barry Goldwater (R-AZ) / Gov. William Scranton (R-PA) - 48.9%
Pres. Lyndon B. Johnson (D-TX) / Gov. Pat Brown (D-CA) - 48.3%

What accounts for the relatively high third party vote here?

 

[Enigma-Conundrum]

What accounts for the relatively high third party vote here?

LBJ is a much shittier option in the minds of the public due to various things happening (Bobby Baker is the lynchpin but it’s really a whole mess), but some people are hesitant to sign onto Goldwater - it’s fairly well distributed amongst various third parties, in all honesty. I know that’s kind of a shock, as there’s the first thought most people have when they see 60s third party...

 

[MorganKingsley]

Alright, I promise that this will be the last 1968 one I do, but I thought of a interesting situation I never seen before. A series of major third party elections, where all three candidates get exactly one third of the vote. To do this, Wallace would need a 19.8 percent increase, Nixon a 10.1 decrease, and Humphrey a 9.5 percent decrease. This is the map:

Nixon has the most with 227, Humphrey with 156, and Wallace narrowly at third with 155. Despite this, Humphrey would have 33.22 percent of the vote, Nixon would have 33.32, and Wallace actually wins the popular vote at 33.33 percent. For the first time in history, a third party wins the popular vote, even if barely. I wonder how the house election would go in such a case, given the fact that Nixon had the most electoral votes, but Wallace had the most physical votes. I would if Wallace and Nixon would settle on Humphrey as a compromise, since he was the middle result mostly.

If people might be interested, I will try other major third party years such as 1980 and stuff. If I do more, I think 1980 will be my next one

 

[Adam The Nerd]

I made this map because the power went out. It's not complete and I don't intend on completing it unless there's another power outage. Sooo.....enjoy!

 

[Baconheimer]

From a new Parliamentary America I am working on. ITTL, the Senate was expanded during the 1970s to include seats to represent the military and seats to represent age cohorts. These are the Cohort seats as they stand after reapportionment for the 2010 census.

Cohort Seats (2011-2021)

18-34 seats
Seat 1 (class 1)
Seat 2 (class 2)
Seat 3 (class 3)
Seat 4 (class 1)
Seat 5 (class 2)
Seat 6 (class 3)

35-64 seats
Seat 1 (class 2)
Seat 2 (class 2)
Seat 3 (class 3)
Seat 4 (class 1)
Seat 5 (class 2)
Seat 6 (class 3)
Seat 7 (class 1)
Seat 8 (class 2)
Seat 9 (class 3)
Seat 10 (class 1)
Seat 11 (class 2)

65+ seats
Seat 1 (class 2)
Seat 2 (class 3)
Seat 3 (class 1)





Class 1 up for election 2006,2012,2018,2024
Class 2 up for election 2008, 2014,2020,2026
Class 3 up for election 2010,2016,2022,2028