9 U-boats of the 29 to date were lost to mines. Approximately 75-80 U-boats had been constructed to date. Roughly 36-38% of boats had been lost so far. At this stage of the war u-boats were banned from entering into the Channel because of the ‘English’ minefields.
Available to fight in the channel 9 battleships, 22 cruisers and 92 destroyers.
Cruiser guns could fire 8 rounds per minute. Some cruisers had 8 guns, some 9 guns and some 12 guns. Theoretically 9x8=72x22 = 1584 rounds per minute, blasting into the German barges. Though rate of fire could not be sustained, but even if 1/2 the rate of fire over the bare minimum of 5+ hrs your talking 4000-7500 rounds into barges that even a near miss would sink.
Then there’s the 92 destroyers. Average 4 DP guns each. Even only firing at the German fleet, with a rate of fire of up to 12 RPM. That’s between 15,000-20,000 rounds in 5 hrs. Allowing for a 10% strike rate that would equate to 2500+ hits. NB This would 100% destruction of the amphibious fleet.
DP guns averaged approximately 340 TDS to bring down an aircraft. Theoretically the cruisers secondary guns plus destroyers main guns alone would take out 100+ German aircraft.
40mm AA Guns could fire at a rate of fire of 115 RPM. Cruisers and Destroyers averaged 4 quads per vessel taking 1700 rounds to shoot down an aircraft. Therefore they could take out over 400+ enemy aircraft.
0.303 - 20mm would bring down up to 500 enemy aircraft.
Then there’s the RAF.
The RAF had 9,000 pilots. British factories were producing 300 aircraft per week. By mid September the Germans had lost over 1500 aircraft.
The Germans had lost 47% of their initial fighters & 45% of their initial bombers. However they did manage to replace most of their aircraft losses. In comparison the RAF lost 40% of its initial strength. Though aircraft losses were similar, actual aircraft numbers were increasing by 200 units per week and an additional 40 pilots per week.
The RAF maintained a serviceable rate of 65% throughout the campaign, the Germans averaged 70% serviceability rate, but crews had fallen drastically to 64% for fighters & 52% for bombers.
British warships that had been sunk by Luftwaffe, had by an large had no friendly aircraft in support.
If we reflect to the Battle of the Coral Sea, where the American fleet had its own organic air cover. The Japanese lost 72% of aircraft involved and the Americans lost 54%.
At the Coral Sea the Americans only had 41% of the cruiser force available to that of the RN at the Battle of the Dover Straits, and 15% of the destroyers that we’re deployed by the RN.
Of the aircraft available on the day of the invasion, there would’ve been approx 500 German fighters and 450 bombers available.
Question ?
Do yo go whole Hogg to protect the invasion fleet ie attack the RN?
Do you go 1/2 & 1/2 against RN & RAF airfields ?
Do you go ahead with the terror bombing of London?
I would suggest the out come of the Battle of the Dover Straits. Would be something like this.
RN 2 cruisers sunk, 6 seriously damaged. 6 destroyers lost and a further 12 damaged beyond repair.
RAF 105 Hurricanes, 53 Battles, 45 Wellingtons, 40 Blenheims, 70 Spitfires and 11other aircraft.
Luftwaffe 135 fighters and 330 bombers of various kinds 180 Ju52 transports & 300+ gliders. Any paratroopers who are fortunate enough to actually get to step into ‘English’ soil are quickly detained.
None of the 2,500+ German transport barges get to within 5 miles of the English coast.
No matter which of the options you take, it will result in the annihilation of the German war machine.
As I’ve said before, even Hitler wasn’t that stupid.