Wahhabist Somalia following Ogaden War

[walmart]

Following Ogaden War , Could Siad Barre Turn to Wahhabism and launch something like the Return to Faith Campaign to shore up and gain support For His Regime

Could He Maintain Power and How much support could he get from the gulf states

Would he make another go at the Ogaden region if he Survives

What would be the impact of Islamic fundamentalist Somalia on East Africa

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Faith_campaign

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Siad_Barre

 

[walmart]

Could Somalis make up a large amount of the Foreign workers in the gulf in this scenario

 

[yanitza]

You could look at Jaafar Numeiri of Sudan for an inspiration, who in the latter years of his rule turned to Islamism and salafism to shore up control. Of course they ended up couping him and it did help restart the Sudanese war so perhaps not the best example.

Most Somalis are members of Sufi orders also which is tied to Somali traditional society, so any attempts at enforcing salafism might provide more reason for opposition to his rule. Perhaps an attempt at adopting Sufism may might work better.

Perhaps Siad adopts this Islamist stance prior to Ogaden war it might help his case though, especially if he portrays the conflict as another war against communism he might attract some gulf support.

 

[walmart]

Most Somalis are members of Sufi orders also which is tied to Somali traditional society, so any attempts at enforcing salafism might provide more reason for opposition to his rule.

wouldn't the prestige from Oil embargo,large amounts of Saudi funding for both the Regime and propagation and Somali workers in the gulf, aid in the spread of salafism

 

[Alexander the Average]

Perhaps Siad adopts this Islamist stance prior to Ogaden war it might help his case though, especially if he portrays the conflict as another war against communism he might attract some gulf support.

That would have been an interesting stance to take given that he was a Communist.

 

[walmart]

That would have been an interesting stance to take given that he was a Communist.

He wasn't a communist, He was a Socialist

 

[yanitza]

That would have been an interesting stance to take given that he was a Communist.

And yet he was also happy to embrace Somali nationalism and scientific readings of Islam. Like most other African leaders of this time siad was a statist through and through,

 

[Jürgen]

I don't see Salafism/Wahhabism without oil money going well

 

[Clandango]

Could Somalis make up a large amount of the Foreign workers in the gulf in this scenario

Probably would have the side effect of turning them against the Saudis who treat them like crap. Well, the Saudis and the leadership of the Gulf States. Assuming they are treated the same as the Bangladeshi.

 

[comrade cat]

I don't see Salafism/Wahhabism without oil money going well

Which the Saudis and other gulf states will gladly pours.

Probably would have the side effect of turning them against the Saudis who treat them like crap. Well, the Saudis and the leadership of the Gulf States. Assuming they are treated the same as the Bangladeshi.

I think those will be minimal, especially if most of the country is dirt poor. they really need the cash from the Saudis.

 

[Ferrus_Manus]

This has a very slight chance seeing as Al-Shabaab has proven that a group disgruntled enough will reject the Shafi'i school of thought prevalent in the country. Ultimately though, the country was going to lean towards secularism with social conservatism still intact but it was never in the grip of religious fanaticism. Also, regarding workers in the gulf, it's worth noting that all the Somalis working there are sponsored by Somali citizens of the gulf countries or multinational corporations, they don't operate in any of the menial jobs usually occupied by the less fortunate workers from the subcontinent.