The Change is an awesome idea utterly wasted by its author.
Funnily, Stirling isn't even the first one to use that idea either. A Czech author already wrote
a novel based on the idea back in the 1990s (there's also been a revised edition since). Though he went for a bit of a dystopic angle, it was far better written and far more logical than anything Stirling did in the Emberverse. Only electricity stops working in Neff's scenario, but the impact on modern society is understandably huge, especially in a densely populated country like the Czech Republic. People also don't decide to recreate the Middle Ages within a week, the situation is more like after a nuclear war, everyone dependent on simpler but still industrial tech. A lot is made of the sudden surge in bike courier importance, as most other fast communication networks have broken down (no telephones, no mobile networks, no telegraphs).
There was a superb fanfic of it here, where rather than collapse, the USA rallies somewhat in parts under various military bases that maintain local government surrounding them, and over the next few years, link up and restore American rule across the continent. Places like Fort Lewis and Fort Leavenworth become craddles of the American way of life.
I've been documenting some of the "Turtledove and Stirling stuff done better" timelines and fanfics during the last few years, but I'm not sure I've come across this one. Do you remember the title ? It might look good in that growing "we can write this better" collection.
Count me as another person disgusted by his utter handwave that the United States and republican democracy would die off wholesale within months, but the British monarchy would somehow survive and claim half of Europe. America east of the Mississippi though? All that's left are cannibals.
People always seem to overlook that the USA existed before electricity and the combustion engine, and while losing gunpowder sucks, going back to swords and crossbows wouldn't change that. Things would be much smaller and much more local, but America as we know it could survive as long as we show a modicum more restraint than we do in the Changeverse.
As someone who's a regular viewer of
this channel (probably the best one for info on 17th and 18th century North America) and has an interest in the technology, economy and culture of older periods, I concur. When you look at the late-medieval and early modern period, you can hardly call that time unsophisticated in terms of material culture. And that's even before we consider the progress achieved by the 18th century, particularly the progress already in place before people start attempting to build a steam engine.
Additionally, feudalism wasn't the exclusive order of the day during those periods of OTL. You had many different variations on government, up to and incuding several different types of republics (some more municipal and burger in focus, some more nobility focused). Several of these early republics included major or influential European countries, not just quirky postage stamp sized territories. I.e., yes, it is possible for US-style governance to survive in some capacity, though it would be a necessary throwback to the late colonial era. Unless someone invents wind-powered or animal-pulled trains or builds a lot of new man-powered rail draisines, the railways are probably out and a form of the
"pony express" will have to be reintroduced.
Even though the lack of gunpowder would hinder certain aspects of warfare, policing, hunting and so on, early modern technology without guns was already fairly sophisticated. They didn't have steam engines, motors, assembly lines and mass production, but they did already have highly-skilled artisans, in fields like metallurgy, architecture, shipbuilding, woodworking in general, glassmaking, manufacturering of highly precise and decorated items... I could go on. If you look at some OTL 15th and 16th century plate armours, you'll often be genuinely shocked by how well articulated and generally comfortable they are. This was a pre-industrial era, sure, but it wasn't an era of shoddy artisans. If you count in other medieval and Renaissance technological innovations, such as optics, chemistry and even
diving suits (no joke), we're really not talking about unsophisticated civilisation here. With the leftover pre-Change technology and surviving knowledge, post-Change America would have it even better, with several centuries of added knowledge. Bicycles ? All right, tyres might prove an issue, but the concept of such a vehicle survives. Even with 16th century level industry, you could manufacture new, albeit crude bicycles, and even velocars. Lowering the potential dependency on horses, donkeys or oxen/cattle. In ranged weaponry, crossbows and their derivatives would be king, and you could build some
really advanced and
powerful ones if you base them on those from the 15th-17th century. (We've even had debates over this exact
"no guns world" topic on AH.com,
multiple,
many,
many,
many times.)
Gastraphetes-inspired devices could maybe work as portable mini-artillery. But I think
even guns could still survive ! The Italian-made
Girandoni air rifle was designed in the late 18th century. At a time coinciding with the ARW, to go for the American comparison. Not only did it work, it was also
one of the first repeating long guns, with a tubular magazine at that. Lewis and Clark - yes, them - used one even decades later, during their expedition. Historical inspiration right under the nose, but Stirling couldn't be bothered to consider it. Of course, making such military-grade airguns with pre-industrial technology
would be expensive and time-consuming, but they aren't technologically out of the question. You could also have spring-loaded guns if airguns are too much of a hassle. 15th-17th century ? They already knew how to make quality (if archaic) screws and springs. Meaning that Stirling's assumption about "no gunpowder = no more guns, ever" is false. But, as I've said, he'd have to bother to do some research first...
The random cannibals are one of the dumbest elements of the setting. So Stirling thinks ordinary people who've gone hungry for a week or two would
automatically turn into crazed cannibals ? Seriously ?! I mean, even if modern agriculture is no longer viable, there are still many ways to feed a huge amount of survivors. The idea that the only thing available to eat, even in the countryside, would be other people, is honestly idiotic. (I say this as a farmer and forester from a moderately densely populated and moderately agriculturally intensive area.)