Chapter 60: Imperial Russian Army, Part IV: The Resistance of the Old Guard
Imperial Russian Army, Part IV:
The Resistance of the Old Guard
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War Minister Kuropatkin felt from day one in his new job, that his duty was to finish the job his great role model had started decades earlier. For Kuropatkin it was clear that his paragon, the great Miliutin had correctly understood the key to the survival and greatness of Russian Empire: an educated, competent officer corps. The reform efforts started by Miliutin had thus focused on providing leadership for the army based on merit; from the start to the end of his tenure he had fought the strong aristocratic privileges that allowed incompetent officers to rise to high positions. This conflict, between merit and noble privilege, was still a key issue in Russian officer training when Kuropatkin took office. Kuropatkin greatly admired Miliutin, and inspired by his predecessors example he pushed further reforms in officer education with considerable political and administrative effectiveness. But whereas the great Miliutin had had the backing of the reforming tsar Alexander II, Kuropatkin had to deal with Nicholas II, who dogmatically defended the privileges of the aristocracy, the old generals and the “parade culture” that characterized the imperial army in general.

The battle over the inclusion of lectures about the Russo-Turkish War of 1877–78 into the curriculum of the General Staff Academy is a good example of the kind of systemic resistance the reforms promoted by Kuropatkin and his patron Grand Duke Nicholas faced. The Russo-Turkish War was the most recent war where Russia had fought, and the first one to be fought by the army since the reforms stared by Miliutin. Russian military-scientific interest towards the war had been considerable since it's conclusion, and both Kuropatkin and Grand Duke Nicholas had published books about the subject. So when Coloniel E.I. Martynov announced his intent to organize a series of lectures based on the work of a military-history commission that had been working on the war’s history for twenty years without publishing any findings before this, the higher ranks of the Russian officer corps naturally expressed a great deal of initial interest. The initial curiosity was met by a shock, when it became clear that Martynov would not hesitate to point out that the meddling of the Grand Dukes in decision-making had been behind several of the key operational failures in the war. Because members of the Imperial family still dominated the high command of the Russian army in 1877-78, such lectures, no matter how close to the truth, were political dynamite, and initially it seemed clear they could not and would not be tolerated at the Nicholas Academy. But after Kuropatkin consulted Martynov and pressured him to drop the criticism to Grand Duke Nicholas, the controversial lecture courses were eventually started in 1907, and turned into an annual course of the history of the war in the following year. Finally Russian officers could learn from their latest military encounter, instead relying on histories of European conflicts and the US Civil War.[1]

These kind of obstacles to Kuropatkin’s plans came from the legacy of officer education system inherited from General Mikhail Dragomirov, who had had both Academy teaching experience and a formidable field service as the commander of the important Kiev Military District and as the decorated hero of the crossing of Danube at Zimnitza in 1877. Dragomirov had favored training officers for offensive warfare, promoted the elite guards regiments, and emphasizing the old Suvorov-era concept of the importance of soldier élan over military technology. Genrikh Leer, the old teacher of strategy at the Academy, was another tactical arch-conservative. As a firm supporter of Jominian principles, he trained the Russian officers to always look for firm and immutable solutions. He was also a representative of the "Western" strategic lobby,a group of generals for whom the menace of Germany had became an unchallenged strategic orthodoxy after 1870. With his military career focused on earlier Asiatic campaigns, Kuropatkin and his tashkentsy officers allies were willing to challenge this German-oriented strategic school as overtly dogmatic way of approaching the strategic needs of Russian Empire.

As a General Staff-trained officer who had planned Russian mobilization schemes for decades, Kuropatkin was painfully aware of the German threat. But he concluded that in order to win a possible confrontation against the Triple Alliance, Russia needed to fully mobilize her armies first. And while doing so she'd have to both initially prepare for defensive warfare, and to invest considerably more funds to modern weapons and communication technology. This conflict between two doctrinal schools contributed to situation where the old Academy generals with their persistent conservatism and unwillingness to confront the demands of modern warfare clung stubbornly to antiquated theories that were based on Napoleonic-era notions of military leadership. Ultimately Kuropatkin dealt with the Academy be the same method he had used with the Main Staff: unable to defeat it by using enough court intrigue to gain the favor of Nicholas II, he opted to bypass it by promoting officer training methods and opening new officer schools that marginalized the role of the Nicholas Academy.

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Talented individuals had well-based ideas on how to improve the Army, but their ambitions foundered on the structures, practices and ideology of autocracy and noble privilege. Like the professionals in civilian society, the military officers did not have the autonomy to determine and enforce their own standards. the Czar and the aristocrats of the elite Guards corps all meddled in military affairs with little appreciation of the revolutionary transformation that warfare had undergone since the days of Borodino. The same Czar and his entourage that would not tolerate any autonomy for civil society or self-government in the civilian sphere could hardly be expected to allow the military to manage its affairs. Kuropatkin thus had to walk a tight rope between the whims of the Czar and his entourage, and his view of the necessity of further reforms. His policy of isolating the conservatives from the officer training led to a decision to grant the Military Districts much more leeway. This policy gave reform-minded high-ranking officers like Dmitrii Shcherbachev, Nikolai Golovin, Iurii Danilov, V.I. Gurko, von Korf and A.S. Lukomskii more room to train officers and troops without interference and to pursue their reform agendas relatively undisturbed.

Golovin’s vision, in particular, reflected the way the growing contacts between their French allies were exposing Russian military leaders to new ideas. His familiarity with the French military educational model had turned Golovin into an advocate for more investment in advanced weapons technology and communications systems. After attending to the French Ecole Superieure du Guerre, Golovin had declared himself as a proud disciple of Foch and his method of “applied tactics”, and had since gathered around him a party of young talented officers who sought to propagate new military doctrines to those of the epigones of the era of Leer and Dragomirov. They had an important following among the younger genshtabisty officers, who introduced new tactical doctrines in their areas of command and thereby considerably improved the training of recruits.

The tug-of-war between the conservatives and reformers in the Russian military led to a compromise of sorts. Czar Nicholas II was always greatly agitated to learn about doctrinal disputes, and stated that officers should discuss tactics, as matters of strategy were exclusively His domain to decide. Yet Nicholas II never really dared to challenge the Grand Duke Nicholas directly, and under his protection War Minister Kuropatkin could in turn protect his clients from anti-reformist interference, and allow them to focus on developing experimental troop training schemes that Kuropatkin then sought to utilize when compiling new GUGSh training manuals for general usage.

To the Russian military reformers protected by Kuropatkin and Grand Duke and opposed by the old generals, the traditional Russian officer training concepts of upravlenie (control) and pochin (initiative) did no longer represent the old stereotype of a brave officer shouting “Hurrah!” and leading the troops into charge. Instead they claimed that these military virtues should now be seen as the methodical application of professional military skills to ensure the persistent development of the battle in the necessary direction. On an operational level Kuropatkin and his proteges were planning the Army to short and decisive war, where the solution would be achieved by operational-level maneuver in the field. Meeting engagement was nearly ignored in the training manuals, but once forces were firmly in contact direct frontal confrontation was the preferable tactical approach. In infantry training this meant that as a standard practice the attacking force would fire one rifle volley, and then conduct a charge with fixed bayonets.

Kuropatkin did not concern himself with tactics - he focused on matters of logistics and strategy. To him the earlier campaigns in Central Asia and the Boxer War seemed to prove his earlier views that tactics were of secondary significance compared to the problems of food supply, sanitation, and hygiene of troops. For him, the primary cause of concern was the fact that first-line maneuver units that would initialize combat operations against the enemy were to be tethered to their own organic support units, which meant that logistics would become problematic at any time the distance between supporting rail-head and these formations would exceed two days’ field march. Because of this Kuropatkin warmly supported the idea that the supply infrastructure at the key borders of Russia should be expanded, so that the massive field armies of the Empire would be able to operate effectively during a four-to-six months long campaign in all possible theaters of operations.


1: In OTL the lectures were entirely censored.
 
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Chapter 61: To Take the Helm: Nicholas II, Czar of of All Russia and the Supreme Autocrat
To Take the Helm: Nicholas II, Czar of of All Russia and the Supreme Autocrat
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"You say, "the Czar is autocratic - he creates laws for his subjects, but not for himself. I - I am nothing - only a reporter, the Czar will decide, ergo no rules are needed; he who demands rules wishes to limit the Czar, he who doubts the correctness of decisions fears that the Czar will decide matters incorrectly"…No, it not like so! As it is, each minister will content as convincingly as you that ministers need no laws at all, for they are only executors, while the Czar decides. If things would really be like you say, then there would be no autocracy, but rather a chaotic administration. The Czar is autocratic because it depends upon him to impart action to the machine, but since Czar is a man, he still needs the machine of bureaucratic administration of laws for the administration of an Empire of 130 million people, as his human strength alone cannot replace the machine."


When Finance Minister Witte made this remark to Count Vladimir Nikolaevich Kokovtsov little before his assassination in 1907, his star as a dominant figure in Russian politics was already on the wane. He had owed his success in the ministerial competition that was so endemic to Russia to the highly personalized nature of the autocratic system. Since the Czar held absolute power and all ministers were individually responsible to the Czar alone, gaining and maintaining the confidence of the Autocrat had been necessity for all would-be high-rank political leaders in Russian Empire. Witte had ascended to the highest ranks and had managed to clung to his position for nearly a decade because of his alliance with Kuropatkin and Muraviev. But his fall from grace was a direct result of his success. As Nicholas II had begun to show increased assertiveness in government affairs, his changed views could be largely attributed to the increasing influence of “unofficial advisers.” It was the Autocrat’s prerogative to rule through whom he pleased, but the most articulate new court favorites had always been quick to decry and mock the the imperial bureaucracy as an unnatural barrier between the Czar and his people. They had urged Nicholas II to wrest his power from the officials who had usurped it, and to rule as a personal autocrat. With the turmoil of Boxer War over and the threat of domestic terrorism seemingly under control, by 1907 Nicholas II had decided to heed their advice.

Foreign policy was the exclusive prerogative of the Czar. The Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs was a technically a mere advisory apparatus, not a body that made independent decisions in foreign policy. When some pressing international issue absolutely demanded it, special conferences (osobye soveschaniia) were convened. The representatives of the different key ministries were then summoned, usually including the War, Finance, Navy and Interior Ministers. The position they adopted at these meetings amounted to a recommendation only, and the Czar could agree or disagree with it. Thus the crucial decisions were always made by the personal entourage of Nicholas II. As long as Witte, Kuropatkin and Muraviev had been able to more or less control or outplay all competition and control the access to the inner circle of Czar, the system had been able to muddle along. But after the assassination of Abdülhamid II and the beginning of the Macedonian Crisis, latent tensions in views of the proper direction of Russian foreign policy had openly and critically begun to tear the Triumvirate apart.

Intolerant of any kind of uncertainty and unwanted discord among his entourage, Nicholas II had responded to the in-fighting between Witte, Kuropatkin and Muraviev by becoming more and more self-assertive and obstinate, as his decisions in Army and Naval reforms showed. He grew cold towards Witte who was already on his way out of the inner circle before his assassination, but kept listening to Kuropatkin, Muraviev and his domineering uncles, especially Grand Duke Nicholas. This generation that now predominated the highest circles of officialdom had come of age during the Russo-Turkish War of 1877, and fondly recalled the “crusade for the liberation of our Slavic brothers” as the last time in which the Autocracy, society and the people of Russia had seemed to move and act in unison toward the same goal. They were also increasingly afraid of losing control of Russian society at large, and did their best to influence the Czar. The Supreme Autocrat of All Russia, who deep down was a deeply insecure man, an Emperor without a male heir. Nicholas II, who privately feared more and more that the burden of his responsibilities was overwhelming for his actual capabilities to lead the Empire. At the same time he met the news from Sweden and Germany by a growing resolve to defend the legacy of his father and the Romanov dynasty by all available means, come what may.
 
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... yeah, the idiot's still going to destroy the Autocracy, isn't he?
Is the Pope Catholic?
Is that wrong?
Not at all. I'd like to see the monarchy go all together. I was just curious whether or not the Autocracy was going to manage to limp into the beginning of another Tsar's reign.
Considering his upbringing, Nicholas II is really following the only path he sees possible. Being a liberal reformer did not save his grandfather from being killed, so why should he even try to mimic his footsteps? If you ask Nicholas, his father Alexander Alexandrovich had it all figured out.

What happened to Alexei?
Who? I had a vivid memory that had already written about this in some previous update, but I can't find it, so here goes - the Czar was distressed to hear that his beloved Alix had had a stillbirth in 1903 (this is not the pregnancy that led to Alexei in OTL, but an earlier TTL pregnancy), and during this pregnancy Alix (unknown to doctors of the day) becomes afflicted with submucosal fibroids. They are benign growths, but the poor Czarina is not going to able give birth to a son his beloved husband so hopes for.

This is far from apparent by the end of 1907, so the royal couple keeps praying and hoping, while Nicholas II continues to be a family man and a loving father to his four daughters:
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His brother, Grand Duke Michael Alexandrovich, is thus still the heir-apparent. He resents his brother for ruining the marriage prospects towards the romance with Beatrice of Saxe-Coburg and Gotha, and has recently been introduced to Natalia Sergeyevna Wulfert, a lady he finds most attractive.

Oooh, interesting! Would love to hear some news from Sweden!
That's coming up next, as it's indirectly linked to events in Germany.
 
Who? I had a vivid memory that had already written about this in some previous update, but I can't find it, so here goes - the Czar was distressed to hear that his beloved Alix had had a stillbirth in 1903 (this is not the pregnancy that led to Alexei in OTL, but an earlier TTL pregnancy), and during this pregnancy Alix (unknown to doctors of the day) becomes afflicted with submucosal fibroids. They are benign growths, but the poor Czarina is not going to able give birth to a son his beloved husband so hopes for.

What is Rasputin doing?

His brother, Grand Duke Michael Alexandrovich, is thus still the heir-apparent. He resents his brother for ruining the marriage prospects towards the romance with Beatrice of Saxe-Coburg and Gotha, and has recently been introduced to Natalia Sergeyevna Wulfert, a lady he finds most attractive.

It amuses me that the ruling houses of Austria-Hungary and Imperial Russia have the same problems, the monarch has no living son and the official (male) heir loves the "wrong" woman.
 
What is Rasputin doing?
He has arrived to Petrograd in the first years of the century as per OTL to meet Ivan Ilyich, aka. John of Kronstadt. After that he has met Hermogenes and Iliodor, and as of 1907 he is still in their company. The religious turmoil in the capitol and the domestic terrorism and the rise of RUP have certainly affected his view on things, but only time will tell where - if anywhere - he'll end up. The URP, or the Golgothans of the Union of the Democratic Clergy and Laity.

He has failed to impress Theofan of Poltava as per OTL, and the inspector consider him more of a driven fool of God than a true starets. Thus the Montenegrin Princesses are unlikely ever find out about him. If they do, he might well find his way to the court circles - he wouldn't be the first mystic charlatan to find his way there, as the curious cases of Philippe of Lyons and Gérard Anaclet Vincent Encausse prove. The Romanovs were superstitious lot. Only one thing is certain: without Alexei Nikolaevich and his hemophilia he is bound to have much less influence than OTL - he might even be introduced to the royal couple at one point, but that's about as far as it goes.
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It amuses me that the ruling houses of Austria-Hungary and Imperial Russia have the same problems, the monarch has no living son and the official (male) heir loves the "wrong" woman.

Franz Joseph is certainly not amused, and Nicholas II is beginning to worry more and more as well - his beloved Alix is already 35 years old by 1907.
 
Chapter 62: Scandinavian Dissolution Crisis of 1905: To Divide the United Kingdoms
Dissolution Crisis of 1905: To Divide the United Kingdoms
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Everything had seemed so auspicious when Oscar II had become the new King of the United Kingdoms of Sweden and Norway in 1872. Ostensibly raised as the “Norwegian prince”, Oscar II spoke fluent Norwegian and “
the welfare of the brother peoples” was his adopted motto. He had received a splendid coronation in Trondheim cathedral and a royal reception in Kristiania, the capitol of Norway. Upon his coronation Norwegian politicians had hailed the union with Sweden in speeches by stating that “Sweden is our comrade in a political union that has been witness and contributor to the progress of the past century, the most fortunate Norway has known. Our fathers accepted this union as a necessity. We, the present generation, have learned to value it as a blessing from heaven.” But the glorious new era of united Scandinavian brotherhood many had expected to begin under the reign of Oscar II had never turned into reality. The internal developments in Norway and the relations between the two kingdoms had slowly continued to undermine long-term viability of the union. Yet little seemed to be amiss to the aging King when the royal yacht Heimdal sailed through the fjords of Northern Norway during the autumn of 1903. The voyage along the coasts of the realm in the 30th anniversary of his coronation seemed like a display of devoted royalist sentiment of the Norwegian population, with the King being greeted by enthusiastic crowds of Norwegians who flocked together to give homage to their sovereign in every port along the way.

But while the King truly was personally well-liked among the Norwegian public, the Union his royal person represented was equally widely and openly resented. The nominal origins of the crisis of 1905 developed from a dispute about the future of Union diplomatic representation and foreign services in other countries. But the bottom of the issue was the widespread resentment among the Norwegians, and the feeling that they were systematically treated like subordinate realm to Sweden in the common Union. Self-consciousness had grown in Norway as her growing shipping industry and oceangoing merchant marine rapidly expanded hand in hand during the late 1800s. But by 1903 Norway still lacked diplomats of her own to promote the Norwegian trade interests overseas. Both the Union Minister at home and most Ambassadors and Consuls abroad were Swedish. In many of the major trade ports Norwegian ships frequently visited there were not a single Norwegian diplomat in place. Therefore the Norwegian Storting, the bicameral Parliament of the Kingdom, having first in vain called for renewed negotiations with Sweden to solve the matter in a manner suitable for Norwegian interests, put forth new demands for a joint consular services as independent and limited foreign entity that could handle Norway's most pressing issues. But the Swedish government was totally dismissive.

In November 1904, after a halfhearted attempt to settle the issue with a separate communiqué that promised a Norwegian consular service in the future in exchange of new and immediate public political commitments to the continued support of the political union, the Swedish Prime Minister Erik Boström openly told the Norwegian representatives that his government could and would not accept the latest Norwegian claims in the issue. In Kristiania the Norwegian leadership was dismayed. The idea that disputes within the Union should be settled in agreement with Sweden through negotiations had traditionally been endorsed by the consensus-oriented Conservatives and Moderates. In the previous Storthing elections of 1903 Christian Michelsen and a group of other Venstre party liberal politicians had joined the Conservatives, bringing the new coalition to election victory and leading to the formation of the conservative Hagerup government on the basis of continued negotiations with Sweden.

But by 1905 the alternative, confrontational political view that had been steadily gaining ground for over a decade was coming to the fore. Ever since Wollert Konow had held his famous speech in 1891 at Skarnes, Norwegian Liberal radicals and socialists of all stripes had pushed for an alternative, conflict-oriented approach to Union disputes. This view, known as the Skarneslinjen was a hardliner policy, and up to 1905 the adherents of the two strategies had been almost equally strong in Norwegian politics. Winter 1905 changed everything. Negotiations with Sweden broke down without reaching a solution to the consular authority issue, and the Conservative party leadership realized that they would suffer catastrophic defeat at the next elections unless they’d change course. A new coalition government led by Christian Michelsen was appointed to bring about the consular service, with a mandate to establish a Norwegian consular system by any means necessary, including the preparations to defend such action by force of arms if need be. The Union would either be dissolved in the process, or transformed into a personal union, as the Conservatives, Moderates and some of the Liberals approving the multi-party program of unilateral Norwegian action in the consular question still hoped and preferred to happen. Radical Liberals and Social Democrats held to the stern view that the King was the only uniting link between Norway and Sweden. To them, his failure to fulfill his legal duties and the resulting (forced) abdication would solve the problem for Norway by dissolving the Union for good.

In April 1905 the Norwegian government started a new round of low-key military preparations, as a part of the military preparations that had been steadily ongoing inside the Union for nearly a decade. Especially during the tenure of the skillful defense minister Georg Stang (1900-03), the Norwegian authorities had made preparations so that they could now take the calculated risk of a unilateral dissolution of the union. The Norwegian fleet had been significantly expanded. Modern field fortifications had been built to defend the approaches to Kristiania, Kristiansand, Bergen and Trondheim, the army had been equipped with modern weapons, the period of military service had been increased, and conscription had been introduced into the three northernmost counties of Norway for the first time. The Norwegian government had already in the 1890s taken steps to gain full control of the military leadership, and had by 1905 secured the loyalty of officers to the Norwegian authorities. And as a latest addition a new system of fortifications was built on the Swedish frontier. Its military value was debatable, but its political significance as a declaration of Norway’s will to independence was clear. Now these fortresses and forts at the Swedish border were manned, and Norwegian warships begun to stock up supplies and ammunition at their naval bases.

But despite these preparations the primary aim of the Norwegian government was still to gain the Swedish king's signature for the decision on the new Norwegian consulate. Couldn’t this question be resolved by a civilized agreement like all the previous disputes? But King Oscar II, adamantly opposed to what he (correctly) saw as a Norwegian attempt to loosen the ties of the Union treaties, declared that he would not put his signature under the Norwegian proposal. The Norwegian government in Kristiania responded to King’s decision by submitting its official resignation. The King, however, also refused to accept the resignation, on the grounds that under the prevailing circumstances in Norway it would be impossible to form a new functional Norwegian government. By refusing to accept their demands and grant them resignation, Oscar II did just what the government authorities had been anticipating. The Norwegian government concluded that the King had created an impasse that made it clear that he was unable to carry out his primary constitutional mandate by granting the country a functioning government. On June 7, Kristiania replied by a bold statement:

The members of the Cabinet having resigned their office and the King having declared Himself unable to form a new government; and the Constitutional Sovereign thereby having resigned His powers, the Storthing authorises the members of the Council who resigned this day, to assume until further notice, as the Norwegian Government the authority granted to the King according to the Constitution of the Norwegian Kingdom and its valid law - with the changes which are necessitated by the fact that the union with Sweden, which provides that there shall be a common King, is dissolved in consequence of the fact that the King has ceased to act as King of Norway.

The course of developments, which proved more powerful than the desire and will of the individual, has led to this result.

As evidence of the fact that the work and the struggle of the Norwegian people for the full independence of the Fatherland have not been formed on any ill-feeling towards the Royal House or the Swedish people, and have not left behind any bitterness towards any of these, the Storthing respectfully solicits your Majesty’s co-operation to the end that a Prince of your Majesty’s house may be permitted, while relinquishing his right of succession to the Throne of Sweden, to accept election as King of Norway.

The day upon which the Norwegian people elect their own King to ascend the ancient throne of Norway will open up an era of tranquil conditions of industry for Norway, of good and cordial relations to the Swedish people, and of peace and concord and loyal co-operation in the north for the protection of the civilization of the people of their freedom and independence. In full assurance of this the Storthing ventures to express the sincere hope, that the present events, will turn out to be for the good of all, also for their Majesties, for whom personally the Norwegian people will preserve their respect and affection.

The union with Sweden was thus officially declared null and void, and the Norwegians had shown so little respect for their former union brothers that they disbanded the Union with a subordinate clause to a subordinate clause. Huge crowds celebrated the declaration through the day and night in the capital and other cities of Norway. When the Norwegians thus simply declared the king deposed and the union dissolved without giving the king the opportunity to abdicate and Swedish government the opportunity to agree on conditions and forms for the dissolution of the union, a wave of general bitterness was aroused in Sweden. A crowd of 30 000 people gathered to Stockholm near Rosendals at Djurgården to a demonstration opposing the Norwegian resolution, singing "Ur svenska hjärtans djup" and the Swedish national anthem, while the Swedish left-wing organization widely and openly greeted and supported the same resolution, cheering the Norwegian resolve and singing "Ja, vi elsker dette landet".

In the following days the right-wing newspaper headlines stated that the old King had been humiliated in a most cruel manner that directly challenged and insulted the entire nation of Sweden, and Liberals and Conservatives united in demanding negotiations on the dissolution of the union. King Oscar II, who believed he had always merely wanted the best for Norway, was both gravely disappointed and bitterly angry. He, with many others, thought that a quiet revolution against his reign was now taking place in the western half of the realm. Norway, as a state, had committed what could be called revolution, coup d’état, rather than mere civil disobedience. The term “revolution” was used in several European newspapers, and the Swedish cabinet was summoned to an emergency session to decide the course of action in the matter.

The dramatic summer of 1905 in the North had begun.
 
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Chapter 63: Dissolution Crisis of 1905, Part II: The Powers That Be
Dissolution Crisis of 1905, Part II: The Powers That Be
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In June 1905 there were many among the governing elite at the Swedish court who wanted to go to war with Norway in order to defend the king’s powers.

Swedish nationalists and hawkish social circles fulminated at the government’s feeble-minded approach and military impotence, blaming them for allowing Norwegians to push the matters this far without taking a firm stand earlier. Swedish conservative political scientist Rudolf Kjellén was one of the most prolific critics of the “submissive” governmental policies towards the Norwegians. He contrasted the Swedish decrepitude with Norwegian youthfulness, and lamented the sad state of the once-so-proud realm had fallen into. At the Norwegian side and among the Swedish left-wing press men like Kjellén were dismissively referred as storsvensker, Great Swedes, and mocked as a reactionary, chauvinistic and aristocratic clique, with atavistic dreams of Sweden’s past military and imperial glories, dominating the Swedish court, government and high society. There was a lot of basis to these kind of arguments. The King of Sweden did indeed retain impressive powers. He had the right of initiative and veto, and his signature was required on most legislation before it could become law. The king appointed the government, which was not dependent on the parliament for its continuation in office. And he had the ability to call new elections regardless of whether the parliament was in session. To help him carry out his political functions, the king relied on an advisory council. In effect, the country was governed by conservative bureaucrats answerable to the King, but often lacking support in the Riksdag. Their base of power was the plutocratic, noble-dominated First Chamber, in which only 6 100 Swedes were even theoretically eligible to serve. Unsurprisingly one-third of the 125 representatives in this house were barons or counts, and over one-half were nobles and/or large landowners, the rest of the representatives consisting of wealthy industry magnates.

In Sweden the monarchy had thus allied itself with the aristocracy and the clergy to resist the rising tide of democracy and the empowerment of farmers, middle class and professionals - the triumvirate that had come to dominate Norway’s political system. Norwegian resistance was thus in many levels a direct challenge to both of the power and the very stability of the current form of government in Sweden, where the political power lay firmly in the hand of the landed gentry, state bureaucracy and the wealthy urban bourgeoisie. To them, Norway represented a grim warning of the dangers that threatened their way of life. The Norwegian parliamentary system of government and single-chamber Parliament with universal suffrage voting rights had brought along system of progressive income taxation, and the Liberal party had been voted to power in Norway for several times, with the Social Democrats and other Socialists also being presented in numbers in the Storthing. The Swedish conservative elites were certain that similar spread of landholding and political rights to Swedish peasantry and workers would imperil the conservative political order at home, and thus it would be best to have as few contacts as possible with Norway. Breaking up the Union in such a way that certain animosity would be aroused between the two countries would thus be preferable. Nobility and military were thus seeking to preserve their political dominance when they urged the government to put down Norway’s unilateral declaration of independence with force. At the same time they did not oppose Norwegian secession per se, provided that it would be carried out with sufficient decorum and respect for the Swedish monarchy. While these more sober Swedish politicians realized that union battle was already lost and called for negotiations, right up at the top of the Swedish military and among senior conservative politicians there existed a mood for “a quick little campaign.

"From a military point of view, it would be proper to beat Norway down", as Chief of Staff Axel Rappe said at the first meeting of the crisis committee that the Swedish government set up after the Norwegian Storting on June 7, 1905 had declared the Union null and void. The military leaders feared that Sweden's western flank would now become exposed due to the Norwegian independence, as the main enemy Russia could be tempted to flank their defenses through Norway. "Only with the exertion of all our force, we have been able to secure us against Russia. Against Norway and Russia at once, we cannot defend ourselves", was the incensed argument that was used to urge the government to order a strike against the Norwegians while there was still time. The conservative leader of the Swedish Riksdag First Chamber, Lars Åkerhielm, echoed this sentiment: "One of the biggest mistakes the union time has been that they have sought peace here and now - without worrying about the future."

The Conservatives had been waiting for this showdown for a long while. They thus reacted in a resolute manner, and initially called for postponement of the the ultimate decision on the future of the Union until after the elections to the Riksdag Lower House, to be held in September. The Conservative leadership had a plan to utilize the crisis for their own gain, as they knew that big domestic changes would soon have to take place in Sweden, whether they wanted it or not. By an appeal to national unity in support of the claim for compensation for the Norwegian violation of Sweden’s right to be consulted when the Union was to be dissolved, they hoped to utilize the nationalistic sentiment for their own political ends in the autumn elections. By making the crisis a key election issue they would win by mobilizing people to vote for patriotic candidates, winning votes from other parties and especially by splitting their Liberal competitors into a mutually hostile national and radical groups, allowing Conservative candidates to gain seats in the one-man, majority-vote, electoral districts that were still in use. The leadership hoped to gain enough seats to prevent or at least delay the Liberals from seizing power. Stopping them from passing election reform laws was a key long-term goal for Swedish right-wing political leaders. A victory in the elections of 1905 could give them the chance to reform the election laws themselves, by enacting universal suffrage while still maintaining the proportional system of representation. This would give them guarantees against Liberal domination in the Lower House, and spike the guns of the Liberal agitation for election reform, turning future elections into questions of social reforms and taxation, thus pitting Social Democrats and Liberals against one another.

So while there initially was little willingness war on both sides in 1905, some politicians were still more willing to risk conflict than others. Among the Swedes the hardliners at the political right were willing to fight, whereas their more moderate brethren wished to cynically escalate the crisis to promote their domestic policy goals. The Norwegian moderate and right-wing politicians hoped that their bluff would work, and wished for a negotiated settlement. The Norwegian far-left politicians had the most hawkish approach to the crisis. A mix of social radicalism, ongoing nationalism and defense zeal formed a stark contrast to the skepticism prevalent among the small Norwegian officer corps. Expressing great faith "to the fair-minded Swedish people as their Norwegian compatriot’s natural allies in the common struggle for justice and democracy", these Norwegian politicians adhered to the Skarneslinjen to the extend that they were willing to risk war with Sweden rather than submit to the political blackmailing of Stockholm.

The matter became a hot topic in the Swedish press, and warmongers could freely appeal for public support completely openly, with major newspapers like Vårt Land, Nya Dalight Allehanda and Svenska Dagbladet giving their thoughts wide circulation and coverage. Even two members of Parliament, Carl Klingspor and Johan Gripenstedt, openly argued for possible frontier advances. During the course of the summer the hawks in the Swedish press debated the merits of potential territorial demands at northern Norway. Troms, Finnmark and the part of Nordlanden located around Narvik was one region seen as naturally part of Sweden, as a mutual border between an independent Norway and Russia was deemed too risky for Swedish security. Rudolf Kjellén claimed that the natural border for Sweden in the west was located along Glåma river, and drew historical parallels with Karl XIV Johan’s Norwegian campaign of 1814.

But these lone hawkish voices lacked support in the Riksdag, and the Swedish society at large. Main trend in both countries was fear of war, not willingness for it. However, wars often erupt even when no one wants them to happen. In tense situations there is always a danger of escalation: one party puts into practice military action the other feels he must answer, which in turn gets the opposing side to step up their efforts, spiraling the situation towards open conflict without anyone really wanting it to happen. Despite the fact that both parties wanted a peaceful solution, the result was not a foregone conclusion. Troops had been mobilized on both sides of the border, and now the choice between war and peace lay in the Swedish hands. In a case where the government would not get sufficient concessions from the Norwegians during the upcoming negotiations, would it feel compelled to resort to military action? The military preparedness was strengthened on both sides of the Kjølen mountains during the 1905 crisis, at the same time as both countries were keeping an eye on what was going on on the other side of the border. A military measure on one side of the border sparked fear and new measures on the other side. Neither country had an extensive intelligence agency; however, it soon became a priority task to gather information about military measures and the situation in the neighbouring country. Tension mounted in keeping with the political developments, and during the following weeks the crisis rapidly escalated.

 
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What a fantastic twist- I haven't seen much attention paid to the dissolution of Norway-Sweden in early twentieth century timelines, but it's so much more interesting than yet another variation Fashoda or Bosnia as a political flashpoint.
 
Chapter 64: Dissolution Crisis of 1905, Part II: Fight The Powers That Be
Dissolution Crisis of 1905, Part II: Fight The Powers That Be
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”Skulle det förfärliga verkligen bli allvar, att man ville låta de svenska gevären marschera västerut, så må den som bär ansvaret också kunna säga sig, att måhända nere i samhällets breda lager någon kan falla på den tanken att upphöja sig själv till domare och med en kula utan order söka förebygga att tiotusenden kulor på order avfyras för att lämlästa och slakta vänner och bröder.”[1]


Ten years had passed since Hjalmar Branting had been convicted for fines for inciting regicide with his inflammatory antiwar speech aimed against his former schoolmate, the King Oscar II. By now the mood in the Swedish left-wing circles was, if anything, even more confrontational than in the previous decade. Few years ago, in 1903, the mixed reactions to the new conscription reform bill and doctrinal disputes had split the ranks of the first Swedish socialist youth league into the "Ungdemokraterna", the Socialdemokratiska Ungdomsförbundet (SDUF) where prominent young Social Democrats like Per Albin Hansson, Gustav Möller and Carl Höglund took up the reins the majority of the Social Democratic youth movement, and to the Sveriges Ungsocialistiska Förbund (SUF). This "Young Socialist" minority faction, where leaders like Henrik Bergegren and Albert Jensen continued to advocate more militant line, saw itself as a “new vanguard” movement who wanted to change Swedish society by direct action rather than through democratic evolution. Their organization, SUF, was thus soon associated in people's eyes with violent propaganda and fights with the authorities, and this was an image eagerly presented by the Social Democratic SDUF that had adopted a strong anti-militant stance, and sought to isolate the Ungsocialisterna from the Swedish labor activity and portray the Social Democrats as respectable members of society in contrast to the rabble-rousing SDUF.

For their part the SUF radicals deemed the “adult world” of the older generation of Swedish Social Democratic leaders as cynical, tired and corrupt, while the SUF members themselves willingly accepted a self-image that acted as antithesis, and instead represent vitality, courage and decisiveness in action. The SUF had started out as a numerically insignificant grouping - in 1905 the club had about fifty members in Landskrona, their key support region, with one twenty-thirty members coming and going in Malmö as well. But during the next two years SUF had rapidly expanded, first from two clubs and a couple hundred members to seven clubs with around 450 members, and from there to a nation-wide organization. By the end of 1905 the SUF could count a total membership of 25 000, with a large number of local organizations with 300-400 clubs and between 14,000 and 15,000 active members. While still small, they were by now far from insignificant. The Young Socialist magazine, Brand (Fire), had since the beginning been the among the widely known and respected newspaper in socialist intelligentsia circles, and had served as a forum for Swedish left-wing debates about various theoretical schools of socialist thought. Brandt featured a mixture of different socialist ideologies: syndicalism, anarchism, Marxism and similar schools of thought, without directly advocating any one of these socialist orientations. The same applied to the SUF at large - the movement lacked any clearly defined guiding ideology, although the anarchist tendencies of the small organization were strong.

After severe repression from the government and concerned authorities during the 1890s, the most militant forms of anarchist activity in Sweden had been rather effectively suppressed for nearly a decade, but the idea of “propaganda by deed” had survived among the SUF, at least as a propaganda slogan. The anarchism-minded supporters of the movement were orientating towards syndicalism, an ideology that seemed to offer support to their feeling that mass action was needed, but the political action for a parliamentary takeover of state power would be insufficient and inefficient way to change Sweden. By 1905 the SUF had already embraced some of the main points of this brand of socialism to their program. Among other things, this led them to notice that the emerging Swedish workers' unions formed an excellent platform for the kind of struggles the SUF leadership had in mind. And this led them to bitter conflict with the Social Democrats, who also saw the unions as key supporters of their reformist approach, and wanted to keep them clean of SUF machinations. This internal dispute within the working class left-wing in Swedish society came to the fore during the summer of 1905, and the Social Democratic leadership in Sweden tried in vain to walk a tight rope between the hardliner demands of their own youth clubs, the patriotic sentiments of many of their rank-and-file supporters, and the hardliner "defense-nihilist" challenge posed by the SUF agitation.

As it was, the small bunch of young Socialists agitators and leaders of various stripes were able to make themselves heard everywhere in Sweden during the crisis of 1905. Their sudden rise to national fame and the upsurge in their popularity was linked to the Swedish conscription reform of 1901, that had turned the conscription into a compulsory universal military service that now stretched over a whole year in, replacing the old system of militia duties and rehearsal drills that had been only conducted during summer months. When it had started to seem increasingly likely that the new conscript army might someday be mobilized into a war against Norway, the young radicals had snatched the initiative in the internal press debate, and could now rake in sympathy based on their steadfast stance on the matter through the increasing skepticism towards defense and conscription at Sweden in general. When they asked whether it was right to the hardened adult world to force young men to spend a whole year in defense services, many young workers were prone to listen. And even more relevant, the SUF propaganda continued, were the elder statesmen entitled to force the new generation of the battlefield to fight in a war against their former countrymen, who were not threatening their safety in any way and against whom they bore no special ill-will?

The SUF radicals toting these views were in the totally opposite part of the Swedish political spectrum, but they too sought to utilize the crisis of 1905 just like their arch-reactionary opponents in the Riksdag First Chamber. SUF virulently opposed anything to do with militarism and patriotism, and used the relatively lax press laws of Sweden to mount a sustained propaganda campaign against the idea of using armed force against Norway. In a typical letter published in Brand at late June 1905 one anonymous SUF member stated that “could not understand the patriotism of Social Democrats - can’t they see that we proletariats have no fatherland, and consequently we can not have any love for this so-called fatherland?!” the writer spoke of a vision that was widespread within the movement. From this notion of workers without a fatherland it logically followed that SUF members did not care whether they would be blamed for treason for their anti-war agitation - for how could they betray a fatherland they did not even acknowledge as theirs?

Albert Jensen, a well-known syndicalist agitator became a famous (and widely hated) figure in Sweden by devoting himself to speaking on tours, writing articles in newspapers, writing pamphlets and books, and translating writings about the secession crisis. He and his supporters soon campaigned on the border between Sweden and Norway, urging Swedish soldiers “not to direct their weapons against their class brothers.” Together with their Norwegian allies the SUF agitators acted very actively all over the country, in order to put pressure on their governments to stop the military posturing at the borders. Their initial activities included agitation among the troops stationed at the border by distributing the famous antiwar manifesto titled “Ned med vapnen! - Fred med Norge!” As a sign of the growing resources of the SUF the manifesto was printed with over 100 000 copies, and widely distributed throughout the country. Written by the SDUF leader Zeth Höglund, it reminded the Swedish Social Democratic leadership that their youth league was being radicalized and agitated by the same questions that had led to the split between the SUF and SDUF. In order to keep their ducks in row, the Social Democratic leadership therefore had to follow increasingly confrontational line in the issue, threatening the Swedish government with a general strike should the government seek to solve the dispute with Norway with war. This talk was not just empty boast, though while the Swedish Social Democrats and the growing central trade union, Landsorganisationen i Sverige (LO) were officially separate organizations, the LO leaders were also behind the antiwar movement and firmly committed to show their growing strength - by 1902 they had been able to mobilize over 120 000 people to participated to a large nation-wide strike movement.

The dissolution crisis thus exposed and centralized around the deep internal divisions in Scandinavia - not only in the United Kingdoms in general, but within the Swedish society and domestic politics as well.


1: ~ "Should the horrible day come when Swedish soldiers are ordered to march westwards, may the one responsible for this also consider the thought that perhaps in the swathes of society someone may also get the idea to fire a single bullet without orders, in order to forestall tens of thousands of bullets being fired to maim and kill our friends and brothers."
 
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You know, the one thing I love about this TL is that it keeps me in suspense. I can never guess which way you'll have a section end and there's no clear favourite or winner. I suppose it reflects actual history that way, which is amazing.

Can't comment much more than that, I'm afraid. Until this TL actually brought it up, I wasn't even aware that the independence of Norway could be lead to such a potential crisis.

It's rather educational, is what I'm saying.
 
What a fantastic twist- I haven't seen much attention paid to the dissolution of Norway-Sweden in early twentieth century timelines, but it's so much more interesting than yet another variation Fashoda or Bosnia as a political flashpoint.

It is indeed an often-overlooked part of the early 1900s in Europe, perhaps because it happened during the same year when a lot was going on elsewhere, both in OTL and in TTL.

You know, the one thing I love about this TL is that it keeps me in suspense. I can never guess which way you'll have a section end and there's no clear favourite or winner. I suppose it reflects actual history that way, which is amazing.

So far this TL has been pretty much writing it's own story, since adding chapters always makes me evaluate how the accumulating changes will affect things elsewhere further down the timeline. If that avoids the feeling of a predestined wank/screw TL (which I have nothing against, they're just not what I'm after with this story), then I'm happy to hear that.

Can't comment much more than that, I'm afraid. Until this TL actually brought it up, I wasn't even aware that the independence of Norway could be lead to such a potential crisis. It's rather educational, is what I'm saying.

Soon I've shown all the pieces, and it's time to actually start playing.
 
Chapter 65: Dissolution Crisis of 1905, Part III: A Shooter Behind Every Stone
Dissolution Crisis of 1905, Part III: A Shooter Behind Every Stone
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By the summer of 1905, the Norwegian state and civil society had been slowly and steadily preparing for the showdown against Sweden for over a decade. While the state had funded gradual military reform, constructed fortifications and funded naval buildup, the ordinary citizens had also started all kinds of activities that aimed to enhance the military capabilities of Norway. Perhaps the best embodiment of these efforts was the establishment of the DFS, Det frivillige Skyttervesen, the National Rifle Association of Norway. The non-political marksmanship organization had the official goal to “prepare for the national defense by promoting practical shooting skills of the Norwegian people.” Active participants of DFS received generous government discounts that enabled them to cheaply purchase modern Krag-Jørgensen rifles and ammunition. The mountainous terrain of Norway enabled the shooter associations to create practice ranges with distances ranging up to 600-1000 meters, and by 1905 the combination of constant training and nation-wide shooting competitions mixed with the experience gained from traditional elk and wild reindeer hunting culture in the hills and fjells had made the best Norwegian riflemen true crack shots, capable of reliably hitting stationary human-sized targets from remarkable distances. Started by a left-leaning teacher Ola Five, an aspiring leftist politician from the socialist stronghold of North Trøndelag who had quickly risen to national fame as the “Shooter General”, the DFS organization had gained popularity through the political spectrum and become a stable part of Norwegian society, a kind of a parallel citizen’s army that was strongly supported by the working class members of socialist Venstre party as well as the majority of the middle-class people, whose "own" military defense association, the right-wing Forsvarsforeningen had only 50 local chapters and 10,000 members in 1905.

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Because of the secret efforts of Ola Five and his cooperative high-ranking contacts in the Norwegian Army, Norway was also busily preparing for a prolonged guerrilla war during June 1905. The 40,000 DFS-trained volunteer shooters formed a formidable force that was seen as a basis of top-secret resistance plans. The clubs and their marksmen units were formed from local middle- and working-class people who knew one another well: old former officers and NCOs, lensmen law enforcement officials, teachers, lawyers, merchants, priests and farmers. Ola Five was a teacher, and well aware of European history and the recent course of the Boer War in southern Africa. He had envisioned the DFS to act as a training cadre for a popular people's militia, a national army that would force Sweden out from Norway through attrition tactics and guerrilla war similar to the type of tactics employed by the Finnish peasant metsäsissi groups in the war of 1809, the Spanish guerrilleros in the Peninsular War, by the French francs-tireurs in 1870 and most recently by the Boer commandos in South Africa. The Norwegians planned to mimic these irregular formations, and had secretly trained a resistance army of dødsgjenger - a network of small cells of "death squads" forming up the "Boer-styled" underground army, Geriljahæren. These volunteers had received military drill for guerrilla tactics by the regular army NCOs and officers, with the greatest stress in their training being put night-time raids and ambushes conducted against enemy troops operating in rough woodland terrain of eastern Norway. Having honed their skills in nationwide shooting competitions over 10 years, by 1905 the DFS had a nationwide network on standby. The local clubs could form their own troops in case of war and delay and harass the invading Swedish troops throughout Norway as irregular skirmishers.

The regular Army had also made plans to use them: spread out in small groups they would lay down in front of the Norwegian defensive lines at the border-zone, ready to dovetail Swedish advance towards Kristiania and Trondheim. After the crisis begun in June 1905, many local shooting associations started their own shooting exercises and field maneuvers. The 40 000-man strong volunteer force was equipped with 20 333 rifles, out of which 7 919 were modern Krag-Jørgensen rifles and the rest a mixture of older, but still formidable Jarmann M/1884s and similar obsolete or single-shot weapons. In total the volunteers had practiced by a total of two million exercise shots that year. They had their weapons and ammunition at home, and the border region shooting clubs had in fact already established their own secret "border guard", with men officially posing as hunters camping as close to the border as possible, at prepared and dispersed positions. The Norwegian government now had two armed entities standing at readiness to defend the cause of Norwegian independence - but only one of them was in their effective control.[1]

1: This was the case in history as well - all the incidents and details about the crisis so far are completely as per OTL.
 
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It really is educational, and fascinating. I never knew all these intricate details about the dissolution, nor that Norway could have become a hotbed of guerilla resistance.
 
Chapter 66: Dissolution Crisis of 1905, Part IV: The Major Powers
Dissolution Crisis of 1905, Part IV: The Major Powers
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The dispute between Norway and Sweden was of great interest to European Powers in summer 1900, as the United Kingdoms were located at the intersection of three spheres of interest: British, German and Russian Empires all viewed the region as relevant to their strategic interests. Since Britain and Russia had for long been rivals in the Near East, Central Asia and the Far East, Britain had traditionally been viewed as a protector of the Union against Russian ambitions, and this had been the case ever since the Crimean War.

More recently Britain and Germany had met their own mutual troubles in the questions of economic competition, naval arms race and colonial ambitions. From the German perspective it had thus been vital to maintain a friendly approach towards the Union, both to as a protection for Sweden against the threat of Russian expansionism, and to as a counterweight against Nordic reliance to British support. But while London and Berlin desired stability and preferred the status quo, the Russian approach to the Nordic relations was different: the Russian state leadership had traditionally regarded a divided and thus weakened Scandinavia preferable to the interests of Russia. But since the beginning of her recent domestic turmoil, Russia first and foremost wanted to maintain a stern peace in the Grand Duchy of Finland, and many in the Czar's court in St. Petersburg feared that disturbances in Sweden could easily spread eastwards. But when the future of the Union turned into a full-blown regional crisis during the summer of 1905, ultimately neither Britain, Germany nor Russia initially had a consistent political approach to the question of whether the Union should be maintained or not. London and Berlin did not want to rush things by recognizing Norway in advance, before negotiations with Sweden would have led to more results. As the Russian state leadership did not definitively want to directly intervene to save the Union, either, it initially thus seemed that there was no room no serious major power conflict surrounding the dissolution of the union. This was not the first time the matter was on the diplomatic agenda of the Great Power politics. When Norwegians had last time defied Stockholm, on 1895, Sweden had sought council from south. Knowing the European Power’s desire to preserve stability in the North and their apprehensions that Norway might set a dangerous example by becoming a republic, Oscar II had at that time secretly sounded out Prince Bismarck in Berlin - and Bismarck had admonished him to stand fast against the Storthing, and it appears, for a time also considered the possibility of a direct German intervention if needed be. Rumors of such plans had increased Norwegian distrust towards a monarch who seemed to be appealing for foreign support against his own Norwegian subjects.

It was thus no wonder during the prolonged period of internal tensions which had preceded the Norwegian secession declaration, the elderly King Oscar II had several times sought the advice of the German Kaiser. Wilhelm II was eager to get himself involved - after all, he told to Prince Eulenburg, he had always been ‘very Nordically inspired.’ Between 1889 and 1905 his summertime Nordland voyages had annually led him to the Norwegian fjords. Inspired by Frithiof’s saga, he had sought to develop as warm as possible relations with the Swedish king of the United Kingdoms of Sweden and Norway. This met with a favorable response, since King Oscar II saw in the German Emperor his most important continental ally against the seemingly overpowering Russia abroad, against Norwegian attempts at sovereignty inside his dual realm, and against the rising tide of democracy and socialism at home in Sweden. Aided by his new Chancellor and dear friend, Prince Eulenburg, Wilhelm II had wanted to support Sweden in its disputes with Norway against the backdrop of the purported Russian danger, and was initially prepared to place the Imperial German Navy at the disposal of Oscar II in order to quell any Norwegian uprising. This was typical bombast from his part, and a complete turnabout of his initial reaction: “Wir haben mitleid mit dem alten mann, aber helfen wollen wir ihm nicht”, he had written to his diary on 8th of June 1905. When the Swedish Crown Prince Gustaf visited Berlin as a part of his diplomatic tour through the European capitals on his way to his royal wedding to Britain, Wilhelm II seemingly decided to impress the Crown Prince with militant rhetoric in the issue, he boasted to the Swedish Crown Prince how he regarded ‘armed intervention as the only remedy’ against the movement for independence in Norway. Wilhelm II thus sounded a discreet advice to the Swedish royal family: "Turn to the iron-fist!" He doubted the true intentions of the Norwegian government. "The Bernadotte deal...the offer Norway has presented looks at first glance so very nice, but I'm convinced that they have only presented it thus in order to give their revolution a milder paint and to throw sand to the eyes of Europe!"

Prince Eulenburg found the initial response of Wilhelm II utterly reckless, as so often before, and sought ways and means to control the Kaiser who had once failed to heed the advice of his ministers and the Auswärtiges Amt, and had sought to exercise personal rule. His council to Wilhelm II was to urge the Kaiser to proceed with caution: "The world situation is very uncertain and tense at the moment. Our enemies are on the lookout for us to show weakness. If we do, with the hostile mood in England, the distrust of the Japanese, the unpredictability of the French and the uncertainty in Russia, the consequences could be alarming for Austria-Hungary and Italy. We must not show any nervousness outwardly, but behave more than ever with firmness, calm and courage. Nor must we allow ourselves any incautious or impulsive behavior: it would be totally inappropriate to the situation." Eventually Wilhelm II had been obliged to acknowledge that in the view of the passive attitude of the ailing King Oscar II and of the ‘deplorable indifference’ manifested by public antiwar opinion in Sweden towards the events in Norway, the Swedish government would be unlikely to take a firm stance. In spite of the attitude of ‘great restraint’ which the Kaiser adopted thereafter, at the cabinet talks in diplomatic circles it was gossiped that he had allegedly ordered the German military leadership to prepare plans for military action in Norway. The German government did their best to alleviate such fears abroad. As he was departing towards Britain, Eulenburg reminded the Swedish Crown Prince that what the German government "truly wanted" was a fast Swedish acceptance to the Norwegian secession declaration, and that Bernadottes should gave in and accepted the Norwegian offer for installing a Swedish prince on the throne of Norway. Chancellor Eulenburg and Foreign Secretary von Richthofen both gave the Swedish government clear council that Sweden should without further delay disband the union. No help would be forthcoming from Berlin, and the support Gustaf had hoped to receive from Berlin was limited to the meager promise that Germany would be the last Power to recognize Norwegian independence.

As he continued his journey to London by the middle of June 1905, Crown Prince Gustaf was able to talk with the British King, Prime Minister Lord Spencer and Foreign Minister Lord Elgin. From here too he was told in no uncertain terms that Britain wanted Sweden to drop the Union as soon as possible. "If the deal with Norway is not reached soon, HM's Government could feel compelled simply to confess the new regime in Norway”, as Spencer frankly told to the Crown Prince. Yet behind the facade of a uniform approach to the matter, the British decision-makers were more divided on the issue. Some of Britain's political leaders who disagreed with the strategic views of Lord Spencer had watched on Norway's declaration of independence with nervous and happy anticipation, as they hoped that in this instance opposition to Russia would fell in the background, and opposition to German interests in the North would be seen as the preferable course of action.

Initially their hopes seemed quite justified, as the matter of succession to the throne of Kingdom of Norway begun to pull the Great Powers involved to the crisis to opposing camps. And much to the dismay of everyone involved, Kaiser Wilhelm II felt that the crisis offered him a great opportunities to achieve success with active personal diplomacy. Despite the best efforts of the German government to stall his plans, the Kaiser was preparing to embark on a grand diplomatic mission in the North. His upcoming journey would have far-flung consequences to European diplomacy.
 
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