What if the NDP did not get the surge in support they received in the 2011 Canadian election and the Liberals weren't forced into third place and the Bloc Quebecois did not lose most of its seats? I made these changes to the election results: Quebec; NDP -27%, Conservative +5%, Bloc +15%...
The 1993 Canadian election is a pretty interesting AH topic given how volatile the political environment in Canada was and how there was much potential for different results, in particular the PCs winning or not doing as badly. As the PoD, let's have it that Jean Charest wins the PC leadership...
The 538 tool is useful but it was made in 2018, 7 years after the redistricting occurred and during that time political circumstances have changed and trends have changed the leans of districts.
Here's a summary of the post-2010 Oregon redistricting, IOTL a bipartisan deal was reached due to...
What if Democrats won all races they lost by 4% or less in 2010? I was making alternate results and this is what I got;
2010 Senate elections
Harry Reid-Democratic: 53-4
Mitch McConnell-Republican: 45+4
51 for majority
Illinois: Alexi Giannoulis(D) defeats Mark Kirk(R)...
Oh yeah I just read through this and realized the 2016 general election was never done. Paul vs Teachout, right? That will be interesting, maybe I should do it myself but idk if I'll be committed enough.
2004 Canadian election without the unpopular McGuinty budget in Ontario, Liberals win all seats lost by 4% or less to the Conservatives in Ontario.
2004 Canadian election-Ontario results
Liberal: 87 seats 46.7%
Conservative: 14 seats 29.5%
NDP: 5 seats 18.1%
53 for majority
This reminds me of this thread of mine (https://www.alternatehistory.com/forum/threads/what-if-bill-weld-ran-against-ted-kennedy-in-1994.458661/), 1996 ultimately may not have been possible for Weld to actually win.
What if the Progressive Conservatives had done better in the 1997 Canadian election? Charest got a post-debate bounce and they polled as high as 25% in that election, though in the end got only 19% of the vote and given the inefficient distribution of their support this translated to only 20...