Recent content by Hamurabi

  1. WI: NATO attempts to prevent Russian annexation of Crimea

    People are forgetting that some countries are truly sovereign and have interests they pursue just like the west/ NATO etc. Crimea in this case is seen by the Russians as essential and basically Russian soil. Worth going all the way to nukes. In contrast hypothetically if Hillary. Clinton won...
  2. PC: Siad Barre overthrown after the Ogaden War

    The 1973-74 drought actually strengthened the siad regime because he used the army to move tens of thousands of people and saved them from famine. It was worse than the 1992-93 drought but very frw died from famine, while the latter killed over 300,000 people and started UN intervention. From...
  3. PC: Siad Barre overthrown after the Ogaden War

    The Ethiopians held on in diredawa and Harar due to the Airforce, but the SNA was still attacking. I forgot to account for wslf troops which were more than 5000 guerillas so the numbers might not have been that disproportionate. I suspect there were more Ethiopian forces than you say because by...
  4. PC: Siad Barre overthrown after the Ogaden War

    The 1978 coup was mainly majerteen and would have led to disintegration and civil war earlier, 1978 was too late the siad givergover antagonized the clans too much and they were already organizing clandestinely. The only way a coup would succeds would be before the Ogaden war preferably closer...
  5. PC: Siad Barre overthrown after the Ogaden War

    In Otl the Somali army did pretty well capturing 80% of the Ogaden within the first first few weeks despite being outnumbered in every battle, they did however have a superiority in armour and mechanized infantry and also motorized troops. This was despite crippling interference and...
  6. KMT China Post war economy, foreign relations, society, and politics

    Yes people often forget that the export oriented industrialization of East Asia was due to circumstances unique to the cold war and willingness of the US to open it's markets and dollar hegemony. If you have a large enough population like Iran you can pull of ISI without exports.
  7. KMT China Post war economy, foreign relations, society, and politics

    ISI is actually very useful in the early stages of industrlization. Taiwan and South Korea both underwent ISI in 50s and 60s. I believe taiwan went all out export oriented after 1965. Isi builds the base infrastructure to build your exports on
  8. AHC/WI The Oromos become the most powerful ethnic group in Ethiopia?

    Today Oromos are about 60% Muslim, A good percentage of the Amhara ethnicity is actually assimilated Oromos. And on the other side a good percentage of the Oromos in the south are various ethnicities assimilated into Oromo from 1560's onwards . There are already Somali groups half way...
  9. Aftermath of an enforced Treaty of Sevres

    What remains of turkey becomes the center of Islamic insurgency and the region will probably experience what you see in Iraq and Afghanistan today
  10. TL Proposal: Iran Saudi war

    It is ASB for Saudis to fight a war without allies, especially the US. On paper they are 250,000 plus men and equiped with the latest weapons and should be up there with ISreal, Turkey and Egypt in terms of power. The reality is that they are woefully under trained and incompetent. If houti...
  11. The Great Jihad Succeds

    Ok i concede most of the officers and politically aware soldiers would know that he was just a puppet/figurehead with zero powerr, but the rank and file would fall for it.
  12. The Great Jihad Succeds

    yes nominally muslims, but not religious. The Young Turk movement was a secular movement nothing to do with islam, and these 3 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Three_Pashas were non religous, while the rank and file of the troops were more or less religous, so calling for a jihad would be seen as...
  13. Secret Policemen and Funky Bass Lines: A Somali Democratic Republic TL

    The Saudis really went all out with their promotion of their brand of islam, but it took root only in destabilized countries. Wahabism spread like wildfire in Somalia after 1990, in the 80's it represented a tiny minority of the population. The same with Iraq's sunnis 20 years ago there were...
  14. The Great Jihad Succeds

    werent the 3 pashas all either agnostic or athiest and the sultan a mere puppet. calling for a jihad i find is rather ironic and i am sure the population at that time wouldnt be impressed.
  15. Secret Policemen and Funky Bass Lines: A Somali Democratic Republic TL

    about oil exploration, genel is expected to start exploratory drilling in Somaliland by Nov this eyar or feb -march next year, siesmic will start in the next couple of months.. ive spoken to some people from the company and they are excited and confident that they will find commercial quantities.
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