What do y'all recon would be the fate of Britain post-SGW, having lost another war to the CP's, and got 3 cities nuked?
Great Britain is in a terrible position in 1944. The defeat in the Second Great War will probably be accompanied in the first postwar years by economic collapse and social upheaval.
I think that these would be among the possible developments for Britain following the end of the SGW.
-The fall of the Churchill-Mosley regime would lead to a long period of political dominance by the Labour Party, one of the only major political factions that can’t be linked to the disastrous outcome of the SGW. The Conservative Party could survive in a truncated form for sometime, but likely wouldn’t return to power for a long time to come, if ever. The Silver Shirts will collapse with the loss of Mosley and with the loss of a powerful, mainstream ally that was the Conservative Party.
-Ireland will regain its independence, after what I presume was a devastating British military occupation. In the continuation that I wrote, Ireland joins a US-led military alliance, and goes on to host permanent US military bases.
-The British defeat in the SGW will probably be compounded by a national economic collapse, as the government and the country’s business leadership is thrown into chaos by the abrupt loss of London, as well as by the sudden halt and rapid downsizing of wartime industries. A long economic recession after the end of the SGW, along with the postwar government’s probable policies of austerity, will be a push factor in driving high levels of emigration from Britain during the first postwar generation. Another push factor in postwar emigration from Britain would be the fear of Germany’s superbomb arsenal.
-The German Empire and the USA will not be merciful to the defeated Entente powers. Both countries were on the receiving end of acts of aggression at the beginning of the European and North American theaters of the SGW.
The USA and Germany will not seek to end Britain’s sovereign independence. But both Washington and Berlin will probably seek an end to the British Empire as any kind of rival/threat. The USA and the German Empire will split most of the former British Empire between themselves; the USA will take possession of any remaining British territories in the Caribbean and Pacific, while the Germans will take most remaining British colonies in Africa. Both Washington and Berlin will probably force Australia, New Zealand, and South Africa to sever their political ties with the British crown.
By the end of the war, of course, the British have probably already also lost Hong Kong, Malaysia, Singapore, Brunei, and Burma to the Japanese Empire.
-King Edward VIII may abdicate at the end of the war, but the monarchy as an institution will survive. The British public is far more likely to blame the former ruling government, rather than the royal family, for the disastrous outcome of the SGW.
-In the long run, Great Britain will recover economically from the calamitous years of the Business Collapse, SGW, and immediate postwar period. But, along with France, it will be a recovery within a European alliance system/political arrangement established by the German Empire and Austro-Hungarian Empire.