"A Very British Transition" - A Post-Junta Britain TL

The Monarchy at best kept their head down for the junta or at worse actively supported it depending on who you ask, so they were never abolished and Elizabeth remains head of state
I think most actual liberals tagged along with the SDP whilst officially the party merged into the nationals
Aha! I never imagined that British conservatives would stomach switching over to an explicitly party-list based system, but here with you saying flat out that is what they did (maybe not as their first preference to be sure) I quite accept that this is a plausible move for them to make. For their opposition it makes perfect sense they'd tout a system broadly similar to continental systems post-WWII.

It even makes sense they ignore the attempt to hybridize constituency and party-list the Germans developed now widely known and used in various forms as "MMP." As you say, apparently there wasn't a big tent "constitutional convention" type process, it was a matter of a handful of insider negotiators for the opposition meeting counterparts for the Junta establishment and doing a handshake deal.

As Boss William Marcy Tweed is supposed to have said, "I don't care who does the electin' as long as I do the nominatin'!" If the parties are granted power to set up their lists, there is little practical recourse voters have to put pressure on them; the voters are given a choice between several party platforms and their judgement of how closely this or that party will hew to actually doing it, and only a few parties have the credible strength to put their platform through anyway. Without some flexible way for insurgent mavericks to insert themselves and make a case for voters to shift support to them, then democracy such as it is comes down to the big parties judging which policy offerings will be most persuasive from the limited range of practical choices to gain sufficient voter support.

If instead the reform agreement were for something like German MMP, then such maverick "still small voices" of gadfly conscience could get into Parliament via the FPTP constituency races and annoy them and put them at risk of voters jumping ship around proven leaders if only in debate, if they have persuasive sounding alternative proposals.

It just seemed like a major flip from FPTP's apparent party-neutrality to jump straight to party-list closed systems, but of course if the aim is to keep power under control of a few gentlemen power brokers, with voters basically empowered only to determine which of them has the most patronage to dispense, then this was exactly the right move. So much for all the talk of constituency bonds and glorious independency and all that!

For the record, I think one can achieve both superior party-proportionality and at the same time much fairer chances for genuine independents without complication. But then again, every time I try to explain it people think it is too complicated, so I won't try. None of it is to the point anyway when the persons making the agreements with each other don't have the value of making every vote count equally and fairly as their guiding principle, and are simply trying to maximize the power of their faction. It is quite humorous though that this is the compromise reform they make.

And just maybe, it has potential to bite these power brokers in the backside...
Absolutely, whilst London does remain a financial powerhouse it is not the undisputed European centre it was in OTL, seeing a lot more competition with Frankfurt and Paris.
Britain's colonies fall around the same time, whilst Mountbatten was more inclined to fight for the colonies, with the instability at home and international condemnation abroad the Junta doesn't have the political capital to hold onto their overseas colonies.

Merbyon Kernow actually managed to get an MP elected at the 2005 General Election, as well as a couple legislators in the Devon Provincial Parliament. The Manx were generally left alone by the Junta. As the Isle of Man has quite a large military presence and they tend to be quite conservative the Manx were fairly loyal to the British state.
Of course The Iske of Man has never been part of the United Kingdom, and Westminster governments have never had any authority over it. It's got the same relationship to the UK as the Channel Island governments, complete internal independence. I don't imagine tge Junta would have had any reason to seek to change that.
 
I'm trying to imagine Yes Minister in this timeline and the ending I come up with is Hacker and Bernard being shot by Humphrey.
OTOH, considering we've got canon stating:
It never got past the censors unfortunately
I'm assuming the humor would be too offbeat, or at least crossing too many red lines, for British audiences. The concept, OTOH, could be tried elsewhere; a Canadian Yes, Minister ITTL would be absolutely fascinating, for example - and I could easily see CBC/Radio-Canada running with it.
 
OTOH, considering we've got canon stating:

I'm assuming the humor would be too offbeat, or at least crossing too many red lines, for British audiences. The concept, OTOH, could be tried elsewhere; a Canadian Yes, Minister ITTL would be absolutely fascinating, for example - and I could easily see CBC/Radio-Canada running with it.
Alternatively, we get Yes, Taoiseach if either of the creators choose Ireland as their place of exile. That said, I'm not sure of the fate of the creators of Yes Minister would be, as I know at least one of them described themselves as right wing
 
I'd imagine there'd have been a fair number of people who would describe themselves as pretty right wing who would be extremely hostile to the army coup. It is possible to believe strongly in democratic principles while holding quite extreme political beliefs, right or left.
 
Have just finished catching up on this. It's a really intriguing topic, and I'm glad that we now have a well written TL to explore it. I am a little sceptical about the circumstances of the coup, as I think things would have to get a lot worse before it would go from an idea being entertained by fringe elements to a concrete reality.

I would also like to see a bit of a wider exploration of other aspects of UK politics; the country is obviously a very different place, but I think the content of the chapters is maybe a bit too focused on the various terror attacks that are taking place. But all of it still feels very plausible, and presented in a really varied and readable way.
 
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@powerab , the work of Paloma Aguilar might be of use to you for TTL. She wrote a book, amongst others, called 'Memory and Amnesia, The Role of the Spanish Civil War in the Transition to Democracy.' It's obviously set in the context of the OTL Spanish transition to democracy, but it might give you some ideas as to what aspects of society, etc, you could pay attention to in your writing.

I wrote my Masters on 'Transmission of Memory Amongst the Post-Franco Generation' using an Oral History approach. I spoke to younger Spaniards about four general categories of 'memory transmission' (Popular Culture, Personal Relations, Education and Academia, and Lieux de Memoire). Some things to consider might be how the political Left and Right fight over the British national curriculum and how it presents the Junta to school children? How is the Junta approached by popular music artists - do they link the National Party to the Junta and sing about that? Are there monuments to Mountbatten or streets named after prominent coupist figures and what's going to happen to them / what do those debates regarding their removal look like? How was society during the Junta? Were people repressed and arrested for discussing it and did that lead to a 'Pact of Silence' like in Spain? What's happening now? Do older people talk to their children about the coup and Junta honestly or avoid talking about it for fear of being arrested?

You don't have to answer those questions, I'm just throwing out ideas. If you'd like to know anything about the Spanish transition then I can try and help if that would be useful.

There are lots of places you can go with this and I'll try and keep up with it regardless.

Regards,

Northstar
 
Have just finished catching up on this. It's a really intriguing topic, and I'm glad that we now have a well written TL to explore it. I am a little sceptical about the circumstances of the coup, as I think things would have to get a lot worse before it would go from an idea being entertained by fringe elements to a concrete reality.

I would also like to see a bit of a wider exploration of other aspects of UK politics; the country is obviously a very different place, but I think the content of the chapters is maybe a bit too focused on the various terror attacks that are taking place. But all of it still feels very plausible, and presented in a really varied and readable way.
Thank you for the kind feedback. Yes absolutely a coup is very implausible, that's why I try my best to keep the coup itself and the event leading up as vague as possible. I do absolutely take your point around the terror attacks and I am trying to move away in later chapters to more traditionally political issues.
 
@powerab , the work of Paloma Aguilar might be of use to you for TTL. She wrote a book, amongst others, called 'Memory and Amnesia, The Role of the Spanish Civil War in the Transition to Democracy.' It's obviously set in the context of the OTL Spanish transition to democracy, but it might give you some ideas as to what aspects of society, etc, you could pay attention to in your writing.

I wrote my Masters on 'Transmission of Memory Amongst the Post-Franco Generation' using an Oral History approach. I spoke to younger Spaniards about four general categories of 'memory transmission' (Popular Culture, Personal Relations, Education and Academia, and Lieux de Memoire). Some things to consider might be how the political Left and Right fight over the British national curriculum and how it presents the Junta to school children? How is the Junta approached by popular music artists - do they link the National Party to the Junta and sing about that? Are there monuments to Mountbatten or streets named after prominent coupist figures and what's going to happen to them / what do those debates regarding their removal look like? How was society during the Junta? Were people repressed and arrested for discussing it and did that lead to a 'Pact of Silence' like in Spain? What's happening now? Do older people talk to their children about the coup and Junta honestly or avoid talking about it for fear of being arrested?

You don't have to answer those questions, I'm just throwing out ideas. If you'd like to know anything about the Spanish transition then I can try and help if that would be useful.

There are lots of places you can go with this and I'll try and keep up with it regardless.

Regards,

Northstar
Thanks Northstar, I'll definitely give that book a read. If any other readers have literature recommendations I'd love to hear them, I know I have some Spanish and Greek readers so I'd especially like to hear from them (and anyone else who's country went through a recent dictatorship.

Whilst I hope to answer some of the questions you've raised in greater detail I can give a quick summary to some of them.
  • Popular music - National is definitely strongly associated with the Junta, popular music especially black and urban popular music such as Grime are starting to emerge after years of censorship with a particularly radical bent. I hope for some more political OTL top 40 acts such as Dave and Stormzy to play a role as the TL heads into the 2010s
  • Monuments - Absolutely there are Junta monuments and streets and a debate rages, it tends to form a "culture war" 15 years early as National Councils and Provinces keep them up whilst SDP and SA authorities tear them down. Another thing I hope to explore in future updates
  • Pact of Forgetting - Whilst it wasn't as extreme as in Spain there has been some amnesty. Most higher level Junta officials were given amnesty as part of the transition and even sit as sitting MPs, and lower level officials were also let off with little consequences. Those who suffered the most were middling officials, too weak to pose a threat to democracy but too powerful to be ignore. As such many middle ranking civil servants and military officers faced some backlash. But generally speaking most Junta officials have been let off the hook. There was no legally enforced Pact of Forgetting so people are free to discuss what happened without ramification.
The other questions I confess I don't have a clear answer to currently and you've certainly given me a lot to think about. Again if you have any comments or books in the future please do share them. If your thesis is available to the public I'd love to read it!
 
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Most higher level Junta officials were given amnesty as part of the transition and even sit as sitting MPs, and lower level officials were also let off with little consequences.

There was no legally enforced Pact of Forgetting so people are free to discuss what happened without ramification.
The second item (actually 3rd as you structured the paragraph) I suppose answers the question raised by the first quote. I was going to ask "was there a quid pro quo whereby absolute amnesty applies to any and all acts that were fully disclosed, deposed to the public record?" Apparently not, as the middle section quoted below also implies:
Those who suffered the most were middling officials, to weak to pose a threat to democracy but too powerful to be ignore. As such many middle ranking civil servants and military officers faced some backlash.
Excrement rolls downhill I guess. It seems outrageous to me that the persons most responsible shrug off consequences while the underlings who were following their orders take it--apparently with some considerable mitigation, but still.

Of course if one is cynical about power dynamics it has to be this way. The underlings would obey orders from the top to resist toppling the Junta if the leaders felt they would suffer accountability for what they did; the only way to get a stand-down order and avoid a red-hot civil war which the populist insurgency might well lose despite their greater numbers, and which would surely inflict tremendous human suffering and major economic damage for the satisfaction of putting the SOBs firmly and finally in their place.

I don't know anything about Spanish or other "Pacts of Forgetting," which is another risky course IMHO. The real high road for the insurgency to take would be to offer total amnesty for all, high or low, for any acts whatsoever--provided these persons sign off on putting all of those acts, even the ones that the Junta thinks they managed to keep secret, completely on the record. Any official, high or low, has a clean slate in terms of legal liability; it would even be actionable on their part if they could prove that they weren't hired or promoted because of infamy due to confessed deeds--though I suppose that is a dead letter (just as in general, so-called rights that say workers have not to be discriminated against on grounds of say age are just about impossible to prove were violated as long as the people who in fact failed to hire or promote or did something more outrageous on the face of it apparently obviously because of some prohibited discrimination, have the wit to avoid saying it openly where they might be legitimately recorded as saying it). In reality, under such a "amnesty for transparency" deal, of course the persons who did nasty things will not be favored by the majority of people who suffered for it--but in fact the number of British persons who are either pro-Junta despite its shortcomings or ambivalent and thus inclined to cut someone conditional slack is going to be quite high, especially in certain professions. So total openness is not in fact a career death sentence though it is a restriction, and an unfortunate effect going forward is to perpetuate a social split between pro- versus anti- Junta factions, one that realistically would take generations to fade out--plural generations because you can bet the offspring of pro-Junta types will be both propagandized and suffer some animosity themselves, and so a lot of them will tend to carry the grudge forward, thus associating with fellow reactionaries and being thereby an objectively hostile and threatening faction.

Also, the rules should be strict that things have to be actually disclosed, confessed to, promptly, for amnesty to apply. Anything that is kept silent that is discovered later, the bad actors are fully accountable for.

To make it easier for the Junta gang to accept these terms, I suppose it should apply to both sides. Planting a bomb in some police station could well be something the resistance people, who are I suppose not the majority but a large percentage of the non-Junta ruled population, would celebrate as heroism--but they too should be required to disclose who was involved doing what, and be liable for criminal prosecution if they sit on this information. In context, with the resistance succeeding in breaking the Junta's immediate control and putting in a new democratic regime, one would hope the insurgents are more than happy to boast of their successes and even failures in the good cause, and confident that however irate the protected, amnestied Junta types are, the net weight of the new social machinery will deter retaliation, just as they are deterred from settling private scores by the fact that such vigilante action is as always illegal and subject to severe penalties. Of course there are always fringe lunatics, people on whom rational deterrence just does not work, but with the mechanisms of law and order, the police and the courts, already having ready to hand the docket of motives vengeful types on either side might have, the work of tracking down new culprits should be eased, making legal punishment after the fact more certain, and enabling protective measures to catch such rouge actors in the act before they succeed in taking revenge.

Any other way, such as taking depositions but then sealing them, or attempting to put restrictions on what people can say for the sake of the peace, leaves too much power in the hands both of former Junta supporters who know the score of what they did and have their suspicious beliefs, true or false, about who hurt them and who to blame for their discomfiture, and also radical rebels who think the settlement is half baked and have reason to fear it cannot protect them so they have little to lose.

In fact I am taking the terror incidents already posted as evidence of just this sort of falling between stools. "Don't ask, don't tell" applied to either the Junta or the most ardent rebels seems largely to blame. If that fellow in charge of the Security forces had been required to open up all the records of all the things he did, it seems unlikely he could get away with more dirty deeds on the same lines--which I think does in fact account for some of the reactionary side of the current terror; they are in fact being covered by Junta sympathizers.

Of course this is all in context of post-Cold War but still ongoing national interest as usual global politics; by the customary rules of the game, international espionage is still ongoing, and long-established moles in various foreign nations (some hostile or largely so, say Russia, China, or Iran, others nominally friendly) would be exposed, both rendering them useless and exposing them to vicious retaliation, not to mention the possibility that they might turn in captivity and further undermine British intelligence capability by spilling their guts lest they be quite literally spilled physically. So in that context, such persons need to be debriefed behind a wall of security, which of course could be breached doing great damage despite things being kept officially secret.

But realistically that kind of thing does happen all the time, on a limited scale; meanwhile, perhaps Britain should sit out the international spy game for a while, so effectiveness in the future is not such a major priority, for a generation or so anyway. Taking care of people who served in good faith is a priority I think.

As a general thing though, transparency is obviously superior to obscurity. Trying to gag people is largely futile--it may deny people who ought to have open legal recourse their day in court, but nothing can stop people saying things the law says they shouldn't, not completely, especially if the law going forward is not once again given carte blanche to lock people up and seize things without public accountability--whereas if they are, we have another Junta, be it the same old right wing guys, who have the training, the experience and the camraderie (more or less) to take the inside track, or a bunch of newfangled amateur leftist Cheka types who will gain what passes for "professionalism" in the matter of state terror fairly quickly even if they don't actually study up on what such examples as Lavrenti Beria set for them.

I could offer the speculation that one reason the insurgents were not able to hit upon such a sweeping and absolute solution, peace for candor, is that other agencies involved in the negotiation, such as the US mediators involved, have too much dirty laundry that would be aired with complete transparency in Britain. As you as author have noted, the Coup itself is a bit of a contrived black box, but I would not find it so crazy if it happened just a half decade or so later, in the Nixon years--and the track record is that even if subsequent administrations (Carter, Clinton) found the hidden records of how it happened a bit deplorable and quite appalling in fact, the deed being done, they'd just follow in the footsteps of their predecessors and use the "asset" of a controlled British regime for all sorts of stuff that might be risky to do in more open societies. Consider for instance the carte blanche the Indonesian junta under Suharto and successors, installed with major US support in 1965 to oust the leftist-populist Sukarno, and to massacre close to half a million Indonesian Reds in short order, had to occupy and attempt to incorporate East Timor for decades after the 1975 Carnation Revolution in Portugal that turned the half-island holding loose unilaterally. The Timorese resisted, violently, for not one or two but nearly three decades, suffering massive loss of life and other terrors, while the US governments under the Ford, Carter, Reagan, Bush Sr administrations pointedly looked the other way and continued to support the Indonesian junta as assets--I am not sure if Clinton took any action to address the situation. By the time East Timor was being supported as an independent nation, former President Ford went so far as to apologize for what he now said was a culpable mistake on his part, but by the time he did the responsibility had been shared in a quite bipartisan manner! Eventually it was water, and quite a lot of Timorese and some Indonesian blood soaked in it, under the bridge. (Though I do think Saddam Hussein might have been thinking of the precedent and hoping that the US government would regard his seizure of Kuwait as a parallel case, and we are still living with the repercussions of that action of his to this day, at great cost to many people on a far larger scale than East Timor--this is why integrity in apparently small things matters).

But with that example, and others I might elaborate on, in mind, it seems very likely to me the Junta's misdeeds included not a few actions ordered in Washington DC that the US establishment is hardly ready to see disclosed, whereas making a special wall of security for catered international terror is still drawing attention where they most pointedly do not want it.
 
Forty years really is an awful long time. There's so many movies that I hope got made in exile somehow-- Trainspotting, Clockwork Orange, and so on. Since those two are based on books I wonder if those were published in exile, although Irvine Welsh seems like the kind of guy who'd actually try to publish underground within Britain

Then there's music-- would Queen be called that, and would they stay in Britain at all?
 
Forty years really is an awful long time. There's so many movies that I hope got made in exile somehow-- Trainspotting, Clockwork Orange, and so on. Since those two are based on books I wonder if those were published in exile, although Irvine Welsh seems like the kind of guy who'd actually try to publish underground within Britain

Then there's music-- would Queen be called that, and would they stay in Britain at all?
Trainspotting was published underground by Walsh and became a cult hit amongst Britain's underbelly. Welsh is now looking to get it published legally with the end of the Junta. Clockwork Orange. Clockwork Orange was written before the coup and Burgess was generally left alone for his Conservative views, whilst the film was banned in the UK the Junta didn't stop him selling the rights to Kubrick, so the film was made in the states.

Queen still existed but under the thumb of the censors, whilst it was never a political band Mercury was forced to tone down his flamboyancy to avoid the censors. The censorship would take its toll and the band would move to the states. Even in exile there were internal divisions in the band with Roger and to a lesser extent Brian both wanting to take a more political line against the Junta, whilst Freddie and John wanted to keep their heads down. This would result in the band splitting up in the early 80s.
 
Does Spitting Image exist ITTL? Also, what happened to Michael Foot ITTL?
Spitting Image never got past the censors I'm afraid. Foot was imprisoned as a "KGB asset" during the Junta. He was released in 1991 alongside a raft of political prisoners as the Junta tried to soften it's image abroad. He wrote several books whilst imprisoned, with the unredacted versions published in 2005. His most popular books include "The Pen and the Sword" his account of the days leading up to the Coup, "Debts of Honour" a book on his time as a political prisoner and "Harold Wilson: A Biography" (fairly self explanatory).

During the 2005 election he called for a "Popular Front" of SDP, SA and Separatists to keep National out.
 
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Forty years really is an awful long time. There's so many movies that I hope got made in exile somehow-- Trainspotting, Clockwork Orange, and so on. Since those two are based on books I wonder if those were published in exile, although Irvine Welsh seems like the kind of guy who'd actually try to publish underground within Britain

Then there's music-- would Queen be called that, and would they stay in Britain at all?

I suspect Irvine Welsh probably emigrated. He lived in Dublin for a while I believe and now lives in Chicago. Either that or he joined a resistance movement or got caught up in drugs (or both) and winded ended up dead. His anarchistic, republican views would not be welcome in TTL's UK.

Edit: Jinxed by the author, who should always have the final say.

Speaking of Queen, I wonder what happened to all the punk acts we know in OTL. I remember hearing a great story about an altercation between Sid Vicious and Freddie Mercury when they were recording in the same studio. Freddie Mercury had just been in the papers saying he wanted to 'bring the music of ballet to the masses', or something similar. Anyway, Sid Vicious put his head through the door and said 'have you succeeded in bringing ballet to the masses yet?', to which Freddie Mercury replied 'aren't you Stanley Ferocious or something?' I never liked Queen personally while I'm a huge punk fan but whoever you think came off better it's a great story.
 
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