WAY TOO EARLY TO SAY.If posting #5,540 is any guide it would appear that the Nationalists Chinese may end up winning the Chinese civil war in this ATL. Or is it too early to say.
Here is the rough map of the frontWhere is the front line now in the Po Valley? IS it along the main Po River or beyond it?
The Po River Valley, Italy, November 27, 1943
Twenty minutes, a cup of coffee and two cigarettes later, the corporal looked up. He saw over one hundred four engine bombers emerge from the southeastern horizon. They were fairly low, maybe less than two miles overhead. Four minutes later, they passed over the front lines and less than a minute after that, the earth shook as one of the German regiments that had been cut-off during the offensive was bombed yet again. The 28th Infantry Division was holding the western edge of the pocket that held four German infantry divisions, while the Canadians held the eastern edge. The generals had decided that there was no need to advance and root out the Germans man to man, and rifle to rifle. Artillery would do most of the work when the bombers were not available. Until then, American and Canadian riflemen would watch and drink their coffee waiting for a desperate break out attempt.
Italian-American forces in Genoa. Italian forces in Venice.I am going to assume the black line represents the Italian army. Also that the Red line around Genoa is primarily the Italians as well.
So would I be right in saying the allied plan now is:
1 Destroy German pocket
2:Link up on land with Italians in Genoa and Venice
3: Push towards Milan as opportunity allows.
The terrain is very, very different from the Falaise Pocket : if I recall correctly my trip in the area it is very flat and with much less hedges, although there is somewhat more canals and small waterwaysThis may become the Italian campaign version of the Falaise Pocket though on a smaller scale.
Nice map fester. I wonder what is the strength of the German 10th Army.
The only chance to hold on to Milan would be if the Swiss let the Germans use their railways to Italy. Otherwise they have the single Iine connecting them to France.Long run the Germans are probably happy enough to pull back to the Alpine passes in the east but they really want/need to hold onto Milan and the Upper Po Valley for manufacturing and food supply reasons.
I disagree to some extent.I foresee a tank battle around Alessandria (sideshow), though I would strike for Brescia and split the German defense. Once there, the hub and spokes of a wheel come into play and 14th Army is SCREWED.
Look at your road net and terrain. Alessandria unlocks Genoa and it is a good hard march to Milan. How is 10th going to be supplied now? From Switzerland? In the British sector... From Parma it is a straight road march to Brescia, then hook to Lago de Garda. What happens to 14th German army when their boundary with 10th Germany army is unzipped? They have to retreat fast north to Rovereto and try to re-establish right flank boundary with 10th German army. And their east to west transverse supply situation has gotten a lot worse.
LOGISTICS.
From Wiki (^^^)
I am slightly confused as to why you think that there is going to be fast pursuit through the Alps to flank the 14th Army as a rifle battalion and a well supplied with high explosives engineering company can stop a division's advance cold for a day or two and then repeat that feat another 800 meters to the rear for as long as they goddamn want to. Yeah, as soon the 14th Army retreats to the mountains, it is going to be a set of independent divisions/brigades with central reinforcements and supplies taking multiple days to shift routes and destinations, but that is true as well for the Americans and British armies. The 14th Army can engage in a massive economy of force mission and trade ridges for time several dozen times before they run out of ridges. At this time, the 10th and 14th Armies are very lightly linked --- patrols along the northwestern shore of Lake Garda as there is no amphibious threat of the Allies swimming the lake and turning the line. A complete cut between the armies has minimal changes happening.
Coming out of Genoa, I am counting 4 routes northward between Genoa and Vesima on today's Google Maps. None of these routes are particularly broad. Each route has multiple choke points of less than 800 meters wide where defenders have 100-200 meter height advantages on anyone coming north through the valley. Yes, if the Allies could force a corps through the mountains and onto the southern edges of the Upper Po River Valley lowlands, they'll make the 10th Army's position untenable. They can read that map. The Germans can read that map the same way. And the Germans are dug in those mountains north of Genoa with multiple fall back positions with the intent and ability to make any break-out force from Genoa to bleed themselves dry to go through the mountains. The cheap advance up the Italian leg was a combination of Italian forces seizing key passes and almost as importantly, the Germans getting caught out of position allowing for very light US and UK commanded forces to go hell for leather north. There were very few blocking forces in the Appenines that were more powerful than a lightly supported battalion. And those forces could hold for a day or two until they were either buried under a corps worth of artillery, ran out of ammo, or flanked. The corps worth of artillery problem from the German POV is still present, but the other two problems are far smaller for the Germans now than late September.
Exactly! The Allies can rush Austria and Hungary on the final weeks of the war when the Heer is almost destroyed. It would be a bloodbath otherwise.No need to attempt to push through the Alps (Jesus Murphy!) to conquer the Third Reich. There is a better route that will be taken starting in the Spring.
Will the division still be the 10th in this TL?Camp Hale, Colorado November 28, 1943