Thande
Donor
So now let's do the 2008 presidential election. This is probably as close to a landslide as the US has had since the 1980s, though the polarisation in individual states (and in particular geographically large states staying Republican) means an OTL winner-only map certainly doesn't look much like a landslide. But are things different in the world of the Sixteen States? Let's count down in population order...
Erie: Obama won both component states, so he carries the whole by 10.1%.
Texas: McCain carries this by 11.3% as OTL.
Atlantea: Similar to Erie, Obama wins both component states and carries the combo by 12.4%.
South California: Goes Obama by 19.6%. I think I had NorCal and SoCal switched by accident on my 2010s election results & maps, so I've edited the posts to swap the earlier figures.
Roanoke: Obama was of course the first Democrat in decades to carry Virginia, which was a shock in OTL. Here, this plus Maryland and Delaware overpowers West Virginia and Kentucky to give him the whole superstate by 6.6%.
New Germany: A remarkable win for Obama, who takes it by 4.1%. In OTL he of course won Nebraska's 2nd congressional district and came close to taking Montana, as well as the more expected wins in Wisconsin, Minnesota and Iowa.
New York: Goes Democratic by 26.9% as OTL.
LaSalle: The most Republican part of the nation once again, though that's not saying much in 2008; McCain carries it by 14.1%.
Wabash: Not only did Obama have an impressive home state effect in Illinois, but he also achieved the unexpected feat of carrying Indiana, so unsurprisingly in this scenario he wins the combo by 17.1%.
Carolina: Goes Republican, but by only 6.2% (in OTL Obama carried North Carolina).
Florida: As OTL, the rarity of a vaguely decisive election result - by Florida standards, i.e. Obama carries it by 2.8%.
Apachea: Wow. It shows on my spreadsheet as '0.0% margin' rounded. Obama got 3,657,168 votes to McCain's 3,659,429. So McCain carries his 'home state', just barely, but Apachea is really shaping itself up to be another Florida in terms of close disputed results.
Yazoo: The third most Republican state (of the five carried out of 16 by McCain) with an 11.3% victory margin.
New England: Goes Democratic by 23.1%, making it the third most Democratic state after North California and New York.
North California: Goes Democratic by 30.1%. Notably Obama carried some counties here that no Democrat has since.
Pacifica: Democratic by 16.9%; Sarah Palin can't save you now, Senator McCain. As before, also the biggest third party vote, but in 2008 that was only 2.5%.
...and it must be a great comfort to Democratic candidates that they could eat a baby live on the debate podium and still get 3 EVs out of DC.
Count the electoral votes...
Barack Obama (Democratic): 323 EVs
John McCain (Republican): 147 EVs
Yeah, that looks like a landslide.
Erie: Obama won both component states, so he carries the whole by 10.1%.
Texas: McCain carries this by 11.3% as OTL.
Atlantea: Similar to Erie, Obama wins both component states and carries the combo by 12.4%.
South California: Goes Obama by 19.6%. I think I had NorCal and SoCal switched by accident on my 2010s election results & maps, so I've edited the posts to swap the earlier figures.
Roanoke: Obama was of course the first Democrat in decades to carry Virginia, which was a shock in OTL. Here, this plus Maryland and Delaware overpowers West Virginia and Kentucky to give him the whole superstate by 6.6%.
New Germany: A remarkable win for Obama, who takes it by 4.1%. In OTL he of course won Nebraska's 2nd congressional district and came close to taking Montana, as well as the more expected wins in Wisconsin, Minnesota and Iowa.
New York: Goes Democratic by 26.9% as OTL.
LaSalle: The most Republican part of the nation once again, though that's not saying much in 2008; McCain carries it by 14.1%.
Wabash: Not only did Obama have an impressive home state effect in Illinois, but he also achieved the unexpected feat of carrying Indiana, so unsurprisingly in this scenario he wins the combo by 17.1%.
Carolina: Goes Republican, but by only 6.2% (in OTL Obama carried North Carolina).
Florida: As OTL, the rarity of a vaguely decisive election result - by Florida standards, i.e. Obama carries it by 2.8%.
Apachea: Wow. It shows on my spreadsheet as '0.0% margin' rounded. Obama got 3,657,168 votes to McCain's 3,659,429. So McCain carries his 'home state', just barely, but Apachea is really shaping itself up to be another Florida in terms of close disputed results.
Yazoo: The third most Republican state (of the five carried out of 16 by McCain) with an 11.3% victory margin.
New England: Goes Democratic by 23.1%, making it the third most Democratic state after North California and New York.
North California: Goes Democratic by 30.1%. Notably Obama carried some counties here that no Democrat has since.
Pacifica: Democratic by 16.9%; Sarah Palin can't save you now, Senator McCain. As before, also the biggest third party vote, but in 2008 that was only 2.5%.
...and it must be a great comfort to Democratic candidates that they could eat a baby live on the debate podium and still get 3 EVs out of DC.
Count the electoral votes...
Barack Obama (Democratic): 323 EVs
John McCain (Republican): 147 EVs
Yeah, that looks like a landslide.
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