This reminds me, how is Judaism doing in the ASB timeline? I think this is a prime scenario for a Jewish state to exist somewhere in the Americas.
That's entirely dependent on conditions in Europe, which haven't been developed much.
Historically, the Dutch colonies attracted Jews due to their tradition of tolerance; the Puritan colonists strongly discouraged Jewish immigration, and English lands in general only became open to Jewish settlement after Cromwell. New France had few Jews (officially, they were not allowed to travel to the colonies at all), and the Spanish colonies were likewise sparse, though Santo Domingo had a decent sized congregation.
Even after restrictions were lifted on Jewish trade and travel, New England was not friendly to them; New Hampshire had legal restrictions on Jews as late as the 1870s.
Jews were relatively welcome in the American South; Savannah, from the beginning had a large Jewish congregation, although many of them fled to Charleston after the Spanish took the city in 1740. Charleston had the highest Jewish population in North America until 1830.
After progroms intensified and legal restrictions tightened in Germany following the Napoleonic Wars, German Jews emigrated en masse. They preferred New York, which already had a large Jewish population, as well as Philadelphia, which had an established German population.
After Bismarck came to power in 1871, German Jews were granted more rights, and they stopped emigrating in such high numbers. From the 1880s to the 1920s, progroms in Russia and Eastern Europe led to that group fleeing to the U.S. This wave of immigration would become the largest. Communities in Pittsburgh, Cleveland, and Chicago would be built largely by this generation.
In the 20th century, the mobility of more affluent Jewish families would lead to the growth of communities in Los Angeles and Miami.
With French culture being so much more prevalent in the ASB, I expect Jews would be even more concentrated in New Netherland than in OTL, with other communities in Lower Virginia, Carolina, And to a much lesser extent in Rhode Island and East Dominica.
If progroms develop in Russia in the 1880s in TTL as well, I imagine that Protestant Swedish elites would be able to arrange for mass emigration across the Atlantic, particularly to Christiana. There might then be a mass movement of affluent ASB Jews to Havana and Santo Domingo, mirroring the movement to warmer climates in the late 20th century.